2014 Archives
May 2, 2014
Los Angeles Dodgers – Chris Perez came on in a save spot in the 8th inning, and then stayed on for the 9th after the Dodgers stretched their lead for his first save of the year. He’s entrenched as the Los Angeles set-up man and stands to inherit the job should anything happen to Kenley Jansen. No hierarchy change.
Minnesota Twins – Coming in to 2014, Jared Burton had every reason to be given a long leash as the Twins primary set-up man, as he was the team’s steadiest and best middle reliever over the past two years. But it’s been a different story for the righty this year, as he’s got an ERA of almost 9 and a 6/9 K/BB ratio through 10.1 innings thus far. Despite the terrible numbers, he was still being used ahead of Glen Perkins — prior to Thursday, his last two outings were 8th inning holds. But maybe Ron Gardenhire has finally realized that he’s actually got a great bullpen this year (Casey Fien, Brian Duensing, and Michael Tonkin have all been excellent), and yesterday, Burton was finally given a low-leverage inning to sort himself out. We still get the feeling that Burton could be used as the backup closer if Perkins needs a night off, so we’ll monitor his usage closely over the weekend. No hierarchy change.
Toronto Blue Jays – Aaron Loup picked up a long relief save on Thursday, but he doesn’t factor in to the usual late-inning plans for Toronto. No hierarchy change.
Baltimore Orioles – He started the season as a long reliever, but Zach Britton has been getting more high-leverage innings as of late. In the first game of the Orioles’ doubleheader on Thursday, he pitched the 7th inning and earned his 4th hold of the year. Hierarchy change: Zach Britton to 2nd in line, replacing Brian Matusz.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Joel Peralta, Tampa Bay Rays – Grant Balfour picked up saves in both halves of Tampa’s doubleheader on Thursday and will likely be unavailable today.
2. Zach Britton, Baltimore Orioles – Both Tommy Hunter and Darren O’Day pitched in both games of the Orioles’ doubleheader on Thursday.
3. Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s – As we’ve said for the past week, we think Jim Johnson gets the next save chance in Oakland, and we think the job is his again if he converts it.
4. Chad Qualls/Raul Valdes, Houston Astros – What would the Vulture Save Watch be without a couple of awesome Houston relievers on it? (Answer: Shorter and less sarcastic.)
May 1, 2014
Oakland A’s — Jim Johnson remains undefeated — for his career! — when protecting an 11-run lead. Luke Gregerson, who hadn’t pitched since Saturday, got the eighth inning in this laugher, and it seems all but official that JJ will claim the next high-leverage ninth. We’ll slide him up one slot, for now. Hierarchy change: Jim Johnson to Set-Up, Sean Doolittle to 2nd in line.
Chicago Cubs — The Cubs had a save situation all lined up for our man Hector, but then double agent Sean Marshall boosted them into a five-run lead. Rondon was warming for the ninth, and although Renteria refuses to make a commitment, it appears that Hector has a corner on the closer market. No hierarchy change.
Colorado Rockies – Rather than pitch LaTroy Hawkins on three straight days, Colorado called on Rex Brothers with a two-run lead. He couldn’t get the job done, sending the game into extra innings. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Chris Perez, Los Angeles Dodgers — LA has a doubleheader tomorrow and might not wish to use Kenley Jansen in both games.
2. Jared Burton, Minnesota Twins — Same goes for Glen Perkins.
3-6. Darren O’Day, Junichi Tazawa, Joel Peralta, and Tony Watson — Their teams all got rained out on Wednesday, so they could pick up vulture saves in the nightcaps of tomorrow’s doubleheaders.
April 30, 2014
Boston Red Sox — Edward Mujica has allowed at least one run each of the last five times he’s faced more than one batter, but John Farrell isn’t worried by his 10.00 ERA, or even the nearly sixfold increase in his walk rate. Farrell believes Mujica is struggling with his command due to infrequent use, suggesting that his role won’t be reduced — but we can’t imagine that he’d retain the advantage over Junichi Tazawa if Koji Uehara goes down with another injury. Hierarchy change: Junichi Tazawa to Set-Up, Edward Mujica to 2nd in line.
Los Angeles Angels — For the second straight game, Fernando Salas pitched a high-leverage eighth inning in front of new closer Joe Smith. Michael Kohn had already been used in a tight spot in the sixth. No matter which of those two is higher in the pecking order, we think Ernesto Frieri — who pitched two perfect innings against the Yankees over the weekend — is more likely to pick up a save going forward. Hierarchy change: Ernesto Frieri to Set-Up, Michael Kohn to 2nd in line.
Toronto Blue Jays — The Blue Jays are missing Casey Janssen, who remains at least two weeks away from a return. On Tuesday, Sergio Santos entered with two on and one out in a high-leverage eighth, and proceeded to give up two inherited runs, plus three of his own. Last year, Santos threw three times as many innings, and walked half as many men. No hierarchy change.
Colorado Rockies – The oldest player in the National League just keeps on rolling, racking up his ninth save in as many attempts. BMWs for everyone! No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Brandon Kintzler, Milwaukee Brewers — The indefatigable K-Rod, new co-holder of the April save record, has pitched on four of the last five day. Jim Henderson has gone two in a row himself, but Kintzler had Tuesday off.
2. Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s — We believe Jim Johnson will see the next save opportunity in Oakland and reclaim the job. Expect an alert if that happens.
3. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros — You can’t possibly need saves this badly.
April 29, 2014
Los Angeles Angels – Joe Smith came on in the ninth inning with a three-run lead and allowed just one hit to pick up his first save of the season against his former team. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s – The A’s bullpen got a night off after Sonny Gray threw a complete-game shutout, but Jim Johnson will likely see the next save opportunity in Oakland. If he converts it, we think he’ll reclaim the job. Expect an alert if that happens.
2. Kevin Siegrist, St. Louis Cardinals – Trevor Rosenthal threw 31 pitches in two innings of work last night during a tie game while Carlos Martinez has pitched on back-to-back nights.
3. Dale Thayer, San Diego Padres – Both Huston Street and Joaquin Benoit have pitched in two straight tilts.
4. Chad Qualls/Raul Valdes, Houston Astros – It’s anyone’s guess on a given night.
April 28, 2014
Baltimore Orioles – Just five days removed from giving up four earned runs to the Blue Jays, Evan Meek got knocked around again on Sunday, and has now given up 8 ERs in his last 1.1 innings pitched. It’s unlikely he’ll be trusted with any more important innings until he gets things turned around. Hierarchy change: Brian Matusz to 2nd in line, replacing Evan Meek.
Houston Astros – Raul Valdes got his first save of the season on Saturday, and on Sunday, he was summoned to get the final out of the game. It wasn’t a save this time around, but Valdes has as good of a chance as anyone to get a few more 9th inning looks in Houston. Hierarchy change: Raul Valdes to 2nd in line, replacing Anthony Bass.
Seattle Mariners – Danny Farquhar has had a very different season from a year ago. In 2013, despite posting a spectacular strikeouts per inning ratio, he was often the victim of hard luck, finishing the season with an ERA over 4. This year, he’s not striking out as many people and his walks are up, yet his ERA is 1.50. He got the 8th inning last night (after Tom Wilhelmsen pitched the 7th) and earned the win after the Mariners broke the tie. Fernando Rodney is 5/6 in save chances, but he hasn’t exactly been reliable and currently has a WHIP higher than Farquhar’s ERA. If Rodney falters, Farquhar could pick up where he left off last year. Hierarchy change: Danny Farquhar to Set-up, Tom Wilhelmsen to 2nd in line.
(UPDATED 5:20 PM 4/27) Chicago Cubs – Hector Rondon struck out all three hitters he faced in a perfect ninth inning on Sunday afternoon, featuring mostly an array of 98 mph fastballs. It wasn’t a save since the Cubs were up 4-0, but Pedro Strop had already been used in the 8th, so this looks like a changing of the guard in Chicago. We’ll try not to say “I told you so” too loud. Hierarchy change: Hector Rondon to Closer, Pedro Strop to Set-up.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s – Jim Johnson, who has opposing scouts raving, will likely see the next save opportunity in Oakland, and if he converts it, we think he’ll reclaim the job. Expect an alert if that happens.
2. Santiago Casilla, San Francisco Giants – Sergio Romo has pitched in back to back games.
April 27, 2014
Houston Astros — The Astros entered the 9th inning with a 4-run lead but they had to make it interesting. Most of the usual suspects in Houston’s bullpen had thrown a lot of pitches on Friday, so manager Bo Porter went to lefty Raul Valdes after the lead was cut to one. Valdes struck out both batters he faced for the save. Nobody is pitching well in the Astros bullpen, but Valdes could see more save opportunities if he can continue to get lefties out. No hierarchy change.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Brian Wilson struggled for the second straight outing last night. After giving up 4 runs on Thursday, Wilson was pulled last night after walking the first two batters he faced. Chris Perez has pitched very well so far this season, as he has given up only 5 hits in 11.2 innings. Hierarchy change: Chris Perez to Set-up, Brian Wilson to 2nd in line.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s – Johnson was going to be the closer if there was a save opportunity on Friday and the A’s could be moving towards making Johnson their primary closer again.
2. Jordan Walden, Atlanta Braves – Craig Kimbrel has pitched in 2 straight and 3 of the last 4.
3. Jim Henderson, Milwaukee Brewers – K-Rod has pitched in 2 straight and 3 of the past 4.
4. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass/Raul Valdez/Jose Cisnero, Houston Astros – Take your pick.
April 26, 2014
Oakland A’s – The A’s were tied throughout the latter half of Friday night’s game, and used Sean Doolittle in the 7th inning, followed by Luke Gregerson in the 8th. Jim Johnson was warming up in the bullpen as they took the lead in the 9th, but the A’s proceeded to score a total of 7 runs in the top half of the inning, so Johnson sat down and Fernando Abad came in to mop up. Bob Melvin was quick to tell anyone who would listen that Johnson has not re-claimed the job, and that Oakland is still using a committee. But this feels like one of those spots where the manager takes a firm public stance just to take pressure off a player. Johnson has five straight scoreless appearances covering 6.2 innings, and he was brought in on a sizable contract to close games for the A’s. We think he’ll get the next save opportunity, and as long as he converts, the job will be his again. No hierarchy change.
Chicago White Sox – Despite four straight scoreless outings, Ronald Belisario still has an ERA over 7, thanks in large part to an April 9th appearance in Colorado where he gave up 5 runs while recording only one out. But his recent stretch — almost all of which has come pitching ahead of Matt Lindstrom — has him in a position to see save opportunities if the closer continues to struggle. Last night, Lindstrom entered in a 4-4 game in the 9th and gave up a 2-run bomb to Evan Longoria. (He ended up getting the win after Jose Abreu hit a walk off grand slam in the bottom half.) Lindstrom is already on the Hot Seat, and Belisario has become a sneaky add for those looking to speculate. Hierarchy change: Ronald Belisario to Set-up, Daniel Webb to 2nd in line.
Tampa Bay Rays – Grant Balfour gave up a walk off grand slam last night, and while that’s all well and terrible, we’re actually even more worried about his ratios so far this year — 10.1 innings with 7 Ks and 9 BBs. There’s no shortage of arms in the Tampa bullpen: Joel Peralta has been as reliable as ever, Jake McGee has a 0.90 ERA — heck, there was even a Leo Nunez Juan Carlos Oviedo sighting this week. With Balfour’s health in question even before the year began, we have to think he’s on a short leash. Grant Balfour to Hot Seat.
Houston Astros – Things somehow keep getting worse for the Houston bullpen, as Matt Albers hit the DL yesterday while would-be closer Josh Fields got destroyed again. It’s still probably Fields and Chad Qualls who are the best bets for saves in Houston, though Anthony Bass or fresh face Jose Cisnero (who closed for the Astros for like 30 seconds last year) could still be in the mix. Unless you’re in the deepest of leagues, it’s unlikely you want any of these guys. Hierarchy change: Chad Qualls to Set-up, Anthony Bass to 2nd in line, Matt Albers to DL.
(UPDATED 4/25 6:14 PM) Pittsburgh Pirates – Jason Grilli has been placed on the disabled list with a left oblique strain. Mark Melancon will close in his place, while Tony Watson moves up to cover the 8th. Hierarchy change: Mark Melancon to Closer, Tony Watson to Set-up, Justin Wilson to 2nd in line, Jason Grilli to DL.
(UPDATED 4/25 5:24 PM) Los Angeles Angels – Prior to Friday night’s game, Mike Scioscia announced that Ernesto Frieri would get some time off from the closer role. Joe Smith will close in his absence, though Scioscia said that he expects Frieri to win the job back eventually. Hierarchy change: Joe Smith to Closer, Michael Kohn to Set-up, Ernesto Frieri to 2nd in line.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s – See above.
2. J.J. Putz, Arizona Diamondbacks – Addison Reed has pitched in three straight.
3. Joel Peralta, Tampa Bay Rays – After a 31 pitch blown save, Grant Balfour has thrown 56 pitches over the last three games and might need a day off to recover and clear his head.
4. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass/Raul Valdez/Jose Cisnero, Houston Astros – Whatever.
April 25, 2014
New York Mets – Kyle Farnsworth had the day off yesterday, and Terry Collins proved he wasn’t kidding when he said Daisuke Matsuzaka could be an option to close games. Matsuzaka recorded his first career save yesterday. Carlos Torres has been pitching very well in the 8th and it looks like this could be one of those situations where the manager would rather not mess with his 8th inning guy. Dice K should continue to get the call when Farnsworth is not available. Hierarchy change: Daisuke Matsuzaka to Set-up, Carlos Torres to 2nd in line.
Milwaukee Brewers – The Brewers have activated Brandon Kintzler from the DL. Kintzler should jump right back into important spots in the 7th and 8th innings ahead of closer K-Rod. Hierarchy change: Brandon Kintzler to 2nd in line, replacing Will Smith.
Cincinnati Reds – Sam LeCure struck out the side in the 8th inning last night and lowered his ERA under 1.00 on the season. Manny Parra picked up a save earlier this season but has given up runs in 3 of his last 4 appearances. On another note, closer Aroldis Chapman threw batting practice. He is scheduled to throw BP again on Saturday and could head out on a rehab assignment after that. Hierarchy change: Sam LeCure to Set-up, replacing Manny Parra.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Sean Marshall, Cincinnati Reds — Jonathan Broxton and Sam LeCure have both pitched 2 days in a row.
2. Hector Rondon, Chicago Cubs — The Cubs could finally give Hector Rondon a chance to close today after Strop really struggled in his last outing.
3. Chad Qualls/Matt Albers, Houston Astros — Josh Fields blew his last save chance, and Matt Albers has been unavailable the last couple days. Chad Qualls could get a shot tonight if there is a save opportunity.
4. Sean Doolittle, Oakland A’s — Oakland is still going based on match-ups so Doolittle could get the call on any night. Jim Johnson has been pitching better and could be working his way back into a 9th inning option.
April 24, 2014
Chicago Cubs — Hey, can it be Hector Rondon time yet? The rest of the Cubs bullpen combined for a brutal blown save on Wednesday, with Pedro Strop’s control problems (7 BB in 8.1 IP) the catalyst. We’ve been telling you for two weeks that Rondon’s our guy; for the sake of Jeff Samardzija’s mental health, we hope Rick Renteria agrees soon. No hierarchy change.
Los Angeles Angels — Ernesto Frieri is having a terrible April. 5 of the 42 batters he’s faced have hit home runs, and opponents are hitting .359/.405/.769 against him — basically the equivalent of a Babe Ruth who didn’t like to walk. After Wednesday’s four-run meltdown, Mike Scioscia gave Frieri a vote of confidence, but the next nightmare outing is bound to be his last. Joe Smith awaits. Ernesto Frieri to Hot Seat.
New York Mets — Terry Collins sent Mets fans into a tizzy with Wednesday’s offhand comment that Daisuke Matsuzaka was a potential option to close games. Instead, the faithful were treated to classic Farnsworth: three hits, and the tying run thrown out at the plate. A 94 MPH fastball on the last pitch to Matt Holliday may assuage concerns about the closer’s health, at least. No hierarchy change.
Houston Astros — So much for pleasant bullpen news out of Houston. Pitching for the third straight day, Josh Fields coughed up the lead and the ballgame on two singles and a three-run blast. With Matt Albers unavailable with shoulder tightness, Bo Porter didn’t have many other options. More bad news: Jesse Crain still hasn’t thrown a pitch in rehab, and won’t be up for at least a month. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Hector Rondon, Chicago Cubs — Even if Pedro Strop doesn’t lose his job on Thursday, he’s not getting the save opportunity after Wednesday’s 31-pitch debacle.
2. Matt Albers/Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros — Josh Fields can’t go tomorrow, and if Albers is still hurt, Porter will probably turn to Qualls or Bass.
3. Sean Doolittle, Oakland A’s — The next Oakland save could also go to Jim Johnson, Fernando Abad, or Dan Otero.
April 23, 2014
Oakland A’s — Luke Gregerson was one strike away from his fourth save of the year; instead, he blew his second in less than a week, and took the loss. Meanwhile, Fernando Abad continued his scoreless streak by picking up two outs in the eighth, and Jim Johnson was warming up as the winning run scored. Bob Melvin was incensed in his postgame press conference; it’s anyone’s guess where he’ll turn next, but Abad, Johnson, and Sean Doolittle are all options. No hierarchy change.
New York Yankees — As we let you know on Tuesday morning, David Robertson has returned from the disabled list. Hierarchy change: David Robertson to Closer, Shawn Kelley to Set-up, Adam Warren to 2nd in line.
Colorado Rockies – It seems Rex has returned from the doghouse, entering with two on and one out in a one-run eighth and immediately inducing a pivotal double play. Brothers’s heroics allowed Adam Ottavino’s shutout streak to continue. Walt Weiss stuck with the lefty against Brandon Belt to start the ninth, and he again came through. Hierarchy change: Rex Brothers to 2nd in line, replacing Boone Logan.
Houston Astros — It’s nice to have a relaxing Astros update for a change. Josh Fields got the save on Tuesday, and he didn’t even allow a hit! No hierarchy change.
Detroit Tigers — Joba Chamberlain picked up a one-out save on Tuesday night after Phil Coke gave up three runs in the ninth. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Sean Doolittle, Oakland A’s — See above. In descending order, the next Oakland save could also go to Jim Johnson, Fernando Abad, or Dan Otero.
2. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros — If the Astros go with someone other than Josh Fields, it probably won’t be Matt Albers.
April 22, 2014
Chicago White Sox — Ronald Belisario got an inning-ending double play in the seventh before returning for the eighth to earn his third hold of the season. Maikel Cleto hasn’t pitched in five days, and Belisario has not allowed a run in each of his last two outings. Hierarchy change: Ronald Belisario to 2nd in line, replacing Maikel Cleto.
Atlanta Braves – Craig Kimbrel blew the save last night, though to his credit did bounce back with three straight strikeouts after allowing the game-tying double. He’s not on the hot seat yet, but this combined with his earlier arm troubles is a little worrying. Jordan Walden, meanwhile, has not allowed an earned run since April 9. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Jim Henderson, Milwaukee Brewers – K-Rod has pitched in four straight and Henderson was the only key Milwaukee reliever to get a night off on Monday.
2. Gonzalez Germen, New York Mets – Both Kyle Farnsworth and Carlos Torres have pitched in back-to-back outings.
3. Matt Albers/Chad Qualls, Houston Astros – The Astros could use pretty much anyone in the 9th inning at this point.
April 21, 2014
Los Angeles Angels – Kevin Jepsen has always been a favorite of Mike Scioscia, but Jepsen just isn’t getting it done so far this year, as he currently sports an ERA north of 7. Michael Kohn, meanwhile, has gotten an occasional 8th inning opportunity this year, and after logging another scoreless inning on Sunday, the righty’s ERA sits at 1.86. Hierarchy change: Michael Kohn to 2nd in line, replacing Kevin Jepsen.
Pittsburgh Pirates – Jason Grilli has been burned on consecutive days by Ryan Braun home runs, and now has three blown saves for the season. Generally speaking, Grilli’s recent history as a lights-out closer gives him a longer leash than most. But Mark Melancon is yet again proving himself to be one of the best set-up men in baseball, and if Grilli can’t get things straightened out, then the struggling Pirates will be forced to look elsewhere. Jason Grilli to Hot Seat.
(UPDATED 4/20 10:12 AM) New York Mets – Kyle Farnsworth will close for the Mets for the time being, announced Terry Collins on Sunday morning. Collins had hinted last night that Jose Valverde was finished, and made it official this morning. Carlos Torres and Gonzalez Germen figure to get looks if Farnsworth struggles. Hierarchy change: Kyle Farnsworth to Closer, Carlos Torres to Set-up, Gonzalez Germen to 2nd in line.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Will Smith/Tyler Thornburg, Milwaukee Brewers – K-Rod and Jim Henderson have both pitched in three straight.
2. Joba Chamberlain, Detroit Tigers – Joe Nathan has pitched in back to back games and three of four, throwing a total of 58 pitches.
3. Brian Wilson, Los Angeles Dodgers – Kenley Jansen has pitched in back to back games and three of four.
4. Matt Albers/Chad Qualls, Houston Astros – The Astros could use pretty much anyone in the 9th inning at this point.
April 20, 2014
Detroit Tigers – After a rough start the season, Joba Chamberlain has now gone five straight appearances without allowing a run. He has a 11/1 K/BB ratio and has been entrusted with the set-up role in his last two outings, including yesterday, when he earned an 8th inning hold ahead of Joe Nathan. Hierarchy change: Joba Chamberlain to Set-up, Al Alburquerque to 2nd in line.
Cincinnati Reds – Sean Marshall was activated from the disabled list yesterday, and will give the Reds a strong pair of lefties in the back end of their bullpen. Marshall probably won’t immediately jump Manny Parra, who is having the best year of his career so far, but the duo will give the Reds the opportunity to play match ups at will in the late innings, with Sam LeCure continuing to figure in the mix for 7th and 8th inning holds. Hierarchy change: Manny Parra to Set-up, Sean Marshall to 2nd in line.
New York Mets – Another disastrous outing from Jose Valverde, in which he stymied a potential Mets comeback by allowing a 3-run HR, has Terry Collins thinking about making a change at closer. If they do make a move, the best in-house option is Kyle Farnsworth, with Carlos Torres and Gonzalez Germen also potentially in the mix. Free agent Joel Hanrahan, who the Mets recently scouted, is a possibility as well. Jose Valverde to Hot Seat.
San Diego Padres – Joaquin Benoit picked up the save on Saturday. Huston Street had thrown 52 pitches over his previous two outings and was just getting the night off. No hierarchy change.
Houston Astros – The Houston committee continues to struggle, with Chad Qualls being the latest to blow a save in a horrific 9th inning on Saturday. We’ve previously complained that Matt Albers hasn’t gotten any opportunities despite being the best arm in the bullpen (which he reinforced yet again with a clean 8th inning yesterday), and we have to think that after yesterday, he has at least moved ahead of Qualls in the Houston hierarchy. Hierarchy change: Matt Albers to Set-up, Chad Qualls to 2nd in line.
Atlanta Braves – Jordan Walden picked up a one-out, bases-loaded save on Saturday night, bailing out an ineffective Craig Kimbrel. Despite being the go-to guy in the 8th inning all season, David Carpenter has struggled mightily, and his ERA shot up to 6.43 after he was knocked around last night. After Walden’s clutch performance last night, we think he’d probably be the best bet for saves if Kimbrel’s early season struggles continue. Hierarchy change: Jordan Walden to Set-up, David Carpenter to 2nd in line.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Jim Henderson, Milwaukee Brewers – K-Rod continues to pitch lights out, but the closer has pitched in back to back games and three of the last four. He might get Sunday off to recover.
2. Sean Doolittle, Oakland A’s – Luke Gregerson has seen more save chances that Doolittle since Jim Johnson’s demotion but this is still looking like a committee so Doolittle could get the call based on match-ups.
3. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros – Though Matt Albers is our favorite option in the Houston bullpen, he’s likely to get the day off today after throwing 62 pitches in the last four days.
April 19, 2014
Chicago Cubs – It wasn’t a save chance, but the Cubs hierarchy was made very clear today, when Hector Rondon pitched the 7th and 8th innings in a 4-run game, while Pedro Strop got the 9th. Despite giving up his first run of the year today, Rondon’s ERA is more than 3 full points better than Strop’s, but it seems that Strop will be the one given first crack at saves after the demotion of Jose Veras. Hierarchy change: Pedro Strop to Closer, Hector Rondon to Set-up.
Baltimore Orioles – Darren O’Day picked up the save last night. He got the last out of the 8th inning with the Orioles up 3 and then Orioles added another run in the top of the 9th. O’Day stayed on to finish the game and record his first save of the season. No hierarchy change.
Toronto Blue Jays — Before yesterday’s game, manager John Gibbons said that Sergio Santos has been tremendous this season. Santos successfully closed out the Indians on Friday but it wasn’t smooth, as he allowed a hit and 2 walks in the 9th inning. He is 5 out of 6 in save chances this season but he has struggled with walks and will need to get that under control if he wants to keep the job. No hierarchy change.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Addison Reed blew his first save of the season on Friday, giving up the game-tying solo homerun to Juan Uribe. The Diamonbacks would go on to win the game in extra innings and former starter Trevor Cahill earned his first career save. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Brett Cecil, Toronto Blue Jays – Sergio Santos has pitched in 2 straight and 3 of the last 4, throwing a total of 56 pitches.
2. Sean Doolittle, Oakland A’s – Luke Gregerson has seen more save chances that Doolittle since Jim Johnson’s demotion but this is still looking like a committee so Doolittle could get the call based on match-ups.
3. Pedro Strop, Chicago Cubs – Our preference for saves in Chicago is still Hector Rondon, but with no official word yet from Rick Renteria, Pedro Strop could be the 9th inning option.
4. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros – If the Astros ever get another save opportunity they could use pretty much anyone at this point.
April 18, 2014
Los Angeles Dodgers – Brian Wilson was activated from the disabled list earlier this week, and on Thursday, he picked up where he left off, earning an 8th inning hold in a 2-run ballgame. Hierarchy change: Brian Wilson to Set-up, Chris Perez to 2nd in line.
Toronto Blue Jays – Sergio Santos had been solid in filling in for Casey Janssen so far this season, but Thursday was a disaster for the right-hander. He entered the game with two runners on in the 8th inning and a 2-run lead, and proceeded to walk the only three hitters he would face, throwing only four total strikes. Casey Janssen’s rehab was temporarily shut down after he aggravated an injury, but this doesn’t provide Santos a ton of job security after yesterday. Brett Cecil still has a 0.00 ERA on the year, and should Santos continue to struggle, the lefty could potentially hold down the 9th inning job until Janssen’s return. Sergio Santos to Hot Seat.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros – No one has emerged from the Houston committee as a consistent 9th inning option.
2. Sean Doolittle/Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s – If the A’s continue to use their committee, then Sean Doolittle or Luke Gregerson will continue to share 9th inning duties. However, the A’s are expected to re-evaluate their bullpen today, which means a possible reclamation of the job for Jim Johnson. If that happens, we’ll send out an alert.
3. Pedro Strop, Chicago Cubs – As previously mentioned, if we were running the Cubs, Hector Rondon would be our choice for the 9th inning. But Rondon’s usage on Wednesday suggests that Strop might be the guy in Chicago going forward. (Expect an alert on this, too, should it happen.)
4. Brian Wilson, Los Angeles Dodgers – Kenley Jansen threw 30 pitches last night; two days prior he threw 25.
April 17, 2014
Oakland A’s — It was Luke Gregerson’s turn to blow a save on Wednesday. Bob Melvin has said that he’ll consider making some changes in the bullpen on tomorrow’s off day; don’t be surprised if Jim Johnson gets back into it. Hierarchy change: Jim Johnson to 2nd in line, replacing Ryan Cook.
Boston Red Sox — After Wednesday’s extra-inning slog against the White Sox, today’s expected return of Koji Uehara should be huge for Boston. Burke Badenhop was the last man standing to pick up the save in the 14th. No hierarchy change.
Chicago Cubs — The Cubs were swept by the Yankees in a Wednesday doubleheader, and both Justin Grimm and Hector Rondon entered with Chicago trailing — Rondon in the sixth. The Cubs are behind a lot, and somebody has to pitch, but this might point to Pedro Strop as the most likely recipient of the next (rare) save opportunity. No hierarchy change.
Seattle Mariners — Fernando Rodney was all over the place on Wednesday night, turning a Felix Hernandez gem into a loss with two unearned runs. The Mariners’ bullpen is somewhat unsettled; although Tom Wilhelmsen would probably be the most likely replacement closer, he hasn’t been used in exclusively high-leverage spots. Nor has Danny Farquhar, who watched Charlie Furbush and Yoervis Medina handle the eighth last night. We’re not quite sure what to tell you about Seattle, other than not to trust the guy with the crooked hat. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros — Josh Fields has pitched on two straight days, and anyone can get a save in Houston anyway.
2. Wade Davis, Kansas City Royals — Greg Holland has thrown 40 pitches over the last two days.
3. Jake Petricka, Chicago White Sox — Matt Lindstrom pitched two innings and Daniel Webb threw 59 pitches on Wednesday. Maikel Cleto also issued three walks during his appearance, and Robin Ventura has said he’s comfortable using Petricka in high-leverage situations.
4. Joaquin Benoit, San Diego Padres — Huston Street has pitched on three of the last four days.
5. Javier Lopez, San Francisco Giants — Sergio Romo has also pitched on three of the last four days.
April 16, 2014
Oakland A’s — Sean Doolittle blew a save late Tuesday night, courtesy of a Mike Trout home run. No instant alert for this one — they were even anyway — but we’re ready to shuffle Luke Gregerson to the top of the Oakland closer committee. Note also the resurgence of Jim Johnson, who’s pitched five scoreless innings since he was moved out of the ninth inning. Hierarchy change: Luke Gregerson to Closer, Sean Doolittle to Set-up.
Colorado Rockies – Rex Brothers has been awful this year, and Walt Weiss has decided to give the lefty a few days off. Boone Logan, who escaped a bases-loaded jam in the seventh on Tuesday night, should reap some high-leverage rewards. For his part, Adam Ottavino has been practically unhittable. Hierarchy change: Adam Ottavino to Set-up, Boone Logan to 2nd in line.
Cincinnati Reds — Jonathan Broxton picked up his first save of the year on Tuesday night, cementing his hold on Cincy’s closer job until the return of Aroldis Chapman. On Monday, Chapman threw off a mound for the first time since his injury, and the Reds are cautiously optimistic. No hierarchy change.
Chicago White Sox — The Sox signed ex-closer Frank Francisco on Monday and assigned him to their AAA team in Charlotte. With the struggles in the White Sox pen so far, Francisco has a good shot at being this year’s Kevin Gregg. That might be the saddest sentence I’ve ever typed. No hierarchy change.
Toronto Blue Jays — Casey Janssen pitched a scoreless inning for class-A Dunedin on Tuesday; he’s expected to make two more minor league appearances before returning in about a week. What role he’ll have upon his arrival is still unknown. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. David Carpenter/Jordan Walden, Atlanta Braves — Craig Kimbrel is still day-to-day with a sore shoulder.
2. Kevin Jepsen, Los Angeles Angels — Ernesto Frieri has pitched in four of the last five games, as has Joe Smith, who got blasted on Tuesday.
3. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros — It’s Houston, what are you gonna do?
4. Pedro Strop, Chicago Cubs — Rick Renteria might call on Strop after demoting Jose Veras. Heck, he might call on Kevin Gregg, or Gregg Olson.
5. Ryan Cook/Dan Otero, Oakland Athletics — Luke Gregerson is most likely to get an A’s save on Wednesday, but these two have a shot.
6. Brian Wilson/J.P. Howell, Los Angeles Dodgers — Kenley Jansen has thrown in three of the last four games, including a 25-pitch outing yesterday, and Brian Wilson has returned from the disabled list.
April 15, 2014
Atlanta Braves – David Carpenter got the save in a wild 9-6 win at Philadelphia – unexpected to everyone except Fredi Gonzalez, who held closer Craig Kimbrel out due to right shoulder soreness that crept up over the weekend. Kimbrel plans to rest for a few days, which means Carpenter is the best bet for saves in the interim. Jordan Walden, who has prior experience as a closer, will also be in the mix. No hierarchy change.
Philadelphia Phillies – With both Jonathan Papelbon and Antonio Bastardo unavailable, Jacob Diekman blew the save last night in a wild game against Atlanta that no team seemed to want to win. Before Diekman’s implosion, B.J. Rosenberg made history in the eighth inning when he became the first pitcher in major league history to face three batters and allow three home runs. The Phillies did get some good bullpen news yesterday, however, as Mike Adams is set to be activated off the DL today. He’ll likely slide into the seventh inning for the time being. Hierarchy change: Mike Adams to 2nd in line, replacing B.J. Rosenberg.
Oakland A’s –After the Angels’ Ernesto Frieri blew a 3-2 lead in the ninth, Luke Gregerson earned his second save of the season in the bottom half of the inning. Oakland’s committee continues to shine, with Gregerson likely getting the call thanks to the pair of righties due up in the ninth. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Luke Gregerson, Oakland A’s – Luke Gregerson picked up his second save of the season on Monday. We’ve still got Doolittle as our listed closer, but until the A’s decide to give Jim Johnson another chance, either of these two could get the call on any given night.
2. Pedro Strop, Chicago Cubs – Our preference for saves in Chicago is still Hector Rondon, but with no official word yet from Rick Renteria, Pedro Strop could be the 9th inning option.
3. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros – Nearly any Astros reliever could get a 9th inning chance at this point.
April 14, 2014
Milwaukee Brewers – With Francisco Rodriguez and Jim Henderson both getting the night off, lefty Will Smith was summoned for the one-out save chance, striking out the only man he faced on three pitches. He’s the slickest they is, but he’s unlikely to get any more save opportunities while K-Rod and Henderson are both sporting 0.00 ERAs. No hierarchy change.
Tampa Bay Rays – A day after Jake McGee got an 8th hold inning for the Rays, Heath Bell was called upon to pitch in the 7th of a game that the Rays were losing by four. Bell didn’t help matters, allowing two earned runs and raising his season ERA to 5.40. His peripherals aren’t great so far, either, and at age 36, he’s got to start proving that he still belongs. Hierarchy change: Jake McGee to 2nd in line, replacing Heath Bell.
Texas Rangers – Joakim Soria was unavailable after pitching in back to back games, so Alexi Ogando got the save in his place. With Neftali Feliz still in the minors, Ogando would have little competition for the closer gig should something happen to Soria. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Luke Gregerson, Oakland A’s – On Saturday, Sean Doolittle got the 8th and Luke Gregerson got the 9th. Roles were reversed on Sunday, and both times, the duo got it done. We’ve still got Doolittle as our listed closer, but until the A’s decide to give Jim Johnson another chance, either of these two could get the call on any given night.
2. B.J. Rosenberg, Philadelphia Phillies – Both Jonathan Papelbon and Antonio Bastardo have pitched in three straight.
April 13, 2014
Oakland A’s –Luke Gregerson picked up the first save for Oakland since Jim Johnson was removed as closer. Sean Doolittle pitched a perfect 8th, and also got the first out of the 9th before Gregerson came on to finish the game. Tonight’s usage was likely matchup-driven, as there were 2 lefties and a switch hitter due up in the 8th inning. No hierarchy change.
Houston Astros – It seems like every pitcher in the Astros bullpen (except, of course, Matt Albers, who has pitched the best) gets a chance to close out games. Manager Bo Porter went to Kevin Chapman for the 9th inning, with the Astros up 1, and he promptly gave up the game-tying home run on his 2nd pitch. Anthony Bass ended up getting the save in the 10th inning. Bass now has 2 saves (which is more than the 1 K he has on the season), but it’s hard to say that he is the guy moving forward. If you have a bunch of free roster spots, go ahead and pick up everybody in the Astros bullpen. Otherwise, pick your favorite and hope for the best. Hierarchy change: Anthony Bass to 2nd in line, replacing Matt Albers.
Boston Red Sox – Koji Uehara was unavailable yesterday, but could attempt long toss today before the Red Sox decide if he needs to go back to Boston for further tests. Edward Mujica will be the closer while Uehara is out. No Hierarchy change.
Philadelphia Phillies – Antonio Bastardo pitched a scoreless 8th inning in a tie game last night. His numbers aren’t very impressive on the young season (6 walks vs. only 4 Ks, in 6.1 innings) but he has pitched the 8th in each of his last 3 appearances. If anything happens to Papelbon, it looks like Bastardo could get the first shot to close. Hierarchy change: Antonio Bastardo to Set-up, B.J. Rosenberg to 2nd in line.
Milwaukee Brewers – Brandon Kintzler has been placed on the DL. Will Smith has been getting jiggy with it so far this year, throwing 6 scoreless innings with 8 Ks, and could see more time in the later innings. Hierarchy change: Will Smith to 2nd in line, Brandon Kintzler to DL
Chicago Cubs — Rick Renteria just announced that Jose Veras will be moved from the closer role, and Cubs save situations going forward will be matchup-dependent. As we mentioned earlier today, Hector Rondon has been pitching great and would be our pick to close — but unfortunately for him, he’s pitched the last three days (and four of the last five), and is almost certainly unavailable today. If there’s a save situation today that goes to Pedro Strop, Strop just might get the opportunity to make the job his own. We’ll be watching closely. Hierarchy change: Hector Rondon to Closer, Pedro Strop to Set-Up, Justin Grimm to 2nd in line.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Edward Mujica, Boston Red Sox — Koji Uehara is day-to-day with shoulder tightness, and Mujica will close if Uehara can’t go today.
2. Luke Gregerson, Oakland Athletics — Luke Gregerson could get the call based on matchups.
3. Jim Henderson, Milwaukee Brewers — K-Rod has pitched three games in a row.
4. Pedro Strop/Justin Grimm, Chicago Cubs — The Cubs will could use Rondon, Strop or Grimm based on the matchup.
5. Chad Qualls/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros – The Astros have made it pretty clear so far that anybody in their bullpen could be used to close out a game.
April 12, 2014
(UPDATE — 12:50 PM) Chicago Cubs — Rick Renteria just announced that Jose Veras will be moved from the closer role, and Cubs save situations going forward will be matchup-dependent. As we mentioned earlier today, Hector Rondon has been pitching great and would be our pick to close — but unfortunately for him, he’s pitched the last three days (and four of the last five), and is almost certainly unavailable today. If there’s a save situation today that goes to Pedro Strop, Strop just might get the opportunity to make the job his own. We’ll be watching closely. Hierarchy change: Hector Rondon to Closer, Pedro Strop to Set-Up, Justin Grimm to 2nd in line.
Boston Red Sox – Edward Mujica pitched a perfect ninth inning last night to pick up his first save of the season. Closer Koji Uehara was unavailable with shoulder tightness. The Red Sox are saying the injury is not serious, but Uehara said he experienced similar tightness in Texas a couple years ago, and it took him two months to get over it. Junichi Tazawa has pitched better this season, but manager John Farrell likes that Mujica has had success as a closer before, so he might be the first option to close if Uehara misses more time. Hierarchy change: Edward Mujica to Set-up, Junichi Tazawa to 2nd in line.
Chicago Cubs — Jose Veras blew another save last night, and his ERA is over 12 so far this season. The ERA will obviously come down, but he also has 7 walks in 3.2 innings. Manager Rick Renteria said that Veras is still their closer. Hector Rondon ended up getting the save, as he pitched a scoreless eleventh inning. Pedro Strop pitched the eighth ahead of Veras, but Rondon has now made 15 straight scoreless appearances dating back to last season, and he could get a chance to close if Veras continues to struggle. Hierarchy change: Hector Rondon to Set-up, Pedro Strop to 2nd in line.
Cincinnati Reds — Jonathon Broxton got his first work of the season last night, pitching a scoreless ninth inning with 2 Ks. Manager Bryan Price previously said that he didn’t want to use Broxton in a save situation for his first appearance. Now that Broxton has gotten that first inning out of the way, he should see the save opportunities until Aroldis Chapman is able to return. Speaking of Chapman, he is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Monday. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Edward Mujica/Junichi Tazawa, Boston Red Sox — Koji Uehara is day-to-day with shoulder tightness. Mujica got the call last night but the Red Sox could use Tazawa as well.
2. Chad Qualls/Matt Albers, Houston Astros – Josh Fields remains the best bet for Astros save chances, but with a committee in place, anything could happen.
April 11, 2014
Oakland A’s – Bob Melvin is giving Jim Johnson a break from closing duties for the time being. Johnson may have the chance to win the job back if he pitches well, but for now, the A’s are going closer by committee. Sean Doolittle, Luke Gregerson, Ryan Cook, and Dan Otero all figure to be involved, though Melvin offered a hint yesterday about his preferred options when he summoned Cook in the 8th inning of a 4-run game. Cook had 16 saves over his first two seasons, but he’s still rounding into form after starting the season on the DL. His usage yesterday suggests that Luke Gregerson is the preferred right-hander in the committee right now. Hierarchy change: Sean Doolittle to Closer, Luke Gregerson to Set-up, Ryan Cook to 2nd in line.
New York Yankees – With both Shawn Kelley and Adam Warren unavailable, David Phelps picked up his 2nd career save, throwing a spotless 2.1 innings with 3 Ks. With the rest of the bullpen now rested, Phelps will return to his swingman role and is unlikely to see many more late game appearances. No hierarchy change.
Houston Astros – After Chad Qualls pitched the 8th, Josh Fields came on for the 9th inning in a 5-run ballgame yesterday. But Fields, who previously had been considered the likely leader of Houston’s closer by committee, had his worst outing of the year, allowing three runs to score. With Matt Albers on paternity leave, Anthony Bass was called upon to bail Fields out, and Bass picked up his first save of the year. Houston’s bullpen is more volatile than any other team’s in baseball right now, so Bass could certainly get another opportunity like this in the future, but for now, we still consider him to be behind Fields, Qualls, and Albers. No hierarchy change.
New York Mets – Carlos Torres came on in a tie game in the 6th inning on Thursday night, then stayed on for the 7th after the Mets took the lead. Torres would go on to earn the win, striking out 3 in his 2 innings of work. Hierarchy change: Carlos Torres to 2nd in line, replacing Gonzalez Germen.
Chicago White Sox – Other than Matt Lindstrom, who is entrenched as Chicago’s not-very-good closer, the White Sox bullpen has been a different animal almost every night this season. Yesterday, it was Daniel Webb who bridged the gap to Lindstrom, throwing two perfect innings with 2 Ks. Webb now has a 2.84 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP, and a 7/2 K/BB ratio this season. As mentioned yesterday, Ronald Belisario is hurting and has an ERA in the teens. Hierarchy change: Daniel Webb to Set-up, replacing Ronald Belisario.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Chad Qualls/Matt Albers/Anthony Bass, Houston Astros – I guess Anthony Bass has to be in here every day now, too. Gross.
April 10, 2014
Oakland A’s — It’s hard to raise a 15.00 ERA, but Jim Johnson pulled it off today. When asked to comment on potential replacements, Bob Melvin helpfully offered, “I’m just saying that I’m not saying anything.” Aha. We see Sean Doolittle as the best alternative, with Luke Gregerson behind him in a virtual tie with Ryan Cook, who’s still recovering from shoulder issues. No hierarchy change.
Philadelphia Phillies — In a tie game on Wednesday, the Phils called on Jake Diekman in the seventh, and he struck out the side. After Antonio Bastardo came out for the eighth, the Brewers pulled away with three runs, including a two-run triple from even bigger cheater Ryan Braun. Ryne Sandberg has been somewhat inconsistent handing out high-leverage work, but Bastardo would certainly be in the mix if Jonathan Papelbon goes down, or just keeps getting worse. Hierarchy change: Antonio Bastardo to 2nd in line, replacing Jacob Diekman.
Chicago White Sox — Ronald Belisario entered a tie game with one on; he gave up five singles and wound up tagged for five runs. This probably wouldn’t be news if he hadn’t also left the game with tightness in his lower back. Maikel Cleto continues to pitch well and would probably slide into a set-up role if the injury is at all serious. Hierarchy change: Maikel Cleto to 2nd in line, replacing Daniel Webb.
Detroit Tigers — Joe Nathan blamed his early-season struggles on a “dead arm,” then downplayed its significance, comparing it to “knowing there’s second base on the field.” Somebody tell Fred Merkle. Nathan followed up the controversy by blowing a three-run lead for his second blown save in three chances, but he told reporters that the ball felt better coming out of his hand. No hierarchy change.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Josh Collmenter pitched well in earning a four-inning save on his way to the rotation. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Chad Qualls/Matt Albers, Houston Astros – Josh Fields remains the best bet for Astros save chances, but with a committee in place, anything could happen.
2. Cody Allen, Cleveland Indians – John Axford has pitched on three of the last four days.
3. Matt Thornton/Dellin Betances, New York Yankees — Shawn Kelley had a difficult 30-pitch outing on Wednesday, and has pitched on three of four days. Adam Warren has also pitched three of the last four days.
April 9, 2014
Cincinnati Reds — Jonathan Broxton was activated from the disabled list on Tuesday, and though manager Bryan Price says he would like to let him “get his feet wet” before returning him to the ninth, it’s clear that he will be the Reds’ closer going forward. Meanwhile, J.J. Hoover entered in the seventh inning with Cincinnati trailing, and appears to have fallen behind the other members of the team’s short-lived closer committee. Hierarchy change: Jonathan Broxton to Closer, replacing J.J. Hoover.
Toronto Blue Jays — Brett Cecil pitched the eighth last night after Steve Delabar was used to finish the sixth. Keep an eye on Sergio Santos too — he struck out the side in the ninth, and could have a shot at keeping the closer job even after Casey Janssen returns. Janssen will throw a side session on Wednesday before starting a few rehab outings. Hierarchy change: Brett Cecil to Set-up, Steve Delabar to 2nd in line.
Texas Rangers — Joakim Soria entered in the ninth inning of a 10-4 game and scattered four hits among three strikeouts, surrendering three runs. With Neftali Feliz impressing in the minors, another outing like that one could send Soria to the Hot Seat. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Kelvin Herrera/Aaron Crow, Kansas City Royals — Greg Holland has had two long outings in a row, and set-up man Wade Davis threw 27 pitches on Tuesday.
2. Chad Qualls/Matt Albers, Houston Astros – Josh Fields remains the best bet for Astros save chances, but with a committee in place, anything could happen.
3. Carlos Martinez, St. Louis Cardinals – Trevor Rosenthal has pitched on two straight days, including throwing 27 pitches on Monday.
April 8, 2014
New York Yankees – David Robertson sustained an injured groin and is going on the disabled list. For what it’s worth, Robertson only expects to miss the minimum 15 days. Hierarchy change: Shawn Kelley to Closer, Adam Warren to Set-up, Matt Thornton to 2nd in line.
Oakland A’s – Ryan Cook returned from the disabled list and pitched a scoreless ninth inning in an 8-3 Oakland win. He should take over the 7th-inning role previously held by Luke Gregerson. Hierarchy change: Ryan Cook to 2nd in line, replacing Luke Gregerson.
Boston Red Sox – Left-hander Chris Capuano got the call in the 8th inning of a 2-1 game with two of the three Rangers due up that inning batting from the left side. The move paid off, as he allowed just one hit and escaped the inning unscathed. Capuano has been solid in his four innings of work this year, not allowing a run and striking out five, but for the moment is still behind Edward Mujica and Junichi Tazawa. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Chad Qualls/Matt Albers, Houston Astros – Due to recent usage, listed closer Josh Fields is probably the best bet for any Astros save chance today, but with a committee in place, anything could happen.
2. Carlos Martinez, St. Louis Cardinals – Trevor Rosenthal threw 27 pitches in a non-save situation yesterday.
April 7, 2014
(UPDATED 5:14 PM) New York Yankees – David Robertson sustained an injured groin and is going on the disabled list. For what it’s worth, Robertson only expects to miss the minimum 15 days. Hierarchy change: Shawn Kelley to Closer, Adam Warren to Set-up, Matt Thornton to 2nd in line.
Chicago Cubs – Rick Renteria might be saying he’s not worried about Jose Veras, but we’re just not sure that we believe him. Yesterday, Veras was summoned in a non-save situation and could only get two outs before being bailed out by Pedro Strop. So far on the year, the Cubs’ closer has allowed 3 ERs in 1.2 innings while walking 6 and hitting a batter. Veras appears to have some time to turn this around, but a few more bad outings and the Cubs may have to look to Strop, who has yet to allow a run in 3.1 innings so far. Jose Veras to Hot Seat.
Cincinnati Reds – Manny Parra pitched the 8th inning for the Reds in a 1-run game on Sunday, and then, with two lefties due up in the 9th, stayed on and picked up his first career save. With Jonathan Broxton due to be activated as early as tomorrow, Parra probably won’t be getting many more opportunities, but the lefty is off to a fine start this season, having logged 4.2 scoreless innings. Hierarchy change: Manny Parra to 2nd in line, replacing Logan Ondrusek.
Houston Astros – So, unfortunately, it looks like the Astros are serious about this committee thing. On Sunday, Chad Qualls was called upon to put out an Anthony Bass fire, and retired the final two hitters for his first save of the year. Of the three relievers that Bo Porter tapped to share the stopper role in Houston before the season started, it’s actually Matt Albers who has been the best — he’s thrown 4.2 scoreless innings with 6 strikeouts and 0 walks. But so far, Qualls and Josh Fields are the ones with one save apiece. We still like Fields the best of these three, as he’s been used only twice, and both times was given the keys to the 9th inning. But get used to seeing Qualls and Albers in the Vulture Save Watch indefinitely. Hierarchy change: Chad Qualls to Set-up, Matt Albers to 2nd in line.
Los Angeles Dodgers – J.P. Howell picked up his first hold of the year on Sunday. Should something happen to Kenley Jansen, we don’t think the Howell would be tapped for the 9th inning ahead of Chris Perez, but the lefty has been a key cog in the Los Angeles bullpen thus far. Three of his four appearances have come in the 8th inning ahead of Jansen. Hierarchy change: J.P. Howell to 2nd in line, replacing Brandon League.
New York Mets – Bobby Parnell will have Tommy John surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2014 season. As previously mentioned, Jose Valverde will close for the foreseeable future, while Kyle Farnsworth is the best bet to step in if Valverde falters. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Jared Burton, Minnesota Twins – Glen Perkins has pitched in back to back games and in four of the last five.
2. Chad Qualls/Matt Albers, Houston Astros – Due to recent usage, listed closer Josh Fields is probably the best bet for any Astros save chance today, but with a committee in place, anything could happen.
April 6, 2014
Cincinnati Reds — J.J. Hoover blew his first save opportunity of the season yesterday, as he gave up a walk-off grand slam to Ike Davis. Jonathan Broxton should be activated from the disabled list on Tuesday and immediately take over as closer. No hierarchy change.
Colorado Rockies – The Rockies went to Adam Ottavino in the 7th inning last night protecting a 2 run lead. He proceeded to strike out the side in a scoreless inning and now has 8 Ks in 3 innings of work so far this season. Hierarchy change: Adam Ottavino to 2nd in line, replacing Boone Logan.
Philadelphia Phillies – Jacob Diekman pitched a scoreless 8th inning yesterday with the Phillies up 2. He picked up his second hold of the season, and it looks like he will be used in the later innings ahead of closer Jonathan Papelbon. Hierarchy change: Jacob Diekman to 2nd in line, replacing Justin De Fratus.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Sam Lecure, Cincinnati Reds — J.J. Hoover recorded 0 outs in blowing the save yesterday and could get the day off Sunday.
2. Chad Qualls, Houston Astros — The Astros used all three members of their closer committee yesterday, but Qualls threw the least amount of pitches, so he could be used today if there is a save opportunity.
3. Kelvin Herrera, Kansas City Royals — Greg Holland has pitched 2 days in a row, and Wade Davis has appeared in 3 of the Royals’ last 4 games.
April 5, 2014
Boston Red Sox — The Red Sox brought in Edward Mujica yesterday with the game tied in the 9th inning. Mujica ended up taking the loss after giving up 4 runs. Manager John Farrell has said that Junichi Tazawa and Mujica are “interchangeable,” but Tazawa has been used more often in the 8th so far, and has pitched better. Hierarchy change: Junichi Tazawa to Set-up, Edward Mujica to 2nd in line.
Chicago White Sox — Nate Jones has been placed on the DL with a strained hip related to his injury during spring training. Robin Ventura has said that Daniel Webb and Maikel Cleto will see time in the later innings. Hierarchy change: Daniel Webb to 2nd in line, Nate Jones to DL.
New York Mets — Jose Valverde picked up his first save of the season, and it was Kyle Farnsworth who pitched the 8th ahead of him. The back end of the Mets’ bullpen is far from set, outside of Valverde, but if Farnsworth can string together a couple good outings, he could solidify himself in the set-up role. Hierarchy change: Kyle Farnsworth to Set-up, Gonzalez Germen to 2nd in line
Miami Marlins — Brad Hand picked up a three-inning save last night, but he still does not factor into the Marlins late-inning bullpen plans moving forward. No hierarchy change.
Texas Rangers — Neftali Feliz is starting to get his velocity back in the minors. He was sent down over concerns that his velocity was down in spring training, but could be a guy to keep an eye on, if he can regain his stuff from a couple years ago, when he had 32 saves. No hierarchy change.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Matt Albers and Chad Qualls, Houston Astros — The Astros are going with a committee and, while we think that Josh Fields should see the majority of the save chances, Qualls or Albers could be called upon on any given night.
2. Shawn Kelley, New York Yankees — David Robertson is unavailable today after throwing in back-to-back games.
April 4, 2014
Chicago White Sox — It was a bad day for White Sox relievers: Nate Jones walked the two men he faced in the seventh, Maikel Cleto let them score, Ronald Belisario gave up a tying home run in the eighth, and Matt Lindstrom blew the save and got tagged for the loss in the ninth. He remains on the Hot Seat, while Jones has had a recurrence of his spring training gluteal strain. There are no good options for Robin Ventura at this point, and he could certainly do worse than Belisario. Hierarchy change: Ronald Belisario to Set-up, Nate Jones to 2nd in line.
New York Mets — Jeurys Familia and Scott Rice each got smacked around on Thursday and, combined, they’ve retired precisely as many batters as they’ve allowed to score. Gonzalez Germen may have been the last reliever to make the team, but he’s been pretty effective, and we think he’d get the call over Familia, Rice, and Kyle Farnsworth if Jose Valverde falters. This is far from a theoretical exercise, as doctors have told Bobby Parnell he has only a 50-50 shot of avoiding surgery. Hierarchy change: Gonzalez Germen to Set-Up, Jeurys Familia to 2nd in line.
New York Yankees — Adam Warren made an excellent debut in a high-leverage spot, before yielding to Shawn Kelley and new closer David Robertson. Hierarchy change: Adam Warren to 2nd in line, replacing Matt Thornton.
Chicago Cubs — As predicted in Thursday’s Vulture Save Watch, with Jose Veras unavailable, Pedro Strop picked up the save. Veras had thrown 38 pitches after warming up five different times. No hierarchy change.
April 3, 2014
Atlanta Braves – Jordan Walden might have the closing experience, but through two games of the 2014 season, David Carpenter is the one racking up the 8th inning holds — Carpenter has pitched the 8th in each of the Braves’ first two wins ahead of Craig Kimbrel. Hierarchy change: David Carpenter to Set-up, Jordan Walden to 2nd in line.
Cincinnati Reds – J.J. Hoover’s run as the probably-closer will last for only one more week or so. Jonathan Broxton, who pitched in several spring games but started the season on the DL, is getting ready to make his debut, and should be back within a week. Bryan Price has already tapped the hard-throwing righty to close games once he gets settled in. No hierarchy change.
Boston Red Sox – Junichi Tazawa pitched the 8th inning on Wednesday night and has been mentioned alongside Edward Mujica as a possible fill-in at closer should Koji Uehara ever go down. We’re big Craig Breslow fans, but he seems destined to be stuck in middle relief this year in Boston. Hierarchy change: Junichi Tazawa to 2nd in line, replacing Craig Breslow.
Oakland A’s – After taking a loss on Monday, Jim Johnson came on for the save last night and gave up three runs to blow the save. Through two appearances, Johnson’s line is hideous: 1.0 IP, 5 ER, 5H, 3BB, 0 Ks. He’s making a lot of money to be the stopper in Oakland, and thus far, the A’s are still giving him their full support. But a few more outings like this one and they’ll have to turn elsewhere — most likely to hard-throwing lefty Sean Doolittle. Jim Johnson to Hot Seat.
(UPDATED 4/2 11:59 PM) Houston Astros – Josh Fields picked up the save for the Astros tonight, pitching a sterling 9th after Matt Albers threw a strong 1.1 innings ahead of him. Chad Qualls was nowhere to be found. Fields said for much of the spring that he wanted the job, and Bo Porter has already talked about using Qualls and Albers against lefties, suggesting Fields is the guy when there’s a righty-heavy ninth inning, which should be more often than not. Though this will probably still be a committee on paper, Fields now has the edge and has become the 4th middle reliever from our preseason top 15 to already ascend to a closer position. Hierarchy change: Josh Fields to Closer, Matt Albers to Set-up, Chad Qualls to 2nd in line.
VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Pedro Strop, Chicago Cubs – In blowing a save chance in the Cubs’ marathon win yesterday, Jose Veras threw 38 pitches. If he needs the day off today, Strop could get a save chance.
2. Rex Brothers, Colorado Rockies – LaTroy Hawkins threw 36 pitches in a shaky 9th inning yesterday, and might need the day off today.
3. Sean Doolittle, Oakland A’s – While Jim Johnson is still the closer, Bob Melvin hinted after last night’s blown save that there’s a chance Johnson needs a day off after throwing 29 pitches last night.
April 2, 2014
New York Mets — Bobby Parnell’s diminished velocity led to a blown save on Opening Day. After he complained of forearm tightness, an examination revealed a partially torn medial collateral ligament in his throwing arm. Parnell, who received a platelet-rich plasma injection, will rest for at least two weeks, then begin a throwing program to determine if surgery will be necessary. Hierarchy change: Jose Valverde to Closer, Jeurys Familia to Set-Up, Scott Rice to 2nd in line, Bobby Parnell to DL.
Houston Astros — In the first sign that Houston’s closer-by-committee system will be as unpleasant for fantasy owners as it is for the players involved, putative “closer” Chad Qualls was summoned Tuesday in the eighth inning, up six. We still think he has the inside track at the most save opportunities with Jesse Crain out, but it’s best to think of anything you get from any Astros pitcher as gravy. Specifically, the gravy that dog food makes. No hierarchy change.
Los Angeles Dodgers — How about this? We let you know that Brian Wilson is headed to the disabled list with nerve irritation, and you just go ahead and make up your own punchline. Hierarchy change: Chris Perez to Set-up, Brandon League to 2nd in line, Brian Wilson to DL.
Kansas City Royals — Ned Yost has picked $4.8 million man Wade Davis as the team’s official set-up guy with Luke Hochevar out for the year. Davis and Aaron Crow had a rough time on Monday, however, and what seemed like a strength for Kansas City now appears very shaky indeed. Hierarchy change: Wade Davis to Set-up, Kelvin Herrera to 2nd in line.
April 1, 2014
(UPDATED 12:18 p.m.) New York Mets — Bobby Parnell’s diminished velocity led to a blown save on Opening Day. After he complained of forearm tightness, an examination revealed a partially torn medial collateral ligament in his throwing arm. Parnell, who received a platelet-rich plasma injection, will rest for at least two weeks, then begin a throwing program to determine if surgery will be necessary. Hierarchy change: Jose Valverde to Closer, Jeurys Familia to Set-Up, Scott Rice to 2nd in line, Bobby Parnell injured.
Chicago White Sox – Crazy old Robin Ventura is going with Matt Lindstrom as his closer to start the year. Nate Jones is still worth hanging on to for a while, in case Lindstrom has a tough start out of the gate. Also keep an eye on Ronald Belisario, who made his White Sox debut in the eighth inning yesterday. Hierarchy change: Matt Lindstrom to Closer, Nate Jones to Set-up.
Milwaukee Brewers – Brewers fans and Jim Henderson owners were shocked to see Francisco Rodriguez pick up the save on Opening Day; after the game, manager Ron Roenicke apparently said that K-Rod would close and Henderson would move to middle relief until he “feels better.” Hierarchy change: Francisco Rodriguez to Closer, Jim Henderson to Set-Up, Brandon Kintzler to 2nd in line.
Baltimore Orioles — Evan Meek entered the eighth inning of Monday’s opener and recorded the first two outs before giving way to Brian Matusz for a lefty-lefty matchup to close the inning. Meek was the last player to make the opening-day roster, but the 2010 All-Star was immediately thrown into a high-leverage situation and escaped without much trouble. Hierarchy change: Evan Meek to 2nd in line, replacing Ryan Webb.
Seattle Mariners — Tom Wilhelmsen retired all four batters he faced, including Albert Pujols with two on, two out in the seventh inning, in a solid performance. Fernando Rodney was warming for the ninth before the Mariners scored six in their half of the eighth, which meant Danny Farquhar got the call for the final three outs. Wilhelmsen has closing experience – albeit rocky – but if he can continue to get outs in high-leverage spots he’ll be contending with a shaky Rodney for save opportunities. Hierarchy change: Tom Wilhelmsen to Set-up, Danny Farquhar to 2nd in line.
Oakland A’s — Jim Johnson made his A’s debut in the ninth inning of a scoreless game and allowed the first three batters to reach before giving up a sac fly and a single. He was taken out to a chorus of boos, though there’s no sign of the reigning saves leader in the AL losing his new job. No hierarchy change.
March 31, 2014
(UPDATED 5:08 p.m.) Milwaukee Brewers – Brewers fans and Jim Henderson owners were shocked to see Francisco Rodriguez pick up the save on Opening Day; after the game, manager Ron Roenicke apparently said that K-Rod would close and Henderson would move to middle relief until he “feels better.” Hierarchy change: Francisco Rodriguez to Closer, Jim Henderson to Set-Up, Brandon Kintzler to 2nd in line.
(UPDATED 1:25 p.m.) Chicago White Sox – Crazy old Robin Ventura is going with Matt Lindstrom as his closer to start the year. Nate Jones is still worth hanging on to for a while, in case Lindstrom has a tough start out of the gate. Hierarchy change: Matt Lindstrom to Closer, Nate Jones to Set-up.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Brian Wilson pitched a scoreless inning in Australia, but his first 2014 appearance in the states wasn’t a memorable one, as he gave up three runs and took the loss against the Padres. Wilson’s 8th inning gig isn’t in danger yet, but there are lots of former closers hanging out in the Los Angeles bullpen, so Don Mattingly has other options if Wilson’s hiccup turns into something worse. No hierarchy change.
Chicago White Sox – The White Sox apparently know who their closer is. They just aren’t revealing it publicly yet. The names that have been mentioned over the last several weeks are Nate Jones, Matt Lindstrom, and Daniel Webb, with Jones being considered the heavy favorite by most beat writers. We’d like to say for certain that it’s one of those three, but two years ago, Robin Ventura started the season off by surprising everyone and using Hector Santiago as his closer. We’ll monitor this situation throughout the day and will send an alert if anyone other than Jones is revealed to be the stopper. No hierarchy change.
St. Louis Cardinals – Carlos Martinez had a solid spring and was considered by some to be a favorite to win the 5th starter position in St. Louis, but the club recently announced that they were going to be giving that job to Joe Kelly. Martinez will be bounced back to the bullpen, where he’ll set up for Trevor Rosenthal. Hierarchy change: Carlos Martinez to Set-up, Kevin Siegrist to 2nd in line.
Toronto Blue Jays – Casey Janssen has been placed on the disabled list with a lower back strain. Sergio Santos will close in his place, while Steve Delabar moves up to 8th inning duties. Hierarchy change: Sergio Santos to Closer, Steve Delabar to Set-up, Brett Cecil to 2nd in line, Casey Janssen injured.
March 23, 2014
Houston Astros – Manager Bo Porter has said that he will go with the dreaded closer by committee to start the season. Chad Qualls has the experience, so we still expect him to see the most save chances, at least at the beginning of the season. Josh Fields, Matt Albers, and lefty Kevin Chapman should be in the mix, and Porter also recently said that Anthony Bass has emerged as an option. No hierarchy change.
New York Mets – Kyle Farnsworth is not expected to make the Mets roster. Jose Valverde has closer experience, and manager Terry Collins has been impressed with him so far, so he could handle the set-up role. Vic Black pitched well for the Mets at the end of last season and should also see time in the later innings. Another guy to keep an eye on is Jeurys Familia. Familia is a young flame-thrower who recently broke catcher Taylor Teagarden’s glove with a fastball in spring training. Hierarchy change: Jose Valverde to Set-up, Vic Black to 2nd in line.
Detroit Tigers – Bruce Rondon will have Tommy John surgery and miss the entire 2014 season. Al Alburquerque and Joba Chamberlain should see time in the 7th and 8th innings ahead of closer Joe Nathan. Hierarchy change: Al Alburquerque to Set-Up, Joba Chamberlain to 2nd in line.
Chicago White Sox – The White Sox are not ready to name their closer yet. Nate Jones has thrown five scoreless innings in spring training and still looks like the best bet to get the job. However, Matt Lindstrom finally appears to be healthy, and if youngster Daniel Webb is able to make the roster out of spring training, they could both challenge Jones. Ronald Belisario could also factor into the late innings. No hierarchy change.
Oakland A’s – Ryan Cook is expected to start the season on the DL. Veteran Luke Gregerson should take over for Cook while he is out. Hierarchy change: Luke Gregerson to 2nd in line, Ryan Cook injured.
Arizona Diamondbacks – Addison Reed has officially been named the Diamondbacks’ closer. He responded by pitching a scoreless inning yesterday during the Diamondbacks’ second game in Australia. J.J. Putz and Brad Ziegler also had scoreless appearances yesterday. No hierarchy change.
March 22, 2014
Texas Rangers — Ron Washington has chosen 29-year-old Joakim Soria to close for the Rangers, citing Soria’s consistency and experience. His #1 ranking on our middle reliever list probably didn’t hurt either. With Tanner Scheppers moving into the rotation, Alexi Ogando will return to his old set-up role. Neftali Feliz’s spot on the roster is far from guaranteed, and if he makes the team, he’ll apparently be battling Neal Cotts and Jason Frasor to be #3. Hierarchy change: Joakim Soria to Closer, Alexi Ogando to Set-Up, Neal Cotts to 2nd in line.
March 21, 2014
Cincinnati Reds — Jonathan Broxton will pitch again today, but manager Bryan Price announced this morning that Broxton will also start the season on the disabled list, removing all obstacles between J.J. Hoover and the ninth inning — although Price won’t anoint a specific closer. The manager’s comments suggest that Broxton will have the inside track at the job if his DL stint is as short as expected. With Sean Marshall also banged up to start the year and Alfredo Simon moving to the starting rotation, Logan Ondrusek will see some high-leverage action, with Manny Parra called on to face lefties. Hierarchy change: J.J. Hoover to Closer, Sam LeCure to Set-Up, Logan Ondrusek to 2nd in line, Jonathan Broxton injured.
March 20, 2014
Cincinnati Reds — UPDATE (12:38 PM): MLB.com, NBC Sports, and the Cincinnati Enquirer are reporting that Aroldis Chapman suffered a “mild concussion,” will have surgery for his facial fractures today (including the insertion of a plate), and is expected to return in six to eight weeks.
Wednesday’s game between the Reds and Royals was called off after Aroldis Chapman was hit in the face (WARNING: video may be disturbing) with a line drive. X-rays indicated fractures above his left eye and nose. Chapman will undergo further testing, and is a sure bet to begin the 2014 season on the disabled list. After Jonathan Broxton’s successful spring debut, we think he is most likely to take over the closer role, with J.J. Hoover, Sam LeCure, and Sean Marshall close behind. Hierarchy change: Jonathan Broxton to Closer, Aroldis Chapman injured.
March 15, 2014
Our top 15 middle relievers are listed below. These players are ranked on the likelihood that they will get saves this season, not necessarily on their efficacy. To cite an extreme example, Craig Breslow is a great reliever who is extremely unlikely to get any save chances since he’s stuck behind Koji Uehara and Edward Mujica. So even though Breslow is objectively a much better pitcher than someone like Matt Lindstrom, Lindstrom is on our rankings, whereas Breslow is not.
(Holds are not a consideration. If you would benefit from a post that covers holds, please contact us. UPDATE: check out our holds rankings here!)
1. Joakim Soria, Texas Rangers – Now seemingly fully recovered from the Tommy John surgery that cost him the 2012 season, Joakim Soria is making a run at the Texas closer gig. Neftali Feliz continues to struggle to find his velocity, and Soria could wind up as the closer on a Rangers team that could threaten 90 wins if everything falls into place.
2. Rex Brothers, Colorado Rockies – Even if LaTroy Hawkins has a great year, Rex Brothers could still wind up with five to eight saves, as Hawkins will have trouble going three in a row and Walt Weiss has said he might use Brothers in any lefty-heavy ninth inning. And we don’t think Hawkins will have a great year.
3. Matt Lindstrom, Chicago White Sox – While sabermetricians are gaga for Nate Jones, there’s no word out of White Sox camp about the closer role, and Matt Lindstrom, whose rehab is going well, keeps saying that he wants the job. Things Lindstrom has going for him include the fact that he has the most closer experience of anyone on the team, and Robin Ventura’s always-unorthodox treatment of the 9th inning.
4. Danny Farquhar, Seattle Mariners – He’s quite good and Fernando Rodney is not.
5. Sergio Santos, Toronto Blue Jays – As previously mentioned, Casey Janssen isn’t 100 percent, and Sergio Santos had a lights-out end of 2013, posting a 1.75 ERA and 0.58 WHIP after returning from injury.
6. Cody Allen, Cleveland Indians – If John Axford struggles with the long ball (Axford had the 6th-highest HR/FB ratio in 2012 and 11th-highest in 2013), Cody Allen could take over as closer and run away with it. Allen is only 24 and his K/9 of 11.3 ranked 13th among relievers last year.
7. J.J. Putz, Arizona Diamondbacks – Addison Reed is pitching much better this spring than veteran J.J. Putz. This competition isn’t over yet, but Putz will need to rally to give himself a chance for saves in Arizona.
8. Jesse Crain, Houston Astros – Jesse Crain has been hurt his whole career, and 2014 is already no different. The righty would be the odds-on favorite to win the closer gig in Houston, but his health is once again holding him back.
9. Joaquin Benoit, San Diego Padres – Stop us if you’ve heard this before: Huston Street is a little bit nicked up. While Street should be fine for the start of the season, it was 2009 when he last topped 60 innings in a season.
10. Tyler Clippard, Washington Nationals – Unlike several other relievers on this list, Tyler Clippard’s inclusion isn’t a knock on the guy ahead of him, as Rafael Soriano has strung together several perfectly decent seasons. Clippard is on here because he’s been one of the steadiest middle relievers in baseball the last three years, stepping in to the closer role in 2012 and picking up 32 saves. If Soriano gets hurt, Clippard will do it again.
11. Pedro Strop, Chicago Cubs – The Cubs signed Jose Veras to a one year deal to be their closer, which looks like the classic “sign a veteran stop gap closer and deal him at the deadline when the team is not contending” move. Those in deep leagues might want to stash Strop, who would likely take over the job if Veras is moved — or ineffective.
12. Mark Melancon, Pittsburgh Pirates – Jason Grilli is great, but he’s 37 and coming off Tommy John surgery.
13. Joel Peralta, Tampa Bay Rays – Grant Balfour is going through a dead arm period and has struggled so far this spring, and he already had a deal with the Orioles that fell through due to injury concerns. If Balfour misses time, Joel Peralta would be a solid fill in.
14. Josh Fields, Houston Astros – Probably the best healthy non-Qualls option in the Houston bullpen right now, Fields has said that he wants the closer job. He’s allowed 1 run in 4 innings this spring so far.
15. Darren O’Day, Baltimore Orioles – Tommy Hunter hasn’t actually been named closer yet, and though he throws hard, he’s never had the highest strikeout rate, which can be a problem for a stopper. Darren O’Day struggles against lefties, but has added a change-up as a potential equalizer this year.
March 13, 2014
Our top ten closers:
1. Craig Kimbrel, Atlanta Braves — Never a doubt; Kimbrel has been utterly unhittable since his rookie season in 2011.
2. Aroldis Chapman, Cincinnati Reds — Perhaps the best pure stuff in the game, although he walked a few more men than normal last year.
3. Kenley Jansen, Los Angeles Dodgers — For the first 4 1/2 years of his career, Jansen was a catcher who struck out in 27% of his at-bats. Over his last 4 1/2 years as a pitcher, he’s made hitters look even sillier, striking out 40% of batters faced.
4. Greg Holland, Kansas City Royals — Now we’ve reached the Big Four, the highest level of bullpen excellence. Holland has been fantastic over the past few years, and if the Royals continue their improvement, his stock could rise even further. He did get a high number of save opportunities last year.
5. Trevor Rosenthal, St. Louis Cardinals — We’re high on Rosenthal based on his electric work in set-up, but we can’t help but be a little leery of Jason Motte at the same time.
6. Koji Uehara, Boston Red Sox — Uehara has been very good ever since he entered the league in 2009, but his performance in 2013 was nothing short of shocking. He should have more save opportunities this year, and he remains an elite option, to be sure — but keep in mind that he turns 39 this April, and that he started in Japan for eight years, averaging 175 innings a year.
7. Joe Nathan, Detroit Tigers — The 39-year-old was fantastic last year, and he’ll close for a better team in 2014.
8. Glen Perkins, Minnesota Twins — The team was lousy, but it wasn’t his fault. The Twins should almost certainly improve, and Perkins’s job security is excellent.
9. David Robertson, New York Yankees — As the post-Mo era begins in the Bronx, we think Robertson will exhibit the talent to be a top-tier closer option, especially if he can improve his efficiency.
10. Jason Grilli, Pittsburgh Pirates — Had a great 2013, but he’s older than you might think, with lingering health concerns. Still the top option for a team good enough to win a lot, but not good enough to win by a lot.
Part two of our Closer Rankings:
11. Sergio Romo, San Francisco Giants — Romo hasn’t been throwing his slider this spring, so it’s not clear precisely what to make of his lousy spring numbers.
12. Ernesto Frieri, Los Angeles Angels — After a disturbingly high ERA last year, Mike Scioscia intends to use Frieri more sparingly this season.
13. Rafael Soriano, Washington Nationals — We just don’t trust Soriano, who has been getting shelled this spring — but I guess we trust the guys below even less.
14. Grant Balfour, Tampa Bay Rays — The irascible Australian, rejected by Baltimore, will be out to prove something to his division rivals.
15. Jim Johnson, Oakland A’s — A second straight year of 50 saves, sure, but don’t forget the nine blown saves either. Oakland will probably not present the same wealth of save opportunities as Baltimore has.
16. Jonathan Papelbon, Philadelphia Phillies — Decreased velocity and a plummeting strikeout rate drop the pricy Papelbon into the bottom half of our rankings.
17. Steve Cishek, Miami Marlins — Win a bet with your bullpen-ignorant friends: Cishek boasts the longest active string of successful saves, at 29.
18. Fernando Rodney, Seattle Mariners — Rodney’s astonishing one-off 2012 season, in which his 3.8 WAR doubled the total from his other ten years combined, makes him the “Gangnam Style” of relievers.
19. Casey Janssen, Toronto Blue Jays — Janssen has pitched well for Toronto over the last two seasons; his reputation suffers because of his subpar team and their hitter-friendly ballpark. A shoulder injury this spring could make his position more tenuous.
20. John Axford, Cleveland Indians — The Ax Man hopes to cut down his sky-high WHIP now that he’s no longer tipping his pitches. Cody Allen is lurking.
Part one of our Closer Rankings:
21. Jim Henderson, Milwaukee Brewers — Pitched very well last year and has a bobblehead giveaway to look forward to — but also has Brandon Kintzler and human bobblehead K-Rod on his heels.
22. Addison Reed, Arizona Diamondbacks — The closer who produced the widest variance in our rankings, Reed is either on the verge of a breakout year or about to lose a competition to J.J. Putz.
23. Nate Jones, Chicago White Sox — His tremendous strikeout rate and breakout potential have made him a trendy sleeper.
24. Bobby Parnell, New York Mets — Pitched well last year, but he’s coming off September neck surgery that caused him to lose 30 pounds. We’ll see how long Terry Collins’s “warm feeling” lasts.
25. Huston Street, San Diego Padres — Bad peripherals last year, a history of injuries, a tweaked groin, and Joaquin Benoit waiting behind him.
26. Tommy Hunter, Baltimore Orioles — A very good WHIP last year, but Hunter doesn’t miss enough bats and gives up too many home runs.
27. Neftali Feliz, Texas Rangers — As Joakim Soria excels and Feliz struggles to return from Tommy John surgery, Ron Washington is speaking of a closer committee and longing for “a guy who can get three outs.” Ominous.
28. Jose Veras, Chicago Cubs — If last year’s improvement in walk rate wasn’t permanent, Cubs fans will swear he’s a taller Marmol.
29. LaTroy Hawkins, Colorado Rockies — How long will the Rockies be able to keep Rex Brothers — who was three years old when Hawkins was drafted — in an eighth-inning role?
30. Chad Qualls, Houston Astros — A spotty history and two legitimate competitors combine to drop the ursine righthander to the bottom of our spring rankings. To add insult to injury, Matt Dominguez trounced him in the second round of Astros March Madness.
March 11, 2014
Baltimore Orioles – Tommy Hunter has the inside track to the closer role to begin the season after the Orioles traded away Jim Johnson during the offseason. Darren O’Day will be right on his heels however, as will former Marlin Ryan Webb. Webb didn’t wow anyone last year, but he does have a good sinker and can also baffle hitters with a slider and change-up. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Tommy Hunter, Set-up – Darren O’Day, 2nd in line – Ryan Webb.
Boston Red Sox – The World Series champs appeared destined for another mess in the bullpen last year until Koji Uehara came in and righted the ship en route to a spectacular season. He’ll start 2014 as the Sox closer, but time will tell if he can maintain the numbers he boasted last year. Waiting in the wings will be former Cardinals closer Edward Mujica, whom the Sox signed in December. He’ll likely begin the year as the primary eighth-inning guy, with reliable lefty Craig Breslow and Junichi Tazawa as seventh-inning options. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Koji Uehara, Set-up – Edward Mujica, 2nd in line – Craig Breslow.
New York Yankees – The ninth inning for the Yankees will look decidedly different in 2014 with the retirement of the legendary Mariano Rivera, and David Robertson will have some giant shoes to fill as the team’s new closer. The rest of the bullpen is full of question marks, with Shawn Kelley seemingly favored by manager Joe Girardi as the eight-inning option. Matt Thornton will be the team’s lefty specialist and will see time in the seventh. Dellin Betances has impressed this spring and Preston Claiborne will also be someone to watch. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – David Robertson, Set-up – Shawn Kelley, 2nd in line – Matt Thornton.
Tampa Bay Rays –Almost an Oriole, Grant Balfour returns to the Rays this season as the team’s closer. He was 38-of-41 in save opportunities last season in Oakland and will replace Fernando Rodney, who departed for Seattle. The Rays feel they have the best bullpen in baseball, and they have plenty of options behind Balfour. Juan Carlos Oviedo, Heath Bell, Joel Peralta and Jake McGee all figure to factor in Joe Maddon’s late-inning plans. Bell struggled last season, but if Peralta struggles Bell may see his more high-leverage time. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Grant Balfour, Set-up – Joel Peralta, 2nd in line – Heath Bell.
Toronto Blue Jays – Casey Janssen finds himself entrenched as the Blue Jays’ closer, and he’ll have a familiar cast of characters behind him. Sergio Santos will begin the season in the set-up role, while righty Steve Delabar should be called upon again in the seventh. Expect the Jays to use Brett Cecil again as a left-handed option out of the pen along with Delabar. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Casey Janssen, Set-up – Sergio Santos, 2nd in line – Steve Delabar.
Atlanta Braves — Craig Kimbrel has been a dominant force for the Braves over the last three years, and Atlanta still has plenty of quality arms surrounding him. Jordan Walden, a competent closer in his own right for the Angels in 2011, should be Kimbrel’s right-hand man, with David Carpenter and lefty Luis Avilan providing valuable late-inning help. Jonny Venters isn’t expected to return from his Tommy John rehab until May or June. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer — Craig Kimbrel; Set-up — Jordan Walden; 2nd in line — David Carpenter.
Miami Marlins – Steve Cishek pitched admirably down the stretch for a lousy team, and he’ll open 2014 in the closer role. A.J. Ramos and Mike Dunn are the only other sure things in the Fish pen — unless you count the incorrigible Carlos Marmol. We don’t. Mike Redmond isn’t yet sold on Carter Capps, but the ex-Mariner could work his way into a high-leverage role on the other side of the waves. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer — Steve Cishek; Set-up — A.J. Ramos; 2nd in line — Mike Dunn.
New York Mets – Pencil a healthy Bobby Parnell into the closer’s role, but after that, things get messy in Flushing. Young Vic Black received a vote of confidence at the end of 2013, but in the offseason, the team signed two aging ex-closers: Jose Valverde and Kyle Farnsworth. Neither veteran is a lock to make the roster out of spring training, but with Terry Collins’s affinity for experience in the late innings, we see Valverde and Francisco with an (undeserved) edge over Black and Gonzalez Germen. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer — Bobby Parnell; Set-up — Kyle Farnsworth; 2nd in line — Jose Valverde.
Philadelphia Phillies – This pen will go from bottom-five to top-five if Jonathan Papelbon is to be believed. On Thursday, Mike Adams will face hitters for the first time since his shoulder surgery, and Antonio Bastardo is coming off a 50-game PED suspension, so if the Phils are to see drastic improvement, it will have to start with the likes of B.J. Rosenberg, Justin De Fratus, and Jake Diekman. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer — Jonathan Papelbon; Set-up — B.J. Rosenberg (Mike Adams injured); 2nd in line — Justin De Fratus.
Washington Nationals – The Nats enjoy the rare luxury of bringing back every member of an unchanged hierarchy. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer — Rafael Soriano; Set-up — Tyler Clippard; 2nd in line — Drew Storen.
March 9, 2014
Chicago White Sox – The White Sox traded their closer Addison Reed in the off-season and Robin Ventura has not announced who will take over his job for 2014. Nate Jones and Matt Lindstrom seem to be the favorites for the job but both are battling injuries so far. Jones should be the leading candidate, as he is 6 years younger, has a fastball in the upper 90s, and was 8th among relievers with 89 strikeouts last year. However, Robin Ventura proved that he is unpredictable when he let Hector Santiago start out closing 2 years ago. Rookie Daniel Webb could also be an option. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Nate Jones, Set-up – Matt Lindstrom, 2nd in line – Daniel Webb.
Cleveland Indians –The Indians removed Chris Perez as closer at the end of last season and then cut him in the off-season. They brought in John Axford to close and they are hoping he is as successful at finishing games as he is at picking the Oscars. Cody Allen should serve as the primary set up man as he struck out 88 batters in 70 innings and finished with an ERA under 2.50 last season. Bryan Shaw and Vinnie Pestano could also be in the mix for saves if Axford struggles. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – John Axford, Set-up – Cody Allen, 2nd in line – Bryan Shaw.
Detroit Tigers – Joaquin Benoit, who led the Tigers in saves in 2014, is gone but they brought in a pretty good replacement: Joe Nathan. Nathan is coming off an incredible year in Texas and will take over as closer for the Tigers. If anything happens to the 39 year-old Nathan, young flamethrowers Bruce Rondon and Al Alburquerque could step in. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Joe Nathan, Set-up – Bruce Rondon, 2nd in line – Al Alburquerque.
Kansas City Royals – Greg Holland solidified himself as an elite closer last year, finishing the season with over 100 Ks and a WHIP under 1. Luke Hochevar was a solid set up man last year but he will have Tommy John surgery and miss the entire season. Kelvin Herrera should step in as the primary set up man, with Aaron Crow also seeing some time in the later innings. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Greg Holland, Set-up – Kelvin Herrera, 2nd in line – Aaron Crow.
Minnesota Twins – The Twins will return most of their key bullpen arms from last year and didn’t make any big adds to their relief corps. Glen Perkins will be the closer again, with Jared Burton and Casey Fien setting him up. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Glen Perkins, Set-up – Jared Burton, 2nd in line – Casey Fien.
Chicago Cubs – The Cubs signed Jose Veras to a one year deal and he should start the season as their closer. The Cubs used Pedro Strop as their primary set-up man after they traded for him towards the end of last year and he should resume that role again to start 2014. Hector Rondon was mentioned as a potential closer, along with Strop, prior to the Cubs signing Veras. Arodys Vizcaino might be a guy to keep an eye on as he is a youngster with electric stuff. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Jose Veras, Set-up – Pedro Strop, 2nd in line – Hector Rondon.
Cincinnati Reds – Aroldis Chapman is already one of the best closers in baseball and could be even better this year now that he feels more at home off the field. J.J. Hoover and Sam LeCure will see time in the 7th and 8th innings. Jonathan Broxton is working his way back from injury but could factor into the late innings if he proves he is healthy. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Aroldis Chapman, Set-up – J.J. Hoover, 2nd in line – Sam LeCure.
Milwaukee Brewers – Jim Henderson quietly converted 28 of his 32 save opportunities last year and will begin the season as the closer for the Brewers. Brandon Kintzler was one of the better set-up men in baseball the second half of last season. The Brewers also brought back K-Rod and he could jump ahead of Kintzler if something happens to Henderson, based on his closing experience. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Jim Henderson, Set-up – Brandon Kintzler, 2nd in line – Francisco Rodriguez.
Pittsburgh Pirates– Jason Grilli is the closer for the Pirates and was very good when healthy last season. However he is 37 years old and missed time last year with a right forearm injury. Luckily for Pirates fans they have Mark Melancon, and his 1.39 ERA, waiting to step in if anything happens to Grilli. Tony Watson should round out the back end of the Pirates bullpen. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Jason Grilli, Set-up – Mark Melancon, 2nd in line – Tony Watson.
St. Louis Cardinals– At age 23, Trevor Rosenthal had one of the best seasons of any closers last year and will start the year as closer in 2014. Jason Motte is coming back from Tommy John surgery and might not be ready for the start of the season but should see time in set-up role if he is ready to go. Kevin Siegrist, and his 0.45 ERA, will be used in the 7th and 8th innings. Carlos Martinez is competing for a rotation spot but could factor into the late innings if he ends up in the bullpen instead. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Trevor Rosenthal, Set-up – Jason Motte, 2nd in line – Kevin Siegrist.
March 7, 2014
Houston Astros – The Astros enter 2014 with one of the most wide open bullpens in all of baseball. After stumbling to the finish line in 2013 with one of the worst cadre of relievers in recent memory, Houston picked up Chad Qualls, Matt Albers, and Jesse Crain to bolster the back end of their bullpen. Josh Fields, Chia-Jen Lo, Josh Zeid, and Kevin Chapman are among those likely to fill out the bullpen, and depending how it shakes out, nearly any of those guys could conceivably be the closer by the end of April. We like Qualls out of the gate, as manager Bo Porter said in February that he values Qualls’s previous experience. Fields finished the season as closer last year, and has said openly that he wants the job, so he could be Qualls’s early competition. Crain would likely be challenging for the position as well, were he not a little bit nicked up. And though Zeid finished last season strong, we’ll give the 2nd in line spot to Albers, based on his tenure. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Chad Qualls, Set-up – Josh Fields (Jesse Crain injured), 2nd in line – Matt Albers.
Los Angeles Angels – Despite some rocky stretches last year, Ernesto Frieri enters 2014 as the unquestioned closer for the Angels. The first man behind him should be Joe Smith, who got a big offseason contract, while Kevin Jepsen and Dane de la Rosa figure to feature prominently in the 7th inning. Mike Scioscia has always liked Kevin Jepsen, who the Angels hope will return to form after an injury-plagued 2013. De la Rosa finished last year strong, but we’ll give a slight edge to Jepsen, who manager Mike Scioscia has always liked. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Ernesto Frieri, Set-up – Joe Smith, 2nd in line – Kevin Jepsen.
Oakland A’s – The A’s brought Jim Johnson in to be their new stopper, and gave him a contract big enough to ensure his early-season job security. Not much else to see here, as Sean Doolittle and Ryan Cook will likely share 8th inning duties again. Cook has been recovering from some tendinitis, but is confident he’ll be ready for the season. If he can’t go, the newly-acquired Luke Gregerson will slide up into his spot. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Jim Johnson, Set-up – Sean Doolittle, 2nd in line – Ryan Cook.
Seattle Mariners – Danny Farquhar spent much of 2013 putting up phenomenal peripherals that the Mariners just didn’t trust for some reason, waiting until August to hand him the closer job. Well, not much has changed — the Mariners still don’t trust Farquhar, and scooped up the enigmatic Fernando Rodney to be their 9th inning man. If Rodney puts up 2012 numbers, then obviously Farquhar will never sniff the job. If Rodney puts up 2013 numbers, then Farquhar could win it pretty quickly. Tom Wilhelmsen is lurking as well, and starts the season in our 2nd in line position, while Stephen Pryor is still seen as the closer of the future in Seattle, and continues to work his way back from injury. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Fernando Rodney, Set-up – Danny Farquhar, 2nd in line – Tom Wilhelmsen.
Texas Rangers – The Rangers have said this is an open competition. But they’ve also suggested that they want Neftali Feliz to win the job, and yesterday, Feliz gave them reason to think that he will. So for now, we like him to beat out Joakim Soria for the job. Tanner Scheppers and Robbie Ross, both among the best middle relievers in baseball last year, both reportedly have their eye on the 5th starter job. They’re probably both too valuable to demote if they can’t crack the rotation, so one of them could get shuttled back to the bullpen by the end of spring training. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Neftali Feliz, Set-up – Joakim Soria, 2nd in line – Tanner Scheppers.
Arizona Diamondbacks – The Diamondbacks picked up Addison Reed in the offseason, but in a somewhat surprising move, have not handed him the closer gig. GM Kevin Towers said in February that the closer role will be a competition between Reed and J.J. Putz, a statement backed up by Kirk Gibson yesterday. As the D-Backs prep for their season opener in Australia, we’ll keep a close eye on this situation — so far, the pitchers have nearly identical spring stats, both having given up 1 run in three innings. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Addison Reed, Set-up – J.J. Putz, 2nd in line – Brad Ziegler.
Colorado Rockies – Rex Brothers’s quest to become the full-time Rockies closer will have to wait for at least a little while, as the Rockies signed the 41-year-old LaTroy Hawkins in the offseason. Walt Weiss has already named Hawkins the closer, though the aging righty will probably need to be rested from time to time, making Brothers an appealing option for vulture saves. Returning to the Colorado bullpen behind them are Matt Belisle and Wilton Lopez, though former Yankee Boone Logan has the early edge for the 2nd in line job after a solid 2013 campaign. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – LaTroy Hawkins, Set-up – Rex Brothers, 2nd in line – Boone Logan.
Los Angeles Dodgers – The Dodgers have unlimited money, which allows them to do silly things like pay Brian Wilson $10 million. Though The Beard won’t close — Kenley Jansen finally has a firm grasp on that job — his contract means he’s almost assuredly the set-up man. Behind Jansen and Wilson is another former closer looking to return to form, as Chris Perez is in town on a 1-year deal. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Kenley Jansen, Set-up – Brian Wilson, 2nd in line – Chris Perez.
San Diego Padres – The Padres brought in veteran Joaquin Benoit to bolster their bullpen after losing Luke Gregerson to the A’s, but Huston Street is still the closer for the foreseeable future. Benoit will set-up, while Dale Thayer is a good bet for 7th inning work. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Huston Street, Set-up – Joaquin Benoit, 2nd in line – Dale Thayer.
San Francisco Giants – The Giants bullpen looks very similar to last year’s edition, with Sergio Romo closing and Santiago Casilla right behind him. Javier Lopez and Jean Machi will handle the 7th inning, though future closer Heath Hembree is worth watching. Starting 2014 hierarchy: Closer – Sergio Romo, Set-up – Santiago Casilla, 2nd in line – Javier Lopez.
