Monkey Bytes: August 26

Sunday featured a bevy of high-leverage events of interest. Seven relievers recorded a win, including two on walk-off rallies (Pittsburgh and San Diego). Eight relievers secured a save, including an ancillary one by Anthony Banda (LAD). Our condensed game recaps cover the outcomes of interest from yesterday’s slate.

Closer CliffsNotes

  • Justin Martinez (ARI) finished his sixth save despite allowing Tyler O’Neill’s solo home run during a two-run win in Boston. He’s converted six of eight save opportunities in August with 21 strikeouts against seven walks. 
  • Luke Jackson (ATL) took over a tied game in the top of the seventh and suffered his third loss. He allowed two hits and three runs (two earned) while striking out one in one-third of the inning. 
  • Burch Smith (BAL) served up two solo home runs in the top of the seventh against Houston, resulting in his first loss. 
  • Alexis Díaz (CIN) suffered his fourth loss and a third blown save. He recorded an out, hit Bryan De La Cruz with a pitch, and served up Bryan Reynolds’ walk-off two-run home run. Díaz has not converted a save since August 13 and allowed a home run in two of his last three appearances.
  • Emmanuel Clase (CLE) shut the door on his American League-leading 38th save with a clean ninth while striking out the side against Texas. He only needed 12 pitches and has converted 25 straight saves since May 20. 
  • Josh Hader (HOU) began his outing by identifying mound issues and walking Gunnar Henderson, who led off the bottom of the ninth. Hader rebounded with a lineout and a game-ending double play groundout for a scoreless outing and his 28th save. He’s only allowed one unearned run across ten appearances in August while recording two wins and converting all seven save chances. 
  • Anthony Banda (LAD) was summoned with a two-run lead and worked around a one-out single for a scoreless ninth, securing his second save. He’s been scoreless in 10 of 11 outings in August, with 14 strikeouts against two walks while converting two saves.
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN) allowed a one-out single, followed by a fielder’s choice throwing error, putting runners on second and third with one out. After recording a strikeout, he gave up Lars Nootbar’s go-ahead two-RBI single, resulting in his seventh loss and a second blown save. He finished with two hits, two unearned runs, and strikeouts. 
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM) was tasked with a tied game in the bottom of the ninth. He retired Jake Cronenworth via strikeout, then gave up Jackson Merrill’s walk-off home run, resulting in his second loss. 
  • Mason Miller (OAK) locked down his 21st save while retiring all four batters faced, one via strikeout, preserving a one-run win over the Brewers. He’s converted nine straight save chances since June 18 while posting 26 strikeouts against five walks over 18 innings. 
  • Aroldis Chapman (PIT) worked a scoreless top of the ninth, giving up a hit and striking out two. He collected his fifth win courtesy of a walk-off home run in the bottom of the inning. He’s been scoreless in his last nine outings with 17 strikeouts against one walk across nine innings.
  • Robert Suarez (SDP) fired a clean top of the ninth and recorded a strikeout against the Mets, keeping the game tied. He collected his eighth win on Jackson Merrill’s walk-off blast in the bottom of the inning. Through nine outings in August, he’s recorded two wins and converted all six save chances. 
  • Andrés Muñoz (SEA) navigated around two walks and recorded two strikeouts during a scoreless ninth for his 19th save. This represents his first save since July 28, and he’s been scoreless over his last two appearances. 
  • Ryan Helsley (STL) allowed a lead-off single and then retired the next three batters en route to his 39th save. He’s been scoreless over his last six and converted his last seven save chances. 
  • Richard Lovelady (TBR) hit Shohei Ohtani with a pitch and gave up Mookie Betts’ go-ahead two-run home run, resulting in his fifth loss. 
  • Kyle Finnegan (WSH) entered with a three-run lead and a runner in the bottom of the eighth. He logged 1.1 scoreless innings, allowing a hit and striking out two for his 32nd save. Two of his four saves in August have required four out appearances. 

Vulture Save Options for Monday, August 26

  • Chris Martin (BOS): His team will complete a suspended game and play a full one. In a sweep, he could nab an ancillary save.
  • Scott Barlow (CLE): A second doubleheader features the Guardians and the Royals. A sweep for Cleveland could feature Barlow unless Clase wants the ball in both contests.
  • John Schreiber (KCR): If Erceg appears in Game 1, it could be Schreiber in Game 2. 

Vulture Save Stashes for Tuesday, August 27

  • Jeff Hoffman (PHI): If Estévez pitches today, it will be consecutive outings. 
  • Tayler Scott (HOU): If Hader, Abreu, and Neris work tonight, it will be back-to-back outings for the Astros triumvirate.

What to Watch For

Arizona Diamondbacks – The Diamondbacks’ bullpen will face the Mets and Dodgers this scoring period, which will be a true test of its postseason aspirations. Justin Martinez has converted all six save opportunities since August 5 but has allowed a run in four of his last five games. Over his last nine games, he’s posted a 1.45 WHIP with 15 strikeouts against six walks (20.5 K-BB%) and a 3.24 SIERA. Will A.J. Puk be deployed against the top three Dodgers’ hitters, including two left-handed ones? He’s been scoreless in his last 11 outings with 14 strikeouts versus one walk (37.1 K-BB%) with a 0.52 WHIP and a 1.54 SIERA. Stay tuned, but how Martinez gets used in September may be decided this week. 

Baltimore Orioles – After a three-game stretch, allowing a solo home run in each appearance, Seranthony Domínguez rebounded with consecutive scoreless games while securing a save. In his 14 games with the Orioles, he’s 0-2 with five saves and one hold while recording 15 strikeouts against three walks (27.1 K-BB%). He’s only allowed seven hits, but four have been solo home runs. With three games against the Dodgers on the road and three in Coors Field, his home run per fly ball rate will be tested. 

Boston Red Sox – Beginning the week with the resumption of a suspended game resulting in a de facto doubleheader applies pressure to an already struggling bullpen. Entering gameplay this week, the Red Sox leverage ladder has a 1.57 WHIP and negative 1.37 Win Probability Added for the month, next to last in the majors. Kenley Jansen and Chris Martin have pitched very well, but can the setup relievers get them leads? 

Chicago Cubs – Fantasy managers prefer clarity but the Cubs used two different relievers in save chances last scoring period, Porter Hodge and Jorge López. Hodge has been scoreless over his last eight games, recording two wins, a save, and four holds. López has not allowed a run in eight of nine games this month while posting a win, two saves, and two holds. Here are their underlying metrics for August: 

  • Hodge: 13:3 K:BB (27.5 K-BB%), 0.93 WHIP, 2.52 SIERA, 11.3 SwStr%, 72.7 percent contact rate allowed, 62.4 Strike%
  • López: 16:1 K:BB (44.1 K-BB%). 0.75 WHIP, 0.87 SIERA, 19 SwStr%, 62.1 percent contact rate allowed, 75,8 Strike%

Cincinnati Reds – Closer Alexis Díaz last recorded a save on August 13, though he’s been pitching better in the second half. However, his walk rate depresses his K-BB percentage (14.3 percent since the All-Star break), and his 1.00 WHIP does not reflect two hit batters reaching base. Those seeking positives will point out he’s converted five of six chances in the second half with a 14.8 swinging strike percentage. Expanding his sample to the last statistical year, he’s 27-for-32 in save chances with a 1.47 WHIP and a 7.3 K-BB percentage (56:37 K:BB). How he finishes the season may determine how he’s viewed by fantasy players for 2025. 

Colorado Rockies – With Victor Vodnik landing on the injured list, Tyler Kinley should assume the primary save share in the interim. Since July 28, Kinley’s recorded a win, a save in two chances, and seven holds with 14 strikeouts against three walks (23.9 K-BB%) and a 0.54 WHIP. Vodnik has a 1.94 WHIP with a zero K-BB percentage while allowing an 82.7 percent contact rate in this same timeframe. Perhaps fantasy managers focus too much on saves? 

Detroit Tigers – Segue alert, but Jason Foley has resumed his primary save share status for the Tigers. He’s secured his team’s last two saves (August 15 and 23) while being scoreless in eight of his last nine appearances.

Los Angeles Angels – Amidst a five-game losing streak, manager Ron Washington tried a match-up-based approach on Saturday in Toronto, using Ben Joyce in the eighth against the opposition’s 3-4-5 lineup pocket. Joyce secured his eighth hold, but the team lost when Roansy Contreras served up consecutive home runs at the bottom of the ninth without recording an out. Will this be a trend moving forward, or will the rookie be used in save situations over the remaining five weeks? 

Los Angeles Dodgers – First, there is no closer on this team right now. Although Michael Kopech converted saves on the 16th and 18th, he also appeared in the eighth inning on Saturday, with Evan Phillips receiving the save chance with a one-run lead. Dave Roberts may be using relievers against lineup lanes, so naming a closer in this bullpen seems misleading. Will Kopech continue receiving save chances? Yes. Will Phillips? It appears likely. Those in deep leagues can also try streaming Anthony Banda. He’s taken over as the top left-handed relief option in the hierarchy. He could be used against Joc Pederson later this week, though Phillips projects as the preferred option against Eugenio Suárez. Stay tuned for “As the Dodgers’ leverage events turn.”

Milwaukee Brewers – With a three-run lead entering the top of the ninth on Saturday in Oakland, Trevor Megill was warming for the potential save opportunity and Bryse Wilson if the lead grew. After the Brewers scored two runs in the top of the inning, Wison took over in a non-save outing. However, Devin Williams was not a part of the equation despite last appearing on Wednesday. After tireless searching on “X,” this video appeared with Pat Murphy speaking about a sore left shoulder for Williams. This sounds like a non-issue, but monitor usage patterns for this bullpen closely during this scoring period. 

New York Yankees – As September approaches, help for the bullpen may be arriving soon. Ian Hamilton made his first rehab outing at Double-A with a clean inning while striking out the side on 12 pitches. Lou Trivino has been scoreless over his last four appearances and retired his last nine batters faced, four via strikeout, also at Double-A. Clay Holmes remains the closer, and his underlying data portends better results than he’s experienced. However, when recalled, Hamilton could be a sneaky play, especially if the team keeps him in one-inning appearances. 

Pittsburgh Pirates – Recency bias affects fantasy managers, especially when valuing relievers at the end of the season for next year. David Bednar will be a hot topic this winter. After going through a six-game stretch allowing at least a run in each, he’s been scoreless in three of his last four, converting two saves. It’s a small step forward, but his splits before and after his in-season oblique injury cannot be overlooked. How he performs over the next five weeks may determine how the Pirates and fantasy players view him for 2025. 

San Francisco Giants – Despite recalling Camilo Doval on Saturday, Bob Melvin kept Ryan Walker installed as his closer. It’s tough arguing with his decision. Walker’s been scoreless in nine of ten games in August while posting the second-best K-BB percentage (45.7) among all qualified relievers. His robust 23 strikeouts versus two walks over 11.2 innings with a 0.69 WHIP and 16.3 swinging strike percentage are impressive enough, then toss in his 68.7 strike percentage. It’s far from Doval’s traffic-infused outings throughout the season. However, when the team drifts further from playoff contention, should it discover what it has in Doval? Or feature him for a potential trade this winter? Time will tell, but Walker will be the preferred save share until usage patterns suggest otherwise. 

Tampa Bay Rays – Tankathon rates the Rays’ remaining schedule as the second hardest in the majors, behind only the Giants. Manuel Rodríguez, Edwin Uceta, and Garrett Cleavinger recorded a save in the last scoring period. This aligns with past closer-by-committee machinations by Kevin Cash and the organization. Although the team traded Jason Adam and potentially lost Pete Fairbanks for the rest of the season, it ranks first in bullpen WHIP (0.95) in the second half while sitting second in K-BB percentage and Win Probability Added. As for clarity, our adjusted hierarchy lists all three relievers; hopefully, their roles become more pronounced over the next two weeks.

Those seeking full game recaps should surf the team pages; they’ve all been updated with Sunday’s results.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Statcast

Monkey Bytes: August 25

Saturday’s slate only provided six saves, and four relievers recorded wins. An extra-inning game between the Rays and the Dodgers culminated yesterday’s action, with Tampa Bay emerging with the one-run win in ten innings. Casey Kelly (CIN) made his first major league appearance since 2018, tossing three clean innings for his first career save. Even though the team activated Camilo Doval, Ryan Walker closed out his team’s win in Seattle and will be the closer moving forward.

Our condensed game recaps cover the high-leverage events of interest.

Closer CliffsNotes

  • Pierce Johnson (ATL) cashed receipts for our save vultures. He nailed down his second save on an efficient four-pitch outing while retiring the side against the Nationals. 
  • Seranthony Domínguez (BAL) fired a clean top of the ninth and recorded a strikeout for his sixth save. He’s retired the side in two straight contests and converted all five save chances since August 10 with the Orioles. 
  • Casey Kelly (CIN) recorded his first career save, finishing an eight-run win over the Pirates with three clean innings while striking out two. This marked his first MLB outing since 2018. 
  • Tayler Scott (HOU) inherited a bases-loaded situation in the bottom of the sixth and suffered his third blown save, allowing Jackson Holliday’s three-RBI double. 
  • Joe Kelly (LAD) suffered his first loss. He gave up a go-ahead José Caballero two-run home run in the top of the tenth against the Rays. 
  • Jhoan Durán (MIN) made his first appearance since August 18 while closing out a combined shutout in a non-save capacity. He allowed a walk and recorded two strikeouts on 16 pitches (50 Strike%) while generating five whiffs (31.3 SwStr%).
  • Ryan Walker (SFG) nailed down his third save. He allowed a hit and recorded two strikeouts in a scoreless ninth, preserving a win in Seattle. He’s been scoreless in nine of ten games in August, with 23 strikeouts against two walks over 11.2 innings. 
  • Garrett Cleavinger (TBR) faced the top of the Dodgers’ lineup with a two-run lead in the bottom of the tenth and held on for his fourth save, allowing an unearned run on a sacrifice fly. Manuel Rodríguez collected his third win. He tossed a scoreless ninth, issuing a walk and striking out two while keeping the game tied. 
  • Chad Green (TOR) took over with a two-run lead after a failed no-hit attempt and closed out his 14th save while retiring all three batters. He’s been scoreless in his last four appearances and has recorded one win and seven saves through 11 games in August with eight strikeouts against two walks across 10.1 innings. 

Vulture Save Options for Sunday. August 25

  • Yennier Cano (BAL): Domínguez has pitched in two straight, three of the last four, and four of the previous six. He deserves a day off.
  • Camilo Doval (SFG): Walker has appeared on back-to-back days and thrown 39 pitches. 
  • Génesis Cabrera (TOR): Green has logged outings in consecutive games. 
  • Daniel Hudson (LAD): Kopech and Phillips worked the previous two days. 

Vulture Save Stashes for Monday, August 26

  • Chris Martin (BOS): His team will complete a suspended game and play a full one. In a sweep, he could nab an ancillary save.
  • Scott Barlow (CLE): A second doubleheader features the Guardians and the Royals. A sweep for Cleveland could feature Barlow unless Clase wants the ball in both contests.
  • John Schreiber (KCR): If Erceg appears in Game 1, it could be Schreiber in Game 2. 

Three Takeaways

  • Dodgers ninth remains fluid: Although Michael Kopech recorded a game-finished and two saves in his previous three appearances, he worked in the top of the eighth on Saturday night against the bottom of the Rays’ lineup. Evan Phillips was lined up for the top of the batting order but took over with a one-run lead against the 3-4-5 hitters instead, allowing a game-tying home run. It’s frustrating from a fantasy standpoint, but Kopech and Phillips will share save opportunities based on lineup lanes with its divisional lead at three games entering game play on Sunday. 
  • Rays continue their fluidity: Securing his fourth save of the season, Garrett Cleavinger was the team’s preferred option against the top three hitters in the Dodgers lineup, including Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman. Manuel Rodríguez pitched a scoreless ninth and has taken over the top spot in the team’s hierarchy based on recent usage patterns, though the committee designation remains firmly affixed. Both relievers have pitched on consecutive days, which should translate into Edwin Uceta in the highest–leveraged moment in today’s contest.
  • Williams unavailable on Saturday: With a three-run lead at the top of the ninth, Milwaukee had Trevor Megill and Bryse Wilson warming up in Oakland. If there were a save chance, it would have been Megill, not Devin Williams. The last time we saw Williams, he struggled with his command during a 31-pitch appearance on Wednesday and threw 48 pitches on back-to-back days. This may have been workload management for the closer, but fantasy managers must monitor his availability and usage patterns over the last five weeks of the season.

Full Game Recaps from Saturday, August 25

Atlanta Braves – Providing his teammates with much-needed rest, Pierce Johnson secured his second save with a clean ninth, finishing a two-run win over the Nationals. He threw four pitches, all strikes.

  • Grant Holmes notched his first hold, navigating around two hits during a scoreless eighth.
  • Dylan Lee retired the side for his fifth hold in the seventh.
  • Aaron Bummer collected his fifth win. He stranded a runner while retiring his only batter (Joey Gallo) via strikeout in the top of the sixth. 

Hierarchy remains: Raisel Iglesias | Joe Jiménez | Pierce Johnson

Baltimore Orioles – Capping a comeback rally, Seranthony Domínguez shut the door on his sixth save with a clean ninth, preserving a one-run win over Houston. He threw eight pitches (75 Strike%) and produced two whiffs (25 SwStr%) while recording one strikeout. He’s posted consecutive clean appearances and converted all five save chances since August 10.

  • Yennier Cano did the heavy lifting, recording his 30th hold. He retired four of five batters while facing the top of the Astros lineup in the eighth, recording three strikeouts.
  • Keegan Akin collected his third win. He allowed a hit and struck out one in a scoreless combined inning, ahead of his team’s three-run rally in the bottom of the sixth.

Hierarchy remains: Seranthony Domínguez | Yennier Cano | Cionel Pérez

Los Angeles Dodgers – Summoned in the top of the tenth, Joe Kelly suffered his first loss. He allowed José Caballero’s go-ahead two-run home run.

  • Evan Phillips was tagged with his third blown save. He gave up a game-tying Junior Caminero solo home run in the top of the ninth, then retired the next three batters via strikeout.
  • Michael Kopech was credited with his sixth hold. However, his 15-game scoreless streak was snapped after he loaded the bases on two hits and a walk before inducing a sacrifice fly-double play. He escaped with only one earned run allowed.
  • Blake Treinen notched his tenth hold, giving up a hit and a walk during a scoreless seventh.
  • Ryan Brasier retired the side on six pitches in a clean sixth, securing his fifth hold.

Updated Hierarchy: *Michael Kopech | *Evan Phillips | Daniel Hudson

*= closer-by-committee

San Francisco Giants – Though reports suggested an off-day for Ryan Walker after logging two innings on Friday, he secured his third save, preserving a one-run win in Seattle. He allowed a two-out single and recorded two strikeouts while throwing 14 pitches (11 strikes – 78.6 Strike%) with one whiff. He’s been scoreless in nine of ten games in August, with 23 strikeouts against two walks over 11.2 innings.

  • Camilo Doval made his return, tossing 1.1 scoreless innings. He gave up a walk and recorded two strikeouts on 19 pitches (9 strikes – 47.4 Strike%) with two whiffs.
  • Jordan Hicks was credited with his second hold, allowing a hit, an earned run, and two walks while striking out one.
  • Spencer Bivens collected his third win. He worked three scoreless frames, scattering two hits and striking out two.

Updated Hierarchy: Ryan Walker | Tyler Rogers | Camilo Doval

Tampa Bay Rays – Entering with a two-run lead and matched up against the top of the Dodgers’ lineup, Garrett Cleavinger secured his fourth save. He allowed the “place” runner to score on a Mookie Betts sacrifice fly but preserved a one-run win in the bottom of the tenth.

  • Manuel Rodríguez collected his third win. He worked a scoreless ninth, issuing a walk and striking out two on 20 pitches (55 Strike%) with three whiffs (15 SwStr%).
  • Joel Kuhnel allowed Miguel Rojas’ solo home run during his two innings of relief. 

Updated Hierarchy: *Manuel Rodríguez | *Edwin Uceta | *Garrett Cleavinger

*=  closer-by-committee

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Statcast

Monkey Bytes: August 24

After a slow Thursday in the world of high-leverage events, Friday made up for it. Nine relievers recorded a win (60 percent of the slate), and seven secured saves. Ron Washington frustrated fantasy managers everywhere using Ben Joyce in the eighth against Toronto’s 3-4-5 lineup pocket and suffered a walk-off loss with his best reliever not on the mound. Atlanta, Seattle, and the Dodgers also provided walk-off wins on a crazy slate. Our condensed game recaps cover the high-leverage events of interest.

Closer CliffsNotes

  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL) had his batter-retired streak snapped on a hit batter but collected his third win courtesy of a walk-off rally in the bottom of the tenth. He recorded two scoreless frames and one strikeout in his outing. He’s been scoreless over his last 15 appearances, spanning 17 innings, with 20 strikeouts against one walk and a minuscule 0.18 WHIP. 
  • Seranthony Domínguez (BAL) notched his fifth save and fourth with the Orioles, retiring the Astros’ 9-1-2 lineup pocket in order, capping his team’s comeback win. 
  • Jorge López (CHC) fired a clean bottom of the ninth and recorded a strikeout for his fourth save, second with the Cubs. Porter Hodge logged 1.1 scoreless frames, giving up a walk and striking out three while collecting his second win. 
  • Jason Foley (DET) notched his 17th save with a clean ninth on four pitches while preserving a three-run win over the White Sox. He’s recorded a save in two of his last three outings. 
  • Bryan Abreu (HOU) suffered his second loss. He gave up five hits, including Anthony Santander’s grand slam, and five earned runs over one-third of the eighth. 
  • Lucas Erceg (KCR) worked around a lead-off double for a scoreless ninth and seventh save. He’s been scoreless through ten outings since his acquisition, with 15 strikeouts against zero walks while converting all four save chances.
  • Roansy Contreras (LAA) took over with a one-run lead at the bottom of the ninth and served up consecutive home runs, resulting in his third loss and a second blown save. 
  • Michael Kopech (LAD) kept the game tied with a clean top of the ninth while recording two strikeouts. He collected his fourth win on Shohei Ohtani’s walk-off grand slam in the bottom of the inning. Kopech has been scoreless through ten appearances since the trade deadline, with 15 strikeouts against one walk while retiring 31 of 33 batters across 10.2 innings. 
  • Brett de Geus (MIA) gave up two hits, including Isaac Paredes’ go-ahead RBI double, resulting in his second loss. 
  • Bryan Hudson (MIL) entered in the bottom of the fifth and tossed two clean frames while striking out one en route to his sixth win. 
  • Clay Holmes (NYY) secured his 27th save while preserving a combined shutout of the Rockies. He allowed a hit and recorded a strikeout during a scoreless ninth. 
  • David Bednar (PIT) navigated around a lead-off double and a two-out walk for his 23rd save in a scoreless top of the ninth. He’s converted four of six save chances this month despite posting a 2.22 WHIP through nine innings in August. 
  • Collin Snider (SEA) tossed a scoreless top of the tenth, issuing a walk and recording two strikeouts. He collected his third win after his teammates provided a walk-off rally in the bottom of the tenth. 
  • Colin Poche (TBR) was called upon at the bottom of the ninth with two runners on and two outs. He issued a walk and served up Shohei Ohtani’s walk-off grand slam. Manuel Rodríguez suffered his third loss as a result. During his two-thirds of the ninth, he gave up a hit and a hit batter, resulting in two earned runs.
  • Kirby Yates (TEX) shut the door on his 23rd save with a clean ninth while recording a strikeout. He’s recorded two wins and four saves in five chances in August, with 18 strikeouts against four walks across 11 innings.
  • Chad Green (TOR) tossed a scoreless top of the ninth, a hit and striking out one. He collected his fourth win courtesy of consecutive home runs in the bottom of the inning.
  • Eduardo Salazar (WSH) was the tough-luck loser, suffering his first loss of the season. He logged 1.2 innings, but the “place” runner scored on a throwing error during a walk-off loss in Atlanta. 

Vulture Save Options for Saturday, August 24

  • Pierce Johnson (ATL): Iglesias appeared in a second straight game and logged two innings last night. Jiménez pitched in three of the previous four. 
  • Kyle Nicolas (PIT): Bednar and Chapman have pitched in three of the previous four. 

Vulture Save Stashes for Sunday. August 25

  • Yennier Cano (BAL): If Domínguez pitches today, it will be consecutive outings. 
  • Emilio Pagán (CIN): If Díaz appears in today’s contest, it will be back-to-back days. 
  • Tyler Holton (DET): If Foley pitches on Saturday, it will be two straight outings. 
  • John Schreiber (KCR): If Erceg appears today, it will be consecutive games and three in the last four. 

Three Takeaways

  • Hodge operates as the HLR: In the highest-leveraged moment during Friday’s game, the Cubs called upon Porter Hodge with two runners on and two outs in the bottom of the seventh. He stranded both runners and logged 1.1 scoreless frames, allowing a walk while striking out three. Usage patterns like this suggest he’s the HLR (highest leveraged reliever) and not a closer, which will disappoint fantasy managers seeking clarity. However, as Tuesday attests, he will still be in the mix for saves. This also keeps Jorge López in the mix for saves and mixed league-worthy. 
  • Match-up-based outing in Toronto: Although José Quijada only faced one batter in the seventh, if Ron Washington did not want a two-inning save from Ben Joyce, why not keep the southpaw in the game against the Blue Jays 3-4-5 hitters, two of which were left-handed? Instead, Joyce faced them and turned in a scoreless eighth, giving up a hit and striking out one. But did not return for the ninth. Roansy Contreras received the save chance and promptly allowed consecutive home runs, resulting in a walk-off loss. This was a confusing and frustrating usage pattern for those with Joyce on their fantasy rosters. 
  • Match-up-based outing for the Rays: This one is less of a surprise and indicates roles will be fluid with Pete Fairbanks sidelined by a lat injury. Edwin Uceta took over in the sixth against the Dodgers’ 4-5-6 lineup pocket and worked 1.1 scoreless innings, allowing two hits and striking out three. Garrett Cleavinger replaced him to face Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman, retiring all four batters faced. This led to Manuel Rodríguez in the ninth. He hit Will Smith with a pitch, allowed a Tommy Edman single, and after a sacrifice bunt put both runners in scoring position, he induced a Gavin Lux groundout before being replaced. Colin Poche took over against pinch-hitter Max Muncy and issued a walk before allowing the walk-off Ohtani grand slam. Kevin Cash may perceive Uceta and Rodríguez as the highest-leveraged relievers, but he will deploy them as needed in a game. This means fantasy managers will sometimes be frustrated with how saves get distributed in a match-up-based bullpen.

Those seeking full game recaps should surf the team pages; they’ve all been updated with Friday’s results.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Statcast

Monkey Bytes: August 23

Thursday’s 10-game slate was a quiet one for high-leverage events. Only two relievers recorded a win, with one being a bulk appearance by Ryan Yarbrough (TOR). Three relievers recorded a save, including an MLB-leading 39th by Ryan Helsley. Our condensed game recaps cover the limited leverage outcomes from yesterday.

Closer CliffsNotes

  • Raisel Iglesias (ATL) locked down his 28th save while striking out the side against Philadelphia’s 3-4-5 hitters, preserving a one-run win. He’s been scoreless in the second half, allowing two hits and a walk while recording 18 strikeouts and converting all six save chances. 
  • Nick Mears (MIL) suffered his fifth loss. He allowed three hits, three earned runs, and a walk during two-thirds of the seventh in St. Louis. 
  • Mason Miller (OAK) recorded his 20th save with a scoreless ninth. He allowed a hit and recorded two strikeouts. He’s the third rookie pitcher in team history with at least 20 saves, joining Andrew Bailey (2009) and Huston Street (2005). 
  • Ryan Helsley (STL) secured his MLB-leading 39th save with a scoreless ninth while finishing a combined shutout. His next save will mark the ninth time a reliever has recorded 40 saves in team history and the first since Trevor Rosenthal (48 in 2015). 
  • Ryan Yarbrough (TOR) collected his fifth win as the “bulk follower.” He worked five scoreless frames, scattering three hits and striking out four against the Angels. 

Vulture Save Options for Friday, August 23

  • Ryan Fernandez (STL): Helsley, Kittredge, and Romero have worked in consecutive games. 
  • A.J. Puk (ARI): Teams have been matching up their left-handed relievers against Boston, and Martinez has thrown 38 pitches in his last two outings; he may require rest until Saturday. 

Vulture Save Stashes for Saturday. August 24

  • Joe Jiménez (ATL): If Iglesias pitches again tonight, it will be back-to-back appearances and three in the previous four. 

What to Watch For (Weekend Edition)

Baltimore Orioles – How will Brandon Hyde handle save situations? Seranthony Dominguez has converted three saves since with 15 strikeouts against three walks (28.6 K-BB%). However, he’s allowed a home run in his last three appearances, resulting in two losses. He’s given up seven hits in his 12 games with the Orioles, but four have been solo home runs. He needs a strong weekend to remain the team’s preferred option for the ninth inning. 

Chicago Cubs – After Jorge López recorded a save last Saturday with Porter Hodge working ahead of him, he seemed like the logical pivot for the closer role after the team placed Héctor Neris on waivers. But Porter Hodge, who pitched very well in leverage this season, received this bullpen’s first save in the post-Neris era. Hopefully, their respective roles will be clarified this weekend for the remainder of the season. 

Colorado Rockies – Tyler Kinley has been scoreless in 11 outings since July 28 over his 12 appearances, with 14 strikeouts against three walks and a 0.54 WHIP over 13 innings. He’s operated as the team’s closer before and has acknowledged he feels healthy compared to earlier this season when he struggled during ninth-inning outings. Angel Chivilli secured his first major league save earlier this week and remains on the periphery of leverage opportunities, while Victor Vodnik is on the injured list. 

Kansas City Royals—Will Lucas Erceg be used as a more traditional closer moving forward? He’s been scoreless through his first nine outings with the Royals, producing 14 strikeouts against zero walks (40 K-BB%) and a minuscule 0.39 WHIP across 10.1 innings. Here are his splits-by-pitch since his acquisition: 

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/OYcfJ/2/

Milwaukee Brewers—When the team activated Devin Williams, it maintained that his workload would be managed closely, especially regarding consecutive appearances. However, he’s pitched on back-to-back days twice in the last nine days:

His first time was a dominating outing against the Dodgers. His second resulted in a blown save, during which he only threw 12 of his 31 pitches for strikes. Back injuries can be tricky, as can pursuing a bye in the playoffs while keeping its leverage ladder on optimal rest. This will be an intriguing needle for the team to thread, and fantasy managers will be tracking his performance down the stretch with eyes on his potential impact next year as a pending free agent. 

Pittsburgh Pirates—After a six-game stretch of allowing at least a run, David Bednar recorded consecutive clean appearances, providing a glimmer of hope for fantasy players. However, it was short-lived. He suffered a walk-off loss in Texas and has given up at least a run in seven of his last nine games. Using his pre-and-post oblique injury as the focal point of his splits-by-pitch, here are his results from his first 34 games against his last 13 since returning in July: 

Link: https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/CR69S/3/

San Francisco Giants – Reports indicate the team will activate Camilo Doval before its series in Seattle begins this evening. After a rough first outing, he recorded three clean appearances at Triple-A. His role remains to be determined, but the team will likely ease him into leverage situations. Before his demotion, manager Bob Melvin said the bullpen works best with Doval closing so Ryan Walker can be deployed in the highest-leveraged moments. Time will tell if this was true or if Walker remains the closer with the team pursuing a playoff berth, though it’s a long shot (the playoffs, not Walker closing). 

Seattle Mariners – Andrés Muñoz recorded a 14-game scoreless streak between June 28 through August 14 but has allowed at least a run in his last two appearances. Under Scott Servais, he would be used in the highest-leverage moments in big games. With a new manager, fantasy managers should monitor his usage patterns over the last five-plus weeks.

Tampa Bay Rays – Although fantasy players prefer not hearing about a potential committee for save share, at least Kevin Cash remained true to his word when asked about replacing Pete Fairbanks. He suggested higher leverage roles for Edwin Uceta and Manuel Rodríguez. Each secured their first save for the Rays during this week’s games in Oakland. As the season progresses, we will track who gets the majority share and how they are used in the same contest.

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Statcast

Monkey Bytes: August 22

Wednesday’s slate resulted in nine reliever wins and five saves. There were three walk-offs, including a grand slam in the bottom of the tenth by Nolan Arenado. Justin Martinez recorded his first multiple-inning save of the season, and Manuel Rodríguez (TBR) recorded his first save since 2022 with a clean ninth in Oakland. Our condensed game recaps cover the high-leverage events of interest from yesterday.

Closer CliffsNotes

  • Justin Martinez (ARI) was pressed into duty with a runner on and one out in the bottom of the eighth. He retired both batters and returned for the ninth. He recorded his fifth save despite allowing a run on a wild pitch in the bottom of the ninth. He logged 1.2 innings, giving up two hits and a walk while striking out four. 
  • Joe Jiménez (ATL) was summoned with the score tied at the top of the eighth. He allowed a lead-off double and a sacrifice fly, scoring the game-winning run, resulting in his fifth loss. 
  • Seranthony Domínguez (BAL) took over in the bottom of the eighth and produced an inning-ending strikeout, keeping the game tied. He suffered his fourth loss in the ninth, allowing Jesse Winker’s walk-off home run. Domínguez has given up a home run in three straight appearances over his team’s last four games. 
  • Chris Martin (BOS) filled in capably for his closer, preserving a three-run win in Houston for his first save. He allowed a hit and recorded a strikeout on 16 pitches (11 strikes – 68.8 Strike%) with one whiff. He’s been scoreless in seven of eight games since returning from the injured list, with ten strikeouts versus zero walks.
  • Fraser Ellard (CHW) earned his first major league win. He tossed a clean bottom of the eighth and recorded two strikeouts, keeping the game tied ahead of his teammates, scoring four runs at the top of the ninth.
  • Emilio Pagán (CIN) stranded a runner in the seventh and fired a clean eighth. He was awarded his third win after firing 1.1 clean frames while striking out one. 
  • Lucas Erceg (KCR) shut the door on his sixth save with a clean top of the ninth and recorded two strikeouts. He’s scoreless through his first nine outings with the Royals, producing 14 strikeouts against zero walks and a minuscule 0.39 WHIP across 10.1 innings.
  • Andrew Nardi (MIA) let both inherited runners score while giving up two hits, two earned runs, and a walk during one-third of the seventh, resulting in his second loss and a sixth blown save. Calvin Faucher gave up three hits and two earned runs in a non-save outing in the top of the ninth. 
  • Trevor Megill (MIL) issued two walks (one intentional) and recorded one out before giving up Nolan Arenado’s walk-off grand slam in the bottom of the tenth, resulting in his third loss. Devin Williams had command issues in the ninth and suffered his first blown save. He allowed a hit, two earned runs, and three walks while striking out one. 
  • Edwin Díaz (NYM) retired the side and recorded two strikeouts in the top of the ninth against Baltimore. He collected his fifth win courtesy of a walk-off home run in the bottom of the inning. He’s been scoreless in seven of his last eight games with 14 strikeouts against two walks.
  • Carlos Estévez (PHI) navigated around a lead-off walk and a one-out single for a scoreless ninth while recording his 22nd save. 
  • David Bednar (PIT) had his modest two-game scoreless snapped during his sixth loss. He took over a tied game in the bottom of the ninth in Texas and allowed three hits, including Wyatt Langford’s walk-off RBI single. Bednar has allowed a run in seven of his last nine games. 
  • Erik Miller (SFG) took the baton from starter Logan Webb, with the score tied in the top of the ninth. After issuing two walks, he gave up Andrew Vaughn’s go-ahead RBI single and suffered his fourth loss. His final line was one hit allowed, three earned runs, and two walks over two-thirds of an inning. 
  • Ryan Helsley (STL) retired the side and produced two strikeouts in the top of the tenth, then collected his fifth win courtesy of a walk-off grand slam. He’s been scoreless over his last four appearances, securing three saves and this win. 
  • Manuel Rodríguez (TBR) locked down his first save since September 28, 2022, firing a clean bottom of the ninth and striking out one in Oakland. He’s been scoreless over his last ten appearances since July 28, with 12 strikeouts against three walks and a 0.67 WHIP across nine innings.
  • Kirby Yates (TEX) fired a clean top of the ninth and recorded two strikeouts during a tied game. He benefited from a walk-off rally, resulting in his fifth win. He’s won two of three decisions and converted three of four saves through eight appearances in August.

Vulture Save Options for Thursday, August 22

  • Yennier Cano (BAL): Domínguez has appeared in three of the previous four days. 
  • Joel Payamps (MIL): Williams has pitched on consecutive days, throwing a combined 48 pitches; he may need a break until Saturday. Jared Koenig could be in play against a left-handed hitting pocket as well. 
  • Kyle Nicolas (PIT): Bednar and Chapman have worked in back-to-back games. 

Vulture Save Stashes for Friday. August 23

  • A.J. Puk (ARI): Teams have been matching up their left-handed relievers against Boston, and Martinez has thrown 38 pitches in his last two outings; he may require rest until Saturday. 

Three Takeaways

  • D-Will and command: Although fantasy managers do not love spring training, it lets players build up and prepare for the upcoming season. Many pitchers go through a “dead arm” phase at camp, when velocity remains stable, but command struggles happen. Devin Williams suffered a blown save during an eventual loss, allowing two earned runs on consecutive bases-loaded walks on eight pitches. After the game, he acknowledged his lack of command. It’s encouraging to see him capable of appearing on consecutive days, but monitoring his workload more closely may pay dividends over the remainder of the regular season.
  • V-squared placed on the IL: First reported as shoulder soreness, the Rockies placed Victor Vodnik on the 15-day injured list, backdated to August 19 before yesterday’s game. He’s converted nine of ten save opportunities since July 6 with a 17:11 K:BB and a 1.42 WHIP across 19.2 innings. Although Angel Chivilli notched his first MLB save on Tuesday, those desperate for saves should stash or stream Tyler Kinley with Vodnik sidelined. Over ten appearances in August, Kinley’s recorded a win, a save, one blown save, and six holds with 11 strikeouts against one walk (27 K-BB%) and a 0.467 WHIP in 10.2 innings.
  • Tampa Bay and shared saves: After the team placed Pete Fairbanks on the injured list, fantasy players debated which reliever they preferred, Edwin Uceta or Manuel Rodríguez. Perhaps it’s both? Uceta secured his first major league save, retiring all four batters and striking out one. Rodríguez notched his first save last night with a clean ninth while striking out one. Kevin Cash indicated the two relievers would receive more high-leverage chances; so far, so good. Committees can be frustrating, and it’s possible Uceta gets used against the toughest-hitting pockets in some contests, but for now, each can be streamed for saves based on initial usage patterns in Oakland. Only the Dodgers (12) have had more pitches record a save than the Rays’ 11 this season. Could Drew Rasmussen sneak one in and tie them soon? Stay tuned.

American League – Full Game Recaps, August 21

Boston Red Sox – Preserving a three-run win, Chris Martin notched his first save with a scoreless ninth in Houston. He allowed a hit and recorded a strikeout, throwing 16 pitches (11 strikes – 68.8 Strike%) with one whiff. He’s been scoreless in seven of eight games since returning from the injured list, with ten strikeouts versus zero walks.

  • Luis García fired a clean eighth and struck out two for his 14th hold. Brennan Bernardino stranded the bases loaded with an inning-ending strikeout against Yordan Alvarez and secured his 11th hold.
  • Greg Weissert gave up two hits and a walk while striking out one in two-thirds of the seventh.
  • Josh Winckowski collected his fourth win, giving up a hit during a scoreless bottom of the sixth.

Hierarchy remains: Kenley Jansen | Chris Martin | Lucas Sims

Kansas City Royals – Completing a combined shutout, Lucas Erceg shut the door on his sixth save with a clean top of the ninth while recording two strikeouts. He threw 14 pitches (64.3 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (14.3 SwStr%). Erceg remains scoreless through his first nine outings with the Royals, producing 14 strikeouts against zero walks and a minuscule 0.39 WHIP across 10.1 innings.

  • John Schreiber notched his 20th hold with a scoreless eighth. He allowed a walk and struck out one.

Updated Hierarchy: Lucas Erceg | Kris Bubic | John Schreiber

Tampa Bay Rays – Securing his first save since September 28, 2022, Manuel Rodríguez retired the side and recorded a game-ending strikeout of Zack Gelof, preserving a two-run win in Oakland. He threw 19 pitches (13 strikes – 68.4 Strike%) and induced two whiffs. He’s been scoreless over his last ten appearances since July 28, with 12 strikeouts against three walks and a 0.67 WHIP across nine innings.

  • Garrett Cleavinger notched his tenth hold, giving up a hit and striking out one in a scoreless eighth.
  • Drew Rasmussen recorded his first hold, working around a hit and a walk while striking out three in the seventh.

Adjusted Hierarchy: *Edwin Uceta | *Manuel Rodríguez | Garrett Cleavinger

*=  closer-by-committee

Texas Rangers – Taking over a tied game in the top of the ninth, Kirby Yates retired the Pirates’ 8-9-1 hitters in order and recorded two strikeouts. He benefited from a walk-off rally in the bottom of the inning, resulting in his fifth win. He threw 12 pitches (83.3 Strike%) and produced four whiffs (33.3 SwStr%). It’s been a rockier August, but he’s won two of three decisions and converted three of four saves through eight appearances.

  • David Robertson worked a scoreless eighth, navigating around a hit and a walk while striking out two.
  • Andrew Chafin tossed a scoreless seventh, allowing a hit and striking out one.
  • José Leclerc gave up a hit and struck out three in a scoreless sixth. 

Hierarchy remains: Kirby Yates | David Robertson | Andrew Chafin

National League – Full Game Recaps, August 21

Arizona Diamondbacks – Working an extended outing, Justin Martinez took over with a runner on and one out in the bottom of the eighth. He recorded a strikeout and an inning-ending groundout. He returned for the ninth but ran into some trouble. Jesús Sánchez hit a lead-off double, Derek produced a one-out single, and a walk loaded the bases. Martinez struck out Kyle Stowers but let a run score on a wild pitch before a game-ending strikeout. This marked his fifth save and first multi-inning save of the season. He threw 31 pitches (18 strikes – 58.1 Strike%) and generated six whiffs (19.4 SwStr%).

  • Joe Manitply was credited with his 13th hold despite giving up two hits and an earned run in one-third of the eighth.
  • Kevin Ginkel fired a clean seventh and struck out two, securing his 15th hold.
  • Dylan Floro was awarded his fifth win. He stranded a runner and retired his only batter in the sixth. 

Hierarchy remains: Justin Martinez | A.J. Puk | Ryan Thompson

Milwaukee Brewers – Remaining in a tied game in the bottom of the tenth, Trevor Megill suffered his third loss. He allowed two walks (one intentional) and four runs (three earned) on Nolan Arenado’s walk-off grand slam. Megill recorded the last out in the ninth on an inning-ending groundout by Masyn Winn, stranding the bases-loaded situation he inherited.

  • Devin Williams struggled with his command in the top of the ninth, resulting in his first blown save. His outing began with a hit batter (Willson Contreras), followed by a double, a strikeout, and a walk, loading the bases. After striking out Paul Goldschmidt, Williams issued consecutive RBI walks, scoring the game-tying runs before inducing an inning-ending groundout. He threw 31 pitches (12 strikes – 38.7 Strike%) and produced four whiffs (12.9 SwStr%). Representing his ninth outing of the season, he may be going through a “dead arm” phase.
  • Joel Payamps navigated around a hit and a walk while striking out one for a scoreless eighth during his 15th hold.
  • Bryan Hudson also incurred a blown save, his third, allowing two hits, two earned runs, and striking out one in the seventh.

Updated Hierarchy: Devin Williams | Joel Payamps | Jared Koenig

New York Mets – With the score tied at the top of the ninth, Edwin Díaz retired the Orioles’ 4-5-6 lineup pocket in order while recording two strikeouts. He collected his fifth win courtesy of a walk-off home run in the bottom of the inning. Díaz threw 16 pitches (9 strikes – 56.3 Strike%) and induced two whiffs. He’s been scoreless in seven of his last eight games with 14 strikeouts against two walks.

  • José Buttó suffered his first blown save, letting his only inherited runner score at the top of the eighth. He issued two walks and gave up Adley Rutschman’s game-tying sacrifice fly. Buttó finished with a scoreless outing, allowing two walks and striking out one. 

Hierarchy Remains: Edwin Díaz | Phil Maton | Reed Garrett

Philadelphia Phillies – Despite issuing a lead-off walk, Carlos Estévez secured his 22nd save, second for the Phillies, with a scoreless ninth while preserving a one-run win. He also allowed a one-out single, with the runners second and third with two outs, but Estévez bore down, inducing a game-ending groundout. He threw 16 pitches (9 strikes – 56.3 Strike%) and produced two whiffs.

  • Orion Kerkering tossed a clean eighth and recorded a strikeout for his 12th hold.
  • Matt Strahm collected his fifth win. He retired the side in the seventh and struck out one ahead of his team’s go-ahead rally in the top of the eighth.
  • Jeff Hoffman stranded two runners while retiring both batters faced in the sixth.

Hierarchy remains: Carlos Estévez | Jeff Hoffman | Matt Strahm

Pittsburgh Pirates – After the lead-off hitter reached on an infield single, on a rushed throw, David Bednar allowed an Adolis García single, recorded a strikeout, and gave up Wyatt Langford’s walk-off RBI single, resulting in his sixth loss. It’s been one step up and two steps back since his return from an oblique injury. He allowed at least a run in six straight games, then worked two clean outings, but with his outcome, he’s given up a run in seven of nine games since July 29. Since being reinstated from the injured list, he’s posted a 1.92 WHIP while yielding 11 runs (ten earned) over his last 13 innings.

  • Aroldis Chapman fired a clean eighth, striking out the side on 15 pitches (66.7 Strike%) with two whiffs.
  • Kyle Nicolas retired the side and recorded two strikeouts in a scoreless seventh.

Hierarchy remains: David Bednar | Aroldis Chapman | Kyle Nicolas

St. Louis Cardinals – Benefiting from a walk-off grand slam, Ryan Helsley collected his fifth win after retiring the side in the top of the tenth. He threw nine pitches (77.8 Strike%) and induced two whiffs (22.2 SwStr%) while striking out two against the Brewers. He’s on a modest four-game scoreless streak.

  • Shawn Armstrong stranded two runners and struck out his only batter faced in the top of the ninth.
  • Matthew Liberatore tossed a scoreless combined innings, giving up a hit and a walk while striking out three.
  • Andrew Kittredge allowed a hit, an earned run, and a walk during his two-thirds of the eighth.
  • JoJo Romero let both inherited runners score, yielding two hits, an earned run, and a walk while striking out two in two-thirds combined innings.

Hierarchy remains: Ryan Helsley | Andrew Kittredge | JoJo Romero

Thanks for being a part of the Closer Monkey community. Stay safe and be well.

Statistical Credits:

Fangraphs.com

Baseball-Reference.com

Statcast