Ross Ohlendorf is on the trolley!

May 23, 2015

Texas Rangers — We expected that Shawn Tolleson and Keone Kela would get Friday off after some heavy usage. What we didn’t figure was that Jeff Bannister would call on Ross Ohlendorf and his Jazz Age delivery to pick up the save. Ohlendorf, who was in the minors all last year and got called up just last week, also pitched in a key set-up role on Wednesday, so we’ll reluctantly move him into the hierarchy, for now. But don’t run out to grab the Dorf just yet; this has a lot more to do with Bannister’s evidently lower opinion of Neftali Feliz and Tanner Scheppers. If either can get back in the good graces of the manager, Ross can go back to wooing flappers over glasses of giggle juice.

Updated hierarchy: *Tolleson | Kela | Ohlendorf.
* = closer-by-committee

Cincinnati Reds — Jumbo Diaz continues to struggle, giving up two runs last night to run his ERA to 7.16. Meanwhile, J.J. Hoover hasn’t allowed a run since April 21 (12.1 innings); over that period, Hoover has more strikeouts (11) than baserunners allowed (8).

Updated hierarchy: Chapman | Cingrani | Hoover.

Cleveland Indians — We think Zach McAllister, who got the call again in the eighth last night (albeit with a four-run lead), has moved ahead of Bryan Shaw, who gave up two runs on Thursday. McAllister has allowed one run (and struck out 21) in his last 12 appearances.

Updated hierarchy: Allen | McAllister | Shaw.

Washington Nationals — Casey Janssen has returned from the disabled list, but Matt Williams wasn’t quite sure how he’ll use him. Second in line seems a fair estimate until we get more information.

Updated hierarchy: Storen | Barrett | Janssen.

Milwaukee Brewers — Will Smith will appeal the eight-game suspension he received Friday for going clear with a rosin/sunscreen mixture, intended to keep him from getting too wicky-wicky-wild. Jeremy Jeffress, Brandon Kintzler, and Tommy Lee Jones are likely to become more relevant during Smith’s eventual absence.

Hierarchy remains: Rodriguez | Broxton | Smith.

VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Aaron Barrett/Casey Janssen, Washington Nationals — Drew Storen has pitched in three of the last four games (45 pitches).
2. Enrique Burgos, Arizona Diamondbacks — Brad Ziegler hasn’t thrown a ton of pitches, but he’s gone on three straight days.
3. Jake McGee, Tampa Bay Rays — Brad Boxberger has gotten three straight save opportunities, and McGee is still theoretically in the mix.

Brad Ziegler picks up first save; Brewers’ Will Smith gets jiggy with foreign substance

May 22, 2015

Arizona Diamondbacks — Brad Ziegler picked up his first save since June 2014 in a 6-5 win for the Diamondbacks. Manager Chip Hale said before the game that Enrique Burgos, who earned the first two saves after Addison Reed was demoted, was unavailable for Thursday night’s game. Hale explained afterward that although Burgos would continue to get save chances, the team would use him carefully. Reed, meanwhile, pitched a scoreless eighth inning to garner his first hold of the season. He has not allowed a run since his demotion. For now, Ziegler stays at the head of this uncertain bullpen.

Hierarchy remains: *Ziegler | Burgos | Reed.
*closer by committee

Texas Rangers — Shawn Tolleson converted his second save since taking over as head of the Rangers’ closer committee. Manager Jeff Bannister said after the game that the committee remains in place, but called Tolleson “a viable guy there.” Neftali Feliz was seen warming up in the later innings, but he never made it into the game. Instead, Bannister turned to Keone Kela in perhaps the most important spot in the game; Kela (2.25 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) pitched well, tossing 1.1 innings of scoreless relief and retiring the side in order in the eighth inning.

Updated hierarchy: *Tolleson | Kela | Feliz.
* = closer-by-committee

Milwaukee Brewers — Umpire Jim Joyce pulled an “Uncle Phil” and threw Will Smith out… of the game in the seventh inning Thursday due to a foreign substance found on his arm. Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez asked officials to check Smith, who threw just four pitches and hit the only batter he faced before getting tossed. A suspension is possible for Smith, who hurled a bunch of profanities at Gonzalez on his way off the field.

Hierarchy remains: Rodriguez | Broxton | Smith.

Atlanta Braves — Fredi Gonzalez’s decision to point out Will Smith’s foreign substance proved masterful, as his Braves followed up with a 7-spot in the 7th inning to win 10-1. Lost in all the drama was the performance from Brandon Cunniff, who tossed a scoreless inning in the eighth. The rookie now sports a 1.93 ERA and 0.71 WHIP, and opposing hitters are hitting just .048 this season against him, the lowest mark in the majors. He has allowed eight walks, so we’ll be watching his control, but he’s pitched well enough to earn a promotion to the Braves hierarchy.

Updated hierarchy: Grilli | Johnson | Cunniff.

Miami Marlins — A quick look at the box score would lead you to believe that Steve Cishek pitched pretty well Thursday night, tossing 1.2 scoreless innings. Dig deeper, though, and you’ll see that Cishek entered a tie game and allowed both inherited runners to score, coughing up yet another lead. We’re making note of it because GM-turned-manager Dan Jennings used the demoted Cishek in a tight situation, albeit in the sixth inning. Perhaps Jennings is trying to justify Cishek’s $6.65 million salary.

Hierarchy remains: Ramos | Dunn | Morris.

Detroit Tigers – Bruce Rondon wasn’t terribly effective in his first rehab outing on Thursday, but the Tigers are just happy that he looked healthy. He still has at least three rehab outings ahead of him before he can return to the big club and buttress its mediocre middle-inning options.

Hierarchy remains: Soria | Chamberlain | Gorzelanny.

VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Enrique Burgos, Arizona Diamondbacks — Burgos was unavailable for Thursday night’s game and Brad Ziegler got his first save. The D-Backs could turn right back to Burgos in the 9th if the situation comes up Friday night.
2. Keone Kela/Neftali Feliz, Texas Rangers — Shawn Tolleson has saves in back-to-back nights, and Kela tossed 1.1 high-intensity innings Thursday, so Feliz could get the call in what continues to be a committee situation in Texas.
3. Jake McGee, Tampa Bay Rays — Brad Boxberger has been great (1.13 ERA, 12 saves) this season, but former closer Jake McGee is also an endgame option for Tampa.

Weekly Hot Seat Update: May 22, 2015

With Addison Reed and Neftali Feliz now stuck in committees behind more effective pitchers, who’s left to discuss on the Hot Seat? You (and your leaguemates) already know Sean Doolittle is on a rehab assignment, giving up hard singles to Josh Hamilton, and planning to return as soon as this weekend. It’s no secret that Brett Cecil and Jason Grilli can’t be trusted, or that A.J. Ramos, Brad Ziegler, and Shawn Tolleson are the best guys to own in less-than-perfect situations. So today, let’s dig a little deeper — and find some possibly overvalued closers you might be able to flip for a profit. It’s the Selling High(-ish) edition of the Hot Seat.

1. Greg Holland
We know Holland has been phenomenal ever since he seized the closer’s role in Kansas City in July 2012. But this season, he has as many walks as strikeouts (6) and, given his history of stints on the disabled list, the stiff neck that kept him out on Tuesday looms ominously. Holland’s 0.90 ERA might look fantastic but, as Bill James once wrote, there are lizards hiding in the cellar: namely, a Jeremy Guthrie-esque K-rate, a .154 BABIP, and a 14% increase in batter contact that, together, scream reversion. Yes, he’s pitched only 10 innings this year, and he could always bounce back and make us look silly, but if you can score a superstar return from a guy with the sixth-highest FIP among closers, do it — and don’t ever look back.

2. John Axford
Okay. Not quite as exciting as the last guy. Not quite the same history of recent success. Not quite the same expected return. But if you’re in a league with an owner in thrall to the surface stats, and you’re okay rolling the dice with Closer Monkey for the next exciting new option, why not let Axford’s “proven closer” status and delightful 1.13 ERA speak for itself? After all, his K-BB% ratios for the last five years are 20-17-13-11-9 — and friends, you don’t want to be the one depending on the Ax Man to keep that neat little disappearing act profitable.

3. Mark Melancon
We mentioned Mark last week, and all he’s done since is further lower his K rate, make three more appearances (including 50 pitches last weekend), and have his pitching coach defend him as “a winner.” True enough; we just think the best way he can help you win is by turning himself into a quality infielder. Same goes, to a lesser extent, for Joakim Soria, whose numbers aren’t on the verge of collapse, but do look unsustainable. He even blew his first save today (sorry we didn’t post this sooner!).

Just remember — if you don’t want to pay for saves (and you shouldn’t), then you don’t want to overvalue them either. Keep track of your closers and hang onto the truly dominant — but don’t be afraid to flip a guy before luck (or mediocrity) catches up to him.

Zach McAllister making impact in Cleveland bullpen

May 21, 2015

Cleveland Indians – Zach McAllister pitched the eighth inning ahead of Cody Allen last night. Despite taking a loss on Monday, he has found himself pitching in higher-leverage spots as of late mainly due to his ability to make hitters miss with a 10.8 K/9 ratio. Manager Terry Francona recently praised McAllister and his usage suggests that he may get a crack at save opportunities if Cody Allen, who allowed another run on Wednesday, is unavailable.

Updated hierarchy: Allen | Shaw | McAllister.

Texas Rangers – Shawn Tolleson converted his first save opportunity as the head of the Texas committee. It wasn’t as smooth as he would have liked, as he gave up a double and an intentional walk, but he got the job done. It was a true committee leading up to the ninth, as utility pitcher Ross Ohlendorf was used in the eighth, combining with Alex Claudio and Tanner Scheppers to hold the Red Sox scoreless. Manager Jeff Banister was happy with his bullpen’s performance, and guys like Scheppers and Tolleson seem to be buying in to the committee. Still of interest is where Neftali Feliz, who had thrown 23 pitches on Tuesday, fits in all of this, and we may find out on Thursday if the Rangers have a late lead. For now, it appears that a cavalcade of pitchers will be used ahead of Tolleson on any given night.

Hierarchy remains: *Tolleson | Feliz | Scheppers.
* = closer-by-committee

Kansas City Royals — Greg Holland is feeling better after dealing with a stiff neck on Tuesday and is once again ready for regular duty in the ninth inning.

Hierarchy remains: Holland | Davis | Herrera.

VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Bryan Shaw, Cleveland Indians – Cody Allen has appeared in two straight, tossing 38 pitches.

Luke Gregerson unavailable Wednesday; Holland held out with stiff neck

May 20, 2015

Houston Astros –Luke Gregerson entered the ninth with a four-run lead, but he allowed two earned runs on two hits and two walks before Pat Neshek recorded the final out for his first save of the season. After the game, manager A.J. Hinch said Gregerson will be unavailable on Wednesday because of his recent workload. Hinch also wasn’t sure if Gregerson’s recent struggles are related to off-field matters that put him on the bereavement list earlier in the month, but seemed to stand by his closer after the Astros got off to their best 40-game start in franchise history.

Hierarchy remains: Gregerson | Qualls | Neshek.

Kansas City Royals –Wade Davis picked up his seventh save of the season in the absence of Greg Holland, who woke up with a stiff neck and was unavailable on Tuesday. Doesn’t seem too serious, but Wade Davis may get another chance if Holland is still not 100%.

Hierarchy remains: Holland | Davis | Herrera.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Enrique Burgos secured his second save in as many games, as predicted in the Vulture Save Watch. Prior to the game, manager Chip Hale said that Brad Ziegler was his top option to close, though he also wanted to stay away from him on Tuesday after Monday’s lengthy outing. As far as Burgos goes, Hale mentioned postgame that he’ll continue to “see what the matchups look like.”

Hierarchy remains: *Ziegler | Burgos | Reed.
* = closer-by-committee

Tampa Bay Rays — Jake McGee grabbed his first hold of 2015, setting up Brad Boxberger for his 11th save of the season. McGee now has four strikeouts in two innings since his return, and he is the sensible candidate to pitch directly ahead of Brad Boxberger. However, manager Kevin Cash has repeatedly reminded us that he’s playing matchups, meaning McGee and Boxberger can swap spots on a whim.

Hierarchy remains: *Boxberger | McGee | Jepsen.
* closer-by-committee

VULTURE SAVE WATCH
1. Chad Qualls, Houston Astros – As noted above, Luke Gregerson will be unavailable tonight.
2. Wade Davis, Kansas City Royals – Davis may get another save chance tonight if Greg Holland’s stiff neck is still an issue.