Ryne Stanek logs first Marlins save in over a month

August 26, 2019

Toronto Blue Jays – Ken Giles returned from the paternity list and should resume closing immediately. Look for Derek Law to join Jason Adam and others in bridging the gap to Giles.

Updated hierarchy: Giles | Law | Adam.

Miami Marlins – The Marlins posted their first save in over a month, and it was deadline acquisition Ryne Stanek who did the honors. We’ll bump him to the top of the hierarchy and watch to see what the Marlins do once Jose Urena comes back.

Updated hierarchy: *Stanek | Garcia | Quijada.
* = closer-by-committee


Kansas City Royals – After Ian Kennedy blew the save in the 9th, the Royals regained the lead, and Jorge Lopez closed out the 10th for his first save of the season. Despite the bad outing, Kennedy has been mostly solid and shouldn’t lose the job any time soon.

Hierarchy remains: Kennedy | Barlow | Hill.

VULTURE SAVE WATCH
Today

1. Yoan Lopez – Archie Bradley threw 33 pitches across 1.1 innings yesterday.
2. Jorge Lopez – Ian Kennedy threw 29 pitches in a rough outing yesterday, while Scott Barlow, Tim Hill, and Kevin McCarthy are all overworked. Lopez could make it two saves in two days.

Tomorrow
1. Tony Watson – If Will Smith goes today, it’ll be three straight.
2. Andres Munoz/Craig Stammen – If Kirby Yates or Andres Munoz goes today, it’ll be three straight.
3. Kyle Crick – If Felipe Vazquez goes today, it’ll be back to back and three of four.

Wade Davis’s nightmare season continues

August 20, 2019

St. Louis Cardinals – Carlos Martinez got the day off on Monday after a 21-pitch outing Sunday, allowing Andrew Miller to capture his fifth save of the season.

Hierarchy remains: Martinez | Miller | Gallegos.

Texas Rangers – Rafael Montero pitched the 10th and 11th innings on Monday, earning the win and lowering his ERA to 1.20 over 15 innings with the Rangers. Montero, who earned his second hold earlier this week, has joined Emmanuel Clase as late-inning options in the lead-up to Shawn Kelley and Jose Leclerc.

Updated hierarchy: Leclerc | Kelley | Montero.

Colorado Rockies – Summoned in a tie game in the 8th inning, Wade Davis gave up 3 earned runs for the second straight night. Jake McGee got the final out of the inning. We’re bumping Davis from this hierarchy temporarily until he has a good outing.

Updated hierarchy: *Estevez | Diaz | Shaw.
* = closer-by-committee


VULTURE SAVE WATCH
Today

1. Andres Munoz – Kirby Yates has gone three straight.
2. Ryan Pressly – Roberto Osuna has gone back to back and three of four.
3. Yoan Lopez – Archie Bradley has gone back to back and three of four.

Tomorrow
1. Andres Munoz/Craig Stammen – It’s conceivable that the Padres give Kirby Yates two days off after he threw 67 pitches over the last three nights.
2. Ty Buttrey – If Hansel Robles goes tonight, it’ll be back to back and three of four.
3. Scott Barlow – Ian Kennedy labored through a 26-pitch save last night; another long outing tonight and he’ll be off Wednesday.

Scott Oberg and Sean Doolittle on IL; Craig Kimbrel returns

August 19, 2019

New York Mets – Taking a 6-run lead into the 9th inning, the Mets went to Edwin Diaz to close it out, and Diaz posted his first 1-2-3 inning since July 21. Given recent usage, it seems the Mets’ plan going forward is that Lugo will get save chances if he’s available, while Diaz is probably the first option if he isn’t. As mentioned before, Lugo has trouble going on back to back nights, so Diaz is probably still in line for a handful of save chances down the stretch.

Updated hierarchy: *Lugo | Diaz | Wilson.
* = closer-by-committee


Colorado Rockies – On Sunday morning, the Rockies placed Scott Oberg on the IL with a blood clot in his arm — reportedly, his season is over — and it took all of several hours for his replacement, Wade Davis, to blow the first subsequent Rockies save chance. We figured Davis would get the first look, but what happens now is anyone’s guess. Jake McGee, Carlos Estevez, and Bryan Shaw have all closed at various points in their career; of those three, only Estevez has pitched well as of late. Jairo Diaz could also get a look, as he’s got a high strikeout rate. We’ll slide Estevez to the top of the committee for now with the caveat that this is an educated guess at best. Complicating matters is that Estevez has gone three innings in the last two days and won’t pitch today; if someone else has success then they could easily vault him.

Updated hierarchy: *Estevez | Diaz | Davis.
* = closer-by-committee


Miami Marlins – Ryne Stanek got the 9th inning for the Marlins on Sunday, but gave up two runs and blew the save. He was a little unlucky, as one of the runs was unearned, but Stanek hasn’t been sharp since joining the Marlins (9.64 ERA over 5 appearances) so there’s no reason to think he’s the favorite for more saves going forward. We’ll continue to monitor this situation, but only owners in deep leagues should be rostering a Marlins reliever at this point.

Hierarchy remains: *Garcia | Quijada | Stanek.
* = closer-by-committee


Chicago Cubs – Craig Kimbrel was activated from the IL on Sunday morning, and immediately got the 9th inning, albeit with the Cubs up by 7 runs. Kimbrel got the first two outs of the inning, also allowing a solo home run and a hit by pitch, before Pedro Strop got the last out. It seems likely that the Cubs, which have had a rather disastrous bullpen stretch in recent weeks, will ease Kimbrel back into the role sooner rather than later.

Updated hierarchy: *Kimbrel | Strop | Wick.
* = closer-by-committee

Washington Nationals
– The Nationals placed Sean Doolittle on the IL on Sunday with right knee tendinitis. Daniel Hudson has been the most effective arm in the bullpen lately and is likely the best bet for saves in the near future. Hunter Strickland could also get a look.

Updated hierarchy: *Hudson | Strickland | Rodney
* = closer-by-committee


VULTURE SAVE WATCH
Today/tomorrow

1. Andres Munoz/Craig Stammen – Kirby Yates has thrown 45 pitches over the last two days and could get today off. If he does go, watch for usage to predict tomorrow’s closer; if Andres Munoz goes tonight, it’ll be three straight for him, too.

Tomorrow
1. John Gant – Carlos Martinez threw 21 pitches yesterday; another extended outing and he’ll be off Tuesday.
2. Ryan Pressly/Will Harris – If Roberto Osuna or Ryan Pressly go tonight, it’ll be back to back and three of four.

Sam Dyson, Jose Alvarado return from the IL

August 14, 2019

Minnesota Twins – The Twins activated Sam Dyson from the IL on Tuesday and immediately sent him into a high-leverage spot. Dyson responded with a perfect eighth inning ahead of Sergio Romo, who closed out a 7-5 win since Taylor Rogers was unavailable. Rogers has struggled when pitching a second consecutive day, so it’s likely that Romo sees some more frequent save chances going forward as the Twins try and manage Rogers’ workload.

Updated hierarchy: *Rogers | Romo | Dyson.
* = closer-by-committee

Tampa Bay Rays – Jose Alvarado returned from the IL on Tuesday and immediately saw some high-leverage work, getting the ball in the eighth inning with his team ahead by three. It wasn’t the easiest inning for Alvarado, who committed one of two Rays errors in the frame and allowed one run. He did get two outs, however, and had good velocity on his fastball. Kevin Cash said before the game that he will likely slot Alvarado into high-leverage situations, and that’s exactly what happened. We’ll update our hierarchy accordingly, with Diego Castillo, Nick Anderson, Chaz Roe and Colin Poche also expected to be in the mix for holds and save chances at any given moment.

Updated hierarchy: *Pagan | Alvarado | Castillo.
* = closer-by-committee

Boston Red Sox — Prior to Tuesday’s game, Alex Cora said that Nathan Eovaldi was likely to start Wednesday’s game and that he will build up to eventually rejoin the starting rotation. Of course, that was only if Eovaldi didn’t pitch in relief on Tuesday, and sure enough it was Eovaldi who pitched the Sox out of an eighth-inning jam (on just six pitches) to preserve a one-run lead that Brandon Workman blew in the following frame. That led to Andrew Cashner, whose terrible pitching is the reason Eovaldi is moving back to the rotation in the first place, to pick up his first career save in the 10th inning. Cashner’s save opportunity was by chance – he was going to pitch the 10th anyway – but the bigger story is Eovaldi’s usage. He will be available out of the bullpen today, but his time on our hierarchy is done for now.

Updated hierarchy: Workman | Barnes | Taylor.

Washington Nationals – We predicted that Sean Doolittle would get a night off on Tuesday, but it was Daniel Hudson who picked up a four-out save, not Fernando Rodney. In fact, Rodney didn’t even pitch in last night’s 3-1 win; it was Hunter Strickland and Wander Suero who got the ball to Hudson. We’ll move Hudson into Rodney’s spot in the hierarchy based on last night, but with all the new relievers pitching well since arriving in Washington, Dave Martinez can be flexible on when to deploy his top arms in the late innings. Don’t be too surprised to see Rodney back in a high-leverage spot soon.

Updated hierarchy: Doolittle | Hudson | Strickland.

Atlanta Braves – Mark Melancon locked down his second save of the season, pitching the first 1-2-3 inning by a Braves reliever in a save situation since July 15. Luke Jackson completed a clean seventh inning to maintain a 5-1 lead, but Shane Greene’s struggles continued and he gave up two more runs in the eighth to create the save situation. Greene has allowed 13 hits and seven earned runs in 4.1 innings with the Braves. We’ll see how much longer Brian Snitker keeps running him out there with a lead.

Hierarchy remains: *Melancon | Jackson | Greene.
* = closer-by-committee

San Diego Padres — Craig Stammen has struggled lately, having allowed a run in each of his last three appearances. That includes one run in the sixth inning last night, which was unearned because of a throwing error Stammen himself committed. If Kirby Yates is unavailable, it makes sense to let potential future closer Andres Munoz have a crack at the ninth inning over Stammen.

Updated hierarchy: Yates | Munoz | Stammen.

Toronto Blue Jays – Ken Giles looks like he will avoid another IL stint after he walked one and struck out another to record a save yesterday. The Jays should continue to be careful with Giles’ workload, but it’s a good sign that he was able to pitch without any issue last night.

Hierarchy remains: Giles | Law | Shafer.

VULTURE SAVE WATCH
Today

1. Tony Watson – Will Smith threw 37 pitches last night and has appeared in three of the last four days.
2. Jose Quijada – Don’t rely on Marlins’ relievers for saves. Now that we got that out of the way, Jarlin Garcia has pitched in three of the last four days.
3. Derek Law – The Jays may not want to throw Ken Giles out there on consecutive days.

Chris Martin is on the Braves and Archie Bradley is closing games

July 31, 2019

Atlanta Braves – The Braves acquired Chris Martin from the Rangers last night, though he is not expected to join the team in time for this afternoon’s game. Brian Snitker did not offer clarity on how he would deploy his newest arm, but current closer Luke Jackson didn’t help his own case on Tuesday as he gave up three runs in a non-save situation. Jackson has struggled recently and Anthony Swarzak has posted two straight bad outings. Nothing is official yet, and Snitker may not want to outright remove Jackson from the ninth inning, but Martin is probably the team’s best option at the moment. We’ll slide Martin to the top of the hierarchy and see if Snitker follows our lead.

Updated hierarchy: *Martin | Jackson | Swarzak.

Texas Rangers – The Rangers traded Chris Martin to the Braves on Tuesday, which leaves Jose Leclerc as the team’s top option for saves until Shawn Kelley returns from the IL. If Leclerc also gets dealt, then Brett Martin will lead his fellow rookie relievers (four pitched last night, including Brett) and veteran Jesse Chavez in what will be a hard-to-trust bullpen until Kelley is healthy again.

Updated hierarchy: Leclerc | B.Martin. | Chavez.

Arizona Diamondbacks – The first save of the post-Greg Holland era went to Archie Bradley, who after ensuring conditions were perfect, extended his scoreless streak to 12.1 innings thanks to 1.1 innings of work on Tuesday. After the game, Torey Lovullo stopped short of anointing Bradley as his new closer, but he did say that he liked what he saw and wouldn’t hesitate to go to him again. Lovullo also said he’d be willing to use lefty Andrew Chafin in the ninth if the matchups were right. We’ll slide Bradley to the top of the committee ahead of Yoan Lopez and Yoshihisa Hirano based on Tuesday’s usage.

Updated hierarchy: *Bradley | Lopez | Hirano.
* = closer-by-committee

Toronto Blue Jays — Ken Giles received a cortisone shot in his elbow on Tuesday and will be cleared to play catch in two days, after which he will be day-to-day. It’s probably a good sign that the Jays didn’t just send him right to the IL, but that could also be a show for any interested suitors, if they still exist. It’s more likely that teams try and secure the services of either Daniel Hudson or Joe Biagini instead of Giles at this point. If both Hudson and Biagini join David Phelps as traded Jays, and Giles requires another IL stint, a guy like Tim Mayza could be closing games for Toronto.

Updated hierarchy: Giles | Hudson | Biagini.

Cincinnati Reds – They say, “Papa didn’t take no mess.” Well neither does Amir Garrett. The Reds reliever put on quite the performance as part of last night’s brawl, and fantasy owners should expect Garrett to face a lengthy suspension once MLB dishes out its punishment. As for Raisel Iglesias, he could certainly still be traded despite the Reds dealing for Trevor Bauer last night, but it seems more likely that he stays now unless a real contender matches the high price tag. 

Hierarchy remains: Iglesias | Lorenzen | Garrett.

Pittsburgh Pirates – It was quite the night at the fights last night for the Pirates in Cincinnati. On the undercard, Keone Kela threw at a guy’s head and then later told Joey Votto that he could be next. That led to the main event, when the Reds’ Amir Garrett charged the entire Pirates dugout and Kyle Crick was right in the middle of it. Expect some suspensions to come from this. In non-boxing news, the price tag for Felipe Vazquez remains high and it seems unlikely any team, including the Dodgers, gives the Pirates what they want. There is of course a chance that someone like Kela is traded; he’s a reliever that NL teams may be interested in just for safety’s sake.

Hierarchy remains: Vazquez | Crick | Kela.

Chicago Cubs — Pedro Strop is back on the 10-day IL with left neck tightness. That probably means more high-leverage work for Steve Cishek, though newly acquired David Phelps could also be a dark horse candidate for a hold or two during Strop’s absence.

Updated hierarchy: Kimbrel | Kintzler | Cishek.

New York Mets — Edwin Diaz didn’t exactly help his trade value on Tuesday night as he blew a 2-1 lead in the ninth inning by throwing a lot of pitches that weren’t close to the strike zone. If Diaz does get traded, Seth Lugo should take over the ninth inning in Flushing while Diaz’s fantasy value will be dictated by his destination.

Hierarchy remains: Diaz | Lugo | Familia.

Los Angeles Dodgers — Julio Urias opened Tuesday’s game and allowed two earned runs over 2.2 innings and 61 pitches. Tony Gonsolin pitched the final four innings to collect his first career save in just his second career MLB appearance. Urias’ last save was a three-inning effort on June 13, and while he is a versatile option out of the bullpen for Dave Roberts, it’s more likely Pedro Baez gets a save chance than Urias.

Updated hierarchy: Jansen | Kelly | Baez.

Philadelphia Phillies — The Phillies acquired free agent Blake Parker on Tuesday. Parker, who had been designated for assignment by the Twins, could break into the hierarchy pretty quickly in Philadelphia. We’ll see how Gabe Kapler plans to utilize his newest arm, but it wouldn’t be surprising if Parker soon sees some high-leverage work alongside recent addition to the bullpen Nick Pivetta.

Hierarchy remains: Neris | Morgan | Alvarez.

Boston Red Sox — The Red Sox are unlikely to land a big-name reliever, which means Brandon Workman’s status as closer will remain unchanged until Nathan Eovaldi gets organized. Eovaldi, for his part, allowed one hit but struck out three with the Sox trailing by one run in the eighth inning. 

Hierarchy remains: *Workman | Eovaldi | Barnes.
* = closer-by-committee

Baltimore Orioles — Shawn Armstrong pitched the final two innings of the Orioles’ 8-5 victory to earn his third save of the season. It is notable that potential trade target Mychal Givens did not pitch, though Brandon Hyde could have just wanted to ensure Givens got three straight days off (the Orioles don’t play today) after throwing 60 pitches over four days. If Givens is traded, Armstrong should take over the ninth inning while Givens will see his fantasy value plummet even lower than it already is for a 36-win team.

Hierarchy remains: *Givens | Armstrong | Fry.

Houston Astros — With Ryan Pressly once again unavailable because of right knee soreness, the Astros turned to Will Harris in the eighth inning to help lock down a 2-0 win. The MLB transactions site lists Pressly as being on the seven-day IL retroactive to July 27, but the Astros haven’t officially announced anything and there’s seemingly no confirmation of such a thing. An IL stint wouldn’t be surprising at this point, but we’ll hopefully have a clearer picture later today.

Hierarchy remains: Osuna | Pressly | Harris.

Detroit Tigers – Shane Greene’s name has been part of trade rumors as the deadline approaches. His asking price is reportedly “far more reasonable” than that of some other closers, which means he could be leaving Detroit by tomorrow afternoon. If he does, Joe Jimenez and/or Buck Farmer will be the likeliest replacements. Of those two, Jimenez has been linked to the Rays and is more likely to be dealt today than Farmer is.

Hierarchy remains: Greene | Jimenez | Farmer.

San Diego Padres — Will Kirby Yates be closing games in San Diego after today? Jon Heyman reports that the Padres are still fielding calls on Yates but the two sides have also discussed an extension. If a team does meet the high price tag and San Diego does trade Yates, Craig Stammen should take over the ninth inning while Andres Munoz would be worth stashing as a potential closer of the future.

Hierarchy remains: Yates | Stammen | Perdomo.

San Francisco Giants – The Giants are 2.5 games back in the wild card race and seem content to keep all their big-name pitchers, including Will Smith. We’ll see if the Giants stay true to that plan by 4 p.m.

Hierarchy remains: Smith | Dyson | Watson.

Minnesota Twins — Sergio Romo made his Twins debut on Tuesday and kept his new team ahead of his old team with a solid eighth-inning. That paved the way for Taylor Rogers to close out a 2-1 victory over the Marlins. This should be the standard operating procedure for the Twins, though Romo may still see a few save chances of his own. Tyler Duffey retired all four hitters he faced across the sixth and seventh innings and has been a little more consistent than Trevor May, who has allowed a run in each of his last five appearances.

Updated hierarchy: *Rogers | Romo | Duffey.
* = closer-by-committee

VULTURE SAVE WATCH
Tomorrow

1. Anthony Swarzak – Luke Jackson threw 27 pitches last night and Chris Martin won’t be available. Swarzak may get the ninth inning if needed, unless the Braves want to give Jackson one more chance.
2. Seth Lugo – Edwin Diaz threw 25 pitches last night and has appeared in two of the last three games.
3. Blake Treinen – Liam Hendriks had a tough night yesterday, throwing 25 pitches in his third appearance in four days. He’s earned a little rest, especially with the A’s playing Thursday as well.
4. Diego Castillo – Emilio Pagan needed 30 pitches to complete a four-out save last night.
5. Joe Biagini/Tim Mayza– Ken Giles is unavailable and Daniel Hudson has gone in three of the last four, throwing a lot of pitches in that span. Biagini has appeared in two of three, tossing over 20 pitches in both outings. It could be Tim Mayza time in Toronto!

Thursday
1. Aaron Bummer – If Alex Colome isn’t traded and throws a lot of pitches today, he may get Thursday off.
2. Dealer’s Choice – Ken Giles will still be unavailable, so whoever is less tired of Toronto’s remaining bullpen options will be in line for a save chance if needed.