Monkey Bytes, May 9: Kimbrel falters again, McArthur rebounds, and Suarez shines again, Game Recaps, and more

Despite a doubleheader providing mixed results from a fantasy perspective, through 15 games played on Wednesday, there were 10 saves, including Robert Suarez moving into a tie for the major league with his 12th. James McArthur took over a messy situation in the ninth and secured his eighth save, which should represent no imminent change in his team’s hierarchy. On the other end of the spectrum, Craig Kimbrel could not finish a save chance, getting a hold instead, after being removed with two runners on and two outs in Cincinnati. He received the dreaded vote of confidence from his manager, but his usage patterns and results must be monitored closely.

For our time constrained members, here are the condensed recaps, followed the full ones in today’s Monkey Bytes.

Closer ClliffsNotes

American League

(RP | BAL): Craig Kimbrel has only recorded one save, and one game-finished, over his last five appearances. He received credit for his second hold against Washington, but allowed a solo home run and two walks before being removed, resulting in two earned runs on his ledger over two-thirds of an inning.

(RP | CWS): Receiving his first save chance in just under a month, Michael Kopech gave up an infield hit but closed out the 4-1 win with a game-ending double play groundout.

(RP | CLE): A walk-off rally in the bottom of the tenth provided Emmanuel Clase with his second win of the season. He retired the side in order in the top of the inning on 10 pitches while recording one strikeout. 

(RP | DET): After taking over in the ninth, and striking his only batter faced, Alex Lange returned for the tenth, but allowed a walk-off RBI single after a sacrifice bunt put the “place” runner on third. He gave up a hit, an unearned run, and recorded the one strikeout over his two-thirds combined innings. 

(RP | KCR): Displaying a short memory, and rewarding the faith of his manager, James McArthur recorded his eighth save, retiring both batters faced and preserving a two-run win over the Brewers.

(RP | LAA): Appearing on consecutive days, Carlos Estévez notched his first save this month, and sixth this season with a clean bottom of the ninth, striking out two. 

(RP | MIN): With the lineup pocket working in his favor last night, Jhoan Durán locked down his third save with a clean ninth and struck out one against the top of Seattle’s batting order. 

(RP | OAK): Logging his first appearance since May 1, Mason Miller displayed no signs of rust, firing two clean frames and striking out four during a five-run over Texas in Game 1 of a doubleheader. 

(RP | TEX): Despite giving up his first earned run of the season, and letting all three inherited runners score, Kirby Yates held on for his seventh save, giving up two hits, an earned run, and a walk while striking out one. 

(RP | TOR): Hanging on for his fifth save, Jordan Romano allowed three hits and an earned run while closing out a win in Philadelphia. 

National League

(RP | ARI): Taking over in the ninth inning with a runner on base and a one-run lead, Joe Mantiply recorded his first save, retiring both batters faced, including one via strikeout. 

(RP | LAD): Assuaging fantasy player’s fears, Daniel Hudson was called upon for the save chance against Miami and fired a clean ninth, producing one strikeout while recording his second save.

(RP | PIT): Suffering his second loss, and his second blown save, Luis L. Ortiz gave up two hits and an earned run in the sixth.

Hierarchy remains: David Bednar | Aroldis Chapman | Colin Holderman

(RP | SDP): Closing out a combined shutout, and recording his 12th save, Robert Suarez fired a clean bottom of the ninth, striking out one in Chicago. 

(RP | SFG): During a second straight non-save outing, Camilo Doval allowed a two-run home run, and two walks during the bottom of the ninth.

(RP | WSH): Suffering his first loss, Jordan Weems allowed two unearned runs on a hit in the top of the 12th against the Orioles. 

Game Recaps – American League

Baltimore Orioles – Outlasting the Nationals during a 12-inning contest, Jacob Webb earned his second save despite letting the “place” runner score on an RBI double by Luis García Jr., retiring the next three batters. He threw 10 pitches (70 Strike%) with one whiff. Albert Suárez collected his second win, giving up a hit, two runs (one earned), and a walk while striking out one over two innings. Keegan Akin suffered his first blown save, allowing one of two inherited runners to score on a game-tying RBI single by CJ Abrams during one-third of the ninth. Craig Kimbrel recorded two quick outs, then allowed a solo home run (Eddie Rosario), and issued two walks, resulting in his removal. He received credit for his second hold, allowing a hit, two earned runs, and two walks over two-thirds of the ninth, throwing 19 pitches (10 strikes – 52.6 Strike%) without a whiff. He’s given up a run in five of his last six outings. Cionel Pérez notched his third hold, logging 1.1 scoreless frames while walking one. Yennier Cano was credited with his ninth hold, giving up a hit and a walk over two-thirds scoreless in the seventh. Danny Coulombe retired the side in the sixth for his eighth hold.

Hierarchy remains (for now): Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Danny Coulombe

Chicago White Sox – Even though he allowed an infield single, Michael Kopech secured his third save, producing a game-ending double play ground out, closing out a 4-1 win in Tampa Bay. He threw 10 pitches (70 Strike%) and induced one whiff. This represents his first save since April 9, and he’s been scoreless in four of his last five contests. John Brebbia stranded two runners in the seventh while logging 1.2 clean frames and striking out three for his third hold. Steven Wilson was credited with his fifth hold despite issuing two walks over a scoreless one-third of the seventh.

Updated Hierarchy: *Michael Kopech | John Brebbia | Steven Wilson

Cleveland Guardians – Benefiting from a walk-off rally, Emmanuel Clase collected his second win, erasing the “place” runner on a fielder’s choice ground out, a strikeout, and an inning-ending ground out to third. He only needed 10 pitches (70 Strike%) and produced one whiff. He’s allowed one unearned run over his last 12 appearances with 14 strikeouts against one walk and a 0.35 WHIP through 11.1 innings. Hunter Gaddis tossed two scoreless frames, allowing a hit. Nick Sandlin logged 1.1 scoreless frames, yielding a hit and striking out two.

Hierarchy remains: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Nick Sandlin

Detroit Tigers – No matter how much fantasy players crave consistent bullpen structure, A.J. Hinch remains evasive about labeling his reliever’s roles. Jason Foley took over in the seventh inning, his first time not in the eighth or ninth all year, and recorded two outs while giving up a single by Kyle Manzardo. Joey Wentz stranded him and worked 1.1 innings, allowing a hit and an unearned run while striking out one. Andrew Chafin suffered his second blown save, allowing a game-tying solo home run (David Fry), and struck out one over two-thirds of the ninth. Alex Lange retired Ramón Laureano via strikeout. In the ninth, after a sacrifice bunt, Brayan Rocchio produced an RBI single, scoring the walk-off run and handing Lange his second loss. He finishes with a hit and an unearned run allowed over two-thirds combined innings.

Based on recent usage patterns, and outcomes, it’s time for an adjustment of the hierarchy. 

Adjusted Hierarchy: *Alex Lange | *Andrew Chafin | Jason Foley

*= closer-by-committee

Kansas City Royals – Being a goldfish, James McArthur rebounded from consecutive blown saves by securing his eighth, taking over a messy situation in the top of the ninth. He inherited two runners, letting one score on an RBI fielder’s choice ground out, and induced a game-ending grounder by Christian Yelich, preserving a two-run win. He threw three pitches, all strikes, and induced a whiff (33.3 SwStr%). This reinforces his stature in his team’s bullpen hierarchy from a fantasy lens despite recent results. Tyler Duffey created the mess, allowing a hit, two earned runs, and two walks while striking out one in one-third of the ninth. Chris Stratton notched his third hold, tossing a clean eighth. Angel Zerpa recorded his sixth hold, retiring his only batter faced via strikeout. Nick Anderson was credited with his second hold despite giving up two hits, an earned run, and two walks over two-thirds of the seventh.

Hierarchy remains: James McArthur | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

Los Angeles Angels – Recording his first save since April 29, and his sixth of the season, Carlos Estévez preserved a one-run win in Pittsburgh with a clean ninth while striking out two. He threw 18 pitches (11 strikes – 61.1 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (16.7 SwStr%). Luis García retired both batters in the eighth for his fourth hold. Matt Moore fired 1.1 clean frames, striking out two. Adam Cimber collected his third win, logging 1.1 clean innings and striking out three on 20 pitches (65 Strike%) with two whiffs.

Hierarchy remains: Carlos Estévez | Matt Moore | Luis García

Minnesota Twins – Benefiting from the top of Seattle’s batting order cycling into the ninth inning, Jhoan Durán nailed down his third save, firing a clean ninth and striking out one. He threw 18 pitches (66.7 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (16.7 SwStr%). He’s recorded five straight scoreless outings since his debut off of the injured list with eight strikeouts versus zero walks with three saves and two holds. Griffin Jax gave up a hit, an earned run, and a walk during his 1.2 innings, securing his sixth hold. Caleb Thielbar worked a combined inning, stranding a runner in the sixth but allowing a hit and an earned run while striking out two, resulting in his third hold.

Hierarchy remains: *Jhoan Durán (HLR/PSS) | *Griffin Jax | *Caleb Thielbar

*An HLR/PSS means he’s the preferred save option, but will be used in the highest-leverage moment in games when deemed necessary. 

Oakland A’s – Putting the bow on a 9-4 win during Game 1, Mason Miller fired two clean frames while striking out four against Texas. He last pitched on May 1, but this remains a curious usage pattern. In this outing, he threw 32 pitches (75 Strike%) and generated seven whiffs (21.9 SwStr%). He owns a robust 55 percent strikeout rate through his first 16.1 innings (33 strikeouts of 60 batters faced) and a minuscule 0.67 WHIP while converting all eight save opportunities. Austin Adams notched his 10th hold, logging 1.1 scoreless innings, yielding a hit and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Mason Miller | Lucas Erceg | Austin Adams

Texas Rangers – Forced into action in the bottom of the ninth, Kirby Yates entered a bases-loaded situation with no outs. He let all three score on a sacrifice fly, an RBI single, and an RBI double. With two outs, he issued an intentional walk (Brent Rooker) before inducing a game-ending flyout, resulting in his seventh save. His final line reads as, two hits allowed, an earned run, and a walk with one strikeout in the ninth. Owen White gave up three consecutive singles in the top of the ninth, then was removed. José Leclerc allowed a hit, an earned run, and a walk while striking out two in the eighth. David Robertson collected his second win, tossing two scoreless frames and walking one while recording five strikeouts. He also stranded two runners for Josh Sborz, who issued two walks and then left the game with an injury.

Hierarchy remains: Kirby Yates | David Robertson | José Leclerc

Toronto Blue Jays – Working around traffic on the bases, Jordan Romano held on for his fifth save, allowing three hits and an earned run during a 5-3 win over the Phillies. His outing began with a lead-off single by Alec Bohm, followed by a ground out, then a one-out single, and an RBI double by Bryson Stott before inducing consecutive pop-outs, ending the game. He threw 15 pitches (80 Strike%) and induced one whiff. He’s given up multiple hits and an earned run in both outings this month. Tim Mayza notched his sixth hold, yielding a hit during two-thirds scoreless in the eighth. Zach Pop worked a scoreless combined inning, striking out one. 

Hierarchy remains (for now): Jordan Romano | Yimi García (HLR) | Erik Swanson

Game Recaps – National League

Arizona Diamondbacks – Easing Paul Sewald back into the season, he did not appear on consecutive days, instead, Kevin Ginkel opened the ninth with a two-run lead. However, things did not go as planned after a lead-off walk (Jake Fraley), a high-leverage mortal sin. Ginkel recorded an out, but allowed a single by Jeimer Candelario, and an RBI single by TJ Friedl, prompting his removal. Joe Mantiply took over, matched up with pinch-hitter Will Benson, recording a strikeout then induced a game-ending flyout by Jonathan India for his first save. Ryan Thompson worked a clean eighth, striking out one while securing his sixth hold.

Hierarchy remains: Paul Sewald | Kevin Ginkel | Ryan Thompson

Los Angeles Dodgers – Back in the saddle, and in a familiar role in the ninth, Daniel Hudson secured his second save, retiring the side and striking out one while finishing a two-run win over the Marlins. He matched up with the 3-4-5 lineup pocket and attacked them, throwing 12 pitches (83.3 Strike%) while generating three whiffs (25 SwStr%). Michael Grove notched his fourth hold, firing a clean eighth and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: *Daniel Hudson | *Blake Treinen (HLR) | *Alex Vesia

*= closer-by-committee

San Diego Padres – Becoming the second reliever with 12 saves, Robert Suarez closed out a combined shutout with a clean ninth while striking out one against the Cubs. He threw 11 pitches (63.6 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). He currently boasts a 13-game scoreless streak during which he’s converted a win and 10 saves with 12 strikeouts against four walks over 14 innings. Wandy Peralta turned in a much-needed clean eighth, recording two strikeouts and his sixth hold.

Hierarchy remains: Robert Suarez | Yuki Matsui | Enyel De Los Santos

San Francisco Giants – For a second straight day, Camilo Doval closed out a win in Colorado, in a non-save capacity. However, he had spotty command, issuing consecutive walks in the bottom of the ninth before inducing a ground ball double play. With two outs, he allowed a two-run home run by Elias Díaz and ended the game on a Brendan Rodgers grounder. Doval threw 20 pitches (55 Strike%) while recording only one whiff. Tyler Rogers tossed a scoreless eighth, yielding a hit and striking out one. Ryan Walker fired a clean seventh, striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Camilo Doval | Tyler Rogers | Ryan Walker

Washington Nationals – Taking over in the top of the 12th, Jordan Weems suffered his first loss, allowing a hit and two earned runs while striking out one. Hunter Harvey served up a two-run home run (one earned) by Ryan Mountcastle and recorded a strikeout in the 11th. Kyle Finnegan worked a scoreless tenth, walking one and striking out one. Dylan Floro fired a clean ninth, striking out the side. Jacob Barnes tossed a scoreless eighth, yielding a hit and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Kyle Finnegan | Hunter Harvey | Dylan Floro

Vulture Save Options for Thursday, May 9

CLE: Clase has pitched in three of the last four, if they give him today off, it should be Scott Barlow for the vulture save chance.

KCR: McArthur’s worked in consecutive days and three of the last four, placing John Schreiber as the freshest reliever in the hierarchy, though Chris Stratton could sneak in for the save too.

MIN: Although he’s not appeared on consecutive days recently, Durán’s pitched in four of the previous six days, so keeping him down makes sense. This means Caleb Thielbar or Cole Sands could garner the save chance if provided against the Angels.

SFG: For some reason, Doval’s made consecutive non-save appearances in Colorado, along with Ryan Walker, putting Tyler Rogers in line for a save in today’s contest.

Closer Monkey’s filthy pitch of the day goes to Jhoan Durán, it’s so easy seeing he could be a top-5 closer, will Rocco let him? Video courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

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Monkey Bytes, May 8: McArthur suffers a blown save, Finnegan nails down his 11th, Leverage Updates, Game Recaps, and more

Wrapping up another full-slate Tuesday, only four saves were recorded among the 15 contests but many high-leverage events of interest took place regardless. James McArthur was one pitch from a clean outing and instead, allowed a two-out double by William Contreras, issued a walk, and a go-ahead three-run home run, life can come at you fast. Meanwhile, Kyle Finnegan took over the major league lead in saves, securing his 12th while facing Baltimore.

Trevor Megill has emerged as the Brewers’ preferred save option, he’s recorded four straight games finished and a save in three of his last four appearances. Our hierarchy will reflect this change. These games and more will be covered in today’s Monkey Bytes.

Closer CliffsNotes

American League

(RP | BOS): There will be bumps during a rookie season, and Justin Slaten suffered his first loss during the bottom of the eighth in Atlanta, allowing two hits, two earned runs, and a walk while striking out one. 

Hierarchy remains (for now): Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Justin Slaten

(RP | DET): Preserving a four-run win, Alex Lange tossed a scoreless ninth, working around a walk. 

(RP | KCR): For a second straight outing, James McArthur suffered a blown save. He allowed a hit and a walk, before giving up a go-ahead three-run home run by Willy Adames, resulting his second loss.

(RP | LAA): During his first appearance in May, Carlos Estévez fired a clean ninth, preserving a combined shutout during a non-save situation. 

(RP | MIN): Suffering his first loss, Jorge Alcala allowed four hits, four earned runs, and walking two with one strikeout during his two innings of relief against Seattle. 

Updated hierarchy: *Jhoan Durán (HLR/PSS) | *Griffin Jax | *Caleb Thielbar

*An HLR/PSS means he’s the preferred save option, but will be used in the highest-leverage moment in games when deemed necessary. 

(RP | SEA): After stranding two runners while recording two outs in the bottom of the eighth, Ryne Stanek collected his first win courtesy of his team’s rally in the top of ninth. 

National League

(RP | ARI): Making his season debut in a non-save appearance, Paul Sewald closed out a win in Cincinnati. However, he did allow a solo home run by Tyler Stephenson and recorded a strikeout, throwing 15 pitches (11 strikes – 73.3 Strike%) and producing two whiffs (13.3 SwStr%).

Updated Hierarchy: Paul Sewald | Kevin Ginkel | Ryan Thompson

(RP | ATL): Shutting the door on his ninth save, Raisel Iglesias retired the side and recorded a strikeout while facing the Red Sox. 

(RP | CHC): Benefiting from a walk-off home run, Héctor Neris collected his second win after tossing a scoreless top of the ninth, navigating around a hit and a walk. 

(RP | MIA): Amid trade rumors, Tanner Scott fired a clean bottom of the eighth during a six-run loss, striking out the side against the Dodgers’ 6-7-8 lineup pocket. He threw 14 pitches (11 strikes – 78.6 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (21.4 SwStr%). After early command issues, he owns a 74 strike percentage with seven strikeouts against two walks over his last seven games, spanning 5.1 innings.

Hierarchy remains: Tanner Scott | Andrew Nardi | Anthony Maldonado

(RP | MIL): Completing his team’s comeback, Trevor Megill nailed down his third save, firing a clean bottom of the ninth and striking out one versus Kansas City’s top of the lineup. 

(RP | NYM): Hanging on for his first save, Adam Ottavino gave up a solo home run among his two hits, an earned run, and a walk with a strikeout against the Cardinals, preserving a two-run win. 

(RP | SDP): Entering a tied game in the bottom of the eighth, Enyel De Los Santos stranded a runner. When he returned for the ninth, he allowed a walk-off, solo home run by Michael Busch, resulting in his second loss. 

Hierarchy remains: Robert Suarez | Yuki Matsui | Enyel De Los Santos

(RP | SFG): Appearing for the first time in four days, Camilo Doval worked a scoreless bottom of the ninth, preserving a combined shutout, issuing two walks, and recording two strikeouts. He threw 23 pitches (56.5 Strike%) and generated six whiffs (26.1 SwStr%). He owns a 1.34 WHIP with 17 strikeouts against eight walks over 12.2 innings.

Hierarchy remains: Camilo Doval | Tyler Rogers | Ryan Walker

(RP | WSH): Taking over the major-league lead in saves, Kyle Finnegan secured his 12th, firing a clean ninth and striking out one against the Orioles. 

American League Full Recaps from May 7

Detroit Tigers – Wrapping up a four-run win, Alex Lange tossed a scoreless bottom of the ninth despite walking one. He threw 20 pitches (50 Strike%) with two whiffs. This marked his seventh game-finished through 15 appearances. He also extended his scoreless streak to nine games, recording nine strikeouts against three walks with a 0.56 WHIP over nine innings. Andrew Chafin worked a scoreless eighth, allowing a hit. Alex Faedo notched his third hold, logging two clean frames and striking out one. Tyler Holton collected his third win, giving up two hits and striking out three over three scoreless innings. 

It feels like Jason Foley sits on the hot seat, but until he’s displaced, leaving the hierarchy unchanged. 

Hierarchy remains (for now): Jason Foley | Alex Lange | Andrew Chafin

Kansas City Royals – After recording two quick outs, James McArthur allowed a double by William Contreras, issued a walk, and allowed a go-ahead, three-run home run by Willy Adames in the top of the ninth. As a result, he was tagged with his second loss, and third blown save, giving up three hits, three earned runs, and a walk during his outing. He’s suffered a blown save in consecutive appearances. John Schreiber notched his ninth hold, working around two hits and striking out two in a scoreless eighth.

Hierarchy remains (for now): James McArthur | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

Los Angeles Angels – Making his first appearance since April 30, Carlos Estévez fired a clean bottom of the ninth, preserving a combined shutout in a non-save situation. He threw 14 pitches (64.3 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (21.4 SwStr%). He owns a 0.93 WHIP with 11 strikeouts against zero walks through 9.2 innings this season. Luis García retired the side in the eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Carlos Estévez | Matt Moore | Luis García

Seattle Mariners – Capping his team’s comeback, Andrés Muñoz fired a clean bottom of the ninth, recording one strikeout in a non-save outing. He threw 14 pitches (57.1 Strike%) and produced four whiffs (28.6 SwStr%). He owns a seven-game scoreless streak with seven strikeouts versus one walk through seven innings. Ryne Stanek collected his first win, stranding a runner and retiring both batters in the eighth, one via strikeout. Tayler Saucedo gave up two hits and an earned run, then left early after a collision at first base, resulting in his first blown save. Tyson Miller was credited with his first hold, allowing two hits and an earned run while striking out one in the seventh. Austin Voth fired 1.1 clean frames, stranding two runners.

Hierarchy remains: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

National League Full Recaps from May 7

Atlanta Braves – Handed a two-run lead in the top of the ninth, Raisel Iglesias matched up with the 5-6-7 batters from Boston and secured his ninth save. He threw 14 pitches (50 Strike%) and generated three whiffs (21.4 SwStr%). He’s produced a 0.98 WHIP with 10 strikeouts against three walks through 14.1 innings. Joe Jiménez collected his first win, walking one and striking out one during a scoreless eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Raisel Iglesias | A.J. Minter | Joe Jiménez

Chicago Cubs – Auditioning for a future as a traffic controller, Héctor Neris escaped with another scoreless outing, despite giving up a one-out single and a two-out walk, with an inning-ending pop-out. He collected his second win courtesy of a walk-off home run in the bottom of the ninth. Since recording his first save, he’s logged eight appearances while posting a 1.50 WHIP with six strikeouts versus five walks over eight innings. Yency Almonte worked a scoreless eighth, yielding a hit.

Hierarchy remains: Héctor Neris | Mark Leiter Jr. | Yency Almonte

Milwaukee Brewers – Things escalated quickly in the top of the ninth with the Brewers taking a one-run lead on a three-run home run. Trevor Megill converted his third save, firing a clean ninth and striking out one. He threw eight pitches (all strikes) and generated three whiffs (37.5 SwStr%) against the Royals’ top of the order. He’s been scoreless in five straight outings with four strikeouts versus zero walks. Jared Koenig garnered his third win, logging 1.1 scoreless innings and allowing two hits. This represents Megill’s fourth consecutive game-finished and his third save converted in as many chances. 

Adjusted Hierarchy: Trevor Megill | Joel Payamps | Elvis Peguero

New York Mets – Even though he allowed a solo home run (Lars Nootbar) with one out in the bottom of the ninth, Adam Ottavino recorded his first save, preserving a two-run win in St. Louis. He gave up two hits, an earned run, and a walk while striking out one, throwing 24 pitches (62.5 Strike%) with one whiff. Reed Garrett secured his third hold, yielding a hit and striking out two during a scoreless eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Edwin Díaz | Adam Ottavino | Reed Garrett

Washington Nationals – Locking down his MLB-leading 12th save, Kyle Finnegan retired the side while facing the 2-3-4 hitters of Baltimore, preserving a combined shutout. He threw 10 pitches (70 Strike%) and induced one whiff with one strikeout in his outing. He’s converted eight straight saves and owns a 10-game scoreless streak, posting 10 strikeouts versus two walks over 10 innings. Hunter Harvey tossed a scoreless eighth, yielding a hit and striking out one for his 12th hold.

Hierarchy remains: Kyle Finnegan | Hunter Harvey | Dylan Floro

Vulture Save Options for Wednesday, May 8

KCR: McArthur and Schreiber have pitched in two of the last three, which may create an ancillary save chance for Chris Stratton, though Nick Anderson has pitched better than him in recent outings, he could be sneaky on this slate.

TEX: If Kirby Yates and David Robertson work in tandem during Game 1, José Leclerc could be in play for the save chance if they can sweep the A’s.

Vulture Save Options for Thursday, May 9

*This will only be a seven-game slate

ARI: If Sewald pitches on Wednesday, Kevin Ginkel would be in line for the save chance on Thursday.

MIL: Megill notched the save on Tuesday, and if he pitches on Wednesday, Joel Payamps would be the ancillary save choice on this slate.

SFG: Doval pitched on Tuesday, and he works again on Wednesday, it would be Ryan Walker (if he does not pitch today) or Tyler Rogers for the save on Thursday, though Doval’s appeared in three straight once already this year.

Closer Monkey’s filthy pitch of the day was this fastball by Trevor Megill, courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, stay safe and be well.

Updated MLB Closer Depth Chart

Closer1st in line2nd in lineUpdatedCloser1st in line2nd in lineUpdated
BALKimbrelCanoCoulombe5/6/24ATLIglesiasMinterJiménez5/6/24
BOSJansenMartinSlaten5/6/24MIAScottNardiMaldonado5/6/24
NYYHolmesHamiltonV González5/6/24NYME.DíazOttavinoGarrett5/6/24
TB*Adam*Cleavinger*Maton5/6/24PHI*Alvarado*HoffmanKerkering5/6/24
TORRomanoY GarcíaSwanson5/6/24WASFinneganHarveyScott5/6/24
        
CHW*Kopech*BrebbiaWilson5/6/24CHCNerisLeiter Jr.Almonte5/6/24
CLEClaseBarlowSandlin5/6/24CINAl.DíazCruzSims5/6/24
DET*Lange*ChafinFoley5/8/24MIL*Megill*PayampsPeguero5/6/24
KCMcArthurSchreiberC Stratton5/6/24PITBednarChapmanHolderman5/6/24
MIN*Durán*Jax*Thielbar5/6/24STLHelsleyKittredgeRomero5/6/24
        
HOUHaderPresslyAbreu5/6/24ARISewaldGinkelThompson5/7/24
LAAEstévezMooreGarcía5/6/24COLLawrenceBirdBeeks5/6/24
OAKMillerErcegAdams5/7/24LAD*Hudson*Treinen*Vesia5/6/24
SEAMuñozStanekSpeier5/6/24SDSuarezMatsuiDe Los Santos5/6/24
TEXYatesRobertsonLeclerc5/6/24SFDovalTy.RogersWalker5/6/24

* = closer-by-committee

Month in Review for Relievers: Results of Interest and Trends through the End of April

Remembering the sample size this season remains small, with only a month-plus of results in the rearview mirror, it helps to review how relievers performed, which will be the process for today’s post. Using underlying metrics and hard statistical data, we try to remain ahead of the curve in the ever-changing world of high-leverage events.

Team Saves

  • 2024: 248 saves recorded between March and April
  • 2023: 210 saves recorded between March and April

Blown Saves

  • 2024: 132 blown saves between March and April
  • 2023: 118 blown saves between March and April

Save Opportunities

  • 2024: 380 save chances between March and April
  • 2023: 328 save chances between March and April

As one can observe, there’s been more saves recorded, and save opportunities provided, over the first month-plus of this season compared with last year’s results. This coincides with offense on the decline, illustrated by runs scored:

  • 2024: 3,408 runs scored between March and April
  • 2023: 3, 744 runs scored between March and April

Before delving into individual performances, there’s a small difference between the numbers of pitchers recording at least one save with 72 through the end of April this year and 69 with one through this same timeframe last season. Despite the rise in save chances, the distribution has remained mostly stable.

Individual Results and Trends

At the end of April, there were four relievers with at least eight saves without suffering a blown one:

  • Robert Suarez (SDP) – 10 saves
  • Jason Foley (DET) – 9 saves
  • Mason Miller (OAK) – 8 saves
  • Evan Phillips (LAD) – 8 saves

Not only has Miller been terrific as his team’s closer, he’s also the only qualified reliever at the end of April with a K-BB percentage greater than 20, a swinging strike rate above 15 percent, a strike percentage over 65 percent, and a contact rate allowed below 65 percent. He finished with a 47.1 K-BB percentage, a 22.4 swinging strike percentage, a 68.7 strike percentage, and a 58.4 percent contact rate allowed, just dominant.

These relievers qualified for three of the four categories described above:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/tRu81/7/

Shifting gears, here were the SOLDS (saves plus holds) at the conclusion of April:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/wXS38/8/

These relievers have the most SOLDS without suffering a blown save, knock on wood:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/hMCId/1/

For those who play in leagues with holds as a separate category, here are the leaders from March and April in them:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/VI04i/1/

Two key indicators for sustained success by relievers are K-BB percentage and swinging strike rate. Leaders from each category are as follows:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Lpx9L/1/

Strikeouts and WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) should also be monitored closely by fantasy managers. Here are the leaders in these categories during the first month-plus this season:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Lpx9L/1/

It’s been a great first-month providing information for the Closer Monkey community. More volatility lies on the horizon, so stay safe and be well until these situations arise.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Under the Hood: Alzolay and Hader outlooks moving forward

This week’s under the hood sets its sights on the early struggles by Adbert Alzolay, removing him from the closer role in Chicago in the near-term, and Josh Hader suffering from some bad luck in his results.

Adbert Alzolay, Chicago Cubs

Not much has gone right for Alzolay, he’s already suffered more blown saves (four) in 2024 through 11 games than he did last year (three) over 58 appearances. He’s given up four home runs in only 31 batted ball events and gave up five all last year across 168 batted ball events. He’s matched last season’s home run total with his slider (three) in only 14 batted balls in play.

He’s not throwing with a drastic reduction in velocity and increased his first-strike percent rate. However, when diving into his results on Statcast, one notices an increase in sweet spot percentage by over five percentage points, a boost in his expected batting average (.278), and a 5.02 expected ERA (xERA).

In terms of quality of contact, he’s struggling:

  • 3.2 solid percentage allowed plus 12.9 percent barrel rate = 16.1 good contact allowed
  • 0 percent weak contact and 0 percent pop-ups = 0 percent poor contact-induced

Taking this a step further, here’s his 10-game rolling chart from beginning of last year through his last outing, using strikeout percentage, walk rate, swinging strike percentage, and contact rate allowed:

One notices some shifts in his outcomes during the second half before he landed on the injured list and at the start of this season. With this in mind, here are his splits in some key leverage categories:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/R2jww/1/

If he retakes the ninth inning for Cubs relies on his slider. Comparing his outcomes by pitch, the lack of whiffs, and increased expected results against his most used pitch accounts for his early struggles:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/vUjx0/2/

Focus on his slider over the next two weeks, and his usage patterns. It’s tough being patient with a struggling closer, but if he finds his past production with the pitch, better days may happen. However, it’s a tough needle for a reliever to thread during the season.

Josh Hader, Houston Astros

Expecting a repeat of his 1.28 ERA from 2023 would not be realistic, but seeing Hader’s 8.38 ERA entering game play on Monday, April 22 seems like some sort of cruel joke. While sorting out qualified relievers by ERA minus SIERA, he ranks eighth in bad luck with a 5.95 run difference between the metrics. He owns a 2.43 SIERA, almost in line with his 2.34 expected ERA (xERA) from last year.

In fact, his SIERA and 2024 xERA (3.35) set a nice baseline of expectations for his results going forward. Despite his inflated ERA, he owns a 25.6 K-BB percentage, a 14.9 percent swinging strike rate, and a 64.1 strike percentage through his first 11 appearances.

As upsetting as his ERA may be, his usage patterns under first year manager Joe Espada proves more confusing. Hader’s appeared in four games with a lead, in three tied games, and worked in four games with his team trailing. Using Baseball Reference’s leverage ratings, he’s turned in four high-leverage outings, two medium leverage appearances, and pitched in five low leverage contests. Not ideal.

Viewing his underlying data from Statcast, his barrel rate remains in line with last year but he’s allowed a spike in hard hit percentage (45.5 percent) versus his career 32.9 percent barrel rate allowed. Hope lies in his .223 xBA with the sinker against his current .375 batting average against with the pitch, and a .278 expected slugging (xSLG) versus a .458 slugging percent allowed by the pitch. Things migrate toward the mean, and his results will even out.

It’s tough seeing a closer with such a high price point struggle, but focus on his past production with his pitches, and know things will improve:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/SoiKP/1/

Houston gets a break with the schedule over the next two weeks, here’s hoping Hader and his leverage teammates turn the tide with regression working in their favor.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, until next time, stay safe and be well.

Tiered Rankings for SOLDS, April 5

Once again, noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers in SOLDS formats. Those in leagues with holds as a separate category can use this list as well.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Griffin Jax (MIN)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)

Tier Four

  • Pierce Johnson (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Tyler Rogers (SFG)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • JoJo Romero (STL)
  • Andrew Chafin (DET)
  • Ryne Stanek (SEA)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • Taylor Rogers (SFG)

Tier Five

  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Gabe Speier (SEA)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • Ryan Borucki (PIT)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Matt Moore (LAA)
  • Ryan Thompson (ARI)
  • Julian Merryweather (CHC)
  • Emilio Pagán (CIN)
  • Joe Kelly (LAD)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)
  • Gregory Soto (PHI)

Tiered Rankings for Saves, April 5

Noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers for saves-only formats entering the weekend.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • Griffin Jax (MIN)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Will Smith (KCR)

Tier Four

  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Dany Jiménez (OAK)

Tier Five

  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • José Soriano (LAA)
  • John Brebbia (CWS)
  • Anthony Bender (MIA)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community.

American League Central 2024 Preview

Chicago White Sox: Way more questions than answers for the White Sox bullpen coming into 2024. If looking for the most likely reliever to land 10 or more saves, you may consider Michael Kopech. The once highly-touted starter turned emergency reliever is as good a bet as anyone to hit the double-digit mark. Other potential SV leaders include John Brebbia, although the veteran is ailing this spring. Young Jordan Leasure is a deep roster name to monitor too. This situation is best avoided as currently constructed.

Here are the three-year high-leverage results for Chicago:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Michael Kopech | John Brebbia | Steven Wilson | Jordan Leasure

Primary hold candidates: Brebbia, Wilson, Leasure, Tim Hill, Prelander Berroa

Cleveland Guardians: Lock Emmanuel Clase in as a top fantasy option once in 2024. He sits atop the Cleveland depth chart and was the top SV getter in baseball in 2023, with 44. The depth behind Clase, however, will be tested. Veteran Scott Barlow is in the fray, while Sam Hentges‘ finger must remain calm throughout the year. Carlos Carrasco may end up providing high-leverage outings for Cleveland, as well.

Here is how the Guardians high-leverage relievers have fared over the past three seasons:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Nick Sandlin

Primary holds candidates: Barlow, Hentges, Sandlin, Eli Morgan

Detroit Tigers: Command, command, command are the three keys to Alex Lange remaining as the Detroit closer in 2024. Gone are the days when he was the only option in town, as Jason Foley, Beau Briske, and Shelby Miller all pose threats to Lange’s hold on the ninth.

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Alex Lange | Jason Foley | Shelby Miller | Andrew Chafin

Primary holds candidates: Chafin, Foley, Miller, Briske

Kansas City Royals: It’s not sexy, but Will Smith again finds himself in a fantasy-friendly position within the Royals bullpen. Now, it may not last all season, as his fastball is god-awful and James McArthur lurks, but Smith is a near certainty to get the role and a leash pre-trade deadline for KC. There are a few other names of interest including John Schreiber, Nick Anderson, and Chris Stratton.

High leverage results for the past three seasons in Kansas City:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Will Smith | James McArthur(HLR) | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

Primary holds candidates: Schreiber, Anderson, Stratton, McArthur, John McMillon

Minnesota Twins: A repeat performance in 2024 from Jhoan Durán would make the Twins’ closer a Top 5 relief pitching option. Any progression could have Durán landing as the overall best fantasy reliever this year. The Minnesota bullpen is a collection of powerful arms behind their closer too. Griffin Jax led the team in appearance over the past two seasons, posting a 68:19 K:BB ratio in 2023. While Brock Stewart was unscored upon in 27 of 28 relief appearances.

Below is a look at the Twins high-leverage results over the last three seasons:

Projected 2024 Hierachy: Jhoan Durán | Griffin Jax | Brock Stewart

Primary holds candidates: Jax, Stewart, Caleb Thielbar

Thanks for stopping by Closer Monkey.

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Spring Vibes, March 17: White Sox Leverage Updates, Colorado closer choice emerging, Kimbrel improving, and Game Recaps

Chicago White Sox – Making his first spring relief appearance, Michael Kopech retired the side in order, and in the recap by Scott Merkin of MLB.com, the reliever hit 100 m.p.h. on the stadium radar. Although he’s not focused on being the “closer“, he would welcome it but remains focused on doing the “best job he can”. Stay tuned.

In a separate post for the Chicago Sun-Times, Daryl Van Schouwen featured quotes about Jordan Leasure being a potential ninth-inning option by Pedro Grifol as well. Until the lights go on, it appears the manager will keep his high-leverage plans close to the vest. Also in the mix is John Brebbia, though he’s not appeared in a Cactus League game yet.

Projected Hierarchy: *Michael Kopech | *Jordan Leasure | *John Brebbia

Colorado Rockies – Perhaps a pivotal day in the “closer” competition. During Saturday’s contest, Tyler Kinley retired the side in order in the sixth inning. He owns a 0.50 WHIP with seven strikeouts against two walks over six innings. Justin Lawrence went nuclear in one-third of the eighth. He allowed five hits, six runs (five earned), and a walk while striking out one. This spiked his WHIP to 2.05 with 10 strikeouts versus two walks through 6.1 innings this spring. Patrick Saunders, of the Denver Post, penned in his game recap, Kinley “continues to show why he’s likely to begin the season as the closer“.  Once Bud Black echoes this sentiment, the committee designation will be removed. Our bullpen depth chart leaned Kinley from the jump, hopefully he fares well in the role this season, or until Daniel Bard returns.

Hierarchy remains: *Tyler Kinley | *Justin Lawrence | Jake Bird

Baltimore Orioles –  Appearing in the sixth inning, Craig Kimbrel issued a walk and recorded two strikeouts during a scoreless outing. Following his rough start this spring, he’s scoreless in his last three contests with three strikeouts. He’s on schedule for Opening Day, and his manager agrees in this column by Jake Rill for MLB.com. As for his last hurdle, working on consecutive days will be the last test for the veteran reliever. He enters this season eighth in MLB history with 417 saves. 

Hierarchy: Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Dillon Tate

Boston Red Sox –  Veteran reliever Chris Martin successfully completed his live batting practice throwing session and will move forward in his preparations for the season. His next step will be another live batting practice or his Grapefruit League debut per the injuries and roster moves page on MLB.com. He’s a key component in the leverage ladder recording four wins, three saves, and 23 holds last year with a 1.03 WHIP and 19.1 K-BB percentage. 

Hierarchy remains: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Josh Winckowski

Seattle Mariners – Multiple updates about the Mariners bullpen were posted on “X”. First, Ryan Divish shared Ryne Stanek will appear in a Cactus League game in the coming days. He also reported Matt Brash will long toss at max effort then progress to a mound in the next few days if there’s no lingering soreness. Last, but not least, Gregory Santos is rehabbing and resting, but not throwing. No timetable for his return until he commences a throwing program. 

Hierarchy for Opening Day remains: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

Quick Hits (Game Recaps from March 16)

Atlanta Braves – A traffic-laden outing by Raisel Iglesias did not result in any runs despite allowing a hit and two walks during his two-thirds of the sixth. He did record one strikeout in this outing but owns a 1.93 WHIP with six strikeouts against four walks through 4.2 innings this spring.

Chicago Cubs – Hector Neris notched his first spring hold, allowing two hits and an earned run while striking out one. Adbert Alzolay fired a clean eighth, striking out two for his first hold. He owns a 0.50 WHIP with six strikeouts against one walk over six innings. Julian Merryweather recorded his first spring save with a clean ninth, striking out the side.

Cincinnati Reds – Suffering his first blown save this spring, Alexis Díaz allowed two hits, including a two-run home run, and recorded two strikeouts. This marked his fourth outing and he owns a 1.50 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks.

Houston Astros – In an eventual loss, Ryan Pressly fired a clean fifth, striking out one. He’s posted a 1.00 WHIP with three strikeouts over four innings. Bryan Abreu gave up two hits, four earned runs, and two walks during two-thirds of the sixth. He’s struggled this spring and owns a 2.73 WHIP with five strikeouts against six walks through 3.2 innings.

Miami Marlins –  In an eventual tie, George Soriano worked a scoreless fifth, giving up a hit. Tanner Scott completed an inning, this is not a test. He allowed a hit and recorded a strikeout during a scoreless sixth. He threw 17 pitches (12 strikes – 70.6 Strike%) and induced three whiffs (17.6 SwStr%). Hopefully, this will be an outing he can build on moving forward:

Milwaukee Brewers –  Collecting his first win, Hoby Milner fired 1.1 clean innings. Trevor Megill took the baton in the seventh, facing two hitters, and retired both for his second hold. Suddenly on fantasy players’ radars, he owns a 1.33 WHIIP with five strikeouts against one walk over six innings.

Oakland A’s – In a split-squad game against Milwaukee,  a rough outing alert by Trevor Gott. He was tagged with his first loss, giving up four hits, five earned runs, and two walks without recording an out in the fifth inning. Lucas Erceg also struggled, allowing two hits, three earned runs, and two walks in the sixth.

Seattle Mariners – For a second straight outing, Andrés Muñoz struggled, giving up two hits and an earned run in two-thirds of the sixth. He’s made five appearances this spring, posting a 1.07 WHIP with five strikeouts and zero walks over 4.2 innings.

Texas Rangers – During a split-squad game against Arizona, Kirby Yates fired a clean sixth, striking out one. Through five appearances this spring, he owns a 0.80 WHIP with eight strikeouts versus one walk. 

Closer Monkey’s filthy sequence of the day winner goes to Luis Gil, featuring his change-up and slider.

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Until next time, stay safe and be well, especially on this celebration of St. Patrick’s Day.

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American League East 2024 Preview

March 13, 2024

Baltimore Orioles – As a team last year, the Orioles finished second in the American League in saves, fueled by the breakout season turned in by Félix Bautista. He will miss the season after undergoing elbow surgery, but all will not be lost for the franchise. Craig Kimbrel signed as a free agent and will take over as the primary save share. He finished third in strikeouts among qualified relievers in the National League in 2023 and converted 23 of 28 save chances for the Phillies. Yennier Cano will operate as the eighth inning option, and will often take on the toughest lineup pockets on opposing teams. He logged 72 appearances last year and tied for the major-league lead in holds (31). Getting Dillon Tate back and using Danny Coulombe versus left-handed pockets will enhance the bridge options for the upcoming season.

With this in mind, here’s the team’s high-leverage results over the last three years:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Dillon Tate

Primary Holds Candidates: Cano, Coulombe, Mike Baumann, Keegan Akin

Boston Red Sox – After tipping their hand about potentially trading Kenley Jansen, he remains a Red Sox as of this writing. He will open the season as their “closer” unless a last-minute deal occurs. Even though he missed time down the stretch, he went 29-for-33 in save opportunities last year (87.9 save percentage) and he’s tied for ninth all-time with nine seasons with 30 or more saves. How he performs early on may set his trade market. He’s an unrestricted free agent at the end of the season. Chris Martin played Robin to Jansen’s Batman well last year, recording a team-high 23 holds along with three saves, and 46 strikeouts against eight walks over 51.1 innings. His 1.03 WHIP makes him an alluring target in leagues with holds or SOLDS categories. With eyes on the future, the team signed Liam Hendriks. He plans on returning near the Trade Deadline (August 2), but how much and in what situations Boston deploys him in will be determined as the season progresses.

Here’s Boston’s high-leverage results since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Josh Winckowski

Primary Holds Candidates: Martin, Winckowski, Isaiah Campbell, Brennan Bernardino, Justin Slaten, Greg Weissert

New York Yankees – This bullpen may lean heavily on Clay Holmes early on this year. He turned in a career-high 24 saves last season and finished strong being scoreless in 12 of his last 13 outings. His 66 appearances in 2023 represent the second most in his career and he will utilize his 64.8 ground ball percentage in leverage events. However, getting him to save situations may be a weak link for this bullpen. Tommy Kahnle will open the season on the injured list and oft injured Jonathan Loáisiga projects as the main set-up option early on. One bright spot will be Ian Hamilton. He will take over the vacated multi-inning role filled by Michael King last year, and has shoved so far this spring. In deeper formats, he will retain value by providing vulture wins, ancillary saves, and strikeout upside.

Since 2021, here’s how this leverage ladder has performed in high-leverage events:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Clay Holmes | Jonathan Loáisiga | Ian Hamilton

Primary Holds Candidates: Loáisiga, Caleb Ferguson, Nick Burdi

Tampa Bay Rays – It happened, the Rays stopped spreading the wealth in the bullpen and relied upon Pete Fairbanks as their “closer” when he was not on the injured list. He set career highs in appearances (49), innings (45.1), strikeouts (68), and saves (25). He also ranked seventh among American League relievers with an 86.2 save percentage. His save total represented the most by a Tampa Bay reliever since Sergio Romo recorded 25 in 2018. Setting him up affably, and filling in as the “closer” when necessary, Jason Adam remains a rock in this leverage ladder. Through 117.2 innings with the Rays, he ons a 0.875 WHIP with 144 strikeouts versus 37 walks, and secured 20 saves. Colin Poche led all relievers with 12 wins last season, but it’s a tough feat to repeat. He’s only the sixth reliever in team history with consecutive 65-plus game seasons.

Taking all of this in, here’s the teams high-leverage results since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Pete Fairbanks | Jason Adam | Colin Poche

Primary Holds Candidates: Adam, Poche, Shawn Armstrong, Garrett Cleavinger

Toronto Blue Jays – Anchoring a deep, and pliable leverage ladder, Jordan Romano has recorded 36 saves in back-to-back seasons. He accomplished this total despite missing 18 days with back inflammation during the second half. His durability will determine his ceiling for 2024, along with how he handles left-handed hitters, but from a saves standpoint, he remains a reliable source. Erik Swanson set career-bests in games (69), innings (66.2), and strikeouts (75) in his first season with Toronto. He also finished third in the American League with 29 holds. Tim Mayza, Yimi García, Chad Green, and Trevor Richards will also factor as bridge relievers this year.

Here’s the Blue Jays high-leverage trends since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Jordan Romano | Erik Swanson | Yimi García

Primary Holds Candidates: Swanson, García, Tim Mayza, Chad Green, Trevor Richards

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Spring Vibes, March 13: Injury Updates, Colorado’s Closer Competition, Game Recaps and more

With Opening Day (stateside) just over two weeks away, injury news may determine a player’s availability when the season begins. Results in games will vary as well with relievers experiencing a “dead arm” phase in their buildups. Here are the notes of interest from a fantasy perspective.

Milwaukee Brewers – Per Sophia Minnaert of Bally Sport Wisconsin, Devin Williams will see a spine specialist on Wednesday, while the fantasy community holds its collective breath about the severity of his back issues. He will undergo further imaging at his appointment.

Chicago White Sox – For a bullpen already stretched thin on talent, updates on Wednesday did not go well for the leverage ladder. Jimmy Lambert has been experiencing lingering shoulder issues and will see Dr. ElAttrache in Los Angeles for a second opinion. Later on, Daryl Van Schouwen reported Prelander Berroa will be sidelined with an arm/shoulder area issue, with an update pending clarification. On MLB.com’s injuries and roster moves page, manager Pedro Grifol said Berroa pitched with reduced velocity in his last outing against Colorado and will see the team doctors. Less than optimal, unless one prefers taking a “Leasure“-ly approach for targeting saves in this bullpen.

Updated hierarchy for the White Sox: John Brebbia | Jordan Leasure | Tim Hill

Seattle Mariners – In the never ending injury saga for the this leverage ladder, Gregory Santos felt a “pinch” in his lat, and will be shut down for a few days, which will keep him sidelined on Opening Day. Daniel Kramer and Ryan Divish broke the news on “X”. 

In a separate column by Daniel Kramer of MLB.com about how Seattle’s bullpen will take shape after Santos’ injury, he speculated Andrés Muñoz will work almost exclusively in the save situations. Because of this, Ryne Stanek will open the season as the primary set-up reliever. However, two relievers may be selected from the “Steckenrider” bucket. 

Updated hierarchy for Seattle: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

These next two teams feature a camp battle for the “closer” role.

Colorado Rockies – As each game passes, the “closer” competition heats up. On Tuesday, Tyler Kinley notched his first hold this spring, firing a clean seventh, striking out one. He threw 11 pitches (54.5 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). He owns a 0.60 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks over five innings. Justin Lawrence also worked a clean outing in the eighth, recording a strikeout for his second hold on 12 pitches (50 Strike%) with one whiff. He’s made six appearances this spring, posting a 1.17 WHIP with nine strikeouts against one walk through six innings. 

Oakland A’s –  In his latest roster projection for MLB.com, Martín Gallegos wrote Mason Miller “lines up as the closer“, with Lucas Erceg, Dany Jiménez, and Trevor Gott all in the mix for high-leverage situations. Until Mark Kotsay confirms Miller’s role, it’s purely speculation. However, the talented pitcher’s outings and eye-popping velocities may result in a reliable reliever in save opportunities. 

Quick Hits (Game Recaps from March 12)

Baltimore Orioles – Making his third appearance this spring, Yennier Cano retired the side in order, recording two strikeouts. He owns a 0.33 WHIP with five strikeouts against zero walks over three innings. Cionel Pérez navigated around two hits and a walk for a scoreless sixth.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Evan Phillips worked a scoreless eighth inning, walking one and striking out one. He’s made five appearances this spring, recording a 0.40 WHIP with six strikeouts versus one walk over five innings.

Oakland A’s –  Although he let his only inherited runner score, Dany Jiménez collected his first spring win, giving up a hit and a walk while retiring two batters in the fifth. After five outings this spring, he owns a 1.07 WHIP with five strikeouts against two walks through 4.2 innings.

San Francisco Giants – Getting in work during the fourth inning, Camilo Doval navigated around two hits for a scoreless outing. This marked his fourth outing this spring, he owns a 1.25 WHIP with five strikeouts against two walks over four innings.

Washington Nationals – Hunter Harvey fired 1.1 clean frames while striking out two. He’s made five spring outings and owns a 1.13 WHIP with a 9:1 K:BB over 5.1 innings. Kyle Finnegan faced two batters, striking both out, in the top of the ninth. He’s logged five appearances and posed a 0.43 WHIP with nine strikeouts against one walk.

Closer Monkey’s filthy outing of the day goes to prospect, Jackson Jobe. He will be a starting pitcher, but recorded his first spring save, turning in a clean ninth, and striking out two while hitting triple digits on the radar.

Until next time, stay safe and be well.

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Tiered Rankings (March 1, 2024)

With March upon us and draft season on the horizon, it’s time for the first run of tiered rankings. It’s difficult to choose which reliever will be the “closer” for a few teams, and many may prefer avoiding certain situations, like these three:

At present, there are three writers ready at the wheel for Closer Monkey fueled by Reliever Recon. Myself (Greg Jewett), Nate Marcum, and Aaron Pags. Being three individuals, there will be different relievers in each of our tiers, but they will be shared at the same time with quick thoughts or explanations of why our tier differs from the perceived consensus. As with any rankings, they are our own, not gospel. If anyone feels differently about a reliever, then it’s clear how they should handle him during their draft or auction. Enjoy.

Tier One

Greg

  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)
  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)

Nothing crazy here. Strong “closer” candidates with ratio insulation, and three with strikeout upside. Many remain wary of Emmanuel Clase but he’s entering his Age-26 season coming off a career-worst WHIP courtesy of an inflated batting average on balls in play (BAbip). His team construct helps save chances accumulate. If he cuts his blown saves in half last year, he would have made a run at 50. Jhoan Durán remains the reliever I believe will turn in the breakout performance of the year. He could record 100 strikeouts, last year 473 of his 1,017 pitches were 100 m.p.h. or faster in 2023, most among MLB pitchers. He’s thrown 865 100-plus pitches since 2022, also the most among major-league pitchers.

Nate

  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)

The common names atop most draft boards when it’s time for RP.  A notable exception is Devin Williams, which is not a slight on his potential, but based on the potential for a trade when the Brewers are no longer contenders.  While the fire has supposedly been extinguished, I still have my reservations.  The name I have in my 1st Tier that could seem out of place to some is Raisel Iglesias.  Iglesias’ strikeout percentage was a tick down, but his ground ball rate was supported by a solid Braves infield.  As good a chance as there is in baseball for 30 saves, that is if the Braves don’t win every game by 10.

Aaron

  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)

The Doval Guy

So, I am the Doval guy! And it has nothing to do with his ability but is 100 percent about his stability. For me, he is one of five relievers with a less than one percent chance of losing their job to anyone on their team’s roster. That makes him a tier-one closer.
But also, Camilo Doval‘s 2023 season showcased him as a vital force for the San Francisco Giants, marked by impressive stats, including a 2.93 ERA over 67.2 innings and 87 strikeouts. Despite a rocky start and a notable streak of four consecutive blown saves, a first for a Giants closer, Doval demonstrated resilience and excellence, especially from May onwards, significantly contributing to the team’s midseason turnaround. His stellar performance, underscored by his All-Star selection, solidified his status as a key player, despite a late-season slump that raised questions about overuse.

Tier Two

Greg:

  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • David Bednar (PIT)

Some veterans mixed in with a little bit of upside. Recent news about Matt Brash means Andrés Muñoz could gain the primary save share like Paul Sewald held last year. If he notches 30 or more saves and remains healthy, he’s a top-five reliever in fantasy. There may be some migration toward the mean for David Bednar and Camilo Doval, but they each secured 39 saves last year. For Pete Fairbanks, it’s all about health. More innings yield more fantasy goodness. I’m likely the low man on Josh Hader. He’s seen his K-BB percentage decline in each of the last two years, he’s in a deep bullpen, and not recorded more than 60 innings since 2019.

**With the recent injury news about Bednar, he’s been moved to the end of this tier.**

Nate:

  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)

This tier is where I will most likely do most of my RP fishing during drafts.  The concerns I have for Williams’ team security are minimal.  Hader may have his hiccups, but with a track record as long as his, the double-digit walk percentage in three of the last four years is a wart worth looking past.  The fact that he hasn’t had 60-plus innings means the days of 100 strikeouts are gone.  If I could get a full season out of Fairbanks guaranteed, he may appear in the first tier in 2025. The Rays’ neglect for a true closer may be over.  Evan Phillips may be the “outlier” in this tier for me.  Similar to Iglesias and others, his team construct is set to build up his save total “floor”, but may limit his “ceiling” with their offensive output.  Over the past two seasons, Phillips has a combined 1.59 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.  Andrés Muñoz’s value remains intact with the news of Matt Brash’s injury.  Both Camilo Doval and David Bednar are convenient RP1 anchors for those who want to cast their line into the second tier.

Aaron:

  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)

Durán’s Health


I know you can say, “But health…” for anyone, however, Jhoan Durán has a history that shouldn’t be dismissed quickly. He missed the 2020 season due to COVID-19 and experienced arm issues in 2021. Despite a strong start post-recovery, he struggled in June and was shut down for the season without undergoing surgery. In 2022, he showed promise in spring training, secured a spot on the Opening Day roster, and became a key bullpen arm, cautiously managing to avoid overuse. His performance in 2023 was strong, marked by a slight increase in ERA and WHIP but maintained a high strikeout rate, despite not being selected as an All-Star. But, he was unleashed more often than last year. His powerful pitching arm also raises concerns about potential injury risks, as has been noted in many studies of the past.

Tier Three

Greg

  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)

If the Reds can keep Alexis Díaz fresh, he may finish the season strong, but it’s still an if. When viewing his end-of-year statistics, do not forget he owned a 2.10 ERA and 36 saves through his first 66 games (until September 15). Tanner Scott provides strikeout upside if the command gains hold. Evan Phillips represents the only qualified reliever to do this over the last two years. Ryan Helsley could be the steal in this tier if he’s healthy all season. Steady and unsexy options also lie in this tier like Craig Kimbrel, Paul Sewald, Clay Holmes, and Adbert Alzolay.

Nate

  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)

The best “values” could be in my third tier.  Alexis Diaz flashed in his first season as “the guy” in Cincy.  Diaz’s 37 saves still only accounted for 70 percent of the Reds’ total saves.  Seeing how his second half compared to his first, it wouldn’t surprise me to see him with a similar team save percentage. Oliver Marmol turned to Ryan Helsley down the stretch of 2023 and was rewarded with a 0.77 ERA, a .108 batting average against, and a 0.86 WHIP.  There will be many who don’t trust the Cardinals’ to stick with Helsley, but I think they will. 

Aaron

  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)

Tier Four

Greg:

  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Alex Lange (DET)

Welcome into the volatile tier of relievers. This could be where many see a cliff during their drafts. Kenley Jansen could be a fallback option for many, but where he pitches will make a difference. A trade could move him up, or down in this process. José Alvarado has the velocity and skillset, but his pre-and-post-injury splits last year cannot be ignored. Carlos Estévez and Alex Lange may open the year as the preferred save option for their respective teams, but can they stay there?

Nate

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)

If you don’t have your first reliever by now, let’s hold hands and say a prayer.  While there are many household names (Craig Kimbrel, Kenley Jansen), it will require some guts to trust as your RP anchor.  Both of those two are in situations that are conducive to plenty of opportunities, but what they do with those opportunities is yet to be seen.   Jansen is also “most likely to screw up a good closer situation for another team” in 2024.

Alvarado will get the first crack this season, but injuries were rough last year, and we have Pags along with my favorite “closer in waiting”, Orion Kerkering lurking.  Say that five times fast.

Aaron

  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • Alex Lange (DET)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Stephenson (LAA)

Wild for Will

If you told me that I would ever be the high-man on Will Smith in reliever rankings, I would have laughed in your face. His fastball STINKS ON ICE! However, he always seems to wriggle his way into promising fantasy baseball situations. Kansas City is no different. Veteran presence during a rebuild is a must, especially in high leverage spots. Sure, a trade is always likely with the Royals and their relievers, but saves in April, May, June, and July can equate to value. Just jump off the bucking horse before it’s too late.

Tier Five

Greg

  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • Tyler Kinley (COL)
  • John Brebbia (CWS)

Pick your poison in this tier. It’s sort of wide open and should be used as an end-game option during a build. For the “never pay for saves” crowd, this will be what it looks like at the end of your draft. Feeling lucky? From purely a skills perspective, Miller could be a steal in this tier if the A’s make him their primary save share. But it’s speculative until his manager anoints him.

Nate:

  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Alex Lange (DET)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)

I would love to have one of these relievers as my third RP, but grabbing three RPs in a draft and still having balance is nearly impossible.  That being said, each of these as your RP2 could result in a full season of production, but most likely indigestion.  Alex Lange gets mentioned in the same breath as Mark Melancon, which is gross.  I can’t quit José Leclerc, but I acknowledge that he needs to throw strikes to keep his job.  Yuki Matsui could see his draft stock rise during the Spring, but I still think it could be an uphill battle to overtake Suarez.  I have Matsui here and not Suarez because I think Matsui will eventually take the job.  In Washington, it’s choose your stance.  Harvey is the better pitcher.  Finnegan has a “proven” track record of saves.

Aaron:

  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • David Robertson (TEX)

Thanks for checking out our reliever tiers. If interested, check out Closer Monkey’s updated bullpen depth charts.

Monkey Bytes, May 7: Frustrations rise as match-up bullpens emerge, Clase nails down his 11th, Game Recaps, and more

One of the most difficult things about covering high-leverage relievers lies in balancing the needs of fantasy managers seeking clarity versus how teams handle save situations. It’s an unforgiving task at times. During Monday’s 10-game slate, seven saves were recorded with two proving frustrating from a fantasy lens.

For a second straight appearance, Minnesota used Jhoan Durán against the toughest lineup pocket matching him up against Julio Rodríguez in the eighth inning. Rocco Baldelli does not care about our fantasy results, he’s managing the late innings for wins. He’s recorded more holds (2) over his last two games than he did all of last year (1). One cannot rage drop the talented reliever, but patience may be required moving forward based on recent usage patterns. Hope lies in his role taking shape as the season ensues.

When the Dodgers placed Evan Phillips on the 15-day injured list, Dave Roberts mused he had no idea who would close games, hinting at fluidity. Last night, he deployed Blake Treinen as the HLR (highest-leveraged reliever) in the top of the eighth, facing the Marlins’ 2-3-4 hitters, and opted for Alex Vesia in the ninth, who secured his first save with a clean inning despite facing two right-handed pinch hitters. Will Vesia be the closer, probably not, but he’s in the mix with Daniel Hudson and Treinen based on how hitting pockets evolve in the late innings. Plan accordingly.

With this in mind, here are last night’s recaps, in a shortened form and full.

Closer CliffsNotes

American League

(RP | CLE): Save number 11 for Emmanuel Clase. He fired a clean top of the ninth and recorded one strikeout while preserving a one-run win against the Tigers. 

(RP | KCR): Hanging on for his second save of the season, Chris Stratton navigated around two walks for a scoreless ninth, preserving a one-run over Milwaukee.

(RP | MIN): Firing a clean top of the ninth, and striking out two, Caleb Thielbar nailed down his third save during a two-run win over Seattle. 

(RP | OAK): Entering in the eighth with a two-run lead, Lucas Erceg walked the first batter he faced and gave up another single before allowing a three-run home run by Corey Seager, suffering his second blown save.

(RP | TBR): Recording a win for the second straight day, Erasmo Ramírez took over in the fifth, logging three scoreless frames while walking one and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: *Jason Adam | *Garrett Cleavinger | *Phil Maton

*= closer-by-committee

(RP | TEX): Summoned with a two-run lead going into the ninth, Kirby Yates worked around a walk during a scoreless outing, earning his sixth save of the season.

National League

(RP | CHC): Even though he stranded a runner in the fifth, Richard Lovelady did not record an out in the sixth, allowing three hits and three earned runs, resulting in his first loss. 

Hierarchy remains: Héctor Neris | Mark Leiter Jr. | Yency Almonte

(RP | LAD): With a three-run lead in the ninth, Alex Vesia was given the save opportunity for the Dodgers. He retired the side and recorded his first save of the season.

(RP | MIL): Handed a 2-0 lead, Jared Koenig suffered his first loss, while being credited with his first hold, allowing a hit, three earned runs, a hit-batter, and a walk while striking out one over one-third of an inning. 

Hierarchy remains: *Trevor Megill | *Joel Payamps | Elvis Peguero

*= closer-by-committee

(RP | NYM): Bouncing back from a blown save on Sunday, Edwin Díaz secured his fifth save, firing a clean ninth in St. Louis while recording one strikeout. 

(RP | PHI): During a non-save appearance, Orion Kerkering recorded his second game-finished, firing a clean ninth while wrapping up a five-run win over the Giants.

Hierarchy remains: *José Alvarado | *Jeff Hoffman | Orion Kerkering

*= closer-by-committee

(RP | SDP): Recording his second five-out save this season, Robert Suarez stranded the bases-loaded in the eighth and retired each batter faced, three via strikeout for his 11th save. 

(RP | STL): Entering a tied game in the top of the seventh, Andrew Kittredge suffered his first loss, serving up a go-ahead solo home run by Brandon Nimmo during his outing.

Hierarchy remains: Ryan Helsley | Andrew Kittredge | JoJo Romero

Game Recaps – American League

Cleveland Guardians – Protecting a one-run lead against the 8-9-1 lineup pocket, Emmanuel Clase retired the side while striking out one for his 11th save. He threw nine pitches (66.7 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (22.2 SwStr%). He’s converted his last seven save chances and allowed one unearned run over his last 11 outings, posting 13 strikeouts versus one walk through 10.1 innings. Hunter Gaddis navigated around two hits for a scoreless eighth, and recorded one strikeout for his seventh hold. Nick Sandlin stranded two runners in the sixth, and tossed 1.1 scoreless innings with one strikeout, collecting his third win. During his season debut, Sam Hentges turned in two-thirds scoreless and issued a walk.

Hierarchy remains: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Nick Sandlin

Kansas City Royals – Although he battled his command throughout his outing, Chris Stratton held on for his second save, capping a one-run come-from-behind win over the Brewers. He threw 21 pitches (11 strikes – 52.3 Strike%) and induced one whiff, but navigated around two walks with a double play ground-out and a game-ending grounder by Gary Sánchez. Will Smith stranded two runners while retiring two batters in the eighth for his third hold. Tyler Duffey gave up a hit and a walk over one-third scoreless in the eighth, getting credited with his first hold. Nick Anderson collected his second win, firing a clean seventh and striking out two on 11 pitches (63.6 Strike%) with two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%).

Hierarchy remains: James McArthur | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

Minnesota Twins – A fantasy player’s nightmare has manifested itself in this leverage ladder. Despite his dominance as the preferred save option last year, Jhoan Durán has been deployed as the HLR since returning from the injured list. On Monday, he faced the 9-1-2 lineup pocket of Seattle, obliterating the side on 12 pitches (66.7 Strike%) and generating two whiffs (16.7 SwStr%) while striking out two, lined up opposite of Julio Rodríguez. Caleb Thielbar benefited with the save chance, securing his third with a clean ninth, and recording two strikeouts. He threw 13 pitches (9 strikes – 69.2 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (15.4 SwStr%). Griffin Jax collected his third win, and second blown save, giving up two hits, an earned run, and a walk while striking out two in the seventh.

Updated hierarchy: *Jhoan Durán (HLR/PSS) | *Griffin Jax | *Caleb Thielbar

*An HLR/PSS means he’s the preferred save option, but will be used in the highest-leverage moment in games when deemed necessary. 

Oakland A’s – Entering in the seventh, and protecting the shutout, Austin Adams secured his ninth hold while retiring the side, and striking out two, versus the Rangers’ 4-5-6 batters. Lucas Erceg could not do the same in the eighth, suffering his second loss and second blown save, allowing two hits, including a go-ahead three-run home run by Corey Seager. His final line, was two hits allowed, three earned runs, and two walks with two strikeouts. Dany Jiménez gave up a hit, an unearned run, and two walks while striking out one in the top of the ninth.

Updated Hierarchy: Mason Miller | Lucas Erceg | Austin Adams

Texas Rangers – Despite pitching two innings on Sunday, Kirby Yates recorded his sixth save, finishing a comeback win over Oakland with a scoreless ninth, navigating around a one-out walk with a game-ending double play. He threw 17 pitches (8 strikes – 47.1 Strike%) and induced one whiff. He remains one of two relievers who have not allowed an earned run this season (Clay Holmes). He’s also recorded two wins while converting all six save chances over his last eight appearances with a 0.60 WHIP and 11:4 K:BB. David Robertson fired a clean eighth and struck out one for his American League-leading 11th hold. José Leclerc collected his third win after tossing a scoreless seventh, issuing a walk and recording two strikeouts.

Hierarchy remains: Kirby Yates | David Robertson | José Leclerc

Game Recaps – National League

Los Angeles Dodgers – Benefiting from a match-up-based approach, Alex Vesia converted his first save of the season, firing a clean top of the ninth while preserving a three-run win over Miami. He took over against the 5-6-7 lineup pocket, and the Marlins countered with two right-handed pinch hitters without any results. Vesia threw 13 pitches (9 strikes – 69.2 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (15.4 SwStr%) with one strikeout. After a slow start, he’s given up an unearned run over his last eight appearances with 10 strikeouts versus four walks, and a 0.88 WHIP over eight innings. Blake Treinen operated like an HLR, retiring the 2-3-4 batters in the eighth, recording a strikeout on 10 pitches (80 Strike%) with one whiff. Ryan Yarbrough collected his third win, logging three scoreless frames and allowing a hit with two strikeouts.

Adjusted Hierarchy: *Daniel Hudson | *Blake Treinen (HLR) | *Alex Vesia

*= closer-by-committee

New York Mets – Maintaining a short memory, Edwin Díaz rebounded from yesterday’s outing by locking down his fifth save, firing a clean bottom of the ninth against St. Louis, preserving a one-run win. He threw 11 pitches (63.6 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). He’s converted five of six save chances with a 0.82 WHIP and 22 strikeouts versus four walks through 14.2 innings. Adam Ottavino notched his fifth hold, giving up a hit and striking out one in a scoreless eighth. Jake Diekman tossed a scoreless seventh, allowing a hit and striking out one for his third hold.

Hierarchy remains: Edwin Díaz | Adam Ottavino | Reed Garrett

San Diego Padres – Forced into action in the bottom of the eighth, Robert Suarez inherited a bases-loaded situation and did not blink, stranding the bases loaded while retiring all five batters faced against the Cubs, recording his 11th save. He threw 20 pitches (70 Strike%) and produced two whiffs while striking out three. He owns a 12-game scoreless streak with a 0.69 WHIP (nice) and 11 strikeouts against four walks over 13 innings. Jeremiah Estrada was credited with his first hold, allowing a hit and walking one with a strikeout during his one-third of the eighth. Despite giving up a hit and two walks over one-third combined innings, Wandy Peralta collected his fifth hold. Enyel De Los Santos gave up a solo home run, and a walk while striking out one in a combined inning. Yuki Matsui issued a walk and served up a two-run home run by Christopher Morel, with a strikeout in two-thirds of the sixth.

Hierarchy remains: Robert Suarez | Yuki Matsui | Enyel De Los Santos

Vulture Save Options for Tuesday, May 7

CLE: Clase’s pitched in two straight games, which opens the door for an ancillary save chance. Hunter Gaddis has struggled recently and they may play a match-up approach with either Sandlin or Scott Barlow receiving the save, if provided.

MIN: After securing two straight holds, Durán should be unavailable today, placing Jax or Thielbar in the line for save tonight, and it will depend on when Rodríguez hits.

NYM: “Sugar” Díaz has pitched on consecutive days, putting Reed Garrett or Adam Ottavino on the radar for the ancillary save this evening.

TEX: With Yates and Robertson appearing in the previous two days, it should be Leclerc for the save, hang on tight.

Things do not look great for Wednesday, since most vulture save chances will rely on usage patterns from tonight’s slate.

Closer Monkey’s filthy sequence of the day goes to Durán, courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, stay safe and be well.

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Monkey Bytes, May 6: Clase closed for save number 10, Bednar secures his sixth, Game Recaps, and more from a crazy slate

Sunday’s full slate featured a rain-shortened save in New York and a blown save by Edwin Díaz. There were six saves total on the day, along with many games decided by the bullpens. Evan Phillips was placed on the 15-day injured list due to a Grade 1 hamstring strain. He incurred the injury while playing catch and catching his cleat. These events, and the rest of a busy slate will be covered in today’s Monkey Bytes.

Closer CliffsNotes (Results from May 5)

American League

(RP | BOS): Making his first appearance since April 28, Kenley Jansen faced the Twins’ 8-9-1 hitters with a seven-run lead. He worked a scoreless ninth, navigating around an error and a two-out single with a game-ending pop-out by Ryan Jeffers. 

Hierarchy remains (for now): Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Justin Slaten

(RP | CLE): Nailing down his 10th save, Emmanuel Clase fired a clean top of the ninth, striking out two while preserving a 4-1 win over the Angels. 

(RP | DET): Taking over a tied game in the seventh, Shelby Miller was tagged with his fourth loss, allowing a hit, three earned runs, and two walks while striking out one in a tumultuous one-third of an inning. 

(RP | HOU): Taking over a tied game in the top of the ninth, Josh Hader suffered his third loss, serving up a go-ahead solo shot by Cal Raleigh.

(RP | KCR): Working an extended outing, James McArthur suffered his first loss, and his second blown save, giving up four hits, two runs (one earned), and recording three strikeouts against the Rangers.

(RP | NYY): Courtesy of the weather, Dennis Santana was awarded his second save after tossing a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and striking out two. 

(RP | SEA): With two runners on and two outs, Andrés Muñoz took over a tied game, inducing a flyout, and ending the threat. He collected his second win courtesy of a go-ahead home run in the top of the ninth, firing 1.1 clean frames and striking out one in Houston. 

(RP | TBR): Benefiting from a walk-off rally in the bottom of the tenth, Erasmo Ramírez collected his first win. He allowed an inherited runner to score on a fielding error and walked one over his two-thirds of an inning. 

(RP | TEX): Tasked with a one-run lead in the bottom of the tenth, David Robertson recorded his first save, issuing an intentional walk and striking out one. 

(RP | TOR): Entering a tied game in the bottom of the sixth, Génesis Cabrera suffered his first blown save, letting an inherited runner score. He returned for the seventh, giving up a hit and was removed, but the runner scored, putting an earned run on his line, along with his first loss. 

Hierarchy remains (for now): Jordan Romano | Yimi García (HLR) | Erik Swanson

National League

(RP | CIN): A rough outing alert during a non-save outing. Alexis Díaz allowed a hit, four earned runs, and two walks over one-third of the ninth. 

(RP | MIA): Taking over in the bottom of the fifth, Burch Smith earned his second win,  retiring the side and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Tanner Scott | Andrew Nardi | Anthony Maldonado

(RP | NYM): One out from his first save since April 15, Edwin Díaz allowed a game-tying solo home run by Randy Arozarena, resulting in his first blown save. 

(RP | PHI): Hanging on for his seventh save, José Alvarado navigated around a solo home run, and recorded a strikeout, capping a one-run win over the Giants. 

(RP | PIT): Appearing for a second straight day, David Bednar secured his sixth save, giving up a hit and striking out one during a scoreless ninth against the Rockies. 

(RP | STL): During a tied game, Giovanny Gallegos took over in the seventh, giving up three hits, including a solo home run (Eloy Jiménez), and three earned runs without recording an out en route to his first loss. 

Hierarchy remains: Ryan Helsley | Andrew Kittredge | JoJo Romero

(RP | WSH): Securing his 11th save, Kyle Finnegan tossed a scoreless ninth, preserving a three-run win over the Blue Jays while walking one. 

Game Recaps – American League

Cleveland Guardians – Shutting the door on his 10th save, Emmanuel Clase fired a clean top of the ninth, recording two strikeouts, closing out a 4-1 win over the Angels. He threw 10 pitches (70 Strike%) and generated two whiffs (20  SwStr%). He’s been scoreless in nine of his last 10 appearances, converting six saves with 12 strikeouts against one walk over 9.1 innings. Tim Herrin secured his fourth hold, retiring the side in the eighth. Scott Barlow notched his eighth hold, walking one and striking out two in a scoreless seventh.

Hierarchy remains: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Nick Sandlin

Detroit Tigers – During a rain-shortened contest, Alex Lange retired his only batter faced in the bottom of the seventh. Andrew Chafin let all three inherited runners score in the seventh, giving up a bases-clearing double by Juan Soto among his two hits and issued a walk over one-third of an inning. Shelby Miller was tagged with his fourth loss, allowing a hit, three earned runs, and two walks while striking out one over one-third of the seventh.

Hierarchy remains (for now): Jason Foley | Alex Lange | Andrew Chafin

Houston Astros – Suffering his third loss of the season, Josh Hader gave up a go-ahead solo home run to Cal Raleigh in the top of the ninth inning of a tied game. This represents his second home run given up this season after allowing only three last year. Hader threw 15 pitches (11 strikes – 73.3 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (20 SwStr%). He’s allowed at least a run in three of his last five games. Bryan Abreu was tagged with his second blown save, giving up a hit-by-pitch, a balk, and a game-tying RBI single by Luis Urías in the top of the eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Josh Hader | Ryan Pressly | Bryan Abreu

Kansas City Royals – Handed a one-run lead, James McArthur allowed a one-out, game-tying solo home run by Jonah Heim, hit-a-batter, and gave up a single before recording consecutive strikeouts, escaping with a tie. He returned for the tenth, allowing an infield single by Corey Seager, and an RBI single by Nathaniel Lowe before inducing a double play groundout. But he suffered his first loss and second blown save when his team could not score in the bottom of the tenth. He threw 30 pitches (22 strikes – 73.3 Strike%) and generated eight whiffs (26.7 SwStr%). John Schreiber gave up a hit and an earned run while striking out one in the eighth for his eighth hold. Angel Zerpa logged two scoreless frames, yielding a hit and striking out two for his fourth hold.

Hierarchy remains: James McArthur | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

New York Yankees – Benefiting from the weather, Dennis Santana recorded his second save, tossing a scoreless top of the eighth, allowing a one-out single by Matt Vierling and recording two strikeouts. He threw 17 pitches (12 strikes – 70.6 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (11.8 SwStr%). Victor González garnered his second win, retiring his only batter in the seventh, stranding two runners. Ian Hamilton issued a walk and gave up a hit over one-third of the seventh, he also suffered his first blown save letting both inherited runners score.

Hierarchy remains (for now): Clay Holmes | Ian Hamilton | Victor González

Seattle Mariners – Pressed into action in the bottom of the eighth, Andrés Muñoz took over with two runners on and two outs, inducing an inning-ending flyout by Yainer Diaz. He returned for the ninth and retired the side in order, including one strikeout while collecting his second win. He threw an efficient 11 pitches (72.7 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%) over 1.1 clean frames. Ryne Stanek allowed a hit and hit a batter, with one strikeout during two-thirds scoreless in the eighth. Tayler Saucedo worked a scoreless seventh, allowing a hit and a walk.

Hierarchy remains: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

Tampa Bay Rays – Despite letting an inherited runner score in the top of the tenth, Erasmo Ramírez collected his first win courtesy of a walk-off rally in the bottom of the frame. Jacob Lopez logged 1.1 innings, giving up an unearned run and two walks while striking out one. Shawn Armstrong tossed two scoreless frames, allowing a hit and two walks while striking out one. Garrett Cleavinger fired a clean sixth, striking out one on 15 pitches (66.7 Strike%) with four whiffs (26.7 SwStr%). Kevin Kelly turned in two scoreless innings, yielding two hits and striking out two.

Hierarchy remains: *Jason Adam | *Garrett Cleavinger | *Phil Maton

*= closer-by-committee

Texas Rangers – Making his first appearance since April 28, Kirby Yates collected his third win, tossing two scoreless frames, walking one, and striking out two. He entered with his team down by one but kept the game within reach. He threw 27 pitches (14 strikes – 51.9 Strike%) and induced two whiffs. David Robertson notched his first save, working a scoreless tenth, intentionally walking Bobby Witt Jr. before a game-ending lineout by Nelson Velázquez. He recorded one strikeout while throwing nine pitches (66.7 Strike%) without a whiff.

Hierarchy remains: Kirby Yates | David Robertson | José Leclerc

Game Recaps – National League

Cincinnati Reds – Making the dreaded non-save appearance during a lopsided contest, Alexis Díaz took over in the top of the ninth and struggled. He allowed a lead-off walk, an RBI double, a single, then a walk, recorded a strikeout, and was removed with the bases loaded. His final line, was two hits against, four earned runs, and two walks while striking out one over one-third of an inning. It was a less-than-optimal outcome during his first outing since April 29. Emilio Pagán allowed a grand slam by Anthony Santander, scoring all three inherited runners.

Hierarchy remains: Alexis Díaz | Fernando Cruz | Lucas Sims

Los Angeles Dodgers – Finishing a four-run win, and a sweep of Atlanta, Michael Grove fired a clean top of the ninth, recording two strikeouts. He threw 11 pitches (72.7 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). Blake Treinen made his first MLB appearance since October 2022, firing a clean eighth, and striking out two against the 9-1-2 lineup pocket, throwing 11 pitches (54.5 Strike%) with two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). Joe Kelly notched his ninth hold, retiring his only batter via strikeout and stranding an inherited runner.

Adjusted Hierarchy: *Daniel Hudson | *Blake Treinen | *Joe Kelly

*= closer-by-committee

New York Mets – With two outs, and a one-run lead, Edwin Díaz could not convert the save, allowing a game-tying solo home run by Randy Arozarena in the bottom of the ninth, resulting in his first blown save. He finished with two hits against, the earned run, and two strikeouts, throwing 19 pitches (16 strikes – 84.2 Strike%) with six whiffs (31.6 SwStr%). He last recorded a save on April 15 and has allowed a run in two of his last three. Jake Diekman suffered his first loss, and first blown save, giving up a a walk and a walk-off two-RBI triple by Jonny DeLuca in the bottom of the 10th, putting two runs (one earned) on his ledger. Sean Reid-Foley notched his first hold, walking one and striking out one in the eighth. Reed Garrett secured his second hold, navigating around a hit and a walk while striking out one in the seventh.

Hierarchy remains: Edwin Díaz | Adam Ottavino | Reed Garrett

Philadelphia Phillies – Despite giving up a solo home run, José Alvarado recorded his seventh hold, closing out a one-run win over the Giants. He threw 17 pitches (11 strikes – 64.7 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (17.6 SwStr%) while striking out one in his outing. This ended his modest four-game scoreless streak. Jeff Hoffman notched his fifth hold, allowing a hit and striking out three on 19 pitches (12 strikes – 63.2 Strike%) with four whiffs (21.1 SwStr%). He’s recorded 15 strikeouts against his last 23 batters faced (65.2 K%). Gregory Soto held on for his fourth hold, walking one during two-thirds scoreless in the seventh.

Hierarchy remains: *José Alvarado | *Jeff Hoffman | Orion Kerkering

Pittsburgh Pirates – It feels like nothing comes easy this year for David Bednar, but he recorded his sixth save, working around a two-out double by Sean Bouchard with a game-ending strikeout versus pinch hitter, Jake Cave. Bednar threw 13 pitches (10 strikes – 76.9 Strike%) without inducing a whiff. He was scoreless over both outings this weekend and could be turning a corner. Aroldis Chapman notched his seventh hold, walking one and striking out two during a scoreless eighth. Luis L. Ortiz collected his second win, logging 1.2 clean frames, and stranding two runners in the top of the sixth. 

Hierarchy remains: David Bednar | Aroldis Chapman | Colin Holderman

Washington Nationals – Closing out a crazy contest, Kyle Finnegan recorded his 11th save, walking one during a scoreless top of the ninth against Toronto. He threw 19 pitches (11 strikes – 57.9 Strike%) without a whiff. He owns a nine-game scoreless streak, converting all seven save chances and collecting a win with nine strikeouts against two walks over nine innings. Hunter Harvey stranded two runners in the eighth, logged 1.1 scoreless frames, and walked one, resulting in his second win. Dylan Floro tossed 1.2 scoreless innings, yielding two hits and a walk. Derek Law suffered his second blown save, letting both inherited runners score in the fifth, recording two outs and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Kyle Finnegan | Hunter Harvey | Dylan Floro

Vulture Options for Monday, May 6

KCR: After throwing 30 pitches over two innings, McArthur will be off today and possibly tomorrow. Chris Stratton filled in last time with the ancillary save, though John Schreiber could also appear today. Stratton gives one a chance at saves on two days rather than one.

PIT: Bednar appeared on Saturday and Sunday, putting Aroldis Chapman on the radar for a save chance today.

TEX: David Robertson may record a second straight save as Yates pitched two innings in Sunday’s win and will be unavailable today.

Vulture Options for Tuesday, May 7

CHC: Neris has pitched three times since May 1 and if he appears on Monday, it will be four outings in six days, so he should be off on Tuesday if this transpires. Also, if Mark Leiter Jr. sets him up on Monday, it may provide Daniel Palencia with an ancillary save opportunity on Tuesday. Today’s usage patterns will guide who to choose for Tuesday’s save chance.

CLE: An Emmanuel Clase save on Monday would be two days in a row, and may place Nick Sandlin in line for the save on Tuesday.

NYM: One hopes Edwin Díaz gets right back into a game on Monday, and if he does, Adam Ottavino or Jorge López could get the save chance on Tuesday.

PHI: Both Alvarado and Hoffman pitched on Sunday night, so whichever one does not pitch on Monday, would get the save chance on Tuesday. However, if they both appear today, Gregory Soto or Orion Kerkering could get the ninth on Tuesday.

SEA: If Muñoz and Stanek pitch again on Monday, they will need Tuesday off, so keep tabs on Gabe Speier in case he’s needed for the save chance.

Closer Monkey’s filthy outing of the day goes to Ryan Walker, striking out the side against the Phillies during a loss, courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, stay safe and be well.

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