Closer Monkey’s Top 40 Closers (1.0)

Although context and league trends can be as important as rankings, going through tiers helps identify how the positional landscape appears. It must be noted that there are four camp competitions for the ninth inning:

  • Arizona Diamondbacks: Justin Martinez, A.J. Puk, Kevin Ginkel
  • Boston Red Sox: Liam Hendriks, Aroldis Chapman, Justin Slaten
  • Colorado Rockies: Seth Halvorsen, Victor Vodnik, Tyler Kinley
  • Miami Marlins: Calvin Faucher, Jesús Tinoco, Anthony Bender

There are also muddled or potential timeshare situations for the following teams:

  • Detroit Tigers: Beau Brieske, Tyler Holton, Will Vest, Jason Foley
  • Kansas City Royals: Carlos Estévez, Lucas Erceg
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: Tanner Scott, Kirby Yates, Blake Treinen

With this in mind, and using tiers as our guide, our first run of a top 40 for closers.

Tier One

  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Mason Miller (ATH)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Devin Williams (NYY)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)

No surprises here, and if one feels strongly about one reliever being above another, act accordingly in your draft or auction. Hader and Miller’s strikeout upside push them ahead of Clase, but volume keeps him near the top.

Tier Two

  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Ryan Walker (SF)
  • Jeff Hoffman (TOR)
  • Tanner Scott (LAD)
  • Félix Bautista (BAL)

Whether it’s past performance, injury concerns, a lack of a track record, or a managed workload, this group presents many intriguing upside options as RP1s but resides below our first tier.

Tier Three

  • Jordan Romano (PHI)
  • Ryan Pressly (CHC)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Kenley Jansen (LAA)
  • Carlos Estévez (KC)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TB)
  • Trevor Megill (MIL)
  • Robert Suarez (SD)

This tier features some relievers in shared roles, boring veterans, and two relievers (Megill and Suarez) on whom we remain lower than other sites.

Tier Four

  • Justin Martinez (ARI)
  • A.J. Puk (ARI)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Chris Martin (TEX)

While Martinez and Puk remain locked in a spring battle for the role, Finnegan and Díaz will be their team’s closer, though ratios keep them in this tier. Martin may be terrific as the closer in Texas, but he’s worked primarily as a set-up reliever and enters his Age-39 season.

Tier Five

  • Aroldis Chapman (BOS)
  • Liam Hendriks (BOS)
  • Beau Brieske (DET)
  • Griffin Jax (MIN)
  • Jason Adam (SD)
  • Lucas Erceg (KC)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)

This group includes another camp competition at closer, perhaps Detroit’s preferred save option, and three highest-leveraged relievers (HLR) with ancillary save upside.

Tier Six

  • Mike Clevinger (CHW)
  • Victor Vodnik | Seth Halvorsen | Tyler Kinley (COL)
  • Calvin Faucher | Jesús Tinoco | Anthony Bender (MIA)
  • Cade Smith (CLE)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Luke Weaver (NYY)

Although he has not appeared on consecutive days, Clevinger’s first two spring appearances have been clean. Whichever reliever wins the role their respective teams slot below him and three more leverage relievers with strikeout upside, but fewer ancillary saves than the ones in the previous tier.

Because people prefer lists with numbers, here are the relievers with their blended projections and Closer Monkey’s projected save totals.

RankRelieverWinsSavesKIPERAWHIPK-BB%
1Josh Hader5.33594.467.13.061.09224.5%
2Mason Miller3.73198.366.72.540.99928.3%
3Emmanuel Clase4.63972.2702.621.0620.2%
4Devin Williams3.83076.356.72.871.15221.6%
5Ryan Helsley4.93380.8652.941.1221.1%
6Edwin Díaz4.33188.962.32.761.05626.1%
Raisel Iglesias4.33773.265.23.231.09920.6%
Jhoan Durán5.23079.763.72.541.09422.8%
9Andrés Muñoz4.52883.462.72.611.10222.9%
10Ryan Walker4.92884.171.73.091.15420.6%
11Jeff Hoffman3.72980.465.72.951.09921.6%
12Tanner Scott5.32382682.981.20118.6%
13Félix Bautista3.92884.8592.641.04726.4%
14Jordan Romano3.92175.264.73.051.12120.6%
15Ryan Pressly3.12661.859.73.451.20417.4%
16 David Bednar3.83368643.701.24516.4%
17 Kenley Jansen32562.6563.831.2317.7%
18 Carlos Estévez3.72259.1603.961.2715.4%
19Pete Fairbanks3.41962.2553.321.19118%
20Trevor Megill2.81769.357.33.361.18720%
21Robert Suarez3.81761.6613.691.20216%
22Justin Martinez4.61989.471.73.111.29617%
23A.J. Puk4.91180.167.33.291.17920.2%
24Kyle Finnegan42655643.941.29814
25 Alexis Díaz3.7196963.74.111.31613.9%
26Chris Martin3.11553.352.23.311.11919.7%
27Aroldis Chapman3.91287.460.33.211.2721%
28 Liam Hendriks3.11459.754.33.701.22118.5%
29Beau Brieske3.81368.572.33.971.27713.4%
30Griffin Jax4.9686.272.33.051.09422.1%
31Jason Adam4.21376.7673.321.12819.2%
32Lucas Erceg3.91268.862.73.471.27315.9%
33José Alvarado3.21275.4623.151.1918.7%
34Mike Clevinger31659.6573.791.27516.3%
35Victor Vodnik3.4965684.411.46610.7%
35 Seth Halvorsen3.3757.3614.531.42611.4%
35 Tyler Kinley2.71262.560.34.671.39514%
36 Calvin Faucher2.7963.7613.911.38413.5%
36Jesús Tinoco3.1966.164.33.701.27715.3%
36Anthony Bender31062.859.73.571.26116.1%
37Cade Smith4.3588.770.72.931.10722.1%
38Bryan Abreu4594.8743.141.16521%
39Edwin Uceta3.11072.466.33.691.21416.7%
40Luke Weaver3.9881.174.33.741.18418.5%

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community.

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Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

BrooksBaseball.net