Updated MLB Closer Depth Chart

Closer1st in line2nd in lineUpdatedCloser1st in line2nd in lineUpdated
BAL*Kimbrel*Cano*Coulombe5/10/24ATLIglesiasMinterJiménez5/10/24
BOSJansenMartinSlaten5/10/24MIAScottNardiBender5/12/24
NYYHolmesHamiltonV González5/10/24NYME.DíazOttavinoGarrett5/10/24
TBFairbanksAdamCleavinger5/11/24PHI*Alvarado*HoffmanKerkering5/10/24
TORRomanoY GarcíaSwanson5/10/24WASFinneganHarveyFloro5/10/24
        
CHWKopechBrebbiaLeasure5/10/24CHCNerisLeiter Jr.Almonte5/10/24
CLEClaseBarlowSandlin5/10/24CINAl.DíazCruzSims5/10/24
DET*Lange*Chafin*Foley5/10/24MILMegillPayampsPeguero5/10/24
KCMcArthurSchreiberC Stratton5/10/24PITBednarChapmanHolderman5/10/24
MIN*Durán*Jax*Thielbar5/10/24STLHelsleyKittredgeRomero5/10/24
        
HOUHaderPresslyAbreu5/10/24ARISewaldGinkelThompson5/10/24
LAAEstévezMooreGarcía5/10/24COL*Beeks*LawrenceBird5/12/24
OAKMillerErcegAdams5/10/24LAD*Hudson*Treinen*Vesia5/10/24
SEAMuñozStanekSpeier5/10/24SDSuarezMatsuiPeralta5/12/24
TEXYatesRobertsonLeclerc5/10/24SFDovalTy.RogersWalker5/10/24

* = closer-by-committee

Monkey Bytes, May 12: Kimbrel records his fourth win, Jansen secures his sixth save, Game Recaps, and more

First, a Happy Mother’s Day to our readers, and their families.

An extra-inning contest forced manager Brandon Hyde’s hand in the top of the 11th. He brought in Craig Kimbrel into a high-leverage situation, and the veteran closer responded, tossing a scoreless frame and stranding the “place” runner against the heart of Arizona’s lineup. A walk-off single provided him with his fourth win. Kenley Jansen moved back in front of Kimbrel in the career saves race, securing his sixth of the season, and 426th of his career.

There were only five saves during Saturday’s full 15-game slate, including the first by John Brebbia this season, and since 2018. Our condensed and full recaps cover all the high-leverage events of interest.

Closer CliffsNotes

American League

(RP | BAL): Thrust into a high-leverage event, Craig Kimbrel took over in the top of the 11th, against the heart of the Diamondbacks’ lineup, and Corbin Carroll as the “place” runner. He turned in a scoreless outing, hitting a batter and striking out one, then collected his fourth win via a walk-off in the bottom of the frame. 

(RP | BOS): Securing his sixth save, Kenley Jansen fired a clean top of the ninth, striking out two while preserving a two-run win over Washington. 

(RP | CWS): Facing the heart of the Guardians’ lineup, Pedro Grifol turned to John Brebbia, and the veteran reliever responded by recording his first save of the season after retiring the side in order, and striking out one, closing out a 3-1 win. 

(RP | TBR): Returning from the injured list, Pete Fairbanks fired a clean top of the ninth, finishing a five-run win over the Yankees. It’s his first major league outing since April 17 and he threw 11 pitches (63.6 Strike%) without getting a whiff.

Adjusted Hierarchy: Pete Fairbanks | Jason Adam | Garrett Cleavinger

(RP | TEX): Taking over with a runner on, and one out, David Robertson struggled with the conditions and his command. He allowed two hits, four earned runs, a hit batter, and a walk without recording an out in the seventh. He was tagged with his first loss and his third blown save as a result. 

Hierarchy remains: Kirby Yates | David Robertson | José Leclerc

(RP | TOR): Putting the bow on a comeback win, Jordan Romano recorded his sixth save, allowing a hit and striking out two during a scoreless top of the ninth against the Twins. 

National League

(RP | ARI): Tasked with an extended outing in extra-innings, Bryce Jarvis worked a scoreless bottom of the tenth, but suffered his second loss allowing a walk-off hit by Jordan Westburg in the 11th. 

(RP | ATL): During a non-save outing, Raisel Iglesias allowed two hits, including a solo home run, and a walk while finishing a win over the Mets. 

(RP | CHC): Entering in the fifth after a prolonged rain delay, Keegan Thompson suffered his first loss, allowing two hits, including a three-run home run by Yasmani Grandal, and issued two walks while striking out two.

Hierarchy remains: Héctor Neris | Mark Leiter Jr. | Yency Almonte

(RP | COL): Benefiting from a six-run outburst by his teammates in the bottom of the seventh, Tyler Kinley collected his second win, firing 1.1 clean frames and striking out one against Texas. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Justin Lawrence | *Jake Bird | *Jalen Beeks

*= closer-by-committee

(RP | MIL): After recording two quick outs, Trevor Megill allowed two hits, but retired Nolan Arenado on a game-ending flyout, securing his fourth save. 

(RP | PIT): Another sullied save for the “Renegade“. David Bednar allowed two hits and an earned run, but held on for his seventh save, closing out a one-run win over the Cubs. 

(RP | SFG): With two runners on and one out, Taylor Rogers took over in the top of the fifth and retired both via strikeout. As a result, he was awarded his first win of the season. 

Hierarchy remains: Camilo Doval | Tyler Rogers | Ryan Walker

(RP | STL): With his team ahead by one upon his entrance, Andrew Kittredge suffered his second loss, and his second blown save, giving up two hits, including a go-ahead three-run home run by Rhys Hoskins, and walked one during his two-thirds of the seventh. He’s given up at least a run in consecutive contests.

Hierarchy remains: Ryan Helsley | Andrew Kittredge | JoJo Romero

(RP | WSH): Suffering his second loss, Robert Garcia allowed two hits, including a go-ahead two-RBI double by Rafael Devers in the bottom of the eighth. He also walked one and struck out one in this outing.

Hierarchy remains: Kyle Finnegan | Hunter Harvey | Dylan Floro

Game Recaps – American League

Baltimore Orioles – Entering in the top of the 11th, Craig Kimbrel navigated around the 3-4-5 Arizona lineup pocket, and Corbin Carroll represented as the “place” runner, hitting a batter (Christian Walker) but recording a scoreless outing, resulting in his fourth win courtesy of a walk-off. He threw 11 pitches (63.6 Strike%) and induced one whiff with one strikeout. Danny Coulombe worked a scoreless tenth, striking out one. Yennier Cano turned in a scoreless ninth, walking one. He’s been scoreless over his last eight appearances.

Updated Hierarchy: *Craig Kimbrel | *Yennier Cano | *Danny Coulombe

Boston Red Sox – Shutting the door on his sixth save, and first since April 20, Kenley Jansen fired a clean ninth and recorded two strikeouts versus the Nationals. He threw 16 pitches (75 Strike%) and produced one whiff. He’s been scoreless in five of six outings with a 0.67 WHIP and 10 strikeouts versus one walk through six innings. Chris Martin collected his second win, retiring the side in the eighth ahead of his team’s rally in the bottom of the frame. Justin Slaten issued a walk and recorded two outs in the seventh.

Hierarchy remains: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Justin Slaten

Chicago White Sox – Securing his first save of the season, and first since 2018, John Brebbia fired a clean top of the ninth against the Guardians’ 3-4-5 hitters. He threw 14 pitches (71.4 Strike%) and induced one whiff while recording a strikeout in his outing. Jared Shuster worked two scoreless frames, walking one and striking out two for his first hold. Tim Hill collected his first win, tossing 1.1 clean innings and striking out one. He also stranded a runner in the top of the fifth.

Hierarchy remains: Michael Kopech | John Brebbia | Jordan Leasure

Toronto Blue Jays – Capping a comeback, Jordan Romano secured his sixth save, working around a two-out double by Max Kepler with a game-ending pop-out. He threw 16 pitches (62.5 Strike%) and induced three whiffs (18.8 SwStr%) while striking out two. He owns a 1.38 WHIP with eight strikeouts through 8.2 innings. Yimi García made his first appearance since April 28, firing a clean eighth and striking out one for his fifth hold. Erik Swanson retired the side in the seventh, striking out one resulting in his first win. This represents his first clean outing inning of the season. Trevor Richards logged two clean frames, striking out two, keeping his team in the contest.

Hierarchy remains: Jordan Romano | Yimi García (HLR) | Erik Swanson

Game Recaps – National League

Arizona Diamondbacks – After taking over in the bottom of the tenth, Bryce Jarvis suffered his second loss, allowing a walk-off RBI single in the bottom of the 11th, scoring the “place runner”. He finished with an inning pitched, one hit allowed, an unearned run, and two walks (one intentional) while striking out one. Paul Sewald turned in a scoreless ninth, giving up a hit and intentionally walking Gunnar Henderson while striking out one. He threw 26 pitches (18 strikes – 69.2 Strike%) and induced two whiffs. Kevin Ginkel was tagged with his third blown save, serving up a game-tying solo home run by Anthony Santander in the eighth. Joe Mantiply retired the side in the seventh for his second hold. Ryan Thompson tossed 1.1 clean frames, striking out one and stranded a runner in the fifth.

Hierarchy remains: Paul Sewald | Kevin Ginkel | Ryan Thompson

Atlanta Braves – Not only did Raisel Iglesias spoil the combined no-hit bid, but he allowed a solo home run by J.D. Martinez, removing the chance at a shutout as well, during his non-save outing against the Mets. He threw 25 pitches (60 Strike%) and induced one whiff, giving up two hits, an earned run, and a walk while striking out one. He’s allowed a run in consecutive games and three of his last four. Joe Jiménez notched his ninth hold, walking two and striking out two in a scoreless eighth.

Hierarchy remains: Raisel Iglesias | A.J. Minter | Joe Jiménez

Milwaukee Brewers – Handed a two-run lead, Trevor Megill recorded two quick outs, then allowed an infield single, and an opposite-field single by Paul Goldschmidt before inducing a game-ending flyout by Nolan Arenado for his fourth save. He was not sharp throwing 19 pitches (12 strikes – 63.2 Strike%) without getting a whiff. He’s in the midst of a six-game scoreless streak with four strikeouts and a 0.50 WHIP over six innings. Bryan Hudson notched his fourth hold, yielding a hit and striking out two in a scoreless eighth. Hoby Milner collected his first win, giving up a hit and striking out one during a scoreless seventh.

Hierarchy remains: Trevor Megill | Joel Payamps | Elvis Peguero

Pittsburgh Pirates – Hanging on for his seventh save, David Bednar allowed a lead-off double, followed by a single, and a sacrifice fly, cutting the lead to one, but bore down and retired the last two batters. He threw 16 pitches (62.5 Strike%) and produced one whiff. His final line was two hits allowed and one earned run. He’s given up a run in four of his last six games but converted all three save chances. Hunter Stratton notched his second hold, firing a clean eighth and striking out one. Aroldis Chapman turned in a scoreless seventh, yielding a hit and a walk while striking out two for his eighth hold. Colin Holderman collected his first win, logging 1.1 scoreless innings, but issued three walks and let two of three inherited runners score in the fateful fifth inning:

Hierarchy remains: David Bednar | Aroldis Chapman | Colin Holderman

Vulture Save Options for Sunday, May 12

ATL: Iglesias has pitched in two straight games, which usually means a save chance for A.J. Minter if provided later today.

ARI: Sewald has not pitched on consecutive days, and he may if needed today. If the team does not use him, it’s a thin leverage ladder based on usage patterns. It could be one of the younger arms, either Joe Mantiply or Justin Martinez.

BAL: Also short in the bullpen, Kimbrel and Cano have pitched in two straight, placing Danny Coulombe or Jacob Webb on our radars based on how the lineup pockets proceed in the late innings for the save chance today.

BOS: Jansen has appeared on consecutive days, putting Chris Martin on the vulture save list for today’s action.

Vulture Save Options on Monday, May 13

HOU: If Hader pitches today, Ryan Pressly will be in line for the save on Monday.

MIL: Megill pitched on Saturday, and if he does again today, Joel Payamps will be in play for Monday’s save chance.

TBR: Back from the injured list, if Fairbanks pitches this afternoon, it should be Jason Adam for the vulture save on Monday.

TOR: Romano pitched on Saturday, so if he works again today, he will be off Monday. Monitor who sets up in their game, since the vulture save will depend on workloads in the leverage ladder.

Closer Monkey’s filthy pitch of the day was awarded to Jordan Romano‘s slider, courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, stay safe and be well.

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Steaming for Holds and SOLDS; Week 8

Given the volatility of high-leverage roles and performances, many prefer streaming relievers in leagues with separate categories for holds or those that combine saves plus holds (SOLDS). With this in mind, a snapshot, by league with their leverage trends in chart form.

American League Leverage Trends

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/3U0Dm/9/

AL Teams with 7 games in Week 8

  • Boston Red Sox: 4 vs. TBR; 3 @ STL
  • Houston Astros: 4 vs. OAK; 3 vs MIL
  • Oakland A’s: 4 @ HOU; 3 @ KCR
  • Tampa Bay Rays: 4 @ BOS; 3 @ TOR

National League Leverage Trends

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Bk2vG/8/

NL Teams with 7 Games in Week 8

  • Chicago Cubs: 3 @ ATL; 4 vs. PIT
  • Cincinnati Reds: 3 @ ARI; 4 @ LAD
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 3 @ SFG; 4 vs. CIN
  • New York Mets: 2 vs. PHI; 2 @ PHI; 3 @ MIA
  • Philadelphia Phillies: 2 @ NYM; 2 vs. NYM; 3 vs. WSH
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: 3 @ MIL; 4 @ CHC

SOLDS (Saves plus Holds) Leaders Last 14 Days

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Z1EKq/6/

Holds Leaders Last 14 Days

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/mAABk/12/

Players of Interest for Week 8

  • Blake Treinen (LAD): Back from the injured list, he’s settled in as his team’s HLR (highest-leveraged reliever) and secured two holds with four strikeouts through three outings. He’s posted a 44.4 K-BB percentage in this limited sample with a 0.75 SIERA and 17.1 swinging strike percentage.
  • Hoby Milner (MIL): Recent results with upcoming match-ups may benefit this leverage southpaw. He’s been scoreless in 10 of his last 11 outings, allowing two unearned runs with 16 strikeouts against two walks over 11 innings. Against Houston next weekend, he will be a pivotal match-up component against Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez.
  • Ángel Zerpa (KCR): If your league uses pitcher designations, this left-handed reliever can be used as a starting pitcher or a reliever (SPARP). He’s recorded a hold in four of his last six appearances while giving up four hits with five strikeouts through 5.1 scoreless innings.

Relievers on the Rise

  • Luke Weaver (NYY): Riding an eight-game scoreless streak, he’s racked up 18 strikeouts versus one walk with four holds over 13.2 innings. He owns a minuscule 0.29 WHIP in this sample while posting a 37 K-BB percentage and 18.3 percent swinging strike rate.
  • Ryan Walker (SFG): He’s recorded two wins and two holds during a 10-game scoreless streak with 18 strikeouts against one walk (46.9 K-BB percentage) and a 0.40 WHIP.
  • Danny Coulombe (BAL): Benefiting from his team concept, the leverage southpaw reliever has been scoreless in seven of eight games while collecting a save and five holds.

Ancillary Save Options for Week 8

  • Baltimore: Danny Coulombe; Jacob Webb
  • Colorado: Jalen Beeks; Jake Bird
  • Minnesota: Caleb Thielbar; Griffin Jax

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. If playing in leagues with holds or SOLDS, check out our team page game recaps, which include full capsules for relievers, not just saves. Until next time, stay safe and be well.

Monkey Bytes, May 11: Match-up-based approaches continue for Baltimore and Minnesota, Hader secures his fifth, Game Recaps, and more

Friday night’s high-leverage events did not assuage fantasy players seeking clarity for saves in Baltimore and Minnesota. Craig Kimbrel worked a scoreless seventh for his third hold and Yennier Cano held on for his second save, though there’s no clear pathway toward a save right now in this leverage ladder. Rocco Baldelli deployed Jhoan Durán as his HLR, matching him up against Vlad Guerrero Jr. in the eighth, and using Griffin Jax in the ninth. It’s frustrating, imposing difficult decisions on fantasy managers.

For some good news, Josh Hader secured his fifth save, and second in as many days. In Friday’s 15-game slate, there were a total of 10 saves. You can find more details in our condensed and full recaps.

Closer CliffsNotes

American League

(RP | BAL): Benefiting from a different bullpen structure, Yennier Cano recorded his second save tossing a scoreless top of the ninth, navigating around a hit and striking out one while preserving a two-run win. 

(RP | BOS): Making his first appearance since May 5, Kenley Jansen recorded two quick outs via strikeout, then gave up a single by Eddie Rosario, walked Trey Lipscomb, uncorked a wild pitch which scored a run, and allowed an RBI single by Victor Robles before an inning-ending strikeout. He threw 22 pitches (63.6 Strike%) and generated six whiffs (27.3 SwStr%) while giving up two hits, two earned runs, and a walk.

Hierarchy remains: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Justin Slaten

(RP | CWS): Not only did Jordan Leasure record his second save, he stranded the bases-loaded in the eighth and retired all four batters while preserving a three-run win.

(RP | DET): On paper, it seemed like a correct match-up, lining up Andrew Chafin against the top of the Astros lineup with two left-handed hitters in the 1-2-3 pocket. However, he allowed two hits and a walk before his removal, resulting in three earned runs, his first loss, and his second blown save. 

(RP | HOU): Closing out his fifth save, and his team’s rally in the top of the eighth, Josh Hader worked a scoreless ninth, issuing a walk and recording two strikeouts in Detroit.

(RP | KCR): Completing his team’s rally, John Schreiber secured his first save, working around a hit during a scoreless bottom of the ninth, preserving a one-run win over the Angels.

(RP | LAA): Handed a 1-0 lead in the top of the ninth, Carlos Estévez suffered his second loss, and third blown save, giving up three hits, including a go-ahead two-run home run. 

(RP | MIN): Taking over in the ninth, Griffin Jax recorded his fifth save despite allowing two hits and a walk while striking out one during a win in Toronto. 

(RP | NYY): Navigating around traffic, Clay Holmes finished a combined shutout, and held on for his 12th save, working around a hit and two walks while striking out three in Tampa Bay. 

(RP | SEA):  After taking over in the bottom of the fifth, Trent Thornton logged 1.1 scoreless frames, allowing two hits and striking out two resulting in his first win.

Hierarchy remains: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

(RP | TEX): Grant Anderson was tagged with his first loss, and his first blown save, giving up a hit, two earned runs, and a walk with one strikeout during his combined inning of relief.

Hierarchy remains: Kirby Yates | David Robertson | José Leclerc

National League

(RP | ARI): In his team’s eventual loss, Justin Martinez turned in 1.2 scoreless frames, walking two and striking out five. He threw 27 pitches (66.7 Strike%) and generated six whiffs (22.2 SwStr%). He’s an intriguing reliever for those in dynasty formats.

Hierarchy remains: Paul Sewald | Kevin Ginkel | Ryan Thompson

(RP | ATL): Save number 10 on the season, and 200 in his career, secured by Raisel Iglesias. He did give up a walk and an earned run on an RBI single, but finished a two-run win over the Mets. 

(RP | CHC):  Taking over in the bottom of the fifth, Ben Brown collected his first win, stranding a runner and logging 3.2 scoreless frames, allowing two hits and a walk while striking out six. He threw 38 pitches (29 strikes – 76.3 Strike%) and generated 11 whiffs (28.9 SwStr%) in bulk relief.

Hierarchy remains: Héctor Neris | Mark Leiter Jr. | Yency Almonte

(RP | CIN): Recording his seventh save of the season, and first this month, Alexis Díaz allowed a walk and retired two via strikeout, preserving a two-run win over San Francisco. 

(RP | COL): Preserving a two-run win, Jalen Beeks recorded his second save, retiring the side in the top of the ninth against Texas.

(RP | LAD): Entering a tied game in the bottom of the ninth, Michael Grove allowed a lead-off double, and a one-out, walk-off RBI single resulting in his second loss.

Hierarchy remains: *Daniel Hudson | *Blake Treinen (HLR) | *Alex Vesia

*= closer-by-committee

(RP | MIL): Logging an extended outing, Kevin Herget recorded his first save, allowing three hits, including a solo home run by Nolan Gorman, two earned runs, and a walk over three innings, finishing a nine-run win over the Cardinals.

Hierarchy remains: Trevor Megill | Joel Payamps | Elvis Peguero

(RP | PHI):  Wrapping up a six-run win, José Alvarado fired a clean bottom of the ninth, striking out one in Miami. He threw 16 pitches (75 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (12.5 SwStr%). This marked his first outing since May 5, and he’s been scoreless in five of his last six games with six strikeouts versus zero walks over six innings.

Hierarchy remains: *José Alvarado | *Jeff Hoffman | Orion Kerkering

*= closer-by-committee

(RP | SDP): Taking over a tied game in the top of the ninth, Robert Suarez retired the side against the Dodgers, then collected his second win courtesy of a walk-off rally in the bottom of the frame. 

(RP | WSH): Operating like an HLR, Hunter Harvey tossed a scoreless bottom of the seventh against the 2-3-4 lineup pocket of Boston working around a hit with a double-play grounder and a strikeout resulting in his MLB-leading 13th hold. 

Hierarchy remains: Kyle Finnegan | Hunter Harvey | Dylan Floro

Game Recaps – American League

Baltimore Orioles – In an intriguing usage pattern, Yennier Cano notched his second save, working around a lead-off double by Gabriel Moreno by retiring the next three batters, including one strikeout, closing out a two-run win over Arizona. He threw 16 pitches (62.5 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (12.5 SwStr%). He’s recorded a save in two of three outings and owns a seven-game scoreless streak with five strikeouts versus two walks over 6.2 innings. Cionel Pérez stranded a runner while hitting a batter and retiring one in the eighth for his fourth hold. Jacob Webb walked one during two-thirds scoreless in the eighth, securing his third hold. Craig Kimbrel fired a clean seventh, striking out one on 12 pitches (66.7 Strike%) with one whiff, and some loud contact.

Updated Hierarchy: *Craig Kimbrel | *Yennier Cano | *Danny Coulombe

Chicago White Sox – Pressed into action in the eighth, Jordan Leasure inherited a bases-loaded situation, stranding all three runners by inducing an inning-ending flyout. He returned for the ninth and recorded his second save preserving a three-run win. He only needed 16 pitches (75 Strike%) with one whiff while retiring all four batters faced in this outing. He owns a 1.10 WHIP with 11 strikeouts over 16.1 innings during his rookie campaign.

Hierarchy remains: Michael Kopech | John Brebbia | Jordan Leasure

Detroit Tigers – Taking over the top of the eighth against the top of the Astros’ lineup with a one-run lead, Andrew Chafin allowed a lead-off single by Jose Altuve, walked Kyle Tucker, and a game-tying RBI single by Yordan Alvarez, prompting his removal. Jason Foley replaced him with runners on the corners, giving up a go-ahead RBI single by Jeremy Peña, inducing a fielder’s choice groundout, and another run scored on an error, followed by a sacrifice fly. Foley finished with a hit against and an unearned run. Chafin suffered his first loss, and third blown save, with two hits, three earned runs, and a walk on his ledger without recording an out.

Hierarchy remains: *Alex Lange | *Andrew Chafin | Jason Foley

*= closer-by-committee

Houston Astros – Capping his team’s come-from-behind rally, Josh Hader nailed down his fifth save, and third in May, tossing a scoreless bottom of the ninth, walking one and striking out two. He threw 17 pitches (58.8 Strike%) and generated four whiffs (23.5 SwStr%). After a slow start, he’s been scoreless in three of his last four with six strikeouts against one walk over 4.1 innings. Bryan Abreu notched his sixth hold, allowing a hit and striking out three in a scoreless eighth, throwing 13 pitches (10 strikes – 76.9 Strike%) with one whiff. He’s recorded multiple strikeouts in seven of his last eight games (18 strikeouts of 39 batters faced – 46.2 K%).

Hierarchy remains: Josh Hader | Ryan Pressly | Bryan Abreu

Kansas City Royals – Handed a one-run lead after a late rally, John Schreiber secured his first save, working around a one-out double by Matt Thaiss with consecutive groundouts, preserving the win. He threw 10 pitches (60 Strike%) without a whiff and has been scoreless in seven of eight games with two wins, this save, and five holds. Tyler Duffey collected his first win after tossing a clean bottom of the eighth. Will Smith turned in a clean seventh, recording one strikeout. Chris Stratton stranded two runners and retired both batters faced, one via strikeout in the sixth.

Hierarchy remains: James McArthur | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

Los Angeles Angels – Entering with a 1-0 lead in the top of the ninth, Carlos Estévez suffered his second loss, and his third blown save, allowing three hits, including a go-ahead two-run home run by Adam Frazier. In this outing, he threw 21 pitches (13 strikes – 61.9 Strike%) without getting a whiff. Over his last seven appearances, he’s given up multiple runs in three, and at least a run in four, resulting in eight earned runs through 6.2 innings while converting three of six save chances. Luis García notched his fifth hold, tossing a clean eighth and striking out one. Matt Moore secured his eighth hold, navigating around a hit and a walk while striking out one in a scoreless seventh. Adam Cimber stranded two runners and retired his only batter via strikeout in the sixth, recording his third hold.

Hierarchy remains: Carlos Estévez | Matt Moore | Luis García

Minnesota Twins – Once again, Rocco Baldelli has assigned lineup pockets and not a linear pathway toward a save, continuing to frustrate fantasy managers. Griffin Jax held on for his fifth save, navigating around a two-out single by Bo Bichette, a walk, and an RBI single by Isiah Kiner-Falefa, before inducing a game-ending ricochet comebacker, caught by Carlos Santana. Jax threw 26 pitches (16 strikes – 61.5 Strike%) and produced four whiffs (15.4 SwStr%). Jhoan Durán faced the Vlad Guerrero Jr. lineup pocket and tossed a scoreless eighth despite walking one, throwing 13 pitches (6 strikes – 46.2 Strike%) with one whiff during his third hold.

Hierarchy remains: *Jhoan Durán (HLR/PSS) | *Griffin Jax | *Caleb Thielbar

*An HLR/PSS means he’s the preferred save option, but will be used in the highest-leverage moment in games when deemed necessary. 

New York Yankees – Despite loading the bases in the bottom of the ninth, Clay Holmes held on for his 12th save, preserving a combined shutout. His outing began with a lead-off walk, a strikeout, another walk, another strikeout, a single, and a game-ending strikeout. He threw 34 pitches (18 strikes – 52.9 Strike%) and induced four whiffs (11.8 SwStr%). However, he may need Saturday off because of the elevated pitch count. Luke Weaver recorded his fourth hold, firing a clean eighth and striking out two on 12 pitches (83.3 Strike%) with three whiffs (25 SwStr%). He owns an eight-game scoreless streak with 18 strikeouts versus one walk over 13.2 innings. Nick Burdi stranded a runner and retired his only batter-faced for his third hold.

Holmes has been rock solid, but the leverage ladder may be in flux, so the hierarchy may be adjusted this weekend. Stay tuned. 

Hierarchy remains (for now): Clay Holmes | Ian Hamilton | Victor González

Game Recaps – National League

Atlanta Braves – While recording his tenth save, Raisel Iglesias issued a one-out walk to Starling Marte, who moved to second base on defensive indifference, then scored on an RBI single by Pete Alonso, before a game-ending flyout. Iglesias threw 23 pitches (52.2 Strike%) and only induced one whiff. His final line was one hit allowed, one earned run, and one walk. He owns a 1.04 WHIP with a 10:4 K:BB over 15.1 innings. A.J. Minter fired a clean eighth, striking out the side for his fifth hold on 13 pitches (10 strikes – 76.9 Strike%) with six whiffs (46.2 SwStr%).

Hierarchy remains: Raisel Iglesias | A.J. Minter | Joe Jiménez

Cincinnati Reds -Shutting the door on his seventh save, Alexis Díaz issued a walk and recorded two strikeouts during a scoreless bottom of the ninth, entering against the 6-7-8 lineup pocket of the Giants. He threw 21 pitches (10 strikes – 47.6 Strike%) and induced four whiffs (19 SwStr%). This was his first outing since May 5 and his first save since April 27. Lucas Sims retired both batters faced in the eighth for his sixth hold. Justin Wilson tossed 1.1 scoreless innings, yielding a hit and striking out one for his third hold. Emilio Pagán notched his second hold, firing a clean sixth and striking out one.

Hierarchy remains: Alexis Díaz | Fernando Cruz | Lucas Sims

Colorado Rockies – Putting the bow on a late rally, Jalen Beeks secured his second save, retiring the 7-8-9 Rangers’ lineup pocket in the top of the ninth, preserving a two-run win. He threw nine pitches (4 strikes – 44.4 Strike%) without a whiff. He’s been scoreless in three of his last four and recorded a save in two of three outings. Jake Bird collected his first win, firing a clean eighth and striking out two. Justin Lawrence entered in the seventh with two runners on but let one score on a bases-loaded walk. He issued two walks and struck out one over one-third of the seventh, throwing 16 pitches (43.8 Strike%).

Updated Hierarchy: *Justin Lawrence | *Jake Bird | *Jalen Beeks

*= closer-by-committee

San Diego Padres –  Benefiting from a walk-off rally in the bottom of the ninth, Robert Suarez collected his second win of the season after retiring the side in the top of the inning while facing the Dodgers’ 6-7-8 lineup pocket. He threw 13 pitches (8 strikes – 61.5 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (23.1 SwStr%). He extended his scoreless streak to 14 games, spanning 15 innings, converting all 10 save chances with a 12:4 K:BB and 0.60 WHIP. Yuki Matsui was tagged with his second blown save, allowing two hits and an earned run on a sacrifice fly, tying the game, matching up with the top of the lineup. His final line was two hits, an earned run, and an intentional walk (Will Smith) on 11 pitches (72.7 Strike%) with one whiff.

Hierarchy remains: Robert Suarez | Yuki Matsui | Enyel De Los Santos

Vulture Save Candidates for Saturday, May 11

COL: Only for the desperate, but Beeks has appeared in two straight, leaving Jake Bird or Justin Lawrence for the save chance in today’s match-up with Texas.

HOU: Hader and Abreu have pitched in two straight, opening the door for an ancillary save by Ryan Pressly.

LAA: Estévez and García have appeared in three of the last four days, which may yield a save chance for Adam Cimber or Hunter Strickland, leaning toward Strickland.

MIN: Based on recent patterns, and Jax throwing 26 pitches last night, if Durán does not face Vlad Jr. in the ninth, it will be Caleb Thielbar or Cole Sands for the save chance. Sands was warming last night when Jax had traffic on the bases.

NYY: Holmes secured the save last night while throwing 34 pitches, so he should be unavailable today. Weaver has worked in two straight, so it could be Caleb Ferguson or Ian Hamilton, though Victor González has two ancillary saves already this year.

Vulture Save Candidates for Sunday, May 12

First, see the relievers who pitched on Friday night, and if they appear again today, get the next reliever in the hierarchy for Sunday.

BAL: If they use Cano and Kimbrel again today, it lines up Danny Coulombe or Jacob Webb for Sunday.

SDP: Suarez has pitched in two of the last three, and if he appears again on Saturday he will be down on Sunday leaving a potential save chance for Enyel De Los Santos.

Closer Monkey’s filthy outing of the day goes to Blake Treinen while facing the Padres, video courtesy of the Pitching Ninja.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, stay safe and be well.

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Fresh Facts Friday; Edition One, May 10

Although this may not be a weekly segment, here are some fun facts using statistics from the season to this point, and results from the last 15 days based on underlying numbers from Baseball Reference and Fangraphs, featuring short synopses on relievers of interest for the remainder of the season.

Games-Finished Leaders

It’s a simple statistic identifying the reliever who pitches last for his team in each game.

  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH) – 16
  • Ryan Helsley (STL) – 16
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE) – 15
  • Robert Suarez (SDP) – 15
  • Josh Hader (HOU) – 13
  • Camilo Doval (SFG) – 13
  • Clay Holmes (NYY) – 12
  • James McArthur (KCR) – 12
  • Tanner Scott (MIA) – 12
  • Mason Miller (OAK) – 12

Save Share Percentage Leaders

Relievers with the highest save share percentage as of May 10 (their saves divided by their team’s save total)

  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH) 12 saves – 100 Save Share%
  • Robert Suarez (SDP) 12 saves – 100 Save Share%
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN) 6 saves – 100 Save Share%
  • Camilo Doval (SFG) 6 saves – 100 Save Share%
  • Ryan Helsley (STL) 11 saves – 91.7 Save Share%
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE) 11 saves – 84.6 Save Share%
  • Jason Foley (DET) 9 saves – 81.8 Save Share%
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL) 9 saves – 81.8 Save Share%
  • Mason Miller (OAK) 8 saves – 80 Save Share%
  • Tanner Scott (MIA) 4 saves – 80 Save Share%
  • Kirby Yates (TEX) 7 saves – 77.8 Save Share%
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA) 6 saves – 75 Save Share%

High Leverage Event Leaders

Relievers with the most “high leverage” outings in 2024 per Baseball-Reference

  • Clay Holmes (NYY) – 14
  • Scott Barlow (CLE) – 13
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE) – 13
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH) – 13
  • Jason Foley (DET) – 13
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH) – 13
  • James McArthur (KCR) – 13
  • Héctor Neris (CHC) – 13
  • Griffin Jax (MIN) – 12
  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL) – 12

Highest-Leveraged Relievers (HLRs) of Interest

Multi-inning games can be combined outings (across two innings, not necessarily multiple innings)

  • Yennier Cano (BAL): 18 games, 18 IP, 11 high-leverage appearances, 7 multi-inning games, 11 save situations, 2 wins, one save, 9 holds
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH): 18 games, 20.1 IP, 13 high-leverage appearances, 7 multi-inning games, 12 save situations, 2 wins, 12 holds
  • David Robertson (TEX): 17 games, 20.2 IP, 11 high-leverage appearances, 7 multi-inning games, 15 save situations, 2 wins, 1 save, 11 holds

Transitioning into leaders from the last 15 days (April 25-through-May 9), here are the relievers with a K-BB percentage above 20 percent, a swinging strike rate over 15 percent, a strike percentage of 65 percent or better, and a contact rate allowed below 65 percent:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/POwNE/8/

  • Trevor Megill is one of 12 relievers with three or more saves, one of seven without allowing an earned run, and one of three with no walks allowed.

Last 15 Days Save Leaders

  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH) – 5
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE) – 4
  • Ryan Helsley (STL) – 4
  • Héctor Neris (CHC) – 4
  • Kirby Yates (TEX) – 4

Last 15 Days Hold Leaders

  • Austin Adams (OAK) – 5
  • Yennier Cano (BAL) – 5
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH) – 5
  • Joe Kelly (LAD) – 5
  • Danny Coulombe (BAL) – 4
  • Griffin Jax (MIN) – 4
  • Tim Mayza (TOR) – 4
  • John Schreiber (KCR) – 4
  • Angel Zerpa (KCR) – 4

Last 15 Days SOLDS Leaders

  • Yennier Cano (BAL) – 6
  • Austin Adams (OAK) – 5
  • Danny Coulombe (BAL) – 5
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN) – 5
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH) – 5
  • Griffin Jax (MIN) – 5
  • Joe Kelly (LAD) – 5
  • Caleb Thielbar (MIN) – 5

Last 15 Days K-BB Percentage and Swinging Strike Percentage Leaders

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Lpx9L/2/

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, another busy weekend awaits, stay safe and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Baseball-Reference.com

Fangrapghs.com

Month in Review for Relievers: Results of Interest and Trends through the End of April

Remembering the sample size this season remains small, with only a month-plus of results in the rearview mirror, it helps to review how relievers performed, which will be the process for today’s post. Using underlying metrics and hard statistical data, we try to remain ahead of the curve in the ever-changing world of high-leverage events.

Team Saves

  • 2024: 248 saves recorded between March and April
  • 2023: 210 saves recorded between March and April

Blown Saves

  • 2024: 132 blown saves between March and April
  • 2023: 118 blown saves between March and April

Save Opportunities

  • 2024: 380 save chances between March and April
  • 2023: 328 save chances between March and April

As one can observe, there’s been more saves recorded, and save opportunities provided, over the first month-plus of this season compared with last year’s results. This coincides with offense on the decline, illustrated by runs scored:

  • 2024: 3,408 runs scored between March and April
  • 2023: 3, 744 runs scored between March and April

Before delving into individual performances, there’s a small difference between the numbers of pitchers recording at least one save with 72 through the end of April this year and 69 with one through this same timeframe last season. Despite the rise in save chances, the distribution has remained mostly stable.

Individual Results and Trends

At the end of April, there were four relievers with at least eight saves without suffering a blown one:

  • Robert Suarez (SDP) – 10 saves
  • Jason Foley (DET) – 9 saves
  • Mason Miller (OAK) – 8 saves
  • Evan Phillips (LAD) – 8 saves

Not only has Miller been terrific as his team’s closer, he’s also the only qualified reliever at the end of April with a K-BB percentage greater than 20, a swinging strike rate above 15 percent, a strike percentage over 65 percent, and a contact rate allowed below 65 percent. He finished with a 47.1 K-BB percentage, a 22.4 swinging strike percentage, a 68.7 strike percentage, and a 58.4 percent contact rate allowed, just dominant.

These relievers qualified for three of the four categories described above:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/tRu81/7/

Shifting gears, here were the SOLDS (saves plus holds) at the conclusion of April:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/wXS38/8/

These relievers have the most SOLDS without suffering a blown save, knock on wood:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/hMCId/1/

For those who play in leagues with holds as a separate category, here are the leaders from March and April in them:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/VI04i/1/

Two key indicators for sustained success by relievers are K-BB percentage and swinging strike rate. Leaders from each category are as follows:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Lpx9L/1/

Strikeouts and WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) should also be monitored closely by fantasy managers. Here are the leaders in these categories during the first month-plus this season:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Lpx9L/1/

It’s been a great first-month providing information for the Closer Monkey community. More volatility lies on the horizon, so stay safe and be well until these situations arise.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Under the Hood: Alzolay and Hader outlooks moving forward

This week’s under the hood sets its sights on the early struggles by Adbert Alzolay, removing him from the closer role in Chicago in the near-term, and Josh Hader suffering from some bad luck in his results.

Adbert Alzolay, Chicago Cubs

Not much has gone right for Alzolay, he’s already suffered more blown saves (four) in 2024 through 11 games than he did last year (three) over 58 appearances. He’s given up four home runs in only 31 batted ball events and gave up five all last year across 168 batted ball events. He’s matched last season’s home run total with his slider (three) in only 14 batted balls in play.

He’s not throwing with a drastic reduction in velocity and increased his first-strike percent rate. However, when diving into his results on Statcast, one notices an increase in sweet spot percentage by over five percentage points, a boost in his expected batting average (.278), and a 5.02 expected ERA (xERA).

In terms of quality of contact, he’s struggling:

  • 3.2 solid percentage allowed plus 12.9 percent barrel rate = 16.1 good contact allowed
  • 0 percent weak contact and 0 percent pop-ups = 0 percent poor contact-induced

Taking this a step further, here’s his 10-game rolling chart from beginning of last year through his last outing, using strikeout percentage, walk rate, swinging strike percentage, and contact rate allowed:

One notices some shifts in his outcomes during the second half before he landed on the injured list and at the start of this season. With this in mind, here are his splits in some key leverage categories:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/R2jww/1/

If he retakes the ninth inning for Cubs relies on his slider. Comparing his outcomes by pitch, the lack of whiffs, and increased expected results against his most used pitch accounts for his early struggles:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/vUjx0/2/

Focus on his slider over the next two weeks, and his usage patterns. It’s tough being patient with a struggling closer, but if he finds his past production with the pitch, better days may happen. However, it’s a tough needle for a reliever to thread during the season.

Josh Hader, Houston Astros

Expecting a repeat of his 1.28 ERA from 2023 would not be realistic, but seeing Hader’s 8.38 ERA entering game play on Monday, April 22 seems like some sort of cruel joke. While sorting out qualified relievers by ERA minus SIERA, he ranks eighth in bad luck with a 5.95 run difference between the metrics. He owns a 2.43 SIERA, almost in line with his 2.34 expected ERA (xERA) from last year.

In fact, his SIERA and 2024 xERA (3.35) set a nice baseline of expectations for his results going forward. Despite his inflated ERA, he owns a 25.6 K-BB percentage, a 14.9 percent swinging strike rate, and a 64.1 strike percentage through his first 11 appearances.

As upsetting as his ERA may be, his usage patterns under first year manager Joe Espada proves more confusing. Hader’s appeared in four games with a lead, in three tied games, and worked in four games with his team trailing. Using Baseball Reference’s leverage ratings, he’s turned in four high-leverage outings, two medium leverage appearances, and pitched in five low leverage contests. Not ideal.

Viewing his underlying data from Statcast, his barrel rate remains in line with last year but he’s allowed a spike in hard hit percentage (45.5 percent) versus his career 32.9 percent barrel rate allowed. Hope lies in his .223 xBA with the sinker against his current .375 batting average against with the pitch, and a .278 expected slugging (xSLG) versus a .458 slugging percent allowed by the pitch. Things migrate toward the mean, and his results will even out.

It’s tough seeing a closer with such a high price point struggle, but focus on his past production with his pitches, and know things will improve:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/SoiKP/1/

Houston gets a break with the schedule over the next two weeks, here’s hoping Hader and his leverage teammates turn the tide with regression working in their favor.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, until next time, stay safe and be well.

Tiered Rankings for SOLDS, April 5

Once again, noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers in SOLDS formats. Those in leagues with holds as a separate category can use this list as well.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Griffin Jax (MIN)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)

Tier Four

  • Pierce Johnson (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Tyler Rogers (SFG)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • JoJo Romero (STL)
  • Andrew Chafin (DET)
  • Ryne Stanek (SEA)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • Taylor Rogers (SFG)

Tier Five

  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Gabe Speier (SEA)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • Ryan Borucki (PIT)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Matt Moore (LAA)
  • Ryan Thompson (ARI)
  • Julian Merryweather (CHC)
  • Emilio Pagán (CIN)
  • Joe Kelly (LAD)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)
  • Gregory Soto (PHI)

Tiered Rankings for Saves, April 5

Noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers for saves-only formats entering the weekend.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • Griffin Jax (MIN)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Will Smith (KCR)

Tier Four

  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Dany Jiménez (OAK)

Tier Five

  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • José Soriano (LAA)
  • John Brebbia (CWS)
  • Anthony Bender (MIA)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community.

American League Central 2024 Preview

Chicago White Sox: Way more questions than answers for the White Sox bullpen coming into 2024. If looking for the most likely reliever to land 10 or more saves, you may consider Michael Kopech. The once highly-touted starter turned emergency reliever is as good a bet as anyone to hit the double-digit mark. Other potential SV leaders include John Brebbia, although the veteran is ailing this spring. Young Jordan Leasure is a deep roster name to monitor too. This situation is best avoided as currently constructed.

Here are the three-year high-leverage results for Chicago:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Michael Kopech | John Brebbia | Steven Wilson | Jordan Leasure

Primary hold candidates: Brebbia, Wilson, Leasure, Tim Hill, Prelander Berroa

Cleveland Guardians: Lock Emmanuel Clase in as a top fantasy option once in 2024. He sits atop the Cleveland depth chart and was the top SV getter in baseball in 2023, with 44. The depth behind Clase, however, will be tested. Veteran Scott Barlow is in the fray, while Sam Hentges‘ finger must remain calm throughout the year. Carlos Carrasco may end up providing high-leverage outings for Cleveland, as well.

Here is how the Guardians high-leverage relievers have fared over the past three seasons:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Emmanuel Clase | Scott Barlow | Nick Sandlin

Primary holds candidates: Barlow, Hentges, Sandlin, Eli Morgan

Detroit Tigers: Command, command, command are the three keys to Alex Lange remaining as the Detroit closer in 2024. Gone are the days when he was the only option in town, as Jason Foley, Beau Briske, and Shelby Miller all pose threats to Lange’s hold on the ninth.

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Alex Lange | Jason Foley | Shelby Miller | Andrew Chafin

Primary holds candidates: Chafin, Foley, Miller, Briske

Kansas City Royals: It’s not sexy, but Will Smith again finds himself in a fantasy-friendly position within the Royals bullpen. Now, it may not last all season, as his fastball is god-awful and James McArthur lurks, but Smith is a near certainty to get the role and a leash pre-trade deadline for KC. There are a few other names of interest including John Schreiber, Nick Anderson, and Chris Stratton.

High leverage results for the past three seasons in Kansas City:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Will Smith | James McArthur(HLR) | John Schreiber | Chris Stratton

Primary holds candidates: Schreiber, Anderson, Stratton, McArthur, John McMillon

Minnesota Twins: A repeat performance in 2024 from Jhoan Durán would make the Twins’ closer a Top 5 relief pitching option. Any progression could have Durán landing as the overall best fantasy reliever this year. The Minnesota bullpen is a collection of powerful arms behind their closer too. Griffin Jax led the team in appearance over the past two seasons, posting a 68:19 K:BB ratio in 2023. While Brock Stewart was unscored upon in 27 of 28 relief appearances.

Below is a look at the Twins high-leverage results over the last three seasons:

Projected 2024 Hierachy: Jhoan Durán | Griffin Jax | Brock Stewart

Primary holds candidates: Jax, Stewart, Caleb Thielbar

Thanks for stopping by Closer Monkey.

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Spring Vibes, March 17: White Sox Leverage Updates, Colorado closer choice emerging, Kimbrel improving, and Game Recaps

Chicago White Sox – Making his first spring relief appearance, Michael Kopech retired the side in order, and in the recap by Scott Merkin of MLB.com, the reliever hit 100 m.p.h. on the stadium radar. Although he’s not focused on being the “closer“, he would welcome it but remains focused on doing the “best job he can”. Stay tuned.

In a separate post for the Chicago Sun-Times, Daryl Van Schouwen featured quotes about Jordan Leasure being a potential ninth-inning option by Pedro Grifol as well. Until the lights go on, it appears the manager will keep his high-leverage plans close to the vest. Also in the mix is John Brebbia, though he’s not appeared in a Cactus League game yet.

Projected Hierarchy: *Michael Kopech | *Jordan Leasure | *John Brebbia

Colorado Rockies – Perhaps a pivotal day in the “closer” competition. During Saturday’s contest, Tyler Kinley retired the side in order in the sixth inning. He owns a 0.50 WHIP with seven strikeouts against two walks over six innings. Justin Lawrence went nuclear in one-third of the eighth. He allowed five hits, six runs (five earned), and a walk while striking out one. This spiked his WHIP to 2.05 with 10 strikeouts versus two walks through 6.1 innings this spring. Patrick Saunders, of the Denver Post, penned in his game recap, Kinley “continues to show why he’s likely to begin the season as the closer“.  Once Bud Black echoes this sentiment, the committee designation will be removed. Our bullpen depth chart leaned Kinley from the jump, hopefully he fares well in the role this season, or until Daniel Bard returns.

Hierarchy remains: *Tyler Kinley | *Justin Lawrence | Jake Bird

Baltimore Orioles –  Appearing in the sixth inning, Craig Kimbrel issued a walk and recorded two strikeouts during a scoreless outing. Following his rough start this spring, he’s scoreless in his last three contests with three strikeouts. He’s on schedule for Opening Day, and his manager agrees in this column by Jake Rill for MLB.com. As for his last hurdle, working on consecutive days will be the last test for the veteran reliever. He enters this season eighth in MLB history with 417 saves. 

Hierarchy: Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Dillon Tate

Boston Red Sox –  Veteran reliever Chris Martin successfully completed his live batting practice throwing session and will move forward in his preparations for the season. His next step will be another live batting practice or his Grapefruit League debut per the injuries and roster moves page on MLB.com. He’s a key component in the leverage ladder recording four wins, three saves, and 23 holds last year with a 1.03 WHIP and 19.1 K-BB percentage. 

Hierarchy remains: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Josh Winckowski

Seattle Mariners – Multiple updates about the Mariners bullpen were posted on “X”. First, Ryan Divish shared Ryne Stanek will appear in a Cactus League game in the coming days. He also reported Matt Brash will long toss at max effort then progress to a mound in the next few days if there’s no lingering soreness. Last, but not least, Gregory Santos is rehabbing and resting, but not throwing. No timetable for his return until he commences a throwing program. 

Hierarchy for Opening Day remains: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

Quick Hits (Game Recaps from March 16)

Atlanta Braves – A traffic-laden outing by Raisel Iglesias did not result in any runs despite allowing a hit and two walks during his two-thirds of the sixth. He did record one strikeout in this outing but owns a 1.93 WHIP with six strikeouts against four walks through 4.2 innings this spring.

Chicago Cubs – Hector Neris notched his first spring hold, allowing two hits and an earned run while striking out one. Adbert Alzolay fired a clean eighth, striking out two for his first hold. He owns a 0.50 WHIP with six strikeouts against one walk over six innings. Julian Merryweather recorded his first spring save with a clean ninth, striking out the side.

Cincinnati Reds – Suffering his first blown save this spring, Alexis Díaz allowed two hits, including a two-run home run, and recorded two strikeouts. This marked his fourth outing and he owns a 1.50 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks.

Houston Astros – In an eventual loss, Ryan Pressly fired a clean fifth, striking out one. He’s posted a 1.00 WHIP with three strikeouts over four innings. Bryan Abreu gave up two hits, four earned runs, and two walks during two-thirds of the sixth. He’s struggled this spring and owns a 2.73 WHIP with five strikeouts against six walks through 3.2 innings.

Miami Marlins –  In an eventual tie, George Soriano worked a scoreless fifth, giving up a hit. Tanner Scott completed an inning, this is not a test. He allowed a hit and recorded a strikeout during a scoreless sixth. He threw 17 pitches (12 strikes – 70.6 Strike%) and induced three whiffs (17.6 SwStr%). Hopefully, this will be an outing he can build on moving forward:

Milwaukee Brewers –  Collecting his first win, Hoby Milner fired 1.1 clean innings. Trevor Megill took the baton in the seventh, facing two hitters, and retired both for his second hold. Suddenly on fantasy players’ radars, he owns a 1.33 WHIIP with five strikeouts against one walk over six innings.

Oakland A’s – In a split-squad game against Milwaukee,  a rough outing alert by Trevor Gott. He was tagged with his first loss, giving up four hits, five earned runs, and two walks without recording an out in the fifth inning. Lucas Erceg also struggled, allowing two hits, three earned runs, and two walks in the sixth.

Seattle Mariners – For a second straight outing, Andrés Muñoz struggled, giving up two hits and an earned run in two-thirds of the sixth. He’s made five appearances this spring, posting a 1.07 WHIP with five strikeouts and zero walks over 4.2 innings.

Texas Rangers – During a split-squad game against Arizona, Kirby Yates fired a clean sixth, striking out one. Through five appearances this spring, he owns a 0.80 WHIP with eight strikeouts versus one walk. 

Closer Monkey’s filthy sequence of the day winner goes to Luis Gil, featuring his change-up and slider.

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Until next time, stay safe and be well, especially on this celebration of St. Patrick’s Day.

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American League East 2024 Preview

March 13, 2024

Baltimore Orioles – As a team last year, the Orioles finished second in the American League in saves, fueled by the breakout season turned in by Félix Bautista. He will miss the season after undergoing elbow surgery, but all will not be lost for the franchise. Craig Kimbrel signed as a free agent and will take over as the primary save share. He finished third in strikeouts among qualified relievers in the National League in 2023 and converted 23 of 28 save chances for the Phillies. Yennier Cano will operate as the eighth inning option, and will often take on the toughest lineup pockets on opposing teams. He logged 72 appearances last year and tied for the major-league lead in holds (31). Getting Dillon Tate back and using Danny Coulombe versus left-handed pockets will enhance the bridge options for the upcoming season.

With this in mind, here’s the team’s high-leverage results over the last three years:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Craig Kimbrel | Yennier Cano | Dillon Tate

Primary Holds Candidates: Cano, Coulombe, Mike Baumann, Keegan Akin

Boston Red Sox – After tipping their hand about potentially trading Kenley Jansen, he remains a Red Sox as of this writing. He will open the season as their “closer” unless a last-minute deal occurs. Even though he missed time down the stretch, he went 29-for-33 in save opportunities last year (87.9 save percentage) and he’s tied for ninth all-time with nine seasons with 30 or more saves. How he performs early on may set his trade market. He’s an unrestricted free agent at the end of the season. Chris Martin played Robin to Jansen’s Batman well last year, recording a team-high 23 holds along with three saves, and 46 strikeouts against eight walks over 51.1 innings. His 1.03 WHIP makes him an alluring target in leagues with holds or SOLDS categories. With eyes on the future, the team signed Liam Hendriks. He plans on returning near the Trade Deadline (August 2), but how much and in what situations Boston deploys him in will be determined as the season progresses.

Here’s Boston’s high-leverage results since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Josh Winckowski

Primary Holds Candidates: Martin, Winckowski, Isaiah Campbell, Brennan Bernardino, Justin Slaten, Greg Weissert

New York Yankees – This bullpen may lean heavily on Clay Holmes early on this year. He turned in a career-high 24 saves last season and finished strong being scoreless in 12 of his last 13 outings. His 66 appearances in 2023 represent the second most in his career and he will utilize his 64.8 ground ball percentage in leverage events. However, getting him to save situations may be a weak link for this bullpen. Tommy Kahnle will open the season on the injured list and oft injured Jonathan Loáisiga projects as the main set-up option early on. One bright spot will be Ian Hamilton. He will take over the vacated multi-inning role filled by Michael King last year, and has shoved so far this spring. In deeper formats, he will retain value by providing vulture wins, ancillary saves, and strikeout upside.

Since 2021, here’s how this leverage ladder has performed in high-leverage events:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Clay Holmes | Jonathan Loáisiga | Ian Hamilton

Primary Holds Candidates: Loáisiga, Caleb Ferguson, Nick Burdi

Tampa Bay Rays – It happened, the Rays stopped spreading the wealth in the bullpen and relied upon Pete Fairbanks as their “closer” when he was not on the injured list. He set career highs in appearances (49), innings (45.1), strikeouts (68), and saves (25). He also ranked seventh among American League relievers with an 86.2 save percentage. His save total represented the most by a Tampa Bay reliever since Sergio Romo recorded 25 in 2018. Setting him up affably, and filling in as the “closer” when necessary, Jason Adam remains a rock in this leverage ladder. Through 117.2 innings with the Rays, he ons a 0.875 WHIP with 144 strikeouts versus 37 walks, and secured 20 saves. Colin Poche led all relievers with 12 wins last season, but it’s a tough feat to repeat. He’s only the sixth reliever in team history with consecutive 65-plus game seasons.

Taking all of this in, here’s the teams high-leverage results since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Pete Fairbanks | Jason Adam | Colin Poche

Primary Holds Candidates: Adam, Poche, Shawn Armstrong, Garrett Cleavinger

Toronto Blue Jays – Anchoring a deep, and pliable leverage ladder, Jordan Romano has recorded 36 saves in back-to-back seasons. He accomplished this total despite missing 18 days with back inflammation during the second half. His durability will determine his ceiling for 2024, along with how he handles left-handed hitters, but from a saves standpoint, he remains a reliable source. Erik Swanson set career-bests in games (69), innings (66.2), and strikeouts (75) in his first season with Toronto. He also finished third in the American League with 29 holds. Tim Mayza, Yimi García, Chad Green, and Trevor Richards will also factor as bridge relievers this year.

Here’s the Blue Jays high-leverage trends since 2021:

Projected 2024 Hierarchy: Jordan Romano | Erik Swanson | Yimi García

Primary Holds Candidates: Swanson, García, Tim Mayza, Chad Green, Trevor Richards

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Spring Vibes, March 13: Injury Updates, Colorado’s Closer Competition, Game Recaps and more

With Opening Day (stateside) just over two weeks away, injury news may determine a player’s availability when the season begins. Results in games will vary as well with relievers experiencing a “dead arm” phase in their buildups. Here are the notes of interest from a fantasy perspective.

Milwaukee Brewers – Per Sophia Minnaert of Bally Sport Wisconsin, Devin Williams will see a spine specialist on Wednesday, while the fantasy community holds its collective breath about the severity of his back issues. He will undergo further imaging at his appointment.

Chicago White Sox – For a bullpen already stretched thin on talent, updates on Wednesday did not go well for the leverage ladder. Jimmy Lambert has been experiencing lingering shoulder issues and will see Dr. ElAttrache in Los Angeles for a second opinion. Later on, Daryl Van Schouwen reported Prelander Berroa will be sidelined with an arm/shoulder area issue, with an update pending clarification. On MLB.com’s injuries and roster moves page, manager Pedro Grifol said Berroa pitched with reduced velocity in his last outing against Colorado and will see the team doctors. Less than optimal, unless one prefers taking a “Leasure“-ly approach for targeting saves in this bullpen.

Updated hierarchy for the White Sox: John Brebbia | Jordan Leasure | Tim Hill

Seattle Mariners – In the never ending injury saga for the this leverage ladder, Gregory Santos felt a “pinch” in his lat, and will be shut down for a few days, which will keep him sidelined on Opening Day. Daniel Kramer and Ryan Divish broke the news on “X”. 

In a separate column by Daniel Kramer of MLB.com about how Seattle’s bullpen will take shape after Santos’ injury, he speculated Andrés Muñoz will work almost exclusively in the save situations. Because of this, Ryne Stanek will open the season as the primary set-up reliever. However, two relievers may be selected from the “Steckenrider” bucket. 

Updated hierarchy for Seattle: Andrés Muñoz | Ryne Stanek | Gabe Speier

These next two teams feature a camp battle for the “closer” role.

Colorado Rockies – As each game passes, the “closer” competition heats up. On Tuesday, Tyler Kinley notched his first hold this spring, firing a clean seventh, striking out one. He threw 11 pitches (54.5 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (18.2 SwStr%). He owns a 0.60 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks over five innings. Justin Lawrence also worked a clean outing in the eighth, recording a strikeout for his second hold on 12 pitches (50 Strike%) with one whiff. He’s made six appearances this spring, posting a 1.17 WHIP with nine strikeouts against one walk through six innings. 

Oakland A’s –  In his latest roster projection for MLB.com, Martín Gallegos wrote Mason Miller “lines up as the closer“, with Lucas Erceg, Dany Jiménez, and Trevor Gott all in the mix for high-leverage situations. Until Mark Kotsay confirms Miller’s role, it’s purely speculation. However, the talented pitcher’s outings and eye-popping velocities may result in a reliable reliever in save opportunities. 

Quick Hits (Game Recaps from March 12)

Baltimore Orioles – Making his third appearance this spring, Yennier Cano retired the side in order, recording two strikeouts. He owns a 0.33 WHIP with five strikeouts against zero walks over three innings. Cionel Pérez navigated around two hits and a walk for a scoreless sixth.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Evan Phillips worked a scoreless eighth inning, walking one and striking out one. He’s made five appearances this spring, recording a 0.40 WHIP with six strikeouts versus one walk over five innings.

Oakland A’s –  Although he let his only inherited runner score, Dany Jiménez collected his first spring win, giving up a hit and a walk while retiring two batters in the fifth. After five outings this spring, he owns a 1.07 WHIP with five strikeouts against two walks through 4.2 innings.

San Francisco Giants – Getting in work during the fourth inning, Camilo Doval navigated around two hits for a scoreless outing. This marked his fourth outing this spring, he owns a 1.25 WHIP with five strikeouts against two walks over four innings.

Washington Nationals – Hunter Harvey fired 1.1 clean frames while striking out two. He’s made five spring outings and owns a 1.13 WHIP with a 9:1 K:BB over 5.1 innings. Kyle Finnegan faced two batters, striking both out, in the top of the ninth. He’s logged five appearances and posed a 0.43 WHIP with nine strikeouts against one walk.

Closer Monkey’s filthy outing of the day goes to prospect, Jackson Jobe. He will be a starting pitcher, but recorded his first spring save, turning in a clean ninth, and striking out two while hitting triple digits on the radar.

Until next time, stay safe and be well.

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Tiered Rankings (March 1, 2024)

With March upon us and draft season on the horizon, it’s time for the first run of tiered rankings. It’s difficult to choose which reliever will be the “closer” for a few teams, and many may prefer avoiding certain situations, like these three:

At present, there are three writers ready at the wheel for Closer Monkey fueled by Reliever Recon. Myself (Greg Jewett), Nate Marcum, and Aaron Pags. Being three individuals, there will be different relievers in each of our tiers, but they will be shared at the same time with quick thoughts or explanations of why our tier differs from the perceived consensus. As with any rankings, they are our own, not gospel. If anyone feels differently about a reliever, then it’s clear how they should handle him during their draft or auction. Enjoy.

Tier One

Greg

  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)
  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)

Nothing crazy here. Strong “closer” candidates with ratio insulation, and three with strikeout upside. Many remain wary of Emmanuel Clase but he’s entering his Age-26 season coming off a career-worst WHIP courtesy of an inflated batting average on balls in play (BAbip). His team construct helps save chances accumulate. If he cuts his blown saves in half last year, he would have made a run at 50. Jhoan Durán remains the reliever I believe will turn in the breakout performance of the year. He could record 100 strikeouts, last year 473 of his 1,017 pitches were 100 m.p.h. or faster in 2023, most among MLB pitchers. He’s thrown 865 100-plus pitches since 2022, also the most among major-league pitchers.

Nate

  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)

The common names atop most draft boards when it’s time for RP.  A notable exception is Devin Williams, which is not a slight on his potential, but based on the potential for a trade when the Brewers are no longer contenders.  While the fire has supposedly been extinguished, I still have my reservations.  The name I have in my 1st Tier that could seem out of place to some is Raisel Iglesias.  Iglesias’ strikeout percentage was a tick down, but his ground ball rate was supported by a solid Braves infield.  As good a chance as there is in baseball for 30 saves, that is if the Braves don’t win every game by 10.

Aaron

  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)

The Doval Guy

So, I am the Doval guy! And it has nothing to do with his ability but is 100 percent about his stability. For me, he is one of five relievers with a less than one percent chance of losing their job to anyone on their team’s roster. That makes him a tier-one closer.
But also, Camilo Doval‘s 2023 season showcased him as a vital force for the San Francisco Giants, marked by impressive stats, including a 2.93 ERA over 67.2 innings and 87 strikeouts. Despite a rocky start and a notable streak of four consecutive blown saves, a first for a Giants closer, Doval demonstrated resilience and excellence, especially from May onwards, significantly contributing to the team’s midseason turnaround. His stellar performance, underscored by his All-Star selection, solidified his status as a key player, despite a late-season slump that raised questions about overuse.

Tier Two

Greg:

  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • David Bednar (PIT)

Some veterans mixed in with a little bit of upside. Recent news about Matt Brash means Andrés Muñoz could gain the primary save share like Paul Sewald held last year. If he notches 30 or more saves and remains healthy, he’s a top-five reliever in fantasy. There may be some migration toward the mean for David Bednar and Camilo Doval, but they each secured 39 saves last year. For Pete Fairbanks, it’s all about health. More innings yield more fantasy goodness. I’m likely the low man on Josh Hader. He’s seen his K-BB percentage decline in each of the last two years, he’s in a deep bullpen, and not recorded more than 60 innings since 2019.

**With the recent injury news about Bednar, he’s been moved to the end of this tier.**

Nate:

  • Devin Williams (MIL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)

This tier is where I will most likely do most of my RP fishing during drafts.  The concerns I have for Williams’ team security are minimal.  Hader may have his hiccups, but with a track record as long as his, the double-digit walk percentage in three of the last four years is a wart worth looking past.  The fact that he hasn’t had 60-plus innings means the days of 100 strikeouts are gone.  If I could get a full season out of Fairbanks guaranteed, he may appear in the first tier in 2025. The Rays’ neglect for a true closer may be over.  Evan Phillips may be the “outlier” in this tier for me.  Similar to Iglesias and others, his team construct is set to build up his save total “floor”, but may limit his “ceiling” with their offensive output.  Over the past two seasons, Phillips has a combined 1.59 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.  Andrés Muñoz’s value remains intact with the news of Matt Brash’s injury.  Both Camilo Doval and David Bednar are convenient RP1 anchors for those who want to cast their line into the second tier.

Aaron:

  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)

Durán’s Health


I know you can say, “But health…” for anyone, however, Jhoan Durán has a history that shouldn’t be dismissed quickly. He missed the 2020 season due to COVID-19 and experienced arm issues in 2021. Despite a strong start post-recovery, he struggled in June and was shut down for the season without undergoing surgery. In 2022, he showed promise in spring training, secured a spot on the Opening Day roster, and became a key bullpen arm, cautiously managing to avoid overuse. His performance in 2023 was strong, marked by a slight increase in ERA and WHIP but maintained a high strikeout rate, despite not being selected as an All-Star. But, he was unleashed more often than last year. His powerful pitching arm also raises concerns about potential injury risks, as has been noted in many studies of the past.

Tier Three

Greg

  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)

If the Reds can keep Alexis Díaz fresh, he may finish the season strong, but it’s still an if. When viewing his end-of-year statistics, do not forget he owned a 2.10 ERA and 36 saves through his first 66 games (until September 15). Tanner Scott provides strikeout upside if the command gains hold. Evan Phillips represents the only qualified reliever to do this over the last two years. Ryan Helsley could be the steal in this tier if he’s healthy all season. Steady and unsexy options also lie in this tier like Craig Kimbrel, Paul Sewald, Clay Holmes, and Adbert Alzolay.

Nate

  • Paul Sewald (ARI)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Jordan Romano (TOR)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)

The best “values” could be in my third tier.  Alexis Diaz flashed in his first season as “the guy” in Cincy.  Diaz’s 37 saves still only accounted for 70 percent of the Reds’ total saves.  Seeing how his second half compared to his first, it wouldn’t surprise me to see him with a similar team save percentage. Oliver Marmol turned to Ryan Helsley down the stretch of 2023 and was rewarded with a 0.77 ERA, a .108 batting average against, and a 0.86 WHIP.  There will be many who don’t trust the Cardinals’ to stick with Helsley, but I think they will. 

Aaron

  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)

Tier Four

Greg:

  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Alex Lange (DET)

Welcome into the volatile tier of relievers. This could be where many see a cliff during their drafts. Kenley Jansen could be a fallback option for many, but where he pitches will make a difference. A trade could move him up, or down in this process. José Alvarado has the velocity and skillset, but his pre-and-post-injury splits last year cannot be ignored. Carlos Estévez and Alex Lange may open the year as the preferred save option for their respective teams, but can they stay there?

Nate

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)

If you don’t have your first reliever by now, let’s hold hands and say a prayer.  While there are many household names (Craig Kimbrel, Kenley Jansen), it will require some guts to trust as your RP anchor.  Both of those two are in situations that are conducive to plenty of opportunities, but what they do with those opportunities is yet to be seen.   Jansen is also “most likely to screw up a good closer situation for another team” in 2024.

Alvarado will get the first crack this season, but injuries were rough last year, and we have Pags along with my favorite “closer in waiting”, Orion Kerkering lurking.  Say that five times fast.

Aaron

  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • Alex Lange (DET)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Stephenson (LAA)

Wild for Will

If you told me that I would ever be the high-man on Will Smith in reliever rankings, I would have laughed in your face. His fastball STINKS ON ICE! However, he always seems to wriggle his way into promising fantasy baseball situations. Kansas City is no different. Veteran presence during a rebuild is a must, especially in high leverage spots. Sure, a trade is always likely with the Royals and their relievers, but saves in April, May, June, and July can equate to value. Just jump off the bucking horse before it’s too late.

Tier Five

Greg

  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • Tyler Kinley (COL)
  • John Brebbia (CWS)

Pick your poison in this tier. It’s sort of wide open and should be used as an end-game option during a build. For the “never pay for saves” crowd, this will be what it looks like at the end of your draft. Feeling lucky? From purely a skills perspective, Miller could be a steal in this tier if the A’s make him their primary save share. But it’s speculative until his manager anoints him.

Nate:

  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Alex Lange (DET)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)

I would love to have one of these relievers as my third RP, but grabbing three RPs in a draft and still having balance is nearly impossible.  That being said, each of these as your RP2 could result in a full season of production, but most likely indigestion.  Alex Lange gets mentioned in the same breath as Mark Melancon, which is gross.  I can’t quit José Leclerc, but I acknowledge that he needs to throw strikes to keep his job.  Yuki Matsui could see his draft stock rise during the Spring, but I still think it could be an uphill battle to overtake Suarez.  I have Matsui here and not Suarez because I think Matsui will eventually take the job.  In Washington, it’s choose your stance.  Harvey is the better pitcher.  Finnegan has a “proven” track record of saves.

Aaron:

  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • David Robertson (TEX)

Thanks for checking out our reliever tiers. If interested, check out Closer Monkey’s updated bullpen depth charts.