Updated MLB Closer Depth Chart

Closer1st in line2nd in lineUpdatedCloser1st in line2nd in lineUpdated
BALBautistaBakerSoto5/17/25ATLIglesiasD HernándezD Lee5/17/25
BOSChapmanSlatenWeissert5/17/25MIATinocoFaucherBender5/17/25
NYYWeaverWilliamsCruz5/17/25NYMEd.DíazStanekGarrett5/17/25
TBFairbanksUcetaCleavinger5/17/25PHI*Romano*AlvaradoKerkering5/17/25
TORHoffmanY GarcíaGreen5/17/25WASFinneganFerrerLópez5/17/25
        
CHW*Booser*Wilson*Leasure5/17/25CHCHodgePalenciaKeller5/17/25
CLEClaseSmithGaddis5/17/25CINPagánSantillanAshcraft5/17/25
DET*Vest*KahnleHolton5/17/25MILTr MegillPayampsUribe5/17/25
KCEstévezErcegLynch IV5/17/25PIT*Santana*BednarFerguson5/17/25
MINDuránJaxVarland5/17/25STLHelsleyMatonLeahy5/17/25
        
ATHMillerFergusonHolman5/17/25ARIS MillerBeeksThompson5/17/25
HOUHaderAbreuScott5/17/25COL*Agnos*HalvorsenKinley5/17/25
LAAJansenZeferjahnBurke5/17/25LAD*T Scott*YatesVesia5/17/25
SEAMuñozVargasBrash5/17/25SDSuarezAdamEstrada5/17/25
TEXL JacksonMartinR Garcia5/17/25SFR. WalkerDovalTy Rogers5/17/25

* = closer-by-committee

Monkey Bytes | May 17

Relievers recorded two wins and seven saves while suffering three losses during Friday’s full slate.

RelieverSave #PitchesStrike%SwStr%K:BB
José Alvarado7683.333.31:0
Beau Brieske11872.211.10:0
Kyle Finnegan14156001:0
Raisel Iglesias81573.36.71:0
Emilio Pagán101662.518.81:0
Cole Sands21172.727.32:0
Luke Weaver5210000:0

Three Takeaways

(1) Will Devin’s role be decided soon? Posting his second consecutive clean appearance, Devin Williams struck out the side at the top of the eighth against the Mets’ 3-4-5 lineup pocket. He had 14 pitches (71.4 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (21.4 SwStr%).

And his pitch illustrator:

He’s been scoreless in seven of his last eight outings since April 28, recording a win and three holds across seven innings with the following results:

Since 4.28PitchesStrike%K:BBK-BB%WHIPSIERASwStr%Contact%
Devin Williams10663.211:425.90.862.6617.957.8

These are aligned with his career rates, and Aaron Boone faces a tough decision. Will he keep Williams in a set-up capacity or switch Luke Weaver back into the HLR (highest-leveraged reliever) role and make Williams the closer again?

(2) Is Pressly on the road back? Since his epic meltdown against San Francisco on May 6, Ryan Pressly has recorded three scoreless appearances, two in lower-leveraged situations. He did strand three baserunners on May 13 with an inning-ending strikeout. Over his last three games, he’s allowed two hits and a walk while striking out three on 39 pitches (66.7 Strike%) with eight whiffs (20.5 SwStr%). Hitters have a .222/.300/.333 slash line in this limited sample despite a 33.3 line drive percentage. With the leverage ladder in flux, his upcoming outings may answer if he can find his way back into save chances. For now:

Adjusted Hierarchy: *Porter Hodge | *Brad Keller | *Drew Pomeranz

*= closer-by-committee with evolving roles

(3) Camilo’s streaking: Closing an eight-run win over The Athletics, Camilo Doval fired a clean top of the ninth while striking out the side against the 4-5-6 hitters. He threw 12 pitches (83.3 Strike%) and generated four whiffs (33.3 SwStr%).

This extended his scoreless streak to 16 games, during which he’s recorded a win, three saves, and six holds with the following results:

Since 4.12PitchesStrike%K:BBK-BB%WHIPSIERASwStr%Contact%
Camilo Doval18765.215:421.60.462.741668.1

Those in SOLDS formats can reap the rewards of his stretch, but Ryan Walker remains atop of the hierarchy:

Hierarchy Remains: Ryan Walker | Camilo Doval | Tyler Rogers

Another light forecast for the save streamers:

Vulture Save Options for May 17

  • Pierce Johnson (ATL): Iglesias has pitched in consecutive contests, and Hernández threw 23 pitches last night. 
  • Yennier Cano (BAL): Only if desperate since he’s been struggling recently, but Bautista threw 20 pitches in Friday’s loss and has not appeared on consecutive days yet. 

Vulture Save Stashes for May 18

  • Luis Mey (CIN): If Pagán, Santillan, and Ashcraft pitch today, it’s back-to-back games for the Reds’ leverage triumvirate. What better way to cut one’s teeth in a save situation than the White Sox? 
  • Jorge López (WSH): If Finnegan pitches today, it will be consecutive games and three in four days. 

Here are the remaining leverage events of interest from Friday.

Closer CliffsNotes

Atlanta Braves – Entering with a three-run lead at the bottom of the ninth, Raisel Iglesias recorded his eighth save. His outing began by hitting Alex Bregman with a pitch and retired the next two batters, though an earned run scored on Trevor Story’s RBI single before a game-ending flyout. He finished with a hit and an earned run while striking out one on 15 pitches (11 strikes – 73.3 Strike%) with one whiff.

He’s allowed at least a run in four outings since May 8. Iglesias has a 1.42 WHIP with 20 strikeouts against four walks (20 K-BB%) through 18.1 innings.

  • Daysbel Hernández notched his seventh hold, walking and striking out one in a scoreless eighth.

Hierarchy Remains: Raisel Iglesias | Daysbel Hernández | Dylan Lee

Baltimore Orioles – In his first appearance since May 11, Félix Bautista displayed signs of rust, walking the first two batters he faced and allowing the go-ahead run on an infield single, not checking the runner who scored from second, resulting in his first loss. He finished with a hit, an earned run, and two walks on 20 pitches (35 Strike%) without a whiff.

  • Keegan Akin suffered his first blown save, giving up James Wood’s game-tying solo home run and recording a strikeout at the top of the eighth.
  • Bryan Baker stranded two runners and retired both batters via strikeout in the seventh for his second hold.
  • Gregory Soto gave up a walk and struck out one while retiring two batters across the sixth and seventh innings.

Hierarchy Remains: Félix Bautista | Yennier Cano | Gregory Soto

Cincinnati Reds – Preserving a one-run lead, Emilio Pagán retired the side and recorded his tenth save, facing Cleveland’s 5-6-7 lineup pocket. He threw 16 pitches (62.5 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (18.8 SwStr%).

He has a 0.81 WHIP with 23 strikeouts versus six walks (21.3 K-BB%) through 21 innings.

  • Tony Santillan allowed a solo home run by José Ramírez while posting his tenth hold.
  • Graham Ashcraft worked a scoreless seventh, yielding a hit and securing his sixth hold.
  • Taylor Rogers worked a clean sixth for his fifth hold.

Hierarchy Remains: Emilio Pagán | Tony Santillan | Graham Ashcraft

Detroit Tigers – Summoned with a one-run lead at the bottom of the ninth, Beau Brieske held on for his first save, navigating around two, two-out hits with a game-ending groundout against Ernie Clement. Brieske threw 18 pitches (13 strikes – 72.2 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (11.1 SwStr%). He has a 1.54 WHIP with ten strikeouts versus four walks (9.6 K-BB%) in 13.2 innings.

  • Tommy Kahnle gave up Bo Bichette’s solo home run and recorded two strikeouts for his fourth hold in the eighth.
  • Brenan Hanifee logged 1.1 innings, giving up two hits and an earned run while striking out one for his fourth hold.

Hierarchy Remains: *Will Vest | *Tommy Kahnle | Tyler Holton

*= match-up-based approach

Houston Astros – Taking over with a four-run lead at the bottom of the ninth, Josh Hader allowed Josh Jung’s solo home run and recorded a strikeout in a non-save appearance. He threw 16 pitches (81.3 Strike%) and generated five whiffs (31.3 SwStr%).

This snapped his modest three-game scoreless streak, but he has a 0.89 WHIP with 27 strikeouts against five walks (29.3 K-BB%) across 19 innings.

  • Bryan Abreu retired the side in the eighth on seven pitches. Bryan King fired a clean seventh, striking out one.
  • Kaleb Ort was awarded his first win, tossing a clean sixth and striking out one.

Hierarchy Remains: Josh Hader | Bryan Abreu | Bryan King

Los Angeles Angels – Protecting a four-run lead, Kenley Jansen allowed Will Smith’s lead-off single before retiring the next three batters, one via strikeout. He threw 11 pitches (81.8 Strike%), including his fastest pitch since 2023 (96.7 miles per hour), and induced one whiff.

He has a 1.42 WHIP with 12 strikeouts in 12 innings.

  • Ryan Zeferjahn allowed Shohei Ohtani’s solo home run and issued a walk in the eighth, getting credit for his fourth hold.
  • Héctor Neris stranded a runner and retired his only batter on a strikeout in the seventh, securing his second hold.

Hierarchy Remains: Kenley Jansen | Brock Burke | Ryan Zeferjahn

Minnesota Twins – Completing the combined shutout, Cole Sands fired a clean bottom of the ninth and recorded two strikeouts for his second save. He threw 11 pitches (72.7 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (27.3 SwStr%).

  • Griffin Jax notched his 13th hold, allowing a hit and striking out two in a scoreless eighth. He faced the top of the Brewers’ lineup. He’s been scoreless in seven of nine appearances this month with 11 strikeouts against two walks across 8.2 innings.
  • Brock Stewart navigated around two hits and recorded two strikeouts in a scoreless seventh, securing his fifth hold.

Hierarchy Remains: Jhoan Durán | Griffin Jax | Louis Varland

New York Yankees – Forced into action with two outs and two runners at the top of the ninth, Luke Weaver induced a game-ending flyout by Juan Soto, resulting in his fifth save, throwing only two pitches. He’s been scoreless in five of his six appearances in May while converting three of four save chances. He owns a 0.59 WHIP with 22 strikeouts versus six walks (21.9 K-BB%) across 20.1 innings.

Hierarchy Remains: Luke Weaver | Devin Williams | Fernando Cruz

Philadelphia Phillies – Pressed into action with the bases loaded and one out at the top of the ninth, José Alvarado recorded a strikeout against Oneil Cruz and a game-ending groundout by Andrew McCutchen for his seventh save. He threw six pitches (83.3 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (33.3 SwStr%). This marked his first save since May 2, and he’s posted a 1.20 WHIP with 25 strikeouts against four walks (25 K-BB%) through 19.1 innings.

  • Daniel Robert made the mess, giving up a hit, an earned run, and three walks while striking out one in one-third of the ninth.
  • Jordan Romano notched his fifth hold, walking one during a scoreless eighth. He’s been scoreless over his last seven contests with eight strikeouts versus one walk (29.1 K-BB%) while recording three saves and two holds.

Hierarchy Remains: *Jordan Romano | *José Alvarado | Orion Kerkering

*= floating closer concept

Washington Nationals – Despite allowing Jackson Holliday’s lead-off single, Kyle Finnegan secured his 14th save with a scoreless ninth, including a strike-them-out and throw-them-out game-ending sequence. He threw 15 pitches (60 Strike%) without a whiff. He has a 1.38 WHIP with 17 strikeouts versus seven walks (14 K-BB%) in 16.2 innings. He’s converted all five save chances in May.

  • Jorge López collected his fifth win, working around two hits and striking out one in a scoreless eighth.
  • Jose A. Ferrer fired a clean seventh and recorded two strikeouts.

Hierarchy Remains: Kyle Finnegan | Jose A. Ferrer | Jorge López

Quick Hits

  • Boston Red Sox: Trailing by one, Greg Weissert worked a clean top of the eighth. Liam Hendriks took over in the ninth, allowing two walks, resulting in two earned runs, and struck out one in two-thirds of the inning.
  • Chicago Cubs: Daniel Palencia notched his fourth hold, working around Miguel Vargas’ lead-off single by retiring the next three batters in order. He threw 14 pitches (85.7 Strike%) without a whiff. He’s converted a hold in three straight appearances and been scoreless in his last eight since April 23 with 10 strikeouts against four walks and a 0.753 WHIP across 9.1 innings.
  • Pittsburgh Pirates: Although allowing two hits, two earned runs, and a walk while striking out one in 1.1 innings, Colin Holderman was credited with his second hold. Ryan Borucki replaced him at the bottom of the seventh, letting both inherited runners score while issuing two walks and hitting a batter without recording an out, resulting in his first loss and a second blown save. Tanner Rainey permitted two of three inherited runners to score and walked one in two-thirds of the seventh. 
  • Tampa Bay Rays: A rare meltdown by Mason Montgomery during an eventual loss. He only recorded one out at the bottom of the sixth, allowing a hit, three earned runs, and two walks while striking out one. He threw 21 pitches (9 strikes – 42.9 Strike%) and induced one whiff.
  • Texas Rangers: Appearing for the third time in four days, Shawn Armstrong let his only inherited runner score, allowing two hits, including Christian Walker’s grand slam, four earned runs, and a walk, without retiring a batter. Armstrong was tagged with his first loss as a result.

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Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

BrooksBaseball.net

Closer Monkey Quarterly Review

With most teams reaching one-quarter of their 162 games played, it’s time to delve into results by their relievers. Our compiled statistics reflect outcomes from games played through May 14, 2025, and the last 365 days (the statistical year).

Before going through the team’s closer(s), some leaderboards for the last 365 days.

Last Statistical Year Leaders

NameSaves
Emmanuel Clase45
Ryan Helsley45
Josh Hader39
Robert Suarez39
Kyle Finnegan39
Carlos Estévez32
Mason Miller31
Raisel Iglesias30
Andrés Muńoz29
Pete Fairbanks28
Jhoan Durán28
Tanner Scott27
Kirby Yates27
Kenley Jansen27
Edwin Díaz24
Trevor Megill22
Camilo Doval22
NameSavesHoldsSOLDS
Emmanuel Clase45146
Ryan Helsley45045
Bryan Abreu14142
Tanner Scott271441
Robert Suarez39140
Josh Hader39039
Kyle Finnegan39039
Lucas Erceg132437
Cade Smith43337
Hunter Gaddis03737
Yennier Cano33336
Jason Adam13536
Tyler Rogers13536
Kirby Yates27835
Ryan Walker171835
Griffin Jax53035
RelieverSwStr%NameK-BB%
Josh Hader21.5%Mason Miller31.2%
Dylan Lee19.6%Griffin Jax30.6%
Mason Miller19.6%Jeremiah Estrada30.4%
Griffin Jax19.2%A.J. Puk29.9%
Jeremiah Estrada18.4%Josh Hader29.6%
Jason Adam18.0%Cade Smith29.4%
Andrés Muñoz17.1%Jeff Hoffman29.1%
Edwin Díaz17.0%Mark Leiter Jr.28.5%
Kirby Yates16.9%Kirby Yates28.3%
Fernando Cruz16.9%Chris Martin28.0%
Mark Leiter Jr.16.9%Edwin Díaz27.9%
Tanner Scott16.6%Dylan Lee27.6%
Jeff Hoffman16.6%Aroldis Chapman25.7%
José Leclerc16.5%Alex Vesia25.6%
Angel Chivilli16.5%Tony Santillan25.4%
Ryne Stanek16.5%David Robertson25.0%
A.J. Puk16.3%Raisel Iglesias24.3%
Raisel Iglesias16.3%Fernando Cruz24.1%
Brendon Little16.3%Matt Strahm23.5%
Ryan Helsley16.2%Edwin Uceta23.4%
Luke Weaver15.8%Keegan Akin23.3%
NameSONameWHIP
Jeremiah Estrada114Raisel Iglesias0.79
Cade Smith106Hunter Gaddis0.80
Josh Hader104A.J. Puk0.81
Griffin Jax102Tyson Miller0.81
Mason Miller101Josh Hader0.85
Kirby Yates99Lucas Erceg0.85
Bryan Abreu99Nick Martinez0.85
Luke Weaver98Kyle Leahy0.88
Fernando Cruz97Jason Adam0.89
Aroldis Chapman96Matt Strahm0.89
Alex Vesia96Brant Hurter0.89
Keegan Akin96Emmanuel Clase0.90
Jeff Hoffman95Tyler Holton0.90
Jason Adam93Andrés Muñoz0.91
Mark Leiter Jr.92Manuel Rodríguez0.92

Reliever Breakdowns by Team

American League East

Baltimore Orioles

Closer: Félix Bautista

  • 2025: 12 IP, 7 saves, 15:6 K:BB (18.8 K-BB%), 1.00 WHIP, 15.5 SwStr%, 61.5 Strike%
  • He’s not appeared in consecutive games yet, but his workload should increase by June. 
  • Help may be on the way in the form of Andrew Kittredge by next week. 

Bautista has been solid despite working with reduced velocity after returning from Tommy John surgery. His team’s early struggles have not affected his save total, even though he has not appeared in back-to-back games yet.

Boston Red Sox

Closer: Aroldis Chapman

  • 2025: 16 IP, 6 saves, 22:6 K:BB (24.6 K-BB%), 1.00 WHIP, 19.4 SwStr%, 68.1 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 64 IP, 19 saves, 96:28 K:BB (25.7 K-BB%), 1.14 WHIP, 15.1 SwStr%, 66.3 Strike%

Chapman has performed well, but his leverage ladder has not.

New York Yankees

Luke Weaver

  • 2025: 20 IP, 4 saves, 22:6 K:BB (22.2 K-BB%), 0.60 WHIP, 14.1 SwStr%, 68.1 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 78 IP, 8 saves, 98:28 K:BB (23 K-BB%), 0.95 WHIP, 15.8 SwStr%, 64.5 Strike%

Devin Williams

  • 2025: 14 IP, 4 saves, 16:11 K:BB (7.4 K-BB%), 1.79 WHIP, 11.7 SwStr%, 60.4 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 35.2 IP, 18 saves, 54:22 K:BB (20.5 K-BB%), 1.29 WHIP, 15.1 SwStr%, 61.3 Strike%
  • Last 14 Days: 4 IP, 6:3 K:BB (16.7 K-BB%), 1.25 WHIP, 16.7 SwStr%, 65.2 Strike%

This represents one of the most intriguing bullpens for the remainder of the season. Quotes from Aaron Boone make it sound like he wants Williams in the ninth inning, but Weaver’s been the better pitcher over the last 365 days.

Tampa Bay Rays

Closer: Pete Fairbanks

  • 2025: 17 IP, 8 saves. 16:9 K:BB (9.5 K-BB%), 1.29 WHIP, 11.8 SwStr%, 60.4 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 54.1 IP, 28 saves, 49:18 K:BB (14.1 K-BB%), 1.09 WHIP, 10.9 SwStr%, 64.9 Strike%

Will this be the year Tampa Bay trades Fairbanks? He could be cheaper target before the trade deadline, which feels like something the Cubs would be interested in.

Toronto Blue Jays

Closer: Jeff Hoffman

  • 2025: 19.1 IP, 9 saves, 31:4 K:BB (33.3 K-BB%), 1.19 WHIP, 16.5 SwStr%, 70.6 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 67.2 IP, 17 saves, 95:14 K:BB (29.1 K-BB%), 1.05 WHIP, 16.6 SwStr%, 68.4 Strike%

There have been some bumps in the road during recent appearances, but his salary and numbers above suggest it’s a blip, not a trend.

American League Central

Chicago White Sox

Three different relievers have recorded the team’s three saves. Cam Booser could be a viable option for those in league-only formats, and they just traded for Miguel Castro, but this bullpen will be in constant flux. If Grant Taylor works as a reliever upon promotion, I will be interested.

Cleveland Guardians

Closer: Emmanuel Clase

  • 2025: 18.1 IP, 9 saves, 19:4 K:BB (18.1 K-BB%), 1.58 WHIP, 17.3 SwStr%, 70.2 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 72.1 IP, 45 saves, 63:13 K:BB (17.7 K-BB%), 0.90 WHIP, 14.1 SwStr%, 71.4 Strike%

Clase has emerged from his early season slump by converting his last five save chances.

Detroit Tigers

Primary Save Share: Will Vest

  • 2025: 20 IP, 4 saves, 23:7 K:BB (20.3 K-BB%), 1.05 WHIP, 13.8 SwStr%, 65.6 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 73.1 IP, 6 saves, 79:21 K:BB (19.4 K-BB%), 1.08 WHIP, 11.3 SwStr%, 66.4 Strike%

It appears the baton has been passed from Jason Foley to Tommy Kahnle, and now Vest is the preferred option for save chances by A.J. Hinch.

Kansas City Royals

Closer: Carlos Estévez

  • 2025: 19.2 IP, 12 saves, 18:10 K:BB (9.4 K-BB%), 1.22 WHIP, 9.4 SwStr%, 62.3 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 63 IP, 32 saves, 54:22 K:BB (12.7 K-BB%), 0.98 WHIP, 11 SwStr%, 66.2 Strike%

HLR: Lucas Erceg

  • 2025: 19 IP, 1 save, 14:1 K:BB (20.6 K-BB%), 0.47 WHIP, 11.2 SwStr%, 66.2 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 64.2 IP, 13 saves, 64:9 K:BB (22.1 K-BB%), 0.85 WHIP, 13.4 SwStr%, 65.8 Strike%

While fantasy managers await for Erceg to get save chances, Estévez keeps outperforming his underlying data. Will his recent uptick in velocity prevent regression? Stay tuned.

Minnesota Twins

Closer: Jhoan Durán

  • 2025: 20.1 IP, 8 saves, 24:9 K:BB (18.5 K-BB%), 0.98 WHIP, 16 SwStr%, 67.7 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 67.2 IP, 82:23 K:BB (20.7 K-BB%). 1.18 WHIP, 14.9 SwStr%, 66 Strike%

He’s tweaked his arsenal and been solid this season.

American League West

Houston Astros

Closer: Josh Hader

  • 2025: 18 IP, 10 saves, 26:5 K:BB (29.6 K-BB%), 0.89 WHIP, 19.4 SwStr%, 70.5 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 72 IP, 39 saves, 104:22 K:BB (29.6 K-BB%). 0.85 WHIP, 21.5 SwStr%, 68.2 Strike%

Hader remains an elite option in his position.

Los Angeles Angels

Closer: Kenley Jansen 

  • 2025: 11 IP, 7 saves, 11:3 K:BB (16.7 K-BB%), 1.45 WHIP, 11.5 SwStr%, 68.7 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 52 IP, 27 saves, 54:14 K:BB (19.3 K-BB%). 1.10 WHIP, 11.3 SwStr%, 69.3 Strike%

With Ben Joyce out for the season after undergoing shoulder surgery, Jansen will benefit from the return of Robert Stephenson. And if he struggles, “Bob-Steve” could assume closer duties after the All-Star break.

Seattle Mariners

Closer: Andrés Muñoz 

  • 2025: 19 IP, 25:8 K:BB (24.7 K-BB%), 0.79 WHIP, 17.4 SwStr%, 62.6 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 61.2 IP, 29 saves, 82:27 (22.8 K-BB%), 0.91 WHIP, 17.1 SwStr%, 63 Strike%

A healthy and productive Muñoz is terrific for Seattle and fantasy managers.

Texas Rangers

Closer: Luke Jackson 

  • 2025: 13 IP, 12:7 K:BB (8.6 K-BB%), 1.54 WHIP, 9.3 SwStr%, 62.4 Strike%

Sidelined recently by a comeback line drive, his peripheral results suggest he’s on thin ice as a closer. He allows too much contact, does not produce whiffs, and can be predictable when his command struggles. Heed the WHIP and take note of who emerges as potential replacements.

The Athletics

Closer: Mason Miller

  • 2025: 15.1 IP, 30:6 K:BB (30.6 K-BB%). 0.98 WHIP, 21.5 SwStr%, 65.4 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 64 IP, 101:23 K:BB (31.2 K-BB%), 0.95 WHIP, 19.6 SwStr%, 66.6 Strike%

Showing no signs of slowing down as a top-tier closer. Use the last 365 days’ results as a template for expectations.

National League East

Atlanta Braves

Closer: Raisel Iglesias

  • 2025: 16.1 IP, 19:4 K:BB (20.8 K-BB%), 1.41 WHIP, 14.9 SwStr%, 69 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 69.1 IP, 76:12 K:BB (24.3 K-BB%). 0.79 WHIP, 16.3 SwStr%, 70.8 Strike%

He has not performed well in terms of quality of contact this season, but his pedigree keeps him at the top of his hierarchy. Will Atlanta trade for his potential replacement if he does not bounce back?

Miami Marlins

Primary Save Share: Jesús Tinoco

  • 2025: 13.2 IP, 9:6 K:BB (5.3 K-BB%). 1.24 WHIP, 7.8 SwStr%, 61.8 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 54.1 IP, 51:18 K:BB (15.1 K-BB%), 1.03 WHIP, 11 SwStr%, 64.7 Strike%

If Tinoco can carry over his last 365 days’ results for the remainder of the season, he could record 10 or more saves. Tread lightly if they do not.

New York Mets

Closer: Edwin Díaz

  • 2025: 17 IP, 24:8 K:BB (22.9 K-BB%), 1.12 WHIP, 14.9 SwStr%, 59.9 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 54 IP, 83:22 K:BB (27.9 K-BB%). 1.09 WHIP, 17 SwStr%, 62.3 Strike%

As his dominant 2022 drifts from our memory banks, he’s still a very good closer, but that season may represent an outlier, not a level he can attain again.

Philadelphia Phillies

José Alvarado

  • 2025: 19.1 IP, 24:4 K:BB (24.4 K-BB%), 1.24 WHIP, 10.5 SwStr%, 65.1 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 63.1 IP, 71:25 K:BB (17 K-BB%), 1.31 WHIP, 12.5 SwStr%, 61.5 Strike%
  • Last 14 Days: 4.2 IP, 3:2 K:BB (5 K-BB%), 1.50 WHIP, 7.5 SwStr%, 56.3 Strike%

Jordan Romano 

  • 2025: 15.1 IP, 17:6 K:BB (15.9 K-BB%), 1.57 WHIP, 12.9 SwStr%, 66 Strike%
  • Last 14 Days: 5 IP, 7:0 K:BB (38.9 K-BB%), 0.60 WHIP, 15.9 SwStr%, 68.3 Strike%

First, Rob Thomson’s “floating closer” caps the upside of any reliever for the Phillies. However, Romano has found his form in recent outings and could put together a burst of productivity like Craig Kimbrel did in 2023. Monitor both relievers’ outcomes closely over the next two weeks.

Washington Nationals

Closer: Kyle Finnegan

  • Last Statistcal Year: 63 IP, 39 saves, 60:23 K:BB (13.3 K-BB%), 1.48 WHIP, 10.2 SwStr%, 66.7 Strike%
  • 2025: 15.2 IP, 13 saves, 16:7 K:BB (13.2 K-BB%), 1.40 WHIP. 8.9 SwStr%, 63.2 Strike%

If there was a poster boy for not sexy but productive at closer, it’s Finnegan, the “finnisher.”

National League Central

Chicago Cubs

Ryan Pressly

  • 2025: 14.1 IP, 4 saves, 7:9 K:BB (-2.9 K-BB%), 1.88 WHIP, 7.1 SwStr%, 60.8 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 55.2 IP, 8 saves, 42:21 K:BB (8.8 K-BB%), 1.37 WHIP, 11 SwStr%, 64.5 Strike%

Porter Hodge

  • 2025: 18.1 IP, 2 saves, 18:11 K:BB (8.8 K-BB%), 1.53 WHIP, 12 SwStr%, 63.8 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 61.1 IP, 11 saves, 70:30 K:BB (16.4 K-BB%), 1.08 WHIP, 13.2 SwStr%, 62.7 Strike%

Neither reliever has taken control of the closer position, making this one of the most unsettled bullpens in baseball. Can Pressly work in the strike zone and induce more whiffs? Will Hodge reduce his walk rates and not implode on occasion?

Cincinnati Reds

Closer: Emilio Pagán

  • 2025: 20 IP, 22:6 K:BB (20.8 K-BB%), 0.85 WHIP, 15 SwStr%, 67.2 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 38.2 IP, 10 saves, 41:10 K:BB (20.3 K-BB%), 1.06 WHIP, 14.2 SwStr%, 68.9 Strike%
  • Last 14 Days: 5.2 IP, 1 saves, 8:4 K:BB (14.8 K-BB%), 1.76 WHIP, 16.4 SwStr%, 62.7 Strike%

Trusting Pagán comes with apprehension, but Terry Francona is loyal, helping his cause. Tony Santillan may get some ancillary save chances soon, and Luis Mey has performed well in lower-leveraged outings. Can he do the same in high-leverage ones?

Milwaukee Brewers

Closer: Trevor Megill

  • 2025: 12.1 IP, 5 saves, 15:7 K:BB (15.1 K-BB%), 1.30 WHIP, 13.5 SwStr%, 63 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 49 IP, 22 saves, 57:18 K:BB (19.6 K-BB%), 1.10 WHIP, 14.3 SwStr%, 66.6 Strike%

His usage patterns and results have been sporadic. Can he log more than 50 innings throughout a season?

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dennis Santana

  • 2025: 18.1 IP, 4 saves, 11:3 K:BB (11.8 K-BB%), 0.87 WHIP, 14.5 SwStr%, 71.9 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 72.1 IP, 5 saves, 67:17 K:BB (17.6 K-BB%), 1.01 WHIP, 14.4 SwStr%, 68.6 Strike%
  • Last 14 Days: 6 IP, 1 save, 4:0 K:BB (18.2 K-BB%), 0.83 WHIP, 13.2 SwStr%, 72.4 Strike%

David Bednar

  • 2025: 12.2 IP, 3 saves, 19:3 K:BB (29.1 K-BB%), 1.34 WHIP, 16.4 SwStr%, 67.1 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 54.1 IP, 57:26 K:BB (12.8 K-BB%), 1.40 WHIP, 14 SwStr%, 66 Strike%
  • Last 14 Days: 5.2 IP, 0 saves, 10:0 K:BB (43.5 K-BB%), 0.88 WHIP, 13.7 SwStr%, 68.4 Strike%

Under Don Kelly, Santana has appeared in the ninth inning four times, but Bednar did receive a save chance against the Mets. This may be a match-up-based situation until clarity presents itself.

St. Louis Cardinals

Closer: Ryan Helsley

  • 2025: 15 IP, 8 saves, 16:10 K:BB (9 K-BB%), 1.53 WHIP, 12.8 SwStr%, 64 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 62.1 IP, 74:22 K:BB (17.7 K-BB%), 1.28 WHIP, 16.2 SwStr%, 66.7 Strike%

Like Díaz above, his outlier season may have already taken place. Use his last 365 days’ results as a closer representation of his skills going forward.

National League West

Arizona Diamondbacks

A.J. Puk

  • Last Statistical Year: 65.1 IP, 7 saves, 88:13 K:BB (29.9 K-BB%), 0.81 WHIP, 16.3 SwStr%, 69.8 Strike%

Justin Martinez

  • 2025: 10 IP, 3 saves, 11:6 K:BB (11.9 K-BB%), 1.10 WHIP, 10.4 SwStr%, 59.1 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 70 IP, 11 saves, 86:33 K:BB (17.8 K-BB%), 1.29 WHIP, 13.2 SwStr%, 62.4 Strike%

Shelby Miller

  • 2025: 18.2 IP, 3 saves, 21:7 K:BB (18.4 K-BB%), 1.02 WHIP, 13.1 SwStr%, 66.3 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 58 IP, 5 saves, 55:14 K:BB (17.7 K-BB%), 0.97 WHIP, 11.6 SwStr%, 66.9 Strike%

It’s been a revolving door during save chances this season, and things may remain unsettled until Puk can return. Miller has been surprisingly solid and may stay in the mix even after the injured relievers return from the injured list.

Colorado Rockies

Seth Halvorsen 

  • 2025: 16.2 IP, 1 save, 17:7 K:BB (14.5 K-BB%), 1.26 WHIP, 16 SwStr%, 63.9 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 29 IP, 3 saves, 30:9 K:BB (18.3 K-BB%), 1.07 WHIP, 14.9 SwStr%, 65.2 Strike%

Zach Agnos

  • 2025: 11 IP, 2 saves, 5:1 K:BB (9.1 K-BB%), 1.09 WHIP, 16.5 SwStr%, 62.2 Strike%

Just when it seemed like Agnos was taking over the preferred save share, the team changed managers, coinciding with Halvorsen’s improved performance in recent outings. He’s the preferred option right now for the few save chances this team generates.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Primary Save Share: Tanner Scott

  • 2025: 19.2 IP, 9 saves, 19:1 K:BB (26.1 K-BB%), 0.76 WHIP, 12.9 SwStr%, 73 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 75.2 IP, 27 saves, 87:21 K:BB (22.8 K-BB%). 0.95 WHIP, 16.6 SwStr%, 70 Strike%

It’s been an intriguing transformation for Scott with his new team. He’s produced fewer strikeouts but is working with better command and has been very productive while receiving the “brunt” of save chances.

San Diego Padres

Closer: Robert Suarez

  • 2025: 19 IP, 15 saves, 21:8 K:BB (18.6 K-BB%), 0.79 WHIP, 11.2 SwStr%, 66.4 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 65.2 IP, 64:20 K:BB (16.6 K-BB%), 1.10 WHIP, 11.9 SwStr%, 66.5 Strike%

His results tailed off in the second half of last year, and he proved his critics (me included) wrong with a hot start this season. However, note his previous 365-day WHIP and K-BB percentage; these are new baselines as we move forward.

San Francisco Giants

Closer: Ryan Walker 

  • 2025: 15 IP, 7 saves, 15:7 K:BB (11.6 K-BB%), 1.53 WHIP, 7.5 SwStr%, 59.9 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 73 IP, 17 saves, 84:21 K:BB (22 K-BB%), 0.95 WHIP, 10.9 SwStr%, 65.9 Strike%

Camilo Doval

  • 2025: 19.2 IP, 5 saves, 14:7 K:BB (9.5 K-BB%). 0.76 WHIP, 12.8 SwStr%, 62.3 Strike%
  • Last Statistical Year: 62.2 IP, 22 saves, 71:35 K:BB (13 K-BB%), 1.37 WHIP, 13.3 SwStr%, 60.3 Strike%

In a terrific piece of irony, it feels like neither reliever performs well when the other does. Walker remains the closer, but if he struggles with contact in the coming weeks, his hold on the role will remain tenuous.

Closer Monkey Emails for 2025

This year, the daily emails will change. Those interested in daily free updates with links should subscribe to our page at Substack. Subscribers to the former site will not transfer over; readers must register using the new link.

Premium subscribers can still use this link for daily, ad-free content or submit a $25 payment via Venmo to @gjewett9.

Thanks for being part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe, and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

Monkey Bytes | May 16

Thursday’s six-game slate only provided one win by a reliever and two saves.

RelieverSave #PitchesStrike%SwStr%K:BB
Shawn Armstrong21353.815.40:0
Raisel Iglesias7107000:0

For the save streamers, a light forecast:

Vulture Save Option for May 16

  • Griffin Jax (MIN): Duran and Varland have appeared in consecutive contests. 

Vulture Save Stash for May 17

  • Shawn Armstrong (TEX): Even if Jackson or Martin pitch tonight, it’s unlikely either will be used in back-to-back games coming off of injury issues. 

Here are the leverage notes of interest from Thursday.

Closer CliffsNotes

Atlanta Braves

Securing his seventh save, Raisel Iglesias worked around an infield single with a groundout and a game-ending double play grounder, preserving a three-run win over Washington. He faced the 6-7-8 lineup pocket and threw 10 pitches (70 Strike%) without a whiff.

He has a 1.44 WHIP with 19 strikeouts versus four walks (20 K-BB%) through 17.1 innings. This snapped a streak of three games of allowing at least a run.

  • While recording his eighth hold, Dylan Lee gave up three hits, including CJ Abrams’ solo home run.
  • Pierce Johnson walked one during a scoreless seventh, notching his fifth hold.

Hierarchy Remains: Raisel Iglesias | Daysbel Hernández | Dylan Lee

Cincinnati Reds

Finishing a six-run win, Luis Mey fired a clean top of the ninth and recorded two strikeouts. He threw 12 pitches (7 strikes – 58.3 Strike%) and produced three whiffs (25 SwStr%).

He has a 0.68 WHIP with 11 strikeouts versus three walks (29.6 K-BB%) in 7.1 innings.

Hierarchy Remains: Emilio Pagán | Tony Santillan | Graham Ashcraft

Los Angeles Dodgers

Taking over at the top of the sixth during a lopsided contest, Justin Wrobleski was awarded his first win, logging four scoreless frames. He allowed one hit, recorded four strikeouts on 45 pitches (32 strikes – 71.1 Strike%), and produced six whiffs (13.3 SwStr%). Anthony Banda worked a scoreless fifth, walking and striking out one.

Hierarchy Remains: *Tanner Scott | *Kirby Yates | Alex Vesia

*= match-up-based approach with a primary save share

Minnesota Twins

Completing a combined shutout, Jhoan Durán navigated around consecutive two-out singles with a game-ending strikeout in a non-save capacity. He threw 27 pitches (66.7 Strike%) and induced two whiffs.

He’s posted a 1.03 WHIP with 25 strikeouts against nine walks (18.6 K-BB%) across 21.1 innings.

  • Louis Varland tossed a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and striking out two.

Hierarchy Remains: Jhoan Durán | Griffin Jax | Louis Varland

Texas Rangers

Preserving a 1-0 margin and taking the baton from Jacob deGrom, Shawn Armstrong worked around a two-out walk with a game-ending pop-out for his second save. He threw 13 pitches (7 strikes – 53.8 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (15.4 SwStr%).

He’s converted a save in consecutive appearances, filling in for Luke Jackson.

Hierarchy Remains: Luke Jackson | Chris Martin | Robert Garcia

Until Jackson or Martin return to game action, it appears Armstrong has ascended into the right-handed leverage complement to Garcia.

Closer Monkey Emails for 2025

This year, the daily emails will change. Those interested in daily free updates with links should subscribe to our page at Substack. Subscribers to the former site will not transfer over; readers must register using the new link.

Premium subscribers can still use this link for daily, ad-free content or submit a $25 payment via Venmo to @gjewett9.

Thanks for being part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe, and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

Closer Monkey Updated Rankings | 5.12.2025

Recognizing that ranking relievers can become outdated within hours, Closer Monkey’s updated rankings incorporate in-season results with rest-of-season potential, yielding a number often worth debating. Each week, we are providing saves, SOLDS, and holds rankings.

Relievers on the Rise

  • Jordan Romano (PHI): He’s amid a modest five-game scoreless streak and has recorded two saves with five strikeouts and no walks in his last five innings since April 27.
  • Jhoan Duran (MIN): Since April 29, he’s recorded a win and five saves with 13 strikeouts against three walks (32.3 K-BB%). 
  • Félix Bautista (BAL): He has converted his last four save chances with seven strikeouts and no walks (43.8 K-BB%) while posting a 0.20 WHIP across five innings. 
  • Jesús Tinoco (MIA): Since April 13, he’s been scoreless in nine of ten contests, recording a win, three saves, and two holds with a 0.971 WHIP across 10.1 innings.

Closer Concerns

  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL): His continued struggles with contact, especially hard-hit events, have manifested in a 1.239 WHIP. He’s given up three hits in consecutive appearances and multiple hits in four of his last seven contests.
  • Ryan Pressly (CHC): He had an unfortunate meltdown against the Giants, putting eight runs on his season total in one appearance. His reduced swinging strike percentage, combined with allowing more contact, has resulted in a negative K-BB percentage (-4.5 percent) and an inflated 1.93 WHIP.

Updated Top 40 Closers

RankRelievers
1Mason Miller
2Andrés Muñoz
3Robert Suarez
4Josh Hader
5Jeff Hoffman
6Emmanuel Clase
7Tanner Scott
8Jhoan Durán
9Pete Fairbanks
10Trevor Megill
11Félix Bautista
12Aroldis Chapman
13Edwin Díaz
14Ryan Helsley
15Luke Weaver
16Raisel Iglesias
17Kenley Jansen
18Carlos Estévez
19Ryan Walker
20Emilio Pagán
21Kyle Finnegan
22José Alvarado
23Will Vest
24Jordan Romano
25David Bednar
26Dennis Santana
27Jesús Tinoco
28Porter Hodge
29Ryan Pressly
30Shelby Miller
31Luke Jackson
32Kirby Yates
33Tommy Kahnle
34Seth Halvorsen
35Zach Agnos
36Camilo Doval
37Jason Adam
38Lucas Erceg
39Cade Smith
40Devin Williams

Just Missed

  • Cam Booser (CHW)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Jeremiah Estrada (SD)

Save Stashes

  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Robert Garcia (TEX)
  • Pierce Johnson (ATL)
  • Luis Mey (CIN)

Updated Top 75 for SOLDS

RankReliever
1Mason Miller
2Andrés Muñoz
3Robert Suarez
4Jason Adam
5Josh Hader
6Tanner Scott
7Jeff Hoffman
8Jhoan Durán
9Lucas Erceg
10Emmanuel Clase
11Bryan Abreu
12Jeremiah Estrada
13Camilo Doval
14Cade Smith
15Luke Weaver
16Robert Garcia
17Edwin Díaz
18Emilio Pagán
19Pete Fairbanks
20Kyle Leahy
21Tyler Rogers
22José Alvarado
23Aroldis Chapman
24Kirby Yates
25Ryan Walker
26Ryan Helsley
27Trevor Megill
28Edwin Uceta
29Fernando Cruz
30Griffin Jax
31Chris Martin
32Tony Santillan
33Bryan King
34Raisel Iglesias
35Kenley Jansen
36Will Vest
37Hunter Gaddis
38Carlos Estévez
39Tommy Kahnle
40Félix Bautista
41Abner Uribe
42Kyle Finnegan
43Louis Varland
44Porter Hodge
45Jordan Romano
46Yennier Cano
47Phil Maton
48Ryne Stanek
49Alex Vesia
50Reed Garrett
51Shelby Miller
52Daniel Palencia
53Garrett Cleavinger
54Mason Montgomery
55Tyler Holton
56Tim Herrin
57Ryan Pressly
58Luke Jackson
59David Bednar
60Dennis Santana
61Nick Mears
62Yimi García
63Devin Williams
64Pierce Johnson
65Danny Coulombe
66Brendon Little
67Dylan Lee
68Brock Stewart
69Greg Weissert
70Justin Slaten
71JoJo Romero
72Mason Fluharty
73Tyler Ferguson
74Gabe Speier
75Huascar Brazobán

Relievers on the Rise

  • Yariel Rodríguez (TOR): He’s recorded nine strikeouts (56.3 K%) over 4.2 scoreless innings in his last three games.
  • Pierce Johnson (ATL): He has recorded nine scoreless outings since April 19, with nine strikeouts versus zero walks.
  • Daniel Palencia (CHC): He has the velocity and tenacity. Can his command survive potential save chances? We may soon find out.

Updated Top 50 for Holds

RankReliever
1Jason Adam
2Cade Smith
3Lucas Erceg
4Tyler Rogers
5Kirby Yates
6Camilo Doval
7Abner Uribe
8Hunter Gaddis
9Edwin Uceta
10Kyle Leahy
11Jeremiah Estrada
12Robert Garcia
13Bryan King
14Chris Martin
15Bryan Abreu
16Fernando Cruz
17Griffin Jax
18Tony Santillan
19Yimi García
20Tim Herrin
21Alex Vesia
22Yennier Cano
23Reed Garrett
24Brendon Little
25Louis Varland
26Garrett Cleavinger
27Porter Hodge
28Devin Williams
29Danny Coulombe
30Mason Fluharty
31Tyler Ferguson
32Jose A. Ferrer
33Tommy Kahnle
34Gabe Speier
35Phil Maton
36Daniel Palencia
37Mason Montgomery
38Jalen Beeks
39Orion Kerkering
40Graham Ashcraft
41Tyler Holton
42Dennis Santana
43Jared Koenig
44Pierce Johnson
45Matt Strahm
46Dylan Lee
47Chad Green
48Greg Weissert
49Justin Slaten
50Daysbel Hernández

Closer Monkey Emails for 2025

This year, the daily emails will change. Those interested in daily free updates with links should subscribe to our page at Substack. Subscribers to the former site will not transfer over; readers must register using the new link.

Premium subscribers can still use this link for daily, ad-free content or submit a $25 payment via Venmo to @gjewett9.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe, and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

BrooksBaseball.net

Month in Review for Relievers | March/April 2025

Assessing reliever performances through the first month-plus comes with apprehension because small sample sizes can be misleading. Focusing on the data and some underlying indicators helps fantasy players remain ahead of the competition.

Total Saves

  • 2025: 243 saves recorded between March and April
  • 2024: 248 saves recorded between March and April
  • 2023: 210 saves recorded between March and April

Blown Saves

  • 2025: 126 blown saves between March and April
  • 2024: 132 blown saves between March and April
  • 2023: 118 blown saves between March and April

Save Chances

  • 2025: 369 save chances between March and April
  • 2024: 380 save chances between March and April
  • 2023: 328 save chances between March and April

Saves and blown saves are slightly down when compared with last year, but offense has been on the rise, affecting ratios:

  • 2025: 3,979 runs scored between March and April
  • 2024: 3,408 runs scored between March and April
  • 2023: 3,744 runs scored between March and April

Even worse news lies in how saves are being dispersed on many teams. This season, 85 different pitchers have recorded a save. Last year, 69 pitchers recorded at least one save in this timeframe; in 2023, 72 pitchers notched a save by the end of April.

Individual Results and Trends

At the end of April, there were four relievers with at least eight saves without a blown save:

  • Robert Suarez (SD) – 12
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA) – 11
  • Mason Miller (ATH) – 9
  • Josh Hader (HOU) – 8

These four closers are off to strong starts. But did they all record a WHIP below one, a K-BB percentage greater than 23, a swinging strike percentage over 15, and a strike percentage above 66?

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/ksTC3/1/

Miller and Hader met this criteria, but the other two did not. Some intriguing names on this list, including Aroldis Chapman, who has carried over his strong second half from last year into the first month-plus of this season.

Shifting into the leaders at the end of April, these relievers recorded the most SOLDS (saves plus holds):

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/blxo0/1/

And the leaders in holds:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/8ImQ9/1/

Two key indicators for sustained success by relievers are K-BB percentage and swinging strike rate. Leaders from each category are as follows:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/pPUv3/2/

Strikeouts and WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) should also be monitored closely by fantasy managers. Here are the leaders in these categories during the first month-plus this season:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/L8jqW/1/

It’s been a tremendous first-month providing information for the Closer Monkey community. More volatility lies on the horizon, so stay safe and be well until these situations arise.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Closer Monkey Updated Rankings | 4.7.2025

Rankings remain fluid, especially in the world of closers. However, we have updated rankings for saves and SOLDS before our second full week of contests ensues. But first, some risers and closers on the proverbial “hot seat.”

Three Relievers on the Rise

  1. Robert Suarez (SD): Pitching with renewed vigor and a wider arsenal, he’s converted all four save chances with a miniscule 0.25 WHIP while striking out six against one walk (35.7 K-BB percentage) through four contests. He’s not allowed a run, and his 1.44 SIERA confirms his strong start. 
  1. José Alvarado (PHI): Healthy and throwing with improved velocity this season, Alvarado has emerged as the preferred save share for the Phillies. He’s already recorded a win, two saves, and one hold with 10 strikeouts against two walks (38.1 K-BB percentage) through five innings.  
  1. Luke Jackson (TEX): He’s converted his last five save chances while recording a 0.80 WHIP with four strikeouts against one walk over five innings. He’s attacking hitters in the strike zone, posting a 75 percent strike rate, and if he commands his four-seam fastball, it sets up his slider (14 SwStr%) and his curve (18.2 SwStr%). 

Relievers on the “Hot Seat”

  1. Ryan Pressly (CHC): After six appearances, the good news is that he’s recorded a win and three saves. However, his 4.50 ERA accompanies a 6.65 SIERA, a 2.50 WHIP, and a negative 13.3 K-BB percentage. He’s been tentative in the strike zone, and his 4.2 swinging strike percentage results in too much contact (88.6 percent contact rate allowed). 
  1. Jordan Romano (PHI): Highlighted in today’s Monkey Bytes, he’s working with reduced velocity and a bloated 15.75 ERA. Hope lies in his 4.46 SIERA, but that’s still substandard for a high-leverage reliever. He will work in lower leveraged situations, but Orion Kerkering may “Wally Pipp” him for the top right-handed leverage option in this leverage ladder. 

Updated Top 40 for Saves

RankRelievers
1Mason Miller
2Josh Hader
3Robert Suarez
4Ryan Helsley
5Emmanuel Clase
6Devin Williams
7Edwin Díaz
8Raisel Iglesias
9Ryan Walker
10Jeff Hoffman
11Tanner Scott
12Andrés Muñoz
13José Alvarado
14Kenley Jansen
15Pete Fairbanks
16Trevor Megill
17Aroldis Chapman
18Jhoan Durán
19Kyle Finnegan
20Félix Bautista
21Luke Jackson
22Justin Martinez
23A.J. Puk
24Carlos Estévez
25Seth Halvorsen
26Ryan Pressly
27Dennis Santana
28Anthony Bender
29Tommy Kahnle
30Emilio Pagán
31Blake Treinen
32Jason Adam
33Griffin Jax
34Lucas Erceg
35Porter Hodge
36Bryan Abreu
37Chris Martin
38Yimi García
39Yennier Cano
40Luke Weaver

Just Missed:

  • Tony Santillan (CIN)
  • Ben Joyce (LAA)
  • Orion Kerkering (PHI)
  • Justin Slaten (BOS)
  • Jeremiah Estrada (SD)
  • Edwin Uceta (TB)
  • Mike Clevinger; Cam Booser (CHW)

Stash Candidates

  • Graham Ashcraft (CIN)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Mason Montgomery (TB)
  • Justin Lawrence (PIT)

Updated Top 75 for SOLDS

RankReliever
1Mason Miller
2Josh Hader
3Robert Suarez
4Ryan Helsley
5Emmanuel Clase
6Devin Williams
7Edwin Díaz
8Raisel Iglesias
9Ryan Walker
10Jeff Hoffman
11José Alvarado
12Jason Adam
13Tanner Scott
14Justin Martinez
15A.J. Puk
16Andrés Muñoz
17Bryan Abreu
18Jeremiah Estrada
19Luke Weaver
20Aroldis Chapman
21Lucas Erceg
22Griffin Jax
23Yennier Cano
24Ben Joyce
25Yimi García
26Chris Martin
27Robert Garcia
28Luke Jackson
29Trevor Megill
30Tyler Rogers
31Orion Kerkering
32Jhoan Durán
33Cade Smith
34Tony Santillan
35Kenley Jansen
36Pete Fairbanks
37Mason Montgomery
38Hunter Harvey
39Carlos Estévez
40Félix Bautista
41Porter Hodge
42Cole Sands
43Kyle Finnegan
44Phil Maton
45JoJo Romero
46Blake Treinen
47Camilo Doval
48Dennis Santana
49Reed Garrett
50Edwin Uceta
51Matt Strahm
52Alex Vesia
53Justin Slaten
54Tyler Holton
55Tommy Kahnle
56Anthony Banda
57Justin Sterner
58Kirby Yates
59Chad Green
60Erik Miller
61Mark Leiter Jr.
62Seranthony Domínguez
63Shelby Miller
64Ryan Pressly
65Keegan Akin
66A.J. Minter
67Anthony Bender
68Paul Sewald
69Hunter Gaddis
70Ben Casparius
71Jacob Webb
72Randy Rodríguez
73Bryan King
74Abner Uribe
75Gabe Speier

Relievers on the Rise

  1. Justin Sterner (ATH): He’s been earning more leverage outings and posted two holds through five appearances. In them, he has a 0.80 WHIP with eight strikeouts versus two walks (27.8 K-BB percentage) and a 20.4 swinging strike percentage. It’s a limited sample, but he has a swinging strike percentage over 18 with all three of his pitches: four-seam fastball (18.5 SwStr%), cutter (23.8 SwStr%), and his slider (22.2 SwStr%). 
  1. Matt Strahm (PHI): His underlying data has not been terrific, but he will receive more leverage work with Romano struggling. Last season, Strahm recorded six wins, three saves, and 18 holds with a 0.75 WHIP. If he were dropped in your SOLDS league, he’s worth adding. 
  1. Tony Santillan (CIN): While his usage patterns annoy those seeking saves in the Reds’ bullpen, he has been a reliable leverage option for first-year manager Terry Francona. He has a 0.75 WHIP with seven strikeouts versus two walks (26.3 K-BB percentage) through five games, spanning 5.1 innings. 

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe, and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

BrooksBaseball.net

Updated 2025 Bullpen Hierarchies

Roles may be changed or redefined, and injuries will alter a team’s bullpen hierarchy. However, with Spring Training games in full swing, it’s time for our updated hierarchies. These are subject to change and will be updated on our team pages until Opening Day.

American League East

Baltimore Orioles – “The Mountain” will return as the closer this season. Félix Bautista recorded 33 saves with 110 strikeouts against 26 walks (35.4 K-BB%) in 2023 before undergoing Tommy John surgery. He’s been throwing live bullpen sessions and will anchor this bullpen in 2025. His stock will rise appreciably with a strong spring, but fantasy managers will focus on his command. 

Updated Hierarchy: Félix Bautista | Yennier Cano | Seranthony Domínguez

Boston Red Sox – Forecasting the Red Sox closer comes with apprehension. Although the team signed Liam Hendriks for the role in 2025, he suffered a setback with “forearm soreness,” preventing his return this season. Can he remain healthy throughout 2025? Will he be effective? Those in keeper leagues should stash Justin Slaten. He flourished as a Rule 5 pick with a 1.01 WHIP and 22.3 K-BB percentage as a rookie. A wild card in this mix could be Garrett Whitlock. His splits by role: 

  • Whitlock as a SP: 109 IP, 102:23 K:BB (17.4 K-BB%), .328 weighted on-base average, 1.27 WHIP
  • Whitlock as an RP: 132.2 IP, 150:29 K:BB (22.7 K-BB%), .273 weighted on-base average, 1.05 WHIP

As of today, pedigree propels Hendriks atop the hierarchy, but his hold will be tenuous unless he’s terrific at Spring Training. The team also added Aroldis Chapman. Boston needs a left-handed reliever with velocity, and he could also factor into save situations if the team takes a match-up-based approach. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Liam Hendriks | *Aroldis Chapman | *Justin Slaten

*= closer-by-committee

New York Yankees – Trading for Devin Williams clarifies the closer position, but he also helped change the team’s archaic facial hair policy. “The Airbender” was terrific after missing the first four months of the season but converted 14 of 15 save chances while being scoreless in 20 of his 22 regular season appearances, recording 38 strikeouts against 11 walks. Luke Weaver will be the stopper (HLR) with an adapted arsenal. He’s one of five relievers with at least 100 strikeouts this season. He’s also converted all four save chances with six wins and 22 holds through 61 appearances. 

Updated Hierarchy: Devin Williams | Luke Weaver | Ian Hamilton

Tampa Bay Rays – Despite losing Pete Fairbanks, the Rays bullpen flourished in the second half. When he’s healthy, he remains the closer. He’s recorded 48 saves over the last two seasons but produced a reduced K-BB percentage and swinging strike rate in 2024. Health remains his hurdle. He begins 2025 as the closer, but change may be afoot as the season ensues. Dynasty league players should monitor Edwin Uceta and Hunter Bigge closely. 

Updated Hierarchy: Pete Fairbanks | Edwin Uceta | Garrett Cleavinger

Toronto Blue Jays – Signing Jeff Hoffman to a three-year contract puts him atop the revamped hierarchy. He’s been one of baseball’s best relievers over the previous two seasons. Toronto also re-signed Yimi García and has Chad Green through the end of 2025, rounding out the high-leverage triumvirate. 

Updated Hierarchy: Jeff Hoffman | Yimi García | Chad Green

American League Central

Chicago White Sox – After enduring the most losses in MLB history, prognosticating a closer for a team in this steep rebuilding process remains challenging. Justin Anderson ended the season as the highest-leveraged reliever. Since wins may be difficult again, getting a veteran reliever with “closer” experience would benefit the rebuilding. However, the team was not aggressive in the free-agent reliever market. Keeper league players hope Prelander Berroa (left his first spring outing with elbow soreness) or Jordan Leasure improve in 2025. Also keep tabs on non-roster invitees, James Karinchak and Mike Clevinger, who closed in college per Scott Merkin.

Updated Hierarchy: *Mike Clevinger | *Justin Anderson | *Fraser Ellard

*= closer-by-committee

Cleveland Guardians – Since the start of 2022, no reliever has recorded more saves than Emmanuel Clase. He’s secured 40-plus saves in the last three years with a 0.84 WHIP over 221.2 innings. Although he’s on a team-friendly deal, it escalates in 2025 and reaches ten million in 2027. For a franchise that prefers keeping payroll down, he could be moved when his stock’s at its peak. Stay tuned. Dynasty league players will track Cade Smith, Andrew Walters, and Franco Aleman. 

Updated Hierarchy: Emmanuel Clase | Paul Sewald | Cade Smith

Detroit Tigers – A.J. Hinch mixed and matched with aplomb while getting his team into the playoffs. Jason Foley led the team with 28 saves. Tyler Holton recorded seven wins, eight saves, and 14 holds across 66 appearances. How far the team goes and how the bullpen performs may determine how it’s structured in 2025. Beau Brieske and Will Vest emerged as the preferred right-handed options in the playoffs. Detroit also signed Tommy Kahnle and John Brebbia in the off-season. Last, Alex Lange could regain the closer role if his rehab goes well and his command improves during his 60-day injured list stint. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Beau Brieske | *Tommy Kahnle | *Jason Foley

*= closer-by-committee

Kansas City Royals – Although most believed Hunter Harvey would usurp James McArthur’s closer role, Lucas Erceg emerged after his acquisition. In his 23 games with the Royals, he converted 11 of his 13 save opportunities with 31 strikeouts against three walks across 25 innings. However, the team also signed Carlos Estévez to a two-year, $22.2 million contract and announced the team would share save situations in the upcoming season. We project Estévez as the preferred save share, with Erceg being the “stopper.” 

Updated Hierarchy: Carlos Estévez | Lucas Erceg | Hunter Harvey

Minnesota Twins – What felt like a slam dunk has become murky. Jhoan Durán took a step back, though it’s possible his oblique injury affected his performance throughout the season. He should get a mulligan for 2024, but his spring performance should be tracked closely. Griffin Jax emerged as a trusted high-leverage option, posting a robust 95 strikeouts against 15 walks (29 K-BB percentage) in 2024. Stay tuned. 

Updated Hierarchy: Jhoan Durán | Griffin Jax | Cole Sands

American League West

A’s – Many did not believe Mason Miller would be used as the closer this season. All he did was set the franchise record for saves by a rookie with 28, including throwing the last pitch at Oakland Coliseum. Reports indicate he will remain in this role moving forward, which makes him a terrific target for 2025. He recorded 104 strikeouts with a 0.88 WHIP through 65 innings across 55 appearances. 

Updated Hierarchy: Mason Miller | José Leclerc | Tyler Ferguson

Houston Astros – With Josh Hader signed on a long-term deal, it’s no surprise he’s the projected closer for 2025. After trading Ryan Pressly, look for Bryan Abreu as the eighth-inning option, but the rest of the bullpen will be a work in progress. 

Updated Hierarchy: Josh Hader | Bryan Abreu | Forrest Whitley

Los Angeles Angels – Good news will come in two parts for 2025: an emerging Ben Joyce and the return of Robert Stephenson. Joyce introduced a “splinker” into his arsenal on June 16 and produced 25 scoreless appearances in his last 27 games with 33 strikeouts against 11 walks across 31 innings. The Angels signed Kenley Jansen to a one-year contract to provide Joyce with more runway for the future. He takes over as the closer and can tutor Joyce on the rigors of becoming one in the future. 

Updated Hierarchy: Kenley Jansen | Ben Joyce | Brock Burke

Seattle Mariners – Forced into the closer role because of injuries throughout the leverage ladder, Andrés Muñoz converted 22 of 27 save chances with a 0.96 WHIP through 57.1 innings. He pitched through lingering back tightness and elbow soreness at the end of the season. Returns by Matt Brash and Gregory Santos will be pivotal for the team’s progress, but Muñoz remains atop the hierarchy, barring injury, on Opening Day. 

Updated Hierarchy: Andrés Muñoz | Gregory Santos | Collin Snider

Texas Rangers – Forced into a complete rebuild in the bullpen, the team signed Chris Martin, traded for Robert Garcia, and hopes Marc Church can emerge as a leverage option in 2025. It feels like an offseason of half-measures for a team with playoff aspirations. Plan on Martin getting the first save chance, but another pitcher may emerge as the closer during the season. Jon Gray will be a wild card or flamethrower, and Emiliano Teodo may enter the picture later this year. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Chris Martin | *Robert Garcia | Jacob Webb

*= closer-by-committee

National League East

Atlanta Braves – Since his debut with Atlanta on August 5, 2022, Raisel Iglesias has logged 150 appearances, posting a 1.86 ERA (second lowest in this timeframe) with 11 wins, 67 saves, and a 0.907 WHIP. He will be entering the final year of his contract in 2025, which means change may be coming at the closer position in 2026, but for next year, he remains a reliable target for saves. The bigger question is, who sets up for him with Joe Jiménez sidelined after undergoing knee surgery? 

Updated Hierarchy: Raisel Iglesias | Pierce Johnson | Dylan Lee

Miami Marlins – After the team traded Tanner Scott, Calvin Faucher received the majority share of saves until he was sidelined with an injury. Jesús Tinoco took over as the most trusted high-leverage option over the last six weeks, and this may be a spring battle for roles. However, there’s no clear plan in place for the franchise, making the closer role speculative at best. Stay tuned. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Calvin Faucher | Jesús Tinoco | Anthony Bender

*= closer-by-committee

New York Mets – Riding a second-half resurgence buoyed by throwing more four-seam fastballs and being less reliant on his slider, Edwin Díaz reestablished himself as a top-tier closer. Can he maintain this throughout the entirety of 2025? Here’s hoping so. He will be a top target in preseason drafts and rankings. 

Updated Hierarchy: Edwin Díaz | A.J. Minter | Reed Garrett

Philadelphia Phillies – After using the “floating closer” concept most of the season, Rob Thomson used Carlos Estévez as his closer after the trade deadline. However, Estévez and Jeff Hoffman departed via free agency. Taking a shot on Jordan Romano as the replacement appears risky. His velocity this spring will determine his effectiveness during save situations. If he struggles, will the Phillies turn to Orion Kerkering as the closer? 

Updated Hierarchy: Jordan Romano | Orion Kerkering | Matt Strahm

Washington Nationals – In a surprise off-season move, the team declined arbitration on Kyle Finnegan, letting their closer enter free agency. Washington signed Jorge López and Lucas Sims to one-year, three-million-dollar deals. It also hopes Jose A. Ferrer will be ready as its high-leverage left-handed option, capable of closing out games when needed. (UPDATED 2/25) Per Robert Murray, the Nationals agreed on a one-year, six million dollar deal with Finnegan, who will resume his closer role with the team.

Updated Hierarchy: Kyle Finnegan | Jorge López | Jose A. Ferrer

National League Central

Chicago Cubs – Porter Hodge ended 2024 with 18 scoreless appearances over his last 19 games, converting eight of nine save chances with 26 strikeouts against nine walks. However, he projects as the HLR after the team traded for Ryan Pressly. He waived his no-trade clause for the chance at closing games on the precipice of free agency. 

Updated Hierarchy: Ryan Pressly | Porter Hodge | Ryan Brasier

Cincinnati Reds – Streaky in his performances in high-leverage events and spotty at times with his command, Alexis Díaz remains a fantasy enigma. He’s recorded 55 saves in the last two years, but his declining K-BB percentage and rising WHIP do not foster trust from fantasy managers. He projects as the Opening Day closer, but his potential volatility makes him a risky investment for 2025. Keep tabs on Scott Barlow, Tony Santillan, and how the team uses Graham Ashcraft this season. 

Updated Hierarchy: Alexis Díaz | Scott Barlow | Tony Santillan

Milwaukee Brewers – Trading Devin Williams paves the way for Trevor Megill as the closer entering 2025. He did struggle in the second-half but converted 20 of 22 save opportunities while his teammate was on the injured list last year. Abner Uribe remains on the periphery of the leverage ladder and if he improves his command, could be a factor for saves as the season progresses. Those in keeper leagues should track Craig Yoho and Jacob Miriorowski’s progress closely this spring. 

Updated Hierarchy: Trevor Megill | Joel Payamps | Abner Uribe

Pittsburgh Pirates – What seemed like an easy prognostication at the beginning of 2024 has become much more complex as it has concluded. David Bednar was removed from the closer role and was ineffective this season after undergoing two oblique injuries. He’s dealt with side or back injuries in three of the past four seasons. Can he rebound? We side with yes, but a strong spring would ease concerns about 2025 for the “Renegade.” 

Updated Hierarchy: David Bednar | Dennis Santana | Colin Holderman

St. Louis Cardinals – A revamped bullpen anchored by Ryan Helsley resulted in a franchise record 49 saves. Andrew Kittredge and JoJo Reyes performed well in set-up roles as well. Can Helsley repeat this production level in 2025, and will he be traded? More significant questions will be who sets up for him. 

Updated Hierarchy: Ryan Helsley | Ryan Fernandez | Matthew Liberatore

National League West

Arizona Diamondbacks – Limping toward the finish line, there were more questions than answers about the bullpen at the end of 2024. A.J. Puk suffered an ugly loss in a “must-win” game, and Justin Martinez showed flashes of brilliance mixed with traffic-induced save situations. Based on in-season usage patterns, Martinez should open 2025 as the closer, but a match-up-based approach could also be deployed. Hopefully, clarity will emerge this spring. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Justin Martinez | *A.J. Puk | Kevin Ginkel

*= closer-by-committee

Colorado Rockies – The Rockies had a revolving door at the closer position this season. At the beginning of the season, Justin Lawrence and Tyler Kinley were the top two relievers in the hierarchy. Victor Vodnik emerged as the closer in early July until he landed on the injured list in late August. Kinley reemerged, converting all six save chances until he was on the injured list in September. Rookie Seth Halvorsen took over the top of the hierarchy, and a spring battle will decide who gets the gig on Opening Day. Early reports speculate on a three-reliever camp competition between Halvorsen, Vodnik, and Kinley. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Seth Halvorsen | *Victor Vodnik | *Tyler Kinley

*= closer-by-committee

Los Angeles Dodgers – Throwing caution into the wind, the team signed Tanner Scott to a four-year contract and announced he would receive the “brunt” of save opportunities. With injuries to Michael Kopech and Evan Phillips, Los Angeles also re-signed postseason hero Blake Treinen and free agent Kirby Yates. There is less fluidity in the leverage ladder, with only Alex Vesia possessing minor league options, but more depth at the onset of 2025. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Tanner Scott | *Kirby Yates | Blake Treinen

*= closer-by-committee

San Diego Padres – Robert Suarez was dominant in the first half, throwing his four-seam fastball and converting 22 of his first 24 save chances. Fatigue and predictability affected his results in the second half. One should not run from the Padres closer, but a more diverse use of his arsenal will prevent further migration toward the mean. He will be the closer on Opening Day, but his runway was reduced slightly by the second-half struggles ahead of the playoffs and his potential opt-out clause at the end of 2025. Jason Adam and Jeremiah Estrada remain sneaky options for saves later this season. 

Updated Hierarchy: Robert Suarez | Jason Adam | Jeremiah Estrada

San Francisco Giants – It’s too early to give up on Camilo Doval as a reliever, and it’s tough to trust him next season after struggling with a rising WHIP and declining K-BB percentage. Things become trickier with the emergence of Ryan Walker. He took over as the closer and converted all ten save chances from August 10-on with 28 strikeouts versus five walks during his last 17 appearances, spanning 19.2 innings. Doval may need a change of scenery, and Walker has been confirmed as the closer by manager, Bob Melvin. 

Updated Hierarchy: Ryan Walker | Tyler Rogers | Camilo Doval

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. I am exploring hosting the premium subscriptions (ad-free) on an alternate site than Constant Contact, so please hold off on signing up until I know. The same goes for signing up for the free daily emails; I will know more by March 1.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

BrooksBaseball.net

Under the Hood: Alzolay and Hader outlooks moving forward

This week’s under the hood sets its sights on the early struggles by Adbert Alzolay, removing him from the closer role in Chicago in the near-term, and Josh Hader suffering from some bad luck in his results.

Adbert Alzolay, Chicago Cubs

Not much has gone right for Alzolay, he’s already suffered more blown saves (four) in 2024 through 11 games than he did last year (three) over 58 appearances. He’s given up four home runs in only 31 batted ball events and gave up five all last year across 168 batted ball events. He’s matched last season’s home run total with his slider (three) in only 14 batted balls in play.

He’s not throwing with a drastic reduction in velocity and increased his first-strike percent rate. However, when diving into his results on Statcast, one notices an increase in sweet spot percentage by over five percentage points, a boost in his expected batting average (.278), and a 5.02 expected ERA (xERA).

In terms of quality of contact, he’s struggling:

  • 3.2 solid percentage allowed plus 12.9 percent barrel rate = 16.1 good contact allowed
  • 0 percent weak contact and 0 percent pop-ups = 0 percent poor contact-induced

Taking this a step further, here’s his 10-game rolling chart from beginning of last year through his last outing, using strikeout percentage, walk rate, swinging strike percentage, and contact rate allowed:

One notices some shifts in his outcomes during the second half before he landed on the injured list and at the start of this season. With this in mind, here are his splits in some key leverage categories:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/R2jww/1/

If he retakes the ninth inning for Cubs relies on his slider. Comparing his outcomes by pitch, the lack of whiffs, and increased expected results against his most used pitch accounts for his early struggles:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/vUjx0/2/

Focus on his slider over the next two weeks, and his usage patterns. It’s tough being patient with a struggling closer, but if he finds his past production with the pitch, better days may happen. However, it’s a tough needle for a reliever to thread during the season.

Josh Hader, Houston Astros

Expecting a repeat of his 1.28 ERA from 2023 would not be realistic, but seeing Hader’s 8.38 ERA entering game play on Monday, April 22 seems like some sort of cruel joke. While sorting out qualified relievers by ERA minus SIERA, he ranks eighth in bad luck with a 5.95 run difference between the metrics. He owns a 2.43 SIERA, almost in line with his 2.34 expected ERA (xERA) from last year.

In fact, his SIERA and 2024 xERA (3.35) set a nice baseline of expectations for his results going forward. Despite his inflated ERA, he owns a 25.6 K-BB percentage, a 14.9 percent swinging strike rate, and a 64.1 strike percentage through his first 11 appearances.

As upsetting as his ERA may be, his usage patterns under first year manager Joe Espada proves more confusing. Hader’s appeared in four games with a lead, in three tied games, and worked in four games with his team trailing. Using Baseball Reference’s leverage ratings, he’s turned in four high-leverage outings, two medium leverage appearances, and pitched in five low leverage contests. Not ideal.

Viewing his underlying data from Statcast, his barrel rate remains in line with last year but he’s allowed a spike in hard hit percentage (45.5 percent) versus his career 32.9 percent barrel rate allowed. Hope lies in his .223 xBA with the sinker against his current .375 batting average against with the pitch, and a .278 expected slugging (xSLG) versus a .458 slugging percent allowed by the pitch. Things migrate toward the mean, and his results will even out.

It’s tough seeing a closer with such a high price point struggle, but focus on his past production with his pitches, and know things will improve:

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/SoiKP/1/

Houston gets a break with the schedule over the next two weeks, here’s hoping Hader and his leverage teammates turn the tide with regression working in their favor.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community, until next time, stay safe and be well.

Tiered Rankings for SOLDS, April 5

Once again, noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers in SOLDS formats. Those in leagues with holds as a separate category can use this list as well.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)
  • Griffin Jax (MIN)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)

Tier Four

  • Pierce Johnson (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Tyler Rogers (SFG)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • JoJo Romero (STL)
  • Andrew Chafin (DET)
  • Ryne Stanek (SEA)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • Taylor Rogers (SFG)

Tier Five

  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Gabe Speier (SEA)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • Ryan Borucki (PIT)
  • Will Smith (KCR)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Matt Moore (LAA)
  • Ryan Thompson (ARI)
  • Julian Merryweather (CHC)
  • Emilio Pagán (CIN)
  • Joe Kelly (LAD)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)
  • Gregory Soto (PHI)

Tiered Rankings for Saves, April 5

Noting these rankings remain fluid, here’s an updated tiered look at relievers for saves-only formats entering the weekend.

Tier One

  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE)
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM)
  • Evan Phillips (LAD)
  • David Bednar (PIT)
  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL)
  • Pete Fairbanks (TBR)
  • Ryan Helsley (STL)
  • Josh Hader (HOU)

Tier Two

  • Craig Kimbrel (BAL)
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA)
  • Adbert Alzolay (CHC)
  • Robert Suarez (SDP)
  • Carlos Estévez (LAA)
  • Clay Holmes (NYY)
  • Abner Uribe (MIL)
  • Jason Foley (DET)
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH)
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN)
  • Camilo Doval (SFG)
  • Kenley Jansen (BOS)
  • Kevin Ginkel (ARI)

Tier Three

  • Griffin Jax (MIN)
  • José Alvarado (PHI)
  • Tanner Scott (MIA)
  • Mason Miller (OAK)
  • José Leclerc (TEX)
  • Michael Kopech (CWS)
  • Justin Lawrence (COL)
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT)
  • Brock Stewart (MIN)
  • Joel Payamps (MIL)
  • Giovanny Gallegos (STL)
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD)
  • Will Smith (KCR)

Tier Four

  • Hunter Harvey (WSH)
  • Ian Hamilton (NYY)
  • Ryan Pressly (HOU)
  • Chris Martin (BOS)
  • Jason Adam (TBR)
  • Shelby Miller (DET)
  • David Robertson (TEX)
  • Kirby Yates (TEX)
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU)
  • Yennier Cano (BAL)
  • Chad Green (TOR)
  • Yimi García (TOR)
  • John Schreiber (KCR)
  • James McArthur (KCR)
  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI)
  • Scott Barlow (CLE)
  • Dany Jiménez (OAK)

Tier Five

  • A.J. Minter (ATL)
  • Lucas Sims (CIN)
  • Fernando Cruz (CIN)
  • Hector Neris (CHC)
  • José Soriano (LAA)
  • John Brebbia (CWS)
  • Anthony Bender (MIA)
  • Yuki Matsui (SDP)
  • Josh Sborz (TEX)

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community.

Monkey Bytes | May 15

Wednesday’s slate included 17 contests with two doubleheaders completed. Relievers recorded ten wins and ten saves while suffering six losses. Minnesota recorded a save in both games while securing a sweep against Baltimore, whereas St. Louis and Philadephia split their doubleheader. Here are the saves from yesterday’s games:

RelieverSave #PitchesStrike%SwStr%K:BB
Jhoan Durán81172.79.11:0
Kyle Finnegan13127516.71:0
Yimi García3785.714.31:0
Josh Hader102157.1191:1
Shelby Miller33661.113.91:2
Jordan Romano41376.938.53:0
Cole Sands1862.500:0
Jesús Tinoco41172.79.11:0
Mike Vasil11145.500:1
Luke Weaver4158033.33:0

Three Takeaways

(1) Changing of the hierarchy in Philly: During Game 1, Jordan Romano shut the door on his fourth save while striking out the side against St. Louis. He threw 13 pitches (10 strikes – 76.9 Strike%) and generated five whiffs (38.5 SwStr%).

He’s converted saves in consecutive appearances and three in his last six, all scoreless, while recording a 0.50 WHIP with eight strikeouts (38.1 K-BB%) across six innings. Orion Kerkering stranded two runners and retired both batters, one via strikeout in the eighth inning, for his fifth hold. José Alvarado was credited with his fifth hold, allowing a hit and a walk during one-third scoreless in the eighth. He last recorded a save on May 2 and has posted a 1.26 WHIP in his last eight games, spanning 8.2 innings.

Updated Hierarchy: *Jordan Romano | *José Alvarado | Orion Kerkering

*= floating closer concept

(2) Santana in the ninth, Bednar as the HLR in the eighth: Fantasy managers must adapt to a new manager and his usage patterns.  Completing a combined shutout, Dennis Santana worked around Starling Marte’s lead-off single by retiring the next three Mets, throwing 11 pitches (90.9 Strike%) with one whiff.

He’s posted a 0.87 WHIP with 11 strikeouts versus three walks (11.8 K-BB%) through 18.1 innings. David Bednar fired a clean eighth and recorded two strikeouts on 12 pitches (75 Strike%) with one whiff, facing the 2-3-4 lineup pocket.

Since Don Kelly took over on May 9, Santana has appeared in the ninth inning four times versus Bednar’s once during his four appearances:

One can make the case Bednar has faced tougher lineup pockets, and a larger sample may be needed, but for now:

Updated Hierarchy: *Dennis Santana | David Bednar | Caleb Ferguson

*= closer-by-committee (roles being determined)

(3) Chapman’s untimely command glitch: Entering Wednesday’s contest, Aroldis Chapman had posted a 69.1 strike percentage, up 6.1 percent points against his rate last season and featured a 77 percent first-strike rate against a 58.1 first-strike percentage in 2024. Entering a tied game at the bottom of the ninth in Detroit, he issued lead-off hitter Andy Ibañez a walk, a leverage no-no, and usually a harbinger of bad outcomes. Ibañez stole second and moved to third on Connor Wong’s throw, putting a runner ninety feet away with no outs. Chapman responded by recording a strikeout against Trey Sweeney and inducing a pop-out by Javier Báez. But, with two outs, and a 2-0 count, he gave up Justyn-Henry Malloy’s walk-off RBI single, suffering his second loss:

Count leverage has become a theme this season, and Chapman’s untimely command struggles ultimately did him in. He threw 14 pitches (6 strikes – 42.9 Strike%) and produced only one whiff. Here is his pitch illustrator from this appearance:

Before the ninth, Justin Slaten tossed a clean eighth, striking out one. Liam Hendriks worked a clean seventh, recording a strikeout. Justin Wilson retired the side in the sixth. Chalk this loss up to command and monitor Chapman’s strike percentage in upcoming contests.

Hierarchy Remains: Aroldis Chapman | Justin Slaten | Greg Weissert

For the save streamers, a light forecast based on the schedule:

Vulture Save Option for May 15

  • Shawn Armstrong (TEX): With Luke Jackson and Chris Martin likely out until Friday and Houston’s lineup primarily littered with right-handed batters, Armstrong should be in line for the vulture save, but there are no guarantees. 

Vulture Save Stashes for May 16

  • Cole Sands (MIN): If Durán, Jax, and Varland pitch today, it will be consecutive outings for all three relievers. 
  • Andrew Kittredge (BAL): He has not been activated as of this posting but has recorded three rehab appearances at Triple-A. With Yennier Cano struggling in recent contests, it would line up the veteran for a save if Félix Bautista pitches today. 

Here are the remaining leverage events of interest from Wednesday.

Closer CliffsNotes

Arizona Diamondbacks

Escaping with a one-run victory, Shelby Miller struggled at the bottom of the ninth but recorded his third save. He allowed Matt Chapman’s one-out single, followed by Willy Adames’ ground-rule double, and issued a walk, loading the bases. After striking out Mike Yastrzemski, Miller walked in a run before inducing a game-ending flyout. He threw 36 pitches (22 strikes – 61.1 Strike%) and produced five whiffs (13.9 SwStr%) while allowing two hits, an earned run, and two walks.

He’s converted three of four save chances in May but has given up at least a run in two of his six outings.

  • Ryne Nelson logged three innings, allowing three hits, two earned runs, and two walks while striking out five for his first hold.
  • Ryan Thompson was awarded his first win, tossing a scoreless fifth, yielding a hit and striking out two.

Hierarchy Remains: Shelby Miller | Jalen Beeks | Ryan Thompson

Chicago White Sox

Closing a two-run win over the Reds, Mike Vasil recorded his first career save, working around a one-out walk for a scoreless bottom of the ninth. He threw 11 pitches (45.5 Strike%) without a whiff. He had allowed at least a run in his two previous outings.

  • Steven Wilson stranded a runner while retiring Spencer Steer for his fifth hold in one-third of the eighth.
  • Brandon Eisert allowed two hits and an earned run during his two-thirds of the eighth, getting credit for his first hold.
  • Jordan Leasure stranded a runner, striking out his only batter in the seventh, securing his seventh hold.

This marks three saves for the team by three different relievers.

Hierarchy Remains: *Cam Booser | *Steven Wilson | *Jordan Leasure

*= closer-by-committee

Detroit Tigers

Despite allowing consecutive singles upon entry at the top of the ninth, Will Vest retired the next three batters with help from his defense. He collected his third win following a walk-off rally at the bottom of the inning. He threw 14 pitches (57.1 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (14.3 SwStr%).

He’s posted a 1.05 WHIP with 23 strikeouts versus seven walks (20.2 K-BB%) through 20 innings.

  • Tommy Kahnle stranded all three inherited runners at the top of the seventh and logged 1.2 clean frames, striking out two.
  • Tyler Holton did not retire a batter, allowing two hits and a walk, letting both inherited runners score in the seventh. 

Hierarchy Remains: *Will Vest | *Tommy Kahnle | Tyler Holton

*= match-up-based approach

Houston Astros

Handed a one-run lead at the top of the ninth, Josh Hader secured his tenth save, working around a two-out walk of Bobby Witt Jr. with a game-ending lineout by Vinnie Pasquantino. Hader threw 21 pitches (12 strikes – 57.1 Strike%) and produced four whiffs (19 SwStr%).

He’s posted a 0.89 WHIP with 26 strikeouts against five walks (29.6 K-BB%) through 18 innings.

  • Bryan King collected his first win, tossing a scoreless eighth, walking and striking out one.
  • Kaleb Ort fired a clean seventh, striking out two.
  • Shawn Dubin logged 1.2 scoreless frames, allowing a hit and striking out three.

Hierarchy Remains: Josh Hader | Bryan Abreu | Bryan King

Miami Marlins

Bouncing back from yesterday’s walk-off loss, Jesús Tinoco fired a clean bottom of the ninth and recorded a strikeout, converting his fourth save while preserving a two-run win over the Cubs. He threw 11 pitches (72.7 Strike%) and induced one whiff (9.1 SwStr%) while facing the 4-5-6 hitters.

He has a 1.24 WHIP with nine strikeouts versus six walks (5.3 K-BB%) in 13.2 innings.

  • Anthony Bender gave up a hit during a scoreless eighth, securing his fifth hold.
  • Lake Bachar worked a clean seventh, striking out one for his fourth hold.
  • Calvin Faucher tossed a scoreless sixth, navigating around two hits and a walk while striking out two, notching his first hold.

Hierarchy Remains: Jesús Tinoco | Calvin Faucher | Anthony Bender

Milwaukee Brewers

In a non-save situation, Trevor Megill finished a four-run win in Cleveland with a scoreless ninth. He issued a two-out walk while throwing 17 pitches (7 strikes – 41.2 Strike%) and induced one whiff against the 6-7-8-9 hitters.

His lack of command may have been an issue if they had been able to turn the lineup over. Megill’s on a modest six-game scoreless streak with a 1.20 WHIP and six strikeouts versus three walks (14.3 K-BB%) through five innings.

  • Abner Uribe stranded a runner while retiring his only batter in the eighth, recording his 11th hold.
  • Jared Koenig let his only inherited runner score and gets tagged with two earned runs on his ledger, giving up José Ramirez’s home run during his two-thirds of the eighth.
  • Grant Anderson worked 1.1 innings, yielding a hit and an earned run while striking out two.
  • Nick Mears tossed a clean sixth, securing his sixth hold.

Hierarchy Remains: Trevor Megill | Joel Payamps | Abner Uribe

Minnesota Twins

(Game 1) – Securing his eighth save, Jhoan Durán worked a scoreless bottom of the ninth, allowing a one-out infield single and recording a strikeout during a three-run win. He threw 11 pitches (72.7 Strike%) and produced one whiff.

This extended his scoreless streak to ten games, during which he’s collected a win and five saves with a 14:3 K:BB (28.9 K-BB%), a 0.90 WHIP, and a 14.5 swinging strike percentage through ten innings.

  • Griffin Jax notched his 12th hold, allowing a walk and striking out two in a scoreless bottom of the eighth.
  • Louis Varland tossed a scoreless seventh, giving up a hit and striking out one.
  • Brock Stewart was awarded his first win. He issued a lead-off walk and recorded three strikeouts in a scoreless sixth.

(Game 2) – Cole Sands notched his first save, retiring the side at the bottom of the ninth, completing a sweep in Baltimore. He threw eight pitches (62.5 Strike%) without a whiff.

  • Justin Topa stranded a runner and recorded two outs in the eighth for his second hold.
  • Kody Funderburk collected his first win, allowing a hit over 1.1 scoreless frames.

Hierarchy Remains: Jhoan Durán | Griffin Jax | Louis Varland

New York Yankees

Locking down his fourth save, Luke Weaver retired the side via strikeout, preserving a one-run win in Seattle. He threw 15 pitches (80 Strike%) and produced five whiffs (33.3 SwStr%) facing the 7-8-9 lineup pocket.

He has a 0.60 WHIP with 22 strikeouts versus six walks (22.3 K-BB%) through 20 innings.

  • Fernando Cruz worked a scoreless eighth, yielding a hit and recording his seventh hold.
  • Ian Hamilton collected his first win, logging 1.1 clean frames and striking out two.

Hierarchy Remains: Luke Weaver | Devin Williams | Fernando Cruz

Toronto Blue Jays

Filling in capably at the top of the ninth, Yimi García retired the side and recorded a strikeout for his third save against Tampa Bay’s 7-8-9 lineup pocket. He threw seven pitches (85.7 Strike%) and induced one whiff (14.3 SwStr%).

He has a 1.12 WHIP with 24 strikeouts against nine walks (20.8 K-BB%) across 17 innings.

  • Yariel Rodríguez notched his fifth hold, firing a clean eighth and striking out one while facing the 4-5-6 hitters.
  • Brendon Little collected his second win, stranded a runner in the sixth, and logged 1.1 clean frames, recording one strikeout.

Hierarchy Remains: Jeff Hoffman | Yimi García | Chad Green

Washington Nationals

Capping a come-from-behind victory, Kyle Finnegan worked a scoreless bottom of the ninth, allowing Drake Baldwin’s lead-off pinch-hit single by retiring the next three batters, one via strikeout for his 13th save. He threw 12 pitches (75 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (16.7 SwStr%). He has a 1.40 WHIP with 16 strikeouts versus seven walks (13.2 K-BB%) in 15.2 innings.

  • Jose A. Ferrer earned his first win, stranding a runner in the seventh and tossing 1.1 clean frames while striking out one.
  • Cole Henry walked and struck out one in two-thirds of the seventh.

Hierarchy Remains: Kyle Finnegan | Jose A. Ferrer | Jorge López

Quick Hits

  • Atlanta Braves: Taking over at the top of the seventh, Aaron Bummer was credited with his first hold despite giving up three hits and two unearned runs over two-thirds of an inning. Enyel De Los Santos suffered his first loss and a blown save, though he stranded a runner in the seventh. When he returned for the eighth, he allowed a walk, a game-tying RBI single by Amed Rosario, and a James Wood double, ceding the lead and prompting his removal. He gave up two hits, two earned runs, and a walk during one-third of an inning.
  • Baltimore Orioles: During Game 2, Yennier Cano suffered his third loss and second blown save at the top of the eighth. He gave up a hit and a stolen base, balked the runner to third, issued a walk, and served up Kody Clemens’ go-ahead three-run home run before retiring the next three batters. He’s allowed multiple runs in three of his past five appearances.
  • Chicago Cubs: In an eventual loss, Porter Hodge allowed a hit and a walk while striking out two in a scoreless top of the ninth. He threw 23 pitches (12 strikes – 52.2 Strike%) and produced four whiffs (17.4 SwStr%). Brad Keller tossed a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and striking out one. Drew Pomeranz worked a clean seventh, striking out one.
  • Cleveland Guardians: Entering a tied contest at the top of the sixth, Tim Herrin suffered his first loss, allowing a hit, two earned runs, and a walk while striking out one in one-third of an inning. Jakob Junis replaced him, letting both inherited runners score, giving up three hits and an earned run while striking out one in two-thirds of the sixth. 
  • Kansas City Royals: Summoned with a runner on and one out at the bottom of the eighth, Carlos Estévez could not stem the tide, letting his inherited runner score on Jeremy Peña’s go-ahead RBI single and issued a two-out walk to Isaac Paredes before an inning-ending strikeout against Christian Walker. Estévez allowed a hit and a walk with two strikeouts in two-thirds of an inning, throwing 13 pitches (7 strikes – 53.8 Strike%) with one whiff.
  • San Diego Padres: Finishing a four-run win, Robert Suarez fired a clean top of the ninth and recorded two strikeouts. He was warming for the save chance but still pitched in a non-save capacity, throwing 18 pitches (11 strikes – 61.1 Strike%) and inducing one whiff. He owns a 0.79 WHIP with 21 strikeouts versus eight walks (18.6 K-BB%) over 19 innings.
  • San Francisco Giants: Appearing in an eventual loss, Ryan Walker navigated around two walks for a scoreless top of the ninth. He threw 18 pitches (33.3 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (11.1 SwStr%). He’s issued multiple walks in two of his past four contests. He owns a 1.53 WHIP with 15 strikeouts against seven walks (16.6 K-BB%) across 15 innings.
  • Seattle Mariners: During the top of the seventh, Gabe Speier allowed Paul Goldschmidt’s game-tying home run and recorded two strikeouts while suffering his second blown save. Carlos Vargas was tagged with his third loss, allowing Aaron Judge’s go-ahead solo home run while recording two strikeouts at the top of the eighth.
  • St. Louis Cardinals: In Game 1, After stranding two runners at the bottom of the sixth, Steven Matz returned for the seventh, allowing four hits and two earned runs, resulting in his first loss. During Game 2, Chris Roycroft stranded a runner in the fifth while logging 1.1 scoreless innings, walking and striking out one. He was awarded his first win. JoJo Romero notched his sixth hold, giving up a hit and striking out one in a scoreless seventh.
  • Texas Rangers: Called upon with two runners on and one out at the top of the ninth, Robert Garcia stranded both by retiring both batters, one via strikeouts on six pitches (83.3 Strike%) with one whiff (16.7 SwStr%), closing a five-run win over Colorado.

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Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

BaseballSavant.com

BrooksBaseball.net