Monkey Bytes, April 11: Minnesota’s hierarchy remains fluid, Kimbrel nails down his second, Scott holds on for his first, Game Recaps, and more

Wednesday’s split slate provided some high-leverage events of interest, including a frustrating one by the Twins bullpen, but without Jhoan Durán, it’s apparent Griffin Jax will be the HLR (highest-leveraged reliever), not the primary save share, plan accordingly.

Minnesota Twins – Recording his first major league save, Steven Okert navigated around a one-out pinch-hit single by Will Smith during a scoreless ninth while striking out one. He threw 16 pitches (9 strikes – 56.3 Strike%) and induced four whiffs (25 SwStr%). He entered with two left-handed hitters in the scheduled 7-8-9 lineup pocket, but the Dodgers countered with two right-handed hitters. Griffin Jax fired a clean eighth, matching up with the 4-5-6 batters, striking out the side on 16 pitches (10 strikes – 62.5 Strike%) and producing three whiffs (18.8 SwStr%) during his third hold. Brock Stewart tossed a scoreless seventh, yielding a hit and a walk for his first hold.

Updated hierarchy: *Griffin Jax | *Brock Stewart | *Steven Okert

* =closer-by- committee

Baltimore Orioles – Locking down his second save, Craig Kimbrel fired a clean bottom of the ninth, recording two strikeouts. He threw 13 pitches (9 strikes – 69.2 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (23.1 SwStr%). He owns a 0.25 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus zero walks through his first four innings. Keegan Akin notched his second hold, tossing two scoreless frames, walking one, and striking out four. Mike Baumann collected his first win, turning in a scoreless sixth, yielding a hit and striking out three.

Hierarchy remains: Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Danny Coulombe

Miami Marlins –  Battling his command issues again, Tanner Scott weathered another traffic-infused outing and recorded his first save this year. He took over in the eighth with a runner at second and issued a walk before retiring the next two hitters. In the ninth, he allowed a one-out single, then issued consecutive two-out walks before inducing a game-ending fly-out by Aaron Judge. Scott threw 34 pitches (14 strikes – 41.2 Strike%) and produced one whiff. He’s posted a 1.94 WHIP with six strikeouts against nine walks over 5.2 innings. Anthony Bender gave up a hit, an earned run, and a walk while striking out one in one-third of the eighth for his third hold. Andrew Nardi fired a clean seventh, striking out one for his second hold.

Hierarchy remains: Tanner Scott | Andrew Nardi | Anthony Bender

American League (Game Recaps from April 10)

Boston Red Sox – Taking over a shutout in the sixth, Isaiah Campbell turned in a sideways outing, giving up four hits and three earned runs. Chris Martin suffered his first loss and second blown save, giving up two hits, four runs (three earned), and a walk while striking out two. He threw 27 pitches (15 strikes – 55.6 Strike%) and produced five whiffs (18.5 SwStr%). Brennan Bernardino logged two scoreless frames, yielding a hit and striking out three.

Hierarchy remains: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Isaiah Campbell

Cleveland Guardians – Although he let the “place” runner score in the top of the tenth, Eli Morgan collected his first win courtesy of a walk-off rally in the bottom of the frame. He allowed a hit, an unearned run, and recorded two strikeouts. Emmanuel Clase somehow navigated around a lead-off double and a sacrifice bunt with the hitter reaching on his error, with a scoreless ninth, preserving the tie. He induced a double-play grounder and an inning-ending groundout. Tyler Beede worked a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and striking out two. Cade Smith turned in a scoreless seventh, yielding a hit and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Tyler Beede

Chicago White Sox – Suffering his first loss and first blown save, Bryan Shaw gave up three hits, two runs (one earned), and an intentional walk in the bottom of the tenth against his former team, Cleveland. Steven Wilson fired a clean ninth on an efficient seven pitches (85.7 Strike%) and has been scoreless through four outings this month.

Hierarchy remains: Michael Kopech | Steven Wilson | Jordan Leasure

Seattle Mariners – After a five-run top of the 10th, there was no save chance, but Ryne Stanek worked a scoreless bottom of the frame, walking one and striking out two, preserving the win. He threw 17 pitches (10 strikes – 58.8 Strike%) with two whiffs. Andrés Muñoz worked 1.1 scoreless innings, stranding two runners in the eighth, then wriggling out of a bases-loaded situation in the ninth for his first win. He allowed a hit, a hit batter, and a walk during his outing, throwing 24 pitches (50 Strike%) while inducing three whiffs (12.5 SwStr%).

Hierarchy remains: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

Tampa Bay Rays – Securing his second save, Pete Fairbanks tossed a scoreless bottom of the ninth, allowing a two-out single (Luis Rengifo) and recording three strikeouts. He threw 15 pitches (66.7 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (13.3 SwStr%). This represents his best outing of the season. Jason Adam worked a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and striking out one for his fourth hold.

Hierarchy remains: Pete Fairbanks | Jason Adam | Colin Poche

Toronto Blue Jays – Taking over in the tenth, Tim Mayza suffered his first loss, allowing a hit, four runs (three earned), and two walks while recording one out. Mitch White gave up two hits, and an earned run while recording two strikeouts over his two-thirds of the tenth. Yimi Garcia fired two clean frames, striking out four, but did not factor in the decision. He threw 21 pitches (71.4 Strike%) and generated six whiffs (28.6 SwStr%). Reminder, Jordan Romano and Erik Swanson, weather permitting, will make rehab outings with Buffalo later today.

Current hierarchy: Chad Green | Yimi García | Génesis Cabrera

National League (Game Recaps from April 10)

Arizona Diamondbacks – Handed a two-run lead in the ninth, Kevin Ginkel held on for his second save, navigating around a hit and two walks, while striking out two for a scoreless outing, inducing a game-ending fly-out by Nolan Jones with the bases loaded. Ginkel threw 29 pitches (16 strikes – 55.2 Strike%) and produced five whiffs (17.2 SwStr%). He owns a 1.26 WHIP with nine strikeouts over his first 6.1 innings. Joe Mantiply collected his first win, retiring his only batter faced in the eighth, and stranding a runner.

Hierarchy remains: Kevin Ginkel | Ryan Thompson | Kyle Nelson

Colorado Rockies – Taking over a tied game in the top of the ninth against the top of Arizona’s lineup, Justin Lawrence suffered his first loss. His outing started with a lead-off walk, a high-leverage mortal sin. After recording two outs, he walked Christian Walker then allowed a go-ahead two-RBI bloop double by Eugenio Suárez before an inning-ending fly-out. Lawrence threw 25 pitches (48 Strike%) and induced two whiffs. Nick Mears escaped with a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and a walk. Jake Bird was tagged with his first blown save, yielding two hits and an earned run in the seventh.

Updated hierarchy: *Justin Lawrence (HLR) | Nick Mears | Jake Bird

*= closer-by-committee

Philadelphia Phillies -Securing his first save, Jeff Hoffman worked around a lead-off single with a flyout and a game-ending double-play grounder. He threw seven pitches (6 strikes – 85.7 Strike%) without a whiff. He owns a 1.26 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus three walks over 6.1 innings. Seranthony Domínguez notched his third hold despite letting one of two inherited runners score on a Nolan Arenado RBI single during his one-third of the eighth. Gregory Soto recorded two outs while giving up two hits, an earned run, and a walk over two-thirds of the eighth for his third hold. Matt Strahm fired a clean seventh, striking out one for his third hold.

Hierarchy remains: *José Alvarado | *Jeff Hoffman | *Gregory Soto

* = closer-by-committee

Quick Hits from April 10

Los Angeles Angels – Getting in work during a loss, Carlos Estévez fired a clean top of the ninth, striking out one on 10 pitches (70 Strike%) and inducing one whiff. Matt Moore logged two clean frames, recording three strikeouts.

Adjusted hierarchy: Carlos Estévez | Matt Moore | Adam Cimber

Texas Rangers – Pressed into action during the top of the eighth, David Robertson stranded two runners while retiring his only batter faced (Seth Brown) via strikeout on six pitches.

Hierarchy remains (for now): José Leclerc | Kirby Yates | David Robertson

Vulture Save Option, Thursday April 11

KCR: If the team provides James McArthur with extra rest, it would be Will Smith or John Schreiber for the save chance in their match-up with Houston.

MIN: It’s limited today because of the small slate, but Stewart has pitched on consecutive days, and if Jax works in the seventh or eighth versus the toughest Tigers’ lineup pocket, it could be Okert again or Jay Jackson for the save chance. (This game has already been PPD, will be a doubleheader on Saturday)

Vulture Save Option, Friday April 12

MIN: If Jax and Okert do pitch today (Thursday), it would be Brock Stewart in line for the save opportunity on Friday, but weather may be a factor.

Closer Monkey’s filthy outing of the day goes to Pete Fairbanks, who recorded all three outs during his second save via strikeout, courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, stay safe and be well.

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Updated MLB Closer Depth Chart

Closer1st in line2nd in lineUpdatedCloser1st in line2nd in lineUpdated
BALKimbrelCanoCoulombe4/11/24ATLIglesiasMinterJohnson4/11/24
BOSJansenMartinCampbell4/11/24MIAScottNardiBender4/11/24
NYYHolmesHamiltonFerguson411/24NYME.DíazOttavinoRaley4/11/24
TBFairbanksAdamPoche411/24PHI*Alvarado*Hoffman*Soto4/11/24
TORGreenGarcíaCabrera4/11/24WASFinneganHarveyWeems4/11/24
        
CHWKopechWilsonLeasure4/11/24CHCAlzolayNerisLeiter Jr.4/11/24
CLEClaseBarlowBeede4/11/24CINAl.DíazSimsCruz4/11/24
DETFoleyMillerChafin4/11/24MILUribePayampsPeguero4/11/24
KC*McArthur*SmithSchreiber4/11/24PITBednarChapmanH Stratton4/11/24
MIN*Jax*Stewart*Okert4/11/24STLHelsleyGallegosRomero4/11/24
        
HOUHaderPresslyAbreu4/11/24ARIGinkelThompsonK Nelson4/11/24
LAAEstévezMooreCimber4/11/24COL*Lawrence*Mears*Bird4/11/24
OAKMillerErcegAdams4/11/24LADPhillipsHudsonBrasier4/11/24
SEAMuñozStanekSpeier4/11/24SDSuarezMatsuiPeralta4/11/24
TEXLeclercYatesRobertson4/11/24SFDovalTy.RogersTa.Rogers4/11/24

* = closer-by-committee

Under the Hood: Two Potential Relievers on the “hot” seat

With a new scoring period on the horizon, taking a look at underlying data by struggling relievers may provide an idea of how long their proverbial leash may be. Our first installment will feature two closers struggling with their command after the first week and a half of games.

José Leclerc, Texas Rangers

After anchoring his bullpen during its championship run last year, Leclerc had to earn the ninth inning during Spring Training. He struggled in early outings but earned the trust of Bruce Bochy based on his results from the second half through the playoffs in 2023. However, it’s not translated early on this season.

He’s suffered a loss and recorded a save with two strikeouts versus five walks (-13 K-BB percentage), a 2.50 WHIP, a 56.7 strike percentage, and an 81 percent contact rate through his first four innings. It’s a small sample, but it resembles his first-half struggles last year, not the strong finish. It’s disconcerting seeing a team’s closer rank last in Win Probability Added (a metric on Fangraphs which values if a reliever enhances his team’s chances for a win):

With the bullpen losing Josh Sborz (shoulder) to the 15-day injured list, the depth takes a hit, placing Leclerc under more scrutiny. If his slow start continues, there are two relievers with “closer” experience on the roster in case Bochy makes a change.

Kirby Yates represents one of five relievers in this season’s very limited sample with a K-BB percentage greater than 20, a swinging strike percentage above 15, a strike percentage over 65, and a contact rate allowed of 65 percent or lower:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/POwNE/1/

Remembering it’s a limited timeframe, he’s turned in three scoreless outings with three strikeouts versus zero walks with a 2.14 SIERA, and 0.33 WHIP. He’s been the preferred option by his manager against the toughest left-handed hitting pockets early on, but could take on a larger leverage role if needed.

David Robertson leads his team in holds (4), and also collected a win during his first five appearances, all scoreless. He’s posted a 1.06 WHIP with a 4.28 SIERA, 64 strike percentage, 9.1 K-BB percentage, and allowed a 73.3 percent contact rate.

It’s possible Bochy would prefer a match-up-based approach if Leclerc cannot turn his results around. This will be monitored, but the early data prefers Yates.

Tanner Scott, Miami Marlins

Not only did Scott save his bullpen in the second half, but he was arguably the second most valuable reliever after the All-Star break last year behind Robert Stephenson. However, things went sideways early in spring, and may be improving, but his command has been abysmal through his first four contests. His 2.25 ERA accompanies a 6.46 SIERA and a 1.75 WHIP. He’s recorded five strikeouts against six walks (-4.8 K-BB percentage) with a 57.1 strike percentage, and an 81.8 percent contact rate allowed. Perhaps the biggest concern, his 6.6 swinging strike percentage.

It may be too early for an overreaction, but things must improve if he remains atop the bullpen hierarchy until he’s traded. His pending free agency will give him more save opportunities since there’s no value in a demoted leverage reliever.

Anthony Bender was a popular add in this weekend’s FAAB-run in NFBC contests. He has closer experience and owns a 6:1 K:BB (29.4 K-BB percentage) over 3.2 innings early on. He also boasts a 77.8 percent contact rate allowed while throwing strikes 64.2 percent of his pitches, and a paltry 9.9 swinging strike percentage. Being the highest-leveraged right-handed reliever may yield save chances soon, but there may be traffic on the bases during them.

Andrew Nardi also started slowly but may be righting the ship. He fired a clean outing on Sunday while recording two strikeouts and his underlying data suggests some bad luck in his early outcomes. He also touts a 6:1 K:BB (21.7 K-BB percentage) through his first five games with a 16.62 ERA versus a 2.98 SIERA, 14.7 swinging strike percentage, a 67.4 strike percentage, and a 74.1 percent contact rate allowed.

Fantasy players will monitor this situation closely, but Scott will be provided a runway for finding past form, and the key lies in attacking hitters in the strike zone so his slider can produce whiffs.

Entering game play on Monday, April 8, here are the leaders by reliever categories.

Saves Leaders

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE) – 4
  • Clay Holmes (NYY) – 4
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA) – 3
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH) – 3
  • Ryan Helsley (STL) – 3
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS) – 3
  • Evan Phillips (LAD) – 3
  • Robert Suarez (SDP) – 3
  • Abner Uribe (MIL) – 3

Holds Leaders

  • Scott Barlow (CLE) – 4
  • Andrew Kittredge (STL) – 4
  • David Robertson (TEX) – 4

SOLDS (saves plus holds) Leaders

  • Scott Barlow (CLE) – 4
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT) – 4
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE) – 4
  • Clay Holmes (NYY) – 4
  • Andrew Kittredge (STL) – 4
  • David Robertson (TEX) – 4

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Tiered Rankings for SOLDS, April 5

Once again, noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers in SOLDS formats. Those in leagues with holds as a separate category can use this list as well.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Griffin Jax (MIN)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)

Tier Four

  • Pierce Johnson (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Tyler Rogers (SFG)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • JoJo Romero (STL)
  • Andrew Chafin (DET)
  • Ryne Stanek (SEA)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • Taylor Rogers (SFG)

Tier Five

  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Gabe Speier (SEA)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • Ryan Borucki (PIT)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Matt Moore (LAA)
  • Ryan Thompson (ARI)
  • Julian Merryweather (CHC)
  • Emilio Pagán (CIN)
  • Joe Kelly (LAD)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)
  • Gregory Soto (PHI)

Tiered Rankings for Saves, April 5

Noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers for saves-only formats entering the weekend.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • Griffin Jax (MIN)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Will Smith (KCR)

Tier Four

  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Dany Jiménez (OAK)

Tier Five

  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • José Soriano (LAA)
  • John Brebbia (CWS)
  • Anthony Bender (MIA)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community.

American League Central 2024 Preview

Chicago White Sox: Way more questions than answers for the White Sox bullpen coming into 2024. If looking for the most likely reliever to land 10 or more saves, you may consider Michael Kopech. The once highly-touted starter turned emergency reliever is as good a bet as anyone to hit the double-digit mark. Other potential SV leaders include John Brebbia, although the veteran is ailing this spring. Young Jordan Leasure is a deep roster name to monitor too. This situation is best avoided as currently constructed.

Here are the three-year high-leverage results for Chicago:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Michael Kopech | John Brebbia | Steven Wilson | Jordan Leasure

Primary hold candidates: Brebbia, Wilson, Leasure, Tim Hill, Prelander Berroa

Cleveland Guardians: Lock Emmanuel Clase in as a top fantasy option once in 2024. He sits atop the Cleveland depth chart and was the top SV getter in baseball in 2023, with 44. The depth behind Clase, however, will be tested. Veteran Scott Barlow is in the fray, while Sam Hentges‘ finger must remain calm throughout the year. Carlos Carrasco may end up providing high-leverage outings for Cleveland, as well.

Here is how the Guardians high-leverage relievers have fared over the past three seasons:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Nick Sandlin

Primary holds candidates: Barlow, Hentges, Sandlin, Eli Morgan

Detroit Tigers: Command, command, command are the three keys to Alex Lange remaining as the Detroit closer in 2024. Gone are the days when he was the only option in town, as Jason Foley, Beau Briske, and Shelby Miller all pose threats to Lange’s hold on the ninth.

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Alex Lange | Jason Foley | Shelby Miller | Andrew Chafin

Primary holds candidates: Chafin, Foley, Miller, Briske

Kansas City Royals: It’s not sexy, but Will Smith again finds himself in a fantasy-friendly position within the Royals bullpen. Now, it may not last all season, as his fastball is god-awful and James McArthur lurks, but Smith is a near certainty to get the role and a leash pre-trade deadline for KC. There are a few other names of interest including John Schreiber, Nick Anderson, and Chris Stratton.

High leverage results for the past three seasons in Kansas City:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Will Smith | James McArthur(HLR) | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

Primary holds candidates: Schreiber, Anderson, Stratton, McArthur, John McMillon

Minnesota Twins: A repeat performance in 2024 from Jhoan Durán would make the Twins’ closer a Top 5 relief pitching option. Any progression could have Durán landing as the overall best fantasy reliever this year. The Minnesota bullpen is a collection of powerful arms behind their closer too. Griffin Jax led the team in appearance over the past two seasons, posting a 68:19 K:BB ratio in 2023. While Brock Stewart was unscored upon in 27 of 28 relief appearances.

Below is a look at the Twins high-leverage results over the last three seasons:

Projected 2024 Hierachy: Jhoan Durán | Griffin Jax | Brock Stewart

Primary holds candidates: Jax, Stewart, Caleb Thielbar

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Spring Vibes, March 17: White Sox Leverage Updates, Colorado closer choice emerging, Kimbrel improving, and Game Recaps

Chicago White Sox – Making his first spring relief appearance, Michael Kopech retired the side in order, and in the recap by Scott Merkin of MLB.com, the reliever hit 100 m.p.h. on the stadium radar. Although he’s not focused on being the “closer“, he would welcome it but remains focused on doing the “best job he can”. Stay tuned.

In a separate post for the Chicago Sun-Times, Daryl Van Schouwen featured quotes about Jordan Leasure being a potential ninth-inning option by Pedro Grifol as well. Until the lights go on, it appears the manager will keep his high-leverage plans close to the vest. Also in the mix is John Brebbia, though he’s not appeared in a Cactus League game yet.

Projected Hierarchy: *Michael Kopech | *Jordan Leasure | *John Brebbia

Colorado Rockies – Perhaps a pivotal day in the “closer” competition. During Saturday’s contest, Tyler Kinley retired the side in order in the sixth inning. He owns a 0.50 WHIP with seven strikeouts against two walks over six innings. Justin Lawrence went nuclear in one-third of the eighth. He allowed five hits, six runs (five earned), and a walk while striking out one. This spiked his WHIP to 2.05 with 10 strikeouts versus two walks through 6.1 innings this spring. Patrick Saunders, of the Denver Post, penned in his game recap, Kinley “continues to show why he’s likely to begin the season as the closer“.  Once Bud Black echoes this sentiment, the committee designation will be removed. Our bullpen depth chart leaned Kinley from the jump, hopefully he fares well in the role this season, or until Daniel Bard returns.

Hierarchy remains: *Tyler Kinley | *Justin Lawrence | Jake Bird

Baltimore Orioles –  Appearing in the sixth inning, Craig Kimbrel issued a walk and recorded two strikeouts during a scoreless outing. Following his rough start this spring, he’s scoreless in his last three contests with three strikeouts. He’s on schedule for Opening Day, and his manager agrees in this column by Jake Rill for MLB.com. As for his last hurdle, working on consecutive days will be the last test for the veteran reliever. He enters this season eighth in MLB history with 417 saves. 

Hierarchy: Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Dillon Tate

Boston Red Sox –  Veteran reliever Chris Martin successfully completed his live batting practice throwing session and will move forward in his preparations for the season. His next step will be another live batting practice or his Grapefruit League debut per the injuries and roster moves page on MLB.com. He’s a key component in the leverage ladder recording four wins, three saves, and 23 holds last year with a 1.03 WHIP and 19.1 K-BB percentage. 

Hierarchy remains: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Josh Winckowski

Seattle Mariners – Multiple updates about the Mariners bullpen were posted on “X”. First, Ryan Divish shared Ryne Stanek will appear in a Cactus League game in the coming days. He also reported Matt Brash will long toss at max effort then progress to a mound in the next few days if there’s no lingering soreness. Last, but not least, Gregory Santos is rehabbing and resting, but not throwing. No timetable for his return until he commences a throwing program. 

Hierarchy for Opening Day remains: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

Quick Hits (Game Recaps from March 16)

Atlanta Braves – A traffic-laden outing by Raisel Iglesias did not result in any runs despite allowing a hit and two walks during his two-thirds of the sixth. He did record one strikeout in this outing but owns a 1.93 WHIP with six strikeouts against four walks through 4.2 innings this spring.

Chicago Cubs – Hector Neris notched his first spring hold, allowing two hits and an earned run while striking out one. Adbert Alzolay fired a clean eighth, striking out two for his first hold. He owns a 0.50 WHIP with six strikeouts against one walk over six innings. Julian Merryweather recorded his first spring save with a clean ninth, striking out the side.

Cincinnati Reds – Suffering his first blown save this spring, Alexis Díaz allowed two hits, including a two-run home run, and recorded two strikeouts. This marked his fourth outing and he owns a 1.50 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks.

Houston Astros – In an eventual loss, Ryan Pressly fired a clean fifth, striking out one. He’s posted a 1.00 WHIP with three strikeouts over four innings. Bryan Abreu gave up two hits, four earned runs, and two walks during two-thirds of the sixth. He’s struggled this spring and owns a 2.73 WHIP with five strikeouts against six walks through 3.2 innings.

Miami Marlins –  In an eventual tie, George Soriano worked a scoreless fifth, giving up a hit. Tanner Scott completed an inning, this is not a test. He allowed a hit and recorded a strikeout during a scoreless sixth. He threw 17 pitches (12 strikes – 70.6 Strike%) and induced three whiffs (17.6 SwStr%). Hopefully, this will be an outing he can build on moving forward:

Milwaukee Brewers –  Collecting his first win, Hoby Milner fired 1.1 clean innings. Trevor Megill took the baton in the seventh, facing two hitters, and retired both for his second hold. Suddenly on fantasy players’ radars, he owns a 1.33 WHIIP with five strikeouts against one walk over six innings.

Oakland A’s – In a split-squad game against Milwaukee,  a rough outing alert by Trevor Gott. He was tagged with his first loss, giving up four hits, five earned runs, and two walks without recording an out in the fifth inning. Lucas Erceg also struggled, allowing two hits, three earned runs, and two walks in the sixth.

Seattle Mariners – For a second straight outing, Andrés Muñoz struggled, giving up two hits and an earned run in two-thirds of the sixth. He’s made five appearances this spring, posting a 1.07 WHIP with five strikeouts and zero walks over 4.2 innings.

Texas Rangers – During a split-squad game against Arizona, Kirby Yates fired a clean sixth, striking out one. Through five appearances this spring, he owns a 0.80 WHIP with eight strikeouts versus one walk. 

Closer Monkey’s filthy sequence of the day winner goes to Luis Gil, featuring his change-up and slider.

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Until next time, stay safe and be well, especially on this celebration of St. Patrick’s Day.

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American League East 2024 Preview

March 13, 2024

Baltimore Orioles – As a team last year, the Orioles finished second in the American League in saves, fueled by the breakout season turned in by Félix Bautista. He will miss the season after undergoing elbow surgery, but all will not be lost for the franchise. Craig Kimbrel signed as a free agent and will take over as the primary save share. He finished third in strikeouts among qualified relievers in the National League in 2023 and converted 23 of 28 save chances for the Phillies. Yennier Cano will operate as the eighth inning option, and will often take on the toughest lineup pockets on opposing teams. He logged 72 appearances last year and tied for the major-league lead in holds (31). Getting Dillon Tate back and using Danny Coulombe versus left-handed pockets will enhance the bridge options for the upcoming season.

With this in mind, here’s the team’s high-leverage results over the last three years:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Dillon Tate

Primary Holds Candidates: Cano, Coulombe, Mike Baumann, Keegan Akin

Boston Red Sox – After tipping their hand about potentially trading Kenley Jansen, he remains a Red Sox as of this writing. He will open the season as their “closer” unless a last-minute deal occurs. Even though he missed time down the stretch, he went 29-for-33 in save opportunities last year (87.9 save percentage) and he’s tied for ninth all-time with nine seasons with 30 or more saves. How he performs early on may set his trade market. He’s an unrestricted free agent at the end of the season. Chris Martin played Robin to Jansen’s Batman well last year, recording a team-high 23 holds along with three saves, and 46 strikeouts against eight walks over 51.1 innings. His 1.03 WHIP makes him an alluring target in leagues with holds or SOLDS categories. With eyes on the future, the team signed Liam Hendriks. He plans on returning near the Trade Deadline (August 2), but how much and in what situations Boston deploys him in will be determined as the season progresses.

Here’s Boston’s high-leverage results since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Josh Winckowski

Primary Holds Candidates: Martin, Winckowski, Isaiah Campbell, Brennan Bernardino, Justin Slaten, Greg Weissert

New York Yankees – This bullpen may lean heavily on Clay Holmes early on this year. He turned in a career-high 24 saves last season and finished strong being scoreless in 12 of his last 13 outings. His 66 appearances in 2023 represent the second most in his career and he will utilize his 64.8 ground ball percentage in leverage events. However, getting him to save situations may be a weak link for this bullpen. Tommy Kahnle will open the season on the injured list and oft injured Jonathan Loáisiga projects as the main set-up option early on. One bright spot will be Ian Hamilton. He will take over the vacated multi-inning role filled by Michael King last year, and has shoved so far this spring. In deeper formats, he will retain value by providing vulture wins, ancillary saves, and strikeout upside.

Since 2021, here’s how this leverage ladder has performed in high-leverage events:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Clay Holmes | Jonathan Loáisiga | Ian Hamilton

Primary Holds Candidates: Loáisiga, Caleb Ferguson, Nick Burdi

Tampa Bay Rays – It happened, the Rays stopped spreading the wealth in the bullpen and relied upon Pete Fairbanks as their “closer” when he was not on the injured list. He set career highs in appearances (49), innings (45.1), strikeouts (68), and saves (25). He also ranked seventh among American League relievers with an 86.2 save percentage. His save total represented the most by a Tampa Bay reliever since Sergio Romo recorded 25 in 2018. Setting him up affably, and filling in as the “closer” when necessary, Jason Adam remains a rock in this leverage ladder. Through 117.2 innings with the Rays, he ons a 0.875 WHIP with 144 strikeouts versus 37 walks, and secured 20 saves. Colin Poche led all relievers with 12 wins last season, but it’s a tough feat to repeat. He’s only the sixth reliever in team history with consecutive 65-plus game seasons.

Taking all of this in, here’s the teams high-leverage results since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Pete Fairbanks | Jason Adam | Colin Poche

Primary Holds Candidates: Adam, Poche, Shawn Armstrong, Garrett Cleavinger

Toronto Blue Jays – Anchoring a deep, and pliable leverage ladder, Jordan Romano has recorded 36 saves in back-to-back seasons. He accomplished this total despite missing 18 days with back inflammation during the second half. His durability will determine his ceiling for 2024, along with how he handles left-handed hitters, but from a saves standpoint, he remains a reliable source. Erik Swanson set career-bests in games (69), innings (66.2), and strikeouts (75) in his first season with Toronto. He also finished third in the American League with 29 holds. Tim Mayza, Yimi García, Chad Green, and Trevor Richards will also factor as bridge relievers this year.

Here’s the Blue Jays high-leverage trends since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Jordan Romano | Erik Swanson | Yimi García

Primary Holds Candidates: Swanson, García, Tim Mayza, Chad Green, Trevor Richards

Thanks for stopping by Closer Monkey.

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Spring Vibes, March 13: Injury Updates, Colorado’s Closer Competition, Game Recaps and more

With Opening Day (stateside) just over two weeks away, injury news may determine a player’s availability when the season begins. Results in games will vary as well with relievers experiencing a “dead arm” phase in their buildups. Here are the notes of interest from a fantasy perspective.

Milwaukee Brewers – Per Sophia Minnaert of Bally Sport Wisconsin, Devin Williams will see a spine specialist on Wednesday, while the fantasy community holds its collective breath about the severity of his back issues. He will undergo further imaging at his appointment.

Chicago White Sox – For a bullpen already stretched thin on talent, updates on Wednesday did not go well for the leverage ladder. Jimmy Lambert has been experiencing lingering shoulder issues and will see Dr. ElAttrache in Los Angeles for a second opinion. Later on, Daryl Van Schouwen reported Prelander Berroa will be sidelined with an arm/shoulder area issue, with an update pending clarification. On MLB.com’s injuries and roster moves page, manager Pedro Grifol said Berroa pitched with reduced velocity in his last outing against Colorado and will see the team doctors. Less than optimal, unless one prefers taking a “Leasure“-ly approach for targeting saves in this bullpen.

Updated hierarchy for the White Sox: John Brebbia | Jordan Leasure | Tim Hill

Seattle Mariners – In the never ending injury saga for the this leverage ladder, Gregory Santos felt a “pinch” in his lat, and will be shut down for a few days, which will keep him sidelined on Opening Day. Daniel Kramer and Ryan Divish broke the news on “X”. 

In a separate column by Daniel Kramer of MLB.com about how Seattle’s bullpen will take shape after Santos’ injury, he speculated Andrés Muñoz will work almost exclusively in the save situations. Because of this, Ryne Stanek will open the season as the primary set-up reliever. However, two relievers may be selected from the “Steckenrider” bucket. 

Updated hierarchy for Seattle: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

These next two teams feature a camp battle for the “closer” role.

Colorado Rockies – As each game passes, the “closer” competition heats up. On Tuesday, Tyler Kinley notched his first hold this spring, firing a clean seventh, striking out one. He threw 11 pitches (54.5 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). He owns a 0.60 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks over five innings. Justin Lawrence also worked a clean outing in the eighth, recording a strikeout for his second hold on 12 pitches (50 Strike%) with one whiff. He’s made six appearances this spring, posting a 1.17 WHIP with nine strikeouts against one walk through six innings. 

Oakland A’s –  In his latest roster projection for MLB.com, Martín Gallegos wrote Mason Miller “lines up as the closer“, with Lucas Erceg, Dany Jiménez, and Trevor Gott all in the mix for high-leverage situations. Until Mark Kotsay confirms Miller’s role, it’s purely speculation. However, the talented pitcher’s outings and eye-popping velocities may result in a reliable reliever in save opportunities. 

Quick Hits (Game Recaps from March 12)

Baltimore Orioles – Making his third appearance this spring, Yennier Cano retired the side in order, recording two strikeouts. He owns a 0.33 WHIP with five strikeouts against zero walks over three innings. Cionel Pérez navigated around two hits and a walk for a scoreless sixth.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Evan Phillips worked a scoreless eighth inning, walking one and striking out one. He’s made five appearances this spring, recording a 0.40 WHIP with six strikeouts versus one walk over five innings.

Oakland A’s –  Although he let his only inherited runner score, Dany Jiménez collected his first spring win, giving up a hit and a walk while retiring two batters in the fifth. After five outings this spring, he owns a 1.07 WHIP with five strikeouts against two walks through 4.2 innings.

San Francisco Giants – Getting in work during the fourth inning, Camilo Doval navigated around two hits for a scoreless outing. This marked his fourth outing this spring, he owns a 1.25 WHIP with five strikeouts against two walks over four innings.

Washington Nationals – Hunter Harvey fired 1.1 clean frames while striking out two. He’s made five spring outings and owns a 1.13 WHIP with a 9:1 K:BB over 5.1 innings. Kyle Finnegan faced two batters, striking both out, in the top of the ninth. He’s logged five appearances and posed a 0.43 WHIP with nine strikeouts against one walk.

Closer Monkey’s filthy outing of the day goes to prospect, Jackson Jobe. He will be a starting pitcher, but recorded his first spring save, turning in a clean ninth, and striking out two while hitting triple digits on the radar.

Until next time, stay safe and be well.

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Tiered Rankings (March 1, 2024)

With March upon us and draft season on the horizon, it’s time for the first run of tiered rankings. It’s difficult to choose which reliever will be the “closer” for a few teams, and many may prefer avoiding certain situations, like these three:

At present, there are three writers ready at the wheel for Closer Monkey fueled by Reliever Recon. Myself (Greg Jewett), Nate Marcum, and Aaron Pags. Being three individuals, there will be different relievers in each of our tiers, but they will be shared at the same time with quick thoughts or explanations of why our tier differs from the perceived consensus. As with any rankings, they are our own, not gospel. If anyone feels differently about a reliever, then it’s clear how they should handle him during their draft or auction. Enjoy.

Tier One

Greg

  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)
  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)

Nothing crazy here. Strong “closer” candidates with ratio insulation, and three with strikeout upside. Many remain wary of Emmanuel Clase but he’s entering his Age-26 season coming off a career-worst WHIP courtesy of an inflated batting average on balls in play (BAbip). His team construct helps save chances accumulate. If he cuts his blown saves in half last year, he would have made a run at 50. Jhoan Durán remains the reliever I believe will turn in the breakout performance of the year. He could record 100 strikeouts, last year 473 of his 1,017 pitches were 100 m.p.h. or faster in 2023, most among MLB pitchers. He’s thrown 865 100-plus pitches since 2022, also the most among major-league pitchers.

Nate

  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)

The common names atop most draft boards when it’s time for RP.  A notable exception is Devin Williams, which is not a slight on his potential, but based on the potential for a trade when the Brewers are no longer contenders.  While the fire has supposedly been extinguished, I still have my reservations.  The name I have in my 1st Tier that could seem out of place to some is Raisel Iglesias.  Iglesias’ strikeout percentage was a tick down, but his ground ball rate was supported by a solid Braves infield.  As good a chance as there is in baseball for 30 saves, that is if the Braves don’t win every game by 10.

Aaron

  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)

The Doval Guy

So, I am the Doval guy! And it has nothing to do with his ability but is 100 percent about his stability. For me, he is one of five relievers with a less than one percent chance of losing their job to anyone on their team’s roster. That makes him a tier-one closer.
But also, Camilo Doval‘s 2023 season showcased him as a vital force for the San Francisco Giants, marked by impressive stats, including a 2.93 ERA over 67.2 innings and 87 strikeouts. Despite a rocky start and a notable streak of four consecutive blown saves, a first for a Giants closer, Doval demonstrated resilience and excellence, especially from May onwards, significantly contributing to the team’s midseason turnaround. His stellar performance, underscored by his All-Star selection, solidified his status as a key player, despite a late-season slump that raised questions about overuse.

Tier Two

Greg:

  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • David Bednar (PIT)

Some veterans mixed in with a little bit of upside. Recent news about Matt Brash means Andrés Muñoz could gain the primary save share like Paul Sewald held last year. If he notches 30 or more saves and remains healthy, he’s a top-five reliever in fantasy. There may be some migration toward the mean for David Bednar and Camilo Doval, but they each secured 39 saves last year. For Pete Fairbanks, it’s all about health. More innings yield more fantasy goodness. I’m likely the low man on Josh Hader. He’s seen his K-BB percentage decline in each of the last two years, he’s in a deep bullpen, and not recorded more than 60 innings since 2019.

**With the recent injury news about Bednar, he’s been moved to the end of this tier.**

Nate:

  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)

This tier is where I will most likely do most of my RP fishing during drafts.  The concerns I have for Williams’ team security are minimal.  Hader may have his hiccups, but with a track record as long as his, the double-digit walk percentage in three of the last four years is a wart worth looking past.  The fact that he hasn’t had 60-plus innings means the days of 100 strikeouts are gone.  If I could get a full season out of Fairbanks guaranteed, he may appear in the first tier in 2025. The Rays’ neglect for a true closer may be over.  Evan Phillips may be the “outlier” in this tier for me.  Similar to Iglesias and others, his team construct is set to build up his save total “floor”, but may limit his “ceiling” with their offensive output.  Over the past two seasons, Phillips has a combined 1.59 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.  Andrés Muñoz’s value remains intact with the news of Matt Brash’s injury.  Both Camilo Doval and David Bednar are convenient RP1 anchors for those who want to cast their line into the second tier.

Aaron:

  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)

Durán’s Health


I know you can say, “But health…” for anyone, however, Jhoan Durán has a history that shouldn’t be dismissed quickly. He missed the 2020 season due to COVID-19 and experienced arm issues in 2021. Despite a strong start post-recovery, he struggled in June and was shut down for the season without undergoing surgery. In 2022, he showed promise in spring training, secured a spot on the Opening Day roster, and became a key bullpen arm, cautiously managing to avoid overuse. His performance in 2023 was strong, marked by a slight increase in ERA and WHIP but maintained a high strikeout rate, despite not being selected as an All-Star. But, he was unleashed more often than last year. His powerful pitching arm also raises concerns about potential injury risks, as has been noted in many studies of the past.

Tier Three

Greg

  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)

If the Reds can keep Alexis Díaz fresh, he may finish the season strong, but it’s still an if. When viewing his end-of-year statistics, do not forget he owned a 2.10 ERA and 36 saves through his first 66 games (until September 15). Tanner Scott provides strikeout upside if the command gains hold. Evan Phillips represents the only qualified reliever to do this over the last two years. Ryan Helsley could be the steal in this tier if he’s healthy all season. Steady and unsexy options also lie in this tier like Craig Kimbrel, Paul Sewald, Clay Holmes, and Adbert Alzolay.

Nate

  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)

The best “values” could be in my third tier.  Alexis Diaz flashed in his first season as “the guy” in Cincy.  Diaz’s 37 saves still only accounted for 70 percent of the Reds’ total saves.  Seeing how his second half compared to his first, it wouldn’t surprise me to see him with a similar team save percentage. Oliver Marmol turned to Ryan Helsley down the stretch of 2023 and was rewarded with a 0.77 ERA, a .108 batting average against, and a 0.86 WHIP.  There will be many who don’t trust the Cardinals’ to stick with Helsley, but I think they will. 

Aaron

  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)

Tier Four

Greg:

  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Alex Lange (DET)

Welcome into the volatile tier of relievers. This could be where many see a cliff during their drafts. Kenley Jansen could be a fallback option for many, but where he pitches will make a difference. A trade could move him up, or down in this process. José Alvarado has the velocity and skillset, but his pre-and-post-injury splits last year cannot be ignored. Carlos Estévez and Alex Lange may open the year as the preferred save option for their respective teams, but can they stay there?

Nate

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)

If you don’t have your first reliever by now, let’s hold hands and say a prayer.  While there are many household names (Craig Kimbrel, Kenley Jansen), it will require some guts to trust as your RP anchor.  Both of those two are in situations that are conducive to plenty of opportunities, but what they do with those opportunities is yet to be seen.   Jansen is also “most likely to screw up a good closer situation for another team” in 2024.

Alvarado will get the first crack this season, but injuries were rough last year, and we have Pags along with my favorite “closer in waiting”, Orion Kerkering lurking.  Say that five times fast.

Aaron

  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • Alex Lange (DET)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Stephenson (LAA)

Wild for Will

If you told me that I would ever be the high-man on Will Smith in reliever rankings, I would have laughed in your face. His fastball STINKS ON ICE! However, he always seems to wriggle his way into promising fantasy baseball situations. Kansas City is no different. Veteran presence during a rebuild is a must, especially in high leverage spots. Sure, a trade is always likely with the Royals and their relievers, but saves in April, May, June, and July can equate to value. Just jump off the bucking horse before it’s too late.

Tier Five

Greg

  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • Tyler Kinley (COL)
  • John Brebbia (CWS)

Pick your poison in this tier. It’s sort of wide open and should be used as an end-game option during a build. For the “never pay for saves” crowd, this will be what it looks like at the end of your draft. Feeling lucky? From purely a skills perspective, Miller could be a steal in this tier if the A’s make him their primary save share. But it’s speculative until his manager anoints him.

Nate:

  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Alex Lange (DET)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)

I would love to have one of these relievers as my third RP, but grabbing three RPs in a draft and still having balance is nearly impossible.  That being said, each of these as your RP2 could result in a full season of production, but most likely indigestion.  Alex Lange gets mentioned in the same breath as Mark Melancon, which is gross.  I can’t quit José Leclerc, but I acknowledge that he needs to throw strikes to keep his job.  Yuki Matsui could see his draft stock rise during the Spring, but I still think it could be an uphill battle to overtake Suarez.  I have Matsui here and not Suarez because I think Matsui will eventually take the job.  In Washington, it’s choose your stance.  Harvey is the better pitcher.  Finnegan has a “proven” track record of saves.

Aaron:

  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • David Robertson (TEX)

Thanks for checking out our reliever tiers. If interested, check out Closer Monkey’s updated bullpen depth charts.

Monkey Bytes: Leclerc’s struggles persist, Kopech and Miller record saves, Ginkel’s on the board, Game Recaps, and more

Tuesday’s full slate of contests yielded 10 saves, and every team except Miami has recorded at least one for the season. Controversy may be at the forefront of fantasy player’s thoughts, but it appears Bruce Bochy will not be making any changes in his leverage ladder, yet. Same goes for the Pirates, even though David Bednar suffered his third blown save of the season. This, and the bevy of saves from last night’s games will be covered in today’s Monkey Bytes.

Texas Rangers – Struggling once again, José Leclerc suffered his second loss and first blown save. He issued a one-out walk then served up a go-ahead two-run home run by Shea Langeliers, and recorded two strikeouts in the top of the ninth against Oakland. He threw 16 pitches (9 strikes – 56.3 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (18.8 SwStr%). After five outings, he owns a 2.40 WHIP with four strikeouts against six walks (-7.2 K-BB%) through five innings. His grip on the ninth may be waning. Kirby Yates fired a clean eighth, striking out one for his second hold. David Robertson was tagged with his first blown save, allowing a solo home run (Langeliers), and recording two strikeouts over 1.1 frames. Underlying metrics and performance this year favor Yates, if stashing for future save chances. 

Although Leclerc’s allowed a run in four of his five outings, this column by Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News quotes Bruce Bochy, suggesting “it’s too early to panic”.

Hierarchy remains (for now): José Leclerc | Kirby Yates | David Robertson

Pittsburgh Pirates – Handed his fourth save chance of the season, David Bednar struggled with his command, resulting in his third blown save and first loss. His outing began with a lead-off walk and a hit batter, followed by an RBI single by Gio Urshela, with an errant throw scoring a second run. After recording an out, a bloop RBI single scored the go-ahead run, he hit another batter and gave up an RBI single by Jake Rogers before being lifted. Barring a scoring change, he’s on the hook for four earned runs while giving up three hits, a walk, and two batters hit by pitch. He threw 23 pitches (9 strikes – 39.1 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (13 SwStr%). Whether it’s mechanical or a dead arm phase, he’s struggling in high-leverage events and with his command. Roansy Contreras stranded both inherited runners, retiring both batters faced, one via strikeout.

Hierarchy remains (for now): David Bednar | Aroldis Chapman | Hunter Stratton

Now for the game capsules by their respective league.

American League (Game Recaps from April 9)

Chicago White Sox – Nailing down his second save, Michael Kopech fired two clean frames, recording four strikeouts, preserving a two-run win over Cleveland. He threw 24 pitches (75 Strike%) and generated seven whiffs (29.2 SwStr%). He owns a 1.23 WHIP with 12 strikeouts versus five walks through 7.1 innings. Steven Wilson collected his first win, giving up a hit and a walk while striking out three in a scoreless seventh. Jordan Leasure logged two scoreless innings, issuing a walk and striking out one.

Updated hierarchy: Michael Kopech | Steven Wilson | Jordan Leasure

Detroit Tigers – Finishing off a comeback rally, Jason Foley secured his third save, navigating around two hits for a scoreless ninth, preserving a two-run win in Pittsburgh. He threw 11 pitches (10 strikes – 90.9 Strike%) with zero whiffs. He owns a 0.94 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks over 5.1 innings. Shelby Miller collected his third win, firing a clean bottom of the eighth on an efficient seven pitches. He’s the first pitcher this season with three wins. Alex Lange tossed a scoreless seventh, walking one and striking out one, throwing 22 pitches (12 strikes – 54.5 Strike%) while producing five whiffs (22.7 SwStr%).

Hierarchy remains: Jason Foley | Shelby Miller | Andrew Chafin

Kansas City Royals – Logging two scoreless frames, James McArthur collected his first win, allowing a hit and stranding the “place” runner in the tenth. He threw 25 pitches (76 Strike%) and induced three whiffs (12 SwStr%) while recording two strikeouts in this outing. “The General” owns a 1.50 WHIP with seven strikeouts against one walk through his first 6.2 innings. John Schreiber retired the side in order in the eighth.

Hierarchy remains: *James McArthur | *Will Smith | John Schreiber

* = closer-by-committee

New York Yankees – Locking down his major league-leading fifth save, Clay Holmes fired a clean ninth, striking out one on an efficient seven pitches (71.4 Strike%) while producing two whiffs (28.6 SwStr%). This outing lowered his WHIP to 1.17, and he’s recorded three strikeouts versus zero walks through his first six innings. Ian Hamilton logged two scoreless frames, issuing a walk. He let two of three inherited runners score in the seventh but prevented further damage while securing his third hold. 

Hierarchy remains: Clay Holmes | Ian Hamilton | Caleb Ferguson

Oakland A’s – Recording his career first major league save, Mason Miller fired a clean bottom of the ninth while striking out two, capping a one-run victory over Texas. He threw 16 pitches (11 strikes – 68.8 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (12.5 SwStr%). He owns a 10:3 K:BB through his first six innings. Michael Kelly collected his first win, retiring the side in order in the eighth. Mitch Spence logged three innings, giving up two hits and an earned run while striking out one.

Updated Hierarchy: Mason Miller | Dany Jiménez | Austin Adams

Tampa Bay Rays – Following up his rough outing in Colorado, Pete Fairbanks recorded his first save of the season, but it was not a clean one. He allowed a lead-off single by Aaron Hicks, and after retiring the next two batters, Hicks moved to second on defensive indifference and scored on an RBi single by Luis Rengifo. After issuing a walk, Fairbanks ended the game on a strikeout but finished with two hits, an earned run, and a walk with two strikeouts on his ledger. He threw 27 pitches (16 strikes – 59.3 Strike%) without a whiff. Jason Adam notched his third hold, tossing a scoreless eighth and allowing a hit. Colin Poche secured his third hold, walking one in a scoreless seventh. Phil Maton turned in a scoreless sixth, walking one and striking out one for his third hold.

Hierarchy remains: Pete Fairbanks | Jason Adam | Colin Poche

Toronto Blue Jays – Hanging on for his second save, Chad Green worked around a one-out walk with a game-ending double play, capping a two-run win over Seattle. He logged 1.1 scoreless innings, walking one and striking out one on 25 pitches (64 Strike%) while inducing two whiffs. His window as the preferred save share may lapse soon, but he will be a valued leverage option moving forward. Trevor Richards allowed a two-run home run (Mitch Haniger), and a walk, with one strikeout during a combined inning of relief.

Current hierarchy: Chad Green | Yimi García | Génesis Cabrera

National League (Game Recaps from April 9)

Arizona Diamondbacks – Securing his first save, Kevin Ginkel fired a clean ninth, protecting a one-run win in Coors. He threw 13 pitches (9 strikes – 69.2 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (15.4 SwStr%) while recording two strikeouts. He owns a 0.94 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus zero walks over 5.1 innings. Kyle Nelson notched his first hold, allowing a hit and tossing two-thirds scoreless in the eighth. Ryan Thompson worked 1.1 scoreless innings, yielding a hit while posting his second hold.

Hierarchy remains: Kevin Ginkel | Ryan Thompson | Kyle Nelson

Atlanta Braves – Surviving a scare in the ninth, Raisel Iglesias closed out a one-run win over the Mets for his second save. However, he allowed three hits and two earned runs while striking out one. An Omar Narváez double and an RBI groundout scored the two runs. Iglesias threw 23 pitches (15 strikes – 65.2 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (13 SwStr%). He owns a 1.25 WHIP with two strikeouts through his first 3.2 innings. Joe Jiménez stranded a runner for his third hold, giving up a hit during one-third of the eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Raisel Iglesias | A.J. Minter | Pierce Johnson

Chicago Cubs – In ascending order of appearances, Drew Smyly recorded his second win, allowing a solo home run, and striking out two over 1.1 innings after taking over in the bottom of the fifth. Yency Almonte fired a clean seventh, striking out two. Mark Leiter Jr. tossed a scoreless eighth, walking one and striking out one. Adbert Alzolay retired the side in order in the bottom of the ninth, recording one strikeout. He threw 12 pitches (7 strikes – 58.3 Strike%) and induced one whiff. He owns a 1.06 WHIP with six strikeouts versus one walk through his first 5.2 innings.

Hierarchy remains: Adbert Alzolay | Hector Neris | Mark Leiter Jr. 

Milwaukee Brewers – Closing out a four-run win, Abner Uribe worked around a lead-off single and a walk by striking out the next three hitters. He threw 24 pitches (15 strikes – 62.5 Strike%) and induced two whiffs. He’s posted a 1.60 WHIP with five strikeouts versus three walks over his first five innings.

Hierarchy remains: Abner Uribe | Joel Payamps | Elvis Peguero

St. Louis Cardinals – Preserving a combined shutout, Ryan Helsley recorded his fourth save, firing a clean ninth and striking out two. He threw 14 pitches (11 strikes – 78.6 Strike%) and generated five whiffs (35.7 SwStr%). Through his first seven outings, he owns a 1.29 WHIP with seven strikeouts against one walk. JoJo Romero secured his fourth hold, logging 1.2 scoreless frames, allowing a hit and a walk while striking out four.

Hierarchy remains: Ryan Helsley | Giovanny Gallegos | JoJo Romero

Washington Nationals – Mitigating traffic, Kyle Finnegan held on for his fourth save, allowing two hits and two walks over 1.1 scoreless innings. He took over in the eighth, walking one and retiring a batter, stranding a runner. During the ninth, he gave up consecutive hits leading off the inning, and walked the bases loaded but induced a ground ball for a force out at home then a game-ending double play grounder against Matt Chapman. Finnegan threw 28 pitches (19 strikes – 67.9 Strike%) and produced four whiffs (14.3 SwStr%). Hunter Harvey recorded his fourth hold, allowing a hit and striking out one over two-thirds scoreless. He left his outing early after a comeback hit struck his left forearm, but initial X-rays were negative. Dylan Floro tossed a scoreless seventh for his second hold. Jordan Weems suffered his first blown save, and collected his first win, giving up three hits and two runs (one earned) while striking out one in the sixth.

Hierarchy remains: Kyle Finnegan | Hunter Harvey | Jordan Weems

Vulture Save Options for Wednesday, April 10

CHC: With Alzolay appearing on consecutive days, Hector Neris would be in line for the save today.

KCR: McArthur logged two innings last night, which could result in a save chance for Will Smith or John Schreiber, depending on how the lineup pockets progress. Smith versus the Alvarez pocket, Schreiber versus a right-handed leaning portion of the lineup.

STL: Helsley’s worked in two straight, putting Giovanny Gallegos into the vulture save spot if provided today.

TBR: Although Fairbanks has not pitched often lately, he threw 27 pitches last night, which may hand Adam or Poche the save opportunity today.

TOR: Green’s pitched in two straight, which could yield a Yimi García save chance today.

Vulture Save Options for Thursday, April 11

ATL: If Iglesias pitches today, it could provide A.J. Minter or Pierce Johnson with the save chance on Thursday.

MIL: If Uribe pitches in today’s contest, it would mean Joel Payamps for Thursday.

PIT: Following an off-day, Aroldis Chapman may get the save chance on Thursday given Bednar’s struggles.

Closer Monkey’s filthy pitches of the day, Michael Kopech‘s four-seam fastball while striking out the side in the bottom of the eighth, courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

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Monkey Bytes, April 9: Phillies “floating closer” concept resurfaces, Helsley suffers a loss, Game Recaps, Injury Notes, and more

After recording his team’s first two saves, José Alvarado appeared in the eighth, matching up with a left-handed lineup pocket, not as a traditional closer. This readjusts the leverage ladder which felt like it was stabilizing, but as this game points out, did not. There were other events of interest in the 13-game slate, covered in today’s Monkey Bytes.

Philadelphia Phillies – Securing his first save of the season, Gregory Soto stranded the “place” runner despite allowing a one-out single with consecutive strikeouts. He threw 20 pitches (55 Strike%) and induced two whiffs. Jeff Hoffman suffered his second blown save and collected his first win. He gave up two hits, two earned runs, and a walk while striking out one in the bottom of the ninth. José Alvarado entered the eighth against the 9-1-2 lineup pocket, all left-handed hitters, notching his first hold, walking one, and striking out one in a scoreless outing.

Updated hierarchy: *José Alvarado | *Jeff Hoffman | *Gregory Soto

* = closer-by-committee

St. Louis Cardinals – After his team rallied in the bottom of the ninth, Ryan Helsley took over a tied game in the tenth, but suffered his first loss. He induced a ground-out by Trea Turner and intentionally walked Bryce Harper preceding an RBI double by Alec Bohm and a sacrifice fly. He finished with a hit, two runs (one earned), and a walk on his ledger while throwing 10 pitches (80 Strike%) with two whiffs (20 SwStr%). He owns a 1.50 WHIP with five strikeouts versus one walk through six innings this season. Andre Pallante retired his only batter faced in the ninth, stranding two runners. Giovanny Gallegos only recorded one out in the eighth, giving up two hits and an earned run while striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Ryan Helsley | Giovanny Gallegos | JoJo Romero

Los Angeles Dodgers – Locking down his fourth save, Evan Phillips fired a clean ninth, striking out one. He threw 11 pitches (72.7 Strike%) without recording a whiff. He owns a 0.71 WHIP with seven strikeouts against one walk over 5.2 innings. Daniel Hudson secured his third hold, retiring the side in order in the eighth and striking out one. Ryan Brasier turned in a clean seventh, striking out one for his third hold.

Hierarchy remains: Evan Phillips | Daniel Hudson | Joe Kelly 

Cincinnati Reds – Hanging on for his second save, Alexis Díaz navigated around a one-out walk of Christian Yelich and a hit-batter, for a scoreless ninth, preserving a two-run win. He threw 19 pitches (9 strikes – 47.4 Strike%) while producing one whiff. He’s posted a 1.60 WHIP with five strikeouts against four walks through five innings. Fernando Cruz fired a clean eighth for his second hold, striking out two on 14 pitches (9 strikes – 64.3 Strike%) with three whiffs (21.4 SwStr%). Lucas Sims secured his second hold, yielding a hit and striking out three in a scoreless seventh.

Hierarchy remains: Alexis Díaz | Lucas Sims (HLR) | Fernando Cruz 

San Diego Padres –  Nailing down his fourth save, Robert Suarez fired a clean top of the ninth, striking out two, preserving a come-from-behind one-run win while facing the 2-3-4 lineup pocket. He threw 14 pitches (8 strikes – 57.1 Strike%) and induced three whiffs (21.4 SwStr%). He’s converted all four save chances this season and owns an 8:3 K:BB with a 1.00 WHIP over six innings. Wandy Peralta collected his first win, allowing a hit during a scoreless eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Robert Suarez | Yuki Matsui | Wandy Peralta

Chicago Cubs – After an eight-run lead shrank to a one-run margin, Adbert Alzolay entered with one out in the eighth, inheriting a runner for a multi-inning save opportunity. However, he suffered his first loss and second blown save while serving up a go-ahead home run by Fernando Tatis Jr. He retired his other two batters faced, one via strikeout, throwing 11 pitches (63.6 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). He’s posted a 1.29 WHIP with five strikeouts against one walk through his first 4.2 innings. Hector Neris was credited with his first hold, allowing an earned run and a walk over his combined inning of relief.

Hierarchy remains: Adbert Alzolay | Hector Neris | Mark Leiter Jr. 

Hierarchy Change

Colorado Rockies – Closing out a two-run win, Jake Bird stranded the bases loaded by inducing a game-ending fly-out, recording his first career save. Nick Mears received his first save chance, but it was a rough ride in high leverage. He allowed a hit, an earned run, and three walks while striking out one over two-thirds of the ninth for his third hold. Justin Lawrence notched his first hold, working a scoreless eighth while matching up with Arizona’s 4-5-6 lineup pocket, walking one and striking out two. He threw 18 pitches (55.6 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (11.1 SwStr%). Peter Lambert logged two scoreless frames, walking one and striking out one while collecting his first win. 

Updated hierarchy: *Justin Lawrence (HLR) | Nick Mears | Jake Bird

*= closer-by-committee

Ancillary Save Alert

New York Mets – Surviving a late rally, Jorge López recorded his first save, and first since May 11, 2023, during a one-run game in Atlanta. He allowed two hits, including an RBI single by Michael Harris II in the bottom of the ninth. Drew Smith notched his second hold despite letting his only inherited runner score, giving up a hit and two walks while striking out two in the eighth. Jake Diekman collected his first win during a combined inning of relief, permitting an earned run while issuing a walk and recording a strikeout. This provided much needed rest for the high-leverage triumvirate, who all worked in three of the previous four days.

Hierarchy remains: Edwin Díaz | Adam Ottavino | Brooks Raley

Quick Hits (Recaps in non-save outings from April 8)

Atlanta Braves – In ascending order of appearances, Aaron Bummer stranded a runner and retired his only batter faced in the sixth. A.J. Minter suffered his first blown save, allowing a solo home run (Brandon Nimmo) and striking out two in the seventh. Pierce Johnson was tagged with his first loss, giving up three hits, three earned runs, and a walk while striking out one in two-thirds of the eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Raisel Iglesias | A.J. Minter | Pierce Johnson

Cleveland Guardians – During a non-save outing, Emmanuel Clase preserved a combined shutout, working around a two-out single and recording two strikeouts. He threw 18 pitches (14 strikes – 77.8 Strike%) and generated five whiffs (27.8 SwStr%). He owns a 1.00 WHIP with six strikeouts versus zero walks through five scoreless frames this season.

Hierarchy remains: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Tyler Beede

Pittsburgh Pirates – Aroldis Chapman notched his fourth hold, retiring both batters faced via strikeout on seven pitches, all strikes while inducing two whiffs (28.6 SwStr%). He owns a 0.23 WHIP with eight strikeouts versus one walk through his first 4.1 innings.

Hierarchy remains: David Bednar | Aroldis Chapman | Hunter Stratton

Toronto Blue Jays – Taking over with a four-run lead in a non-save appearance, Chad Green allowed two hits, including a solo home run by Cal Raleigh, and recorded two strikeouts in the ninth during an eventual three-run win. He threw 23 pitches (15 strikes – 65.2 Strike%) and induced three whiffs (13 SwStr%).

Hierarchy remains: Chad Green | Yimi García (HLR) | Génesis Cabrera

Minnesota Twins – Entering in the sixth, Steven Okert was tagged with his first blown save, allowing three hits and an earned run while striking out one. Suffering his first loss, Jay Jackson allowed two hits, both solo home runs, and recorded a strikeout in the top of the seventh. Griffin Jax worked a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and a walk while striking out one. He threw 21 pitches (11 strikes – 52.3 Strike%) with two whiffs. Kody Funderburk tossed a scoreless top of the ninth, yielding a hit and striking out two.

Hierarchy remains: *Griffin Jax | *Brock Stewart | Steven Okert

Vulture Saves for Tuesday, April 9

COL: Justin Lawrence has pitched in three of the last four days, which means Jake Bird or Jalen Beeks could receive the save chance dependent on match-ups in the late innings.

PHI: After appearing yesterday, José Alvarado has worked in three of the last four, opening the door for a potential multi-inning save by Matt Strahm.

TOR: Playing a hunch here, but Chad Green (23 pitches) and Yimi García (27 pitches) recorded high pitch counts, which may yield a save chance for Trevor Richards in tonight’s contest.

Vulture Save Options for Wednesday, April 10

CLE: If Emmanuel Clase pitches today, Scott Barlow would be in line for the save on Wednesday.

CIN: Since all three of the high-leverage relievers pitched on Monday if they work again this evening, Emilio Pagán could garner the vulture save chance on Wednesday.

LAD: The Dodgers will not overwork Evan Phillips, so if he pitches today, it would be Daniel Hudson on Wednesday if he does not get used tonight or Joe Kelly if he does.

STL: Guessing the Cardinals would prefer avoiding Helsley tonight, but if he pitches, look for JoJo Romero receiving the save chance, if provided, on Wednesday.

Closer Monkey’s filthy outing of the day goes to Aroldis Chapman. He entered a bases-loaded situation in the eighth and recorded two strikeouts, preserving the lead. Video provided by the Pitching Ninja.

In case you missed it, went through two situations of interest on Monday, highlighting the early command struggles by José Leclerc and Tanner Scott in “Under the Hood“.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, stay safe and be well.

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