Trade Deadline Buy/Sell Report — National League


July 16, 2014

BUY+: This player has a large chance of becoming a closer by the trade deadline.
BUY: This player has a small chance of becoming a closer by the trade deadline.
SELL: This player has a small chance of losing his closer job by the trade deadline.
SELL+: This player has a large chance of losing his closer job by the trade deadline.

TL;DR Version
BUY+: Ken Giles, Brad Ziegler.
BUY: Rex Brothers, Antonio Bastardo, Joaquin Benoit, Kevin Gregg, Pat Neshek.
SELL: LaTroy Hawkins, Mark Melancon, Trevor Rosenthal, Santiago Casilla.
SELL+: Addison Reed.

Atlanta Braves – Tied with Washington for first place in the NL East, the Braves have the elitest of elite closers, but might be in the market for a lefthanded reliever like Boston’s Andrew Miller to reinforce Luis Avilan. BUY/SELL: None. 
Miami Marlins – With Miami falling off the pace, going 10-20 since June 11, the team may be more willing to listen to offers for 27-year-old Steve Cishek from bullpen-hungry contenders like the Tigers and Giants. Kevin Gregg would probably fill in first, but Bryan Morris projects as the long-term solution. BUY: Kevin Gregg. 
New York Mets – The Mets have been hot lately, and they won’t trade any of the young bullpen arms that have been so surprisingly effective. BUY/SELL: None.
Philadelphia Phillies – Jonathan Papelbon hasn’t won any friends in Philly by announcing his willingness to waive his no-trade clause to avoid the “mind-boggling” fate of staying on “a losing team.” With the Phillies sinking out of contention, most consider him all but gone, which would open the door for closer of the future Ken Giles — especially if Antonio Bastardo also gets moved. BUY+: Ken Giles. BUY: Antonio Bastardo.
Washington Nationals – Rafael Soriano will continue to lead the most stable bullpen hierarchy in baseball — except for a few weeks when Drew Storen went to the minors last summer, they’ve had the same three guys in the top three spots since Opening Day 2013. BUY/SELL: None.

Chicago Cubs – The Cubs are bad, again, but any further trades are unlikely to affect the top arms in their bullpen hierarchy. BUY/SELL: None.
Cincinnati Reds – Aroldis Chapman says he’s fine after last night’s All-Star Game injury scare, and the contending Reds don’t need any bullpen help. BUY/SELL: None.
Milwaukee Brewers – Although GM Doug Melvin identified the bullpen as one possible target for improvement via trade, their best move might be the impending return of Jim Henderson from the disabled list. BUY/SELL: None.
Pittsburgh Pirates – Pittsburgh could move Mark Melancon back to a setup role if it can wrest Huston Street away from the Padres. SELL: Mark Melancon.
St. Louis Cardinals – The Cardinals might not trade for an established closer, but Trevor Rosenthal has been unreliable enough lately to warrant a sell signal anyway. BUY: Pat Neshek. SELL: Trevor Rosenthal.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Last year we reckoned Brad Ziegler would be replaced at the trade deadline, but he held on through the end of the season. This year, Ziegler is purportedly untouchable, while Addison Reed — like Arizona itself — has been woeful, and could use a change in circumstances. Reed is young and cheap, but has his value fallen too far already? BUY+: Brad Ziegler. SELL+: Addison Reed.
Colorado Rockies – Colorado’s owner has insisted that the team will not be selling at the trade deadline; even apart from a deal, you have to figure that LaTroy Hawkins will step aside soon for Rex Brothers. BUY: Rex Brothers. SELL: LaTroy Hawkins.
Los Angeles Dodgers – The profligate Dodgers are in the market for relievers; although they’ve been linked to Koji Uehara, they’d be fools to overlook how unlucky Kenley Jansen has been (3.49 ERA, 1.87 FIP). BUY/SELL: None.
San Diego Padres – Huston Street has made peace with the likelihood that he will be traded, probably to an AL contender. If Street goes, Joaquin Benoit is likely to stay, as the team doesn’t want to lose both of their best options. The Padres are apparently asking for a lot for either reliever, and we think Street is more likely to move, leaving the San Diego ninth open for Benoit. BUY: Joaquin Benoit.
San Francisco Giants – GM Brian Sabean has said that no one in the organization is untouchable, and they may see their rapidly evolving bullpen as ripe for improvement. SELL: Santiago Casilla.